AVAAI

? · · gru_s5

token id: #791
symbol: AVAAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-03-04
predictions: 1,737

Track record at +30d

assessed

361

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2078

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0436

actual +0.0384

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007525	0.006898	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.00756	0.007008	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.007405	0.006854	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.00711	0.006702	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.007295	0.006864	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-16	oos	0.00736	0.006939	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.00747	0.007101	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-14	oos	0.007585	0.007194	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-13	oos	0.007845	0.007443	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.008115	0.007629	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.00849	0.008012	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.008855	0.008279	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.008635	0.00816	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-08	oos	0.009345	0.008794	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-07	oos	0.009275	0.008772	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.00931	0.00883	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-05	oos	0.00941	0.008944	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.00963	0.009133	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.009195	0.008661	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.009955	0.009196	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.00995	0.009095	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-30	oos	0.009625	0.008775	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.00986	0.008897	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-28	oos	0.010215	0.009244	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-27	oos	0.00985	0.008783	-10.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.01024	0.009271	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.00975	0.009011	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.009845	0.009383	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.009825	0.009434	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-22	oos	0.010185	0.009774	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.58
2026-09-21	oos	0.011175	0.01084	-3.00%	0.007525	-32.66%	0.3852	✓	-0.44
2026-09-20	oos	0.01132	0.010792	-4.67%	0.00756	-33.22%	0.3445	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.009885	0.009505	-3.85%	0.007405	-25.09%	0.2460	✓	-0.49
2026-09-18	oos	0.00951	0.009171	-3.56%	0.00711	-25.24%	0.2479	✓	-0.48
2026-09-17	oos	0.00962	0.009125	-5.15%	0.007295	-24.17%	0.1921	✓	-0.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.00954	0.009039	-5.25%	0.00736	-22.85%	0.1708	✓	-0.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.01028	0.009747	-5.19%	0.00747	-27.33%	0.2286	✓	-0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01038	0.009978	-3.88%	0.007585	-26.93%	0.2549	✓	-0.45
2026-09-13	oos	0.00893	0.00862	-3.47%	0.007845	-12.15%	0.0510	✓	-0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.00878	0.008439	-3.88%	0.008115	-7.57%	0.0087	✓	-0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.00872	0.0083	-4.81%	0.00849	-2.64%	0.0648	✗	-0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.007835	0.007647	-2.41%	0.008855	+13.02%	0.1895	✗	-0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.008415	0.008246	-2.01%	0.008635	+2.61%	0.0779	✗	-0.60
2026-09-08	oos	0.008665	0.008389	-3.18%	0.009345	+7.85%	0.1305	✗	-0.56
2026-09-07	oos	0.00862	0.008385	-2.72%	0.009275	+7.60%	0.1296	✗	-0.56
2026-09-06	oos	0.00832	0.008198	-1.47%	0.00931	+11.90%	0.1662	✗	-0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.00847	0.008319	-1.78%	0.00941	+11.10%	0.1679	✗	-0.62
2026-09-04	oos	0.00848	0.008513	+0.39%	0.00963	+13.56%	0.1697	✓	-0.56
2026-09-03	oos	0.008545	0.008451	-1.10%	0.009195	+7.61%	0.1085	✗	-0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.0081	0.007905	-2.41%	0.009955	+22.90%	0.2810	✗	-0.57
2026-09-01	oos	0.00816	0.00791	-3.06%	0.00995	+21.94%	0.2785	✗	-0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.008515	0.008446	-0.81%	0.009625	+13.04%	0.1651	✗	-0.56
2026-08-30	oos	0.00861	0.008611	+0.01%	0.00986	+14.52%	0.1715	✓	-0.49
2026-08-29	oos	0.008825	0.008757	-0.77%	0.010215	+15.75%	0.1765	✗	-0.35
2026-08-28	oos	0.009015	0.008886	-1.43%	0.00985	+9.26%	0.1312	✗	-0.35
2026-08-27	oos	0.008675	0.008672	-0.04%	0.01024	+18.04%	0.1826	✗	-0.32
2026-08-26	oos	0.008715	0.008776	+0.70%	0.00975	+11.88%	0.1254	✓	-0.32
2026-08-25	oos	0.0089	0.008857	-0.48%	0.009845	+10.62%	0.1280	✗	-0.31
2026-08-24	oos	0.00901	0.008929	-0.89%	0.009825	+9.05%	0.1164	✗	-0.31
2026-08-23	oos	0.008855	0.008717	-1.56%	0.010185	+15.02%	0.1869	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.00889	0.008703	-2.11%	0.011175	+25.70%	0.2851	✗	-0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.00965	0.009596	-0.56%	0.01132	+17.31%	0.1773	✗	-0.34
2026-08-20	oos	0.01943	0.018474	-4.92%	0.009885	-49.13%	0.7332	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.014135	0.013437	-4.94%	0.00951	-32.72%	0.4423	✓	0.63
2026-08-18	oos	0.012725	0.012009	-5.63%	0.00962	-24.40%	0.3038	✓	0.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.01269	0.011966	-5.70%	0.00954	-24.82%	0.3098	✓	0.50
2026-08-16	oos	0.013505	0.012698	-5.97%	0.01028	-23.88%	0.3190	✓	0.58
2026-08-15	oos	0.013505	0.012762	-5.50%	0.01038	-23.14%	0.3322	✓	0.58
2026-08-14	oos	0.01464	0.013776	-5.90%	0.00893	-39.00%	0.5560	✓	0.62
2026-08-13	oos	0.01464	0.013703	-6.40%	0.00878	-40.03%	0.5726	✓	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.01266	0.011832	-6.54%	0.00872	-31.12%	0.4350	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.00852	0.008005	-6.04%	0.007835	-8.04%	0.1377	✓	0.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.00858	0.007971	-7.10%	0.008415	-1.92%	0.0821	✓	0.67
2026-08-09	oos	0.00846	0.007752	-8.37%	0.008665	+2.42%	0.0010	✓	0.58
2026-08-08	oos	0.00894	0.008223	-8.02%	0.00862	-3.58%	0.0685	✓	0.59
2026-08-07	oos	0.0084	0.007772	-7.48%	0.00832	-0.95%	0.0418	✓	0.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.0089	0.008426	-5.32%	0.00847	-4.83%	0.1121	✓	0.54
2026-08-05	oos	0.008635	0.008264	-4.30%	0.00848	-1.80%	0.0882	✓	0.54
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.008124	-4.43%	0.008545	+0.53%	0.0645	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.00825	0.007893	-4.32%	0.0081	-1.82%	0.0653	✓	0.46
2026-08-02	oos	0.00774	0.007415	-4.20%	0.00816	+5.43%	0.0157	✓	0.40
2026-08-01	oos	0.00771	0.007354	-4.62%	0.008515	+10.44%	0.0558	✗	0.40
2026-07-31	oos	0.007635	0.007289	-4.54%	0.00861	+12.77%	0.0810	✗	0.40
2026-07-30	oos	0.00719	0.006917	-3.80%	0.008825	+22.74%	0.1540	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.007175	0.006888	-3.99%	0.009015	+25.64%	0.1553	✗	0.58
2026-07-28	oos	0.007545	0.007219	-4.32%	0.008675	+14.98%	0.0644	✗	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.00718	0.006877	-4.22%	0.008715	+21.38%	0.1242	✗	0.52
2026-07-26	oos	0.00804	0.007724	-3.93%	0.0089	+10.70%	0.0598	✗	0.45
2026-07-25	oos	0.008155	0.007783	-4.57%	0.00901	+10.48%	0.0609	✗	0.42
2026-07-24	oos	0.008755	0.008306	-5.13%	0.008855	+1.14%	0.0307	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.00817	0.007792	-4.62%	0.00889	+8.81%	0.0438	✓	0.52
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.007914	-4.48%	0.00965	+16.48%	0.1059	✗	0.54
2026-07-21	oos	0.00929	0.008824	-5.02%	0.01943	+109.15%	0.7394	✗	0.54
2026-07-20	oos	0.008425	0.00801	-4.92%	0.014135	+67.77%	0.5496	✗	0.30
2026-07-19	oos	0.010075	0.009474	-5.96%	0.012725	+26.30%	0.2950	✗	0.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.00858	0.008146	-5.06%	0.01269	+47.90%	0.4457	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.0072	0.006898	-4.19%	0.013505	+87.57%	0.6801	✗	0.50
2026-07-16	oos	0.006605	0.006345	-3.93%	0.013505	+104.47%	0.7613	✗	0.50
2026-07-15	oos	0.006445	0.006168	-4.29%	0.01464	+127.15%	0.8814	✗	0.63
2026-07-14	oos	0.00651	0.006287	-3.42%	0.01464	+124.88%	0.8607	✗	0.63
2026-07-13	oos	0.006445	0.006258	-2.89%	0.01266	+96.43%	0.6926	✗	0.66
2026-07-12	oos	0.00661	0.006408	-3.06%	0.00852	+28.90%	0.2871	✗	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.005985	0.005826	-2.66%	0.00858	+43.36%	0.3853	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.006075	0.005946	-2.12%	0.00846	+39.26%	0.3421	✗	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.00596	0.005838	-2.04%	0.00894	+50.00%	0.4011	✗	0.92
2026-07-08	oos	0.00582	0.005661	-2.73%	0.0084	+44.33%	0.3567	✗	0.91
2026-07-07	oos	0.005875	0.005721	-2.62%	0.0089	+51.49%	0.4280	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.00595	0.005731	-3.68%	0.008635	+45.13%	0.4013	✗	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.005985	0.005749	-3.94%	0.0085	+42.02%	0.3843	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	0.00595	0.005755	-3.27%	0.00825	+38.66%	0.3546	✗	0.91
2026-07-03	oos	0.005965	0.005816	-2.50%	0.00774	+29.76%	0.2722	✗	0.88
2026-07-02	oos	0.005235	0.005156	-1.51%	0.00771	+47.28%	0.3858	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.00587	0.005653	-3.70%	0.007635	+30.07%	0.2580	✗	0.91
2026-06-30	oos	0.00581	0.005596	-3.68%	0.00719	+23.75%	0.1584	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.005865	0.005647	-3.72%	0.007175	+22.34%	0.1835	✗	0.93
2026-06-28	oos	0.00615	0.005923	-3.69%	0.007545	+22.68%	0.1750	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.00522	0.005025	-3.73%	0.00718	+37.55%	0.2974	✗	0.98
2026-06-26	oos	0.005615	0.005394	-3.94%	0.00804	+43.19%	0.3158	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.006115	0.005864	-4.10%	0.008155	+33.36%	0.2560	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.005745	0.005518	-3.95%	0.008755	+52.39%	0.4098	✗	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.006925	0.006614	-4.49%	0.00817	+17.98%	0.1755	✗	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.006105	0.005852	-4.14%	0.008285	+35.71%	0.3124	✗	1.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.00552	0.005239	-5.10%	0.00929	+68.30%	0.5203	✗	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.005575	0.005275	-5.38%	0.008425	+51.12%	0.4527	✗	1.01
2026-06-19	oos	0.005625	0.005346	-4.95%	0.010075	+79.11%	0.6147	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.005965	0.005712	-4.24%	0.00858	+43.84%	0.3760	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.0062	0.005994	-3.32%	0.0072	+16.13%	0.1920	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006445	0.006213	-3.60%	0.006605	+2.48%	0.0903	✗	1.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.006055	0.005809	-4.06%	0.006445	+6.44%	0.1336	✗	1.25
2026-06-14	oos	0.00592	0.005657	-4.44%	0.00651	+9.97%	0.1541	✗	1.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.005765	0.005494	-4.71%	0.006445	+11.80%	0.2059	✗	1.35
2026-06-12	oos	0.005605	0.005368	-4.23%	0.00661	+17.93%	0.2037	✗	1.41
2026-06-11	oos	0.005835	0.005599	-4.05%	0.005985	+2.57%	0.0621	✗	1.42
2026-06-10	oos	0.00564	0.005467	-3.07%	0.006075	+7.71%	0.0450	✗	1.42
2026-06-09	oos	0.00566	0.005503	-2.78%	0.00596	+5.30%	0.0460	✗	1.42
2026-06-08	oos	0.00503	0.004947	-1.64%	0.00582	+15.71%	0.1822	✗	1.50
2026-06-07	oos	0.00482	0.004768	-1.07%	0.005875	+21.89%	0.2082	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.00463	0.00463	-0.00%	0.00595	+28.51%	0.1737	✗	1.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.00478	0.004766	-0.29%	0.005985	+25.21%	0.1627	✗	1.59
2026-06-04	oos	0.00502	0.004941	-1.57%	0.00595	+18.53%	0.2039	✗	1.60
2026-06-03	oos	0.00608	0.00588	-3.30%	0.005965	-1.89%	0.0509	✗	1.52
2026-06-02	oos	0.00593	0.005715	-3.63%	0.005235	-11.72%	0.0427	✗	1.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.00592	0.005657	-4.44%	0.00587	-0.84%	0.3602	✗	1.86
2026-05-31	oos	0.007	0.006585	-5.93%	0.00581	-17.00%	0.2876	✗	1.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.00695	0.006664	-4.12%	0.005865	-15.61%	0.2404	✗	1.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.00684	0.006636	-2.98%	0.00615	-10.09%	0.3026	✗	1.80
2026-05-28	oos	0.006745	0.006598	-2.18%	0.00522	-22.61%	0.1291	✗	1.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.006985	0.006781	-2.91%	0.005615	-19.61%	0.1850	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.00688	0.006753	-1.85%	0.006115	-11.12%	0.3283	✗	1.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.00712	0.006992	-1.80%	0.005745	-19.31%	0.2668	✗	1.96
2026-05-24	oos	0.006995	0.006915	-1.14%	0.006925	-1.00%	0.4050	✗	1.96
2026-05-23	oos	0.00723	0.007176	-0.75%	0.006105	-15.56%	0.1802	✗	1.89
2026-05-22	oos	0.00717	0.007104	-0.92%	0.00552	-23.01%	0.0828	✗	1.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.00747	0.007456	-0.19%	0.005575	-25.37%	0.0694	✗	1.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.00715	0.007167	+0.23%	0.005625	-21.33%	0.1374	✓	1.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.006985	0.006968	-0.24%	0.005965	-14.60%	0.2249	✗	1.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.00721	0.007193	-0.24%	0.0062	-14.01%	0.1899	✗	1.91
2026-05-17	oos	0.00716	0.007163	+0.04%	0.006445	-9.99%	0.2069	✓	1.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.00792	0.007915	-0.06%	0.006055	-23.55%	0.0392	✗	1.87
2026-05-15	oos	0.008605	0.008591	-0.16%	0.00592	-31.20%	0.0284	✓	1.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.009	0.008997	-0.04%	0.005765	-35.94%	0.0169	✓	1.86
2026-05-13	oos	0.009115	0.009064	-0.56%	0.005605	-38.51%	0.0609	✓	1.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.01031	0.010158	-1.48%	0.005835	-43.40%	0.1216	✓	1.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.008235	0.008401	+2.01%	0.00564	-31.51%	0.1525	✓	1.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.008425	0.008573	+1.76%	0.00566	-32.82%	0.1378	✓	1.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.0091	0.008967	-1.47%	0.00503	-44.73%	0.0911	✓	1.98
2026-05-07	oos	0.008435	0.008389	-0.54%	0.00463	-45.11%	0.0593	✓	1.96
2026-05-06	oos	0.00761	0.007882	+3.58%	0.00478	-37.19%	0.0200	✓	1.66
2026-05-05	oos	0.007865	0.008026	+2.04%	0.00502	-36.17%	0.1241	✗	1.45
2026-05-04	oos	0.00863	0.008568	-0.72%	0.00608	-29.55%	0.0208	✓	1.46
2026-05-01	oos	0.00842	0.008035	-4.57%	0.007	-16.86%	0.0572	✓	1.31
2026-04-30	oos	0.007465	0.006984	-6.45%	0.00695	-6.90%	0.0356	✓	1.20
2026-04-29	oos	0.00896	0.008244	-8.00%	0.00684	-23.66%	0.1475	✓	1.22
2026-04-28	oos	0.00955	0.009002	-5.73%	0.006745	-29.37%	0.2442	✓	1.19
2026-04-27	oos	0.009655	0.009064	-6.12%	0.006985	-27.65%	0.2129	✓	1.19
2026-04-26	oos	0.008935	0.008616	-3.57%	0.00688	-23.00%	0.1804	✓	1.21
2026-04-25	oos	0.007945	0.00776	-2.33%	0.00712	-10.38%	0.0799	✓	1.19
2026-04-24	oos	0.008115	0.007764	-4.33%	0.006995	-13.80%	0.0968	✓	1.19
2026-04-23	oos	0.008985	0.008645	-3.78%	0.00723	-19.53%	0.1538	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.008285	0.007853	-5.21%	0.00717	-13.46%	0.0485	✓	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	0.00987	0.009147	-7.32%	0.00747	-24.32%	0.2220	✓	1.25
2026-04-20	oos	0.009995	0.009421	-5.74%	0.00715	-28.46%	0.3026	✓	1.27
2026-04-19	oos	0.008755	0.008094	-7.55%	0.006985	-20.22%	0.1967	✓	1.26
2026-04-18	oos	0.01023	0.009602	-6.14%	0.00721	-29.52%	0.3061	✓	1.24
2026-04-17	oos	0.01058	0.00992	-6.24%	0.00716	-32.33%	0.3310	✓	1.24
2026-04-16	oos	0.009235	0.008393	-9.12%	0.00792	-14.24%	0.1042	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.008915	0.008004	-10.22%	0.008605	-3.48%	0.0064	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.00885	0.008211	-7.22%	0.009	+1.69%	0.0152	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.00846	0.00756	-10.64%	0.009115	+7.74%	0.1118	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.007195	0.006357	-11.65%	0.01031	+43.29%	0.3426	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.00799	0.00697	-12.77%	0.008235	+3.07%	0.0471	✓	1.07
2026-04-10	oos	0.0085	0.007665	-9.82%	0.008425	-0.88%	0.0333	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.00848	0.007537	-11.12%	0.0091	+7.31%	0.0626	✓	1.08
2026-04-08	oos	0.00788	0.007115	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-04-07	oos	0.007705	0.007147	-7.25%	0.008435	+9.47%	0.0512	✓	1.07
2026-04-06	oos	0.007535	0.006989	-7.25%	0.00761	+1.00%	0.0987	✓	1.10
2026-04-05	oos	0.00697	0.006302	-9.58%	0.007865	+12.84%	0.0476	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.007145	0.006528	-8.63%	0.00863	+20.78%	0.0916	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.007545	0.006989	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.00692	0.006522	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.00696	0.006656	-4.37%	0.00842	+20.98%	0.0812	✗	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.00588	0.005647	-3.97%	0.007465	+26.96%	0.1541	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.00583	0.005609	-3.79%	0.00896	+53.69%	0.3265	✗	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.0065	0.006213	-4.41%	0.009655	+48.54%	0.2685	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.00699	0.006706	-4.06%	0.007945	+13.66%	0.0340	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.00744	0.007196	-3.28%	0.008115	+9.07%	0.0282	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.00665	0.006407	-3.65%	0.008985	+35.11%	0.2243	✗	1.09
2026-03-23	oos	0.006775	0.006548	-3.35%	0.008285	+22.29%	0.1280	✗	1.09
2026-03-22	oos	0.00665	0.006357	-4.41%	0.00987	+48.42%	0.3091	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.00658	0.006308	-4.14%	0.009995	+51.90%	0.3532	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.006735	0.006438	-4.40%	0.008755	+29.99%	0.2562	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.00703	0.006817	-3.02%	0.01023	+45.52%	0.3163	✗	1.12
2026-03-18	oos	0.00754	0.007358	-2.41%	0.01058	+40.32%	0.2789	✗	1.07
2026-03-17	oos	0.00968	0.009332	-3.59%	0.009235	-4.60%	0.0264	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.00966	0.00939	-2.80%	0.008915	-7.71%	0.0512	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.00812	0.00794	-2.22%	0.00885	+8.99%	0.0906	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0071	0.006963	-1.93%	0.00846	+19.15%	0.1548	✗	0.91
2026-03-13	oos	0.00702	0.00684	-2.56%	0.007195	+2.49%	0.0530	✗	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.00747	0.007277	-2.58%	0.00799	+6.96%	0.0604	✗	0.93
2026-03-10	oos	0.0094	0.008871	-5.62%	0.00848	-9.79%	0.0691	✓	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.0069	0.006637	-3.81%	0.007705	+11.67%	0.0718	✗	0.90
2026-03-07	oos	0.008	0.007565	-5.44%	0.007535	-5.81%	0.0243	✓	0.87
2026-03-06	oos	0.00777	0.007444	-4.20%	0.00697	-10.30%	0.0770	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.00777	0.00748	-3.73%	0.007145	-8.04%	0.0002	✓	0.88
2026-03-04	oos	0.008	0.007607	-4.91%	0.007545	-5.69%	0.0659	✗	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.00719	0.006837	-4.91%	0.00692	-3.76%	0.0304	✓	0.86
2026-03-02	oos	0.00896	0.008441	-5.79%	0.00696	-22.32%	0.1842	✓	0.83
2026-02-28	oos	0.007825	0.00746	-4.66%	0.00583	-25.50%	0.2439	✓	0.78
2026-02-27	oos	0.007995	0.007575	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-26	oos	0.00808	0.007671	-5.06%	0.0065	-19.55%	0.1518	✓	0.79
2026-02-25	oos	0.00843	0.008075	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-24	oos	0.006895	0.006687	-3.01%	0.00699	+1.38%	0.0022	✓	0.66
2026-02-23	oos	0.00707	0.006851	-3.09%	0.00744	+5.23%	0.0188	✓	0.65
2026-02-22	oos	0.0073	0.007013	-3.93%	0.00665	-8.90%	0.0803	✓	0.64
2026-02-21	oos	0.00756	0.007283	-3.67%	0.006775	-10.38%	0.1000	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.007695	0.007418	-3.60%	0.00665	-13.58%	0.1080	✓	0.64
2026-02-19	oos	0.0076	0.007322	-3.65%	0.00658	-13.42%	0.1251	✓	0.64
2026-02-18	oos	0.00738	0.007195	-2.51%	0.006735	-8.74%	0.1053	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.00772	0.007476	-3.16%	0.00703	-8.94%	0.0848	✓	0.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.00775	0.007494	-3.30%	0.00754	-2.71%	0.0163	✓	0.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.00758	0.007382	-2.62%	0.00968	+27.70%	0.2240	✗	0.65
2026-02-14	oos	0.00798	0.007741	-2.99%	0.00966	+21.05%	0.1775	✗	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.00777	0.007573	-2.54%	0.00812	+4.50%	0.0350	✗	0.61
2026-02-12	oos	0.007225	0.007106	-1.65%	0.0071	-1.73%	0.0433	✓	0.58
2026-02-11	oos	0.006995	0.006864	-1.88%	0.00702	+0.36%	0.0115	✓	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.007205	0.006977	-3.16%	0.00747	+3.68%	0.0532	✗	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.00743	0.007177	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.007305	0.007072	-3.19%	0.0094	+28.68%	0.2874	✗	0.63
2026-02-07	oos	0.00745	0.007229	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-02-06	oos	0.00764	0.007403	-3.10%	0.0069	-9.69%	0.0277	✓	0.64
2026-02-05	oos	0.0071	0.007043	-0.81%	0.008	+12.68%	0.0840	✗	0.63
2026-02-04	oos	0.008245	0.007901	-4.17%	0.00777	-5.76%	0.0164	✓	0.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.008465	0.008083	-4.51%	0.00777	-8.21%	0.0094	✓	0.46
2026-02-02	oos	0.00849	0.008096	-4.64%	0.008	-5.77%	0.0296	✓	0.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.00988	0.009284	-6.03%	0.00719	-27.23%	0.1819	✓	0.62
2026-01-31	oos	0.00818	0.00784	-4.16%	0.00896	+9.54%	0.2343	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.00799	0.007666	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.00854	0.008154	-4.52%	0.007825	-8.37%	0.1626	✗	0.88
2026-01-28	oos	0.00866	0.008284	-4.34%	0.007995	-7.68%	0.2586	✗	0.97
2026-01-27	oos	0.00907	0.008713	-3.94%	0.00808	-10.92%	0.2013	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.00863	0.008309	-3.72%	0.00843	-2.32%	0.2644	✗	0.96
2026-01-24	oos	0.00918	0.008756	-4.62%	0.00707	-22.98%	0.0971	✗	0.97
2026-01-23	oos	0.00991	0.009436	-4.78%	0.0073	-26.34%	0.0044	✓	0.93
2026-01-22	oos	0.00946	0.00902	-4.65%	0.00756	-20.08%	0.0852	✗	0.95
2026-01-21	oos	0.01008	0.009574	-5.02%	0.007695	-23.66%	0.0442	✓	0.96
2026-01-20	oos	0.00853	0.008151	-4.44%	0.0076	-10.90%	0.1808	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	0.00937	0.008848	-5.58%	0.00738	-21.24%	0.0949	✗	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	0.01061	0.009826	-7.39%	0.00772	-27.24%	0.0236	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	0.01091	0.010251	-6.04%	0.00775	-28.96%	0.0248	✓	0.79
2026-01-16	oos	0.01143	0.010702	-6.37%	0.00758	-33.68%	0.0957	✓	0.76
2026-01-15	oos	0.01061	0.009726	-8.33%	0.00798	-24.79%	0.0473	✓	0.78
2026-01-14	oos	0.01078	0.009887	-8.28%	0.00777	-27.92%	0.0293	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.0109	0.010255	-5.92%	0.007225	-33.72%	0.0476	✓	0.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.01092	0.010212	-6.48%	0.006995	-35.94%	0.1013	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.01061	0.009997	-5.78%	0.007205	-32.09%	0.0727	✓	0.92
2026-01-10	oos	0.01035	0.009623	-7.03%	0.00743	-28.21%	0.0234	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.0103	0.009583	-6.96%	0.007305	-29.08%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.00995	0.009189	-7.65%	0.00745	-25.13%	0.0298	✓	0.88
2026-01-07	oos	0.01011	0.009441	-6.62%	0.00764	-24.43%	0.2599	✗	1.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.01065	0.0101	-5.17%	0.0071	-33.33%	0.3848	✗	1.84
2026-01-05	oos	0.01071	0.01001	-6.54%	0.008245	-23.02%	0.2715	✗	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.01088	0.010235	-5.93%	0.008465	-22.20%	0.1739	✗	1.91
2026-01-03	oos	0.01056	0.009972	-5.57%	0.00849	-19.60%	0.1114	✗	1.93
2026-01-02	oos	0.01001	0.009434	-5.75%	0.00988	-1.30%	0.3462	✗	1.91
2026-01-01	oos	0.00981	0.009247	-5.74%	0.00818	-16.62%	0.1080	✗	1.91
2025-12-31	oos	0.00922	0.008694	-5.71%	0.00799	-13.34%	0.0095	✓	1.90
2025-12-30	oos	0.00912	0.008644	-5.22%	0.00854	-6.36%	0.0731	✗	1.90
2025-12-29	oos	0.00901	0.008525	-5.38%	0.00866	-3.88%	0.0282	✓	1.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.00913	0.008615	-5.64%	0.00907	-0.66%	0.0251	✓	1.89
2025-12-27	oos	0.00926	0.008731	-5.71%	0.00863	-6.80%	0.0209	✓	1.84
2025-12-26	oos	0.00933	0.008816	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.00897	0.008557	-4.60%	0.00918	+2.34%	0.0307	✓	1.82
2025-12-24	oos	0.00947	0.009038	-4.56%	0.00991	+4.65%	0.0535	✗	1.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.00969	0.00933	-3.72%	0.00946	-2.37%	0.0285	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.01004	0.009631	-4.07%	0.01008	+0.40%	0.0289	✓	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.00998	0.009595	-3.85%	0.00853	-14.53%	0.1108	✓	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.0105	0.010063	-4.16%	0.00937	-10.76%	0.1603	✓	1.90
2025-12-19	oos	0.01023	0.009819	-4.02%	0.01061	+3.71%	0.0382	✓	1.90
2025-12-18	oos	0.01094	0.010417	-4.78%	0.01091	-0.27%	0.1666	✓	1.99
2025-12-17	oos	0.01009	0.009686	-4.01%	0.01143	+13.28%	0.0390	✓	2.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.01143	0.010817	-5.36%	0.01061	-7.17%	0.1851	✓	1.96
2025-12-15	oos	0.00933	0.008997	-3.57%	0.01078	+15.54%	0.0364	✓	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.00819	0.007922	-3.27%	0.0109	+33.09%	0.1654	✗	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.00886	0.008489	-4.19%	0.01092	+23.25%	0.2319	✗	1.94
2025-12-12	oos	0.00883	0.008509	-3.63%	0.01061	+20.16%	0.2079	✗	1.94
2025-12-11	oos	0.00935	0.008966	-4.10%	0.01035	+10.70%	0.1895	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01041	0.00982	-5.67%	0.0103	-1.06%	0.0805	✗	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.01022	0.009655	-5.53%	0.00995	-2.64%	0.0655	✗	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.01078	0.010146	-5.88%	0.01011	-6.22%	0.0175	✓	2.02
2025-12-07	oos	0.01075	0.01014	-5.68%	0.01065	-0.93%	0.0238	✓	2.02
2025-12-06	oos	0.01164	0.011004	-5.47%	0.01071	-7.99%	0.1308	✓	2.06
2025-12-05	oos	0.01061	0.010058	-5.20%	0.01088	+2.54%	0.0293	✓	2.07
2025-12-04	oos	0.01177	0.011092	-5.76%	0.01056	-10.28%	0.0157	✓	2.04
2025-12-03	oos	0.01243	0.011663	-6.17%	0.01001	-19.47%	0.0751	✓	2.04
2025-12-02	oos	0.01279	0.012039	-5.87%	0.00981	-23.30%	0.1450	✓	2.09
2025-12-01	oos	0.01306	0.012329	-5.60%	0.00922	-29.40%	0.3229	✓	2.31
2025-11-30	oos	0.01361	0.012883	-5.34%	0.00912	-32.99%	0.2928	✓	2.38
2025-11-29	oos	0.012045	0.011512	-4.43%	0.00901	-25.20%	0.1465	✓	2.36
2025-11-28	oos	0.01104	0.010625	-3.76%	0.00913	-17.30%	0.0720	✓	2.36
2025-11-27	oos	0.011235	0.010836	-3.55%	0.00926	-17.58%	0.0649	✓	2.36
2025-11-26	oos	0.01114	0.010799	-3.06%	0.00933	-16.25%	0.0634	✓	2.32
2025-11-25	oos	0.01105	0.010723	-2.96%	0.00897	-18.82%	0.1743	✓	2.39
2025-11-24	oos	0.01073	0.010442	-2.68%	0.00947	-11.74%	0.0798	✓	2.40
2025-11-23	oos	0.00993	0.009759	-1.72%	0.00969	-2.42%	0.0241	✓	2.38
2025-11-22	oos	0.01035	0.010161	-1.82%	0.01004	-3.00%	0.1236	✓	2.50
2025-11-21	oos	0.00991	0.009784	-1.27%	0.00998	+0.71%	0.0824	✓	2.49
2025-11-20	oos	0.01144	0.011137	-2.65%	0.0105	-8.22%	0.1091	✓	2.45
2025-11-19	oos	0.01182	0.01143	-3.30%	0.01023	-13.45%	0.0142	✓	2.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.01244	0.012039	-3.22%	0.01094	-12.06%	0.1196	✗	2.57
2025-11-17	oos	0.012795	0.012367	-3.35%	0.01009	-21.14%	0.0323	✓	2.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.011855	0.011517	-2.85%	0.01143	-3.58%	0.1767	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.01158	0.01125	-2.85%	0.00933	-19.43%	0.0813	✗	2.67
2025-11-14	oos	0.01169	0.011384	-2.62%	0.00819	-29.94%	0.1428	✓	2.69
2025-11-13	oos	0.012335	0.011909	-3.46%	0.00886	-28.17%	0.0167	✓	2.83
2025-11-12	oos	0.01321	0.012641	-4.31%	0.00883	-33.16%	0.0238	✓	2.83
2025-11-11	oos	0.01342	0.012921	-3.72%	0.00935	-30.33%	0.0156	✓	2.87
2025-11-10	oos	0.01488	0.014207	-4.52%	0.01041	-30.04%	0.0840	✗	2.80
2025-11-09	oos	0.014945	0.014209	-4.92%	0.01022	-31.62%	0.0108	✓	2.79
2025-11-08	oos	0.01458	0.013888	-4.74%	0.01078	-26.06%	0.0907	✗	2.85
2025-11-07	oos	0.01479	0.014005	-5.31%	0.01075	-27.32%	0.1640	✗	3.22
2025-11-06	oos	0.014025	0.013309	-5.11%	0.01164	-17.01%	0.2728	✗	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.01395	0.013246	-5.04%	0.01061	-23.94%	0.2719	✗	3.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.0129	0.012299	-4.66%	0.01177	-8.76%	0.2720	✗	3.26
2025-11-03	oos	0.013235	0.012439	-6.02%	0.01243	-6.08%	0.4565	✗	3.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.01428	0.013339	-6.59%	0.01279	-10.43%	0.6418	✗	3.58
2025-11-01	oos	0.015055	0.01401	-6.94%	0.01306	-13.25%	0.8021	✗	3.58
2025-10-31	oos	0.01473	0.013716	-6.88%	0.01361	-7.60%	0.6782	✗	3.56
2025-10-30	oos	0.013045	0.012048	-7.64%	0.012045	-7.67%	0.6209	✗	3.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.01405	0.013159	-6.34%	0.01104	-21.42%	0.4891	✗	3.48
2025-10-28	oos	0.013935	0.013054	-6.32%	0.011235	-19.38%	0.6100	✗	3.58
2025-10-27	oos	0.01474	0.01395	-5.36%	0.01114	-24.42%	0.6048	✗	3.58
2025-10-26	oos	0.015345	0.014794	-3.59%	0.01105	-27.99%	0.6787	✗	3.58
2025-10-25	oos	0.015695	0.015002	-4.42%	0.01073	-31.63%	0.5354	✗	3.70
2025-10-24	oos	0.01405	0.013454	-4.24%	0.00993	-29.32%	0.6028	✗	3.68
2025-10-23	oos	0.013835	0.013295	-3.90%	0.01035	-25.19%	0.7176	✗	3.69
2025-10-22	oos	0.013455	0.012916	-4.01%	0.00991	-26.35%	0.6086	✗	3.72
2025-10-21	oos	0.012415	0.011973	-3.56%	0.01144	-7.85%	0.7982	✗	3.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.012795	0.012345	-3.52%	0.01182	-7.62%	0.6768	✗	3.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.012955	0.012439	-3.98%	0.01244	-3.98%	0.5814	✗	3.71
2025-10-18	oos	0.013675	0.013099	-4.21%	0.012795	-6.44%	0.5481	✗	3.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.01244	0.011993	-3.59%	0.011855	-4.70%	0.4473	✗	3.74
2025-10-16	oos	0.012935	0.012474	-3.57%	0.01158	-10.48%	0.3934	✗	3.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.013855	0.013258	-4.31%	0.01169	-15.63%	0.4847	✗	3.84
2025-10-14	oos	0.014675	0.014053	-4.24%	0.012335	-15.95%	0.3578	✗	3.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.015605	0.014931	-4.32%	0.01321	-15.35%	0.3631	✗	3.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.01386	0.01333	-3.83%	0.01342	-3.17%	0.4207	✗	3.74
2025-10-11	oos	0.012495	0.012078	-3.34%	0.01488	+19.09%	0.3794	✗	3.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.00968	0.009474	-2.13%	0.014945	+54.39%	0.7698	✗	4.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.018125	0.01676	-7.53%	0.01458	-19.56%	0.3863	✗	3.02
2025-10-08	oos	0.01968	0.018451	-6.24%	0.01479	-24.85%	0.2986	✗	2.93
2025-10-07	oos	0.018695	0.017574	-6.00%	0.014025	-24.98%	0.3207	✗	3.02
2025-10-06	oos	0.020405	0.019205	-5.88%	0.01395	-31.63%	0.2388	✗	3.05
2025-10-05	oos	0.018995	0.017806	-6.26%	0.0129	-32.09%	0.2727	✗	3.03
2025-10-04	oos	0.019065	0.017903	-6.10%	0.013235	-30.58%	0.1235	✗	3.06
2025-10-03	oos	0.019705	0.01855	-5.86%	0.01428	-27.53%	0.0502	✓	3.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.019045	0.017922	-5.90%	0.015055	-20.95%	0.1082	✗	3.08
2025-10-01	oos	0.01877	0.017613	-6.16%	0.01473	-21.52%	0.0702	✗	3.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.01776	0.016855	-5.10%	0.013045	-26.55%	0.0887	✓	3.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.017835	0.017143	-3.88%	0.01405	-21.22%	0.0671	✓	3.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.018995	0.018167	-4.36%	0.013935	-26.64%	0.2877	✓	3.57
2025-09-27	oos	0.018745	0.01788	-4.61%	0.01474	-21.37%	0.3357	✓	3.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.01917	0.018387	-4.08%	0.015345	-19.95%	0.3381	✓	3.63
2025-09-25	oos	0.017775	0.017043	-4.12%	0.015695	-11.70%	0.1687	✓	3.62
2025-09-24	oos	0.019315	0.018234	-5.60%	0.01405	-27.26%	0.1836	✓	3.75
2025-09-23	oos	0.01906	0.018042	-5.34%	0.013835	-27.41%	0.2010	✓	3.77
2025-09-22	oos	0.019105	0.018127	-5.12%	0.013455	-29.57%	0.1252	✓	3.70
2025-09-21	oos	0.02267	0.021278	-6.14%	0.012415	-45.24%	0.3158	✓	3.60
2025-09-20	oos	0.024065	0.022739	-5.51%	0.012795	-46.83%	0.4078	✓	3.65
2025-09-19	oos	0.02346	0.022125	-5.69%	0.012955	-44.78%	0.3081	✓	3.63
2025-09-18	oos	0.02366	0.022386	-5.38%	0.013675	-42.20%	0.1681	✓	3.67
2025-09-17	oos	0.023985	0.022544	-6.01%	0.01244	-48.13%	0.2594	✓	3.73
2025-09-16	oos	0.022655	0.021304	-5.96%	0.012935	-42.90%	0.2123	✓	3.73
2025-09-15	oos	0.02217	0.02092	-5.64%	0.013855	-37.51%	0.2605	✓	3.74
2025-09-14	oos	0.02363	0.022205	-6.03%	0.014675	-37.90%	0.3403	✓	3.76
2025-09-13	oos	0.02563	0.023993	-6.39%	0.015605	-39.11%	0.4077	✓	3.74
2025-09-12	oos	0.025755	0.024103	-6.41%	0.01386	-46.19%	0.5197	✓	3.74
2025-09-11	oos	0.024105	0.022583	-6.31%	0.012495	-48.16%	0.4341	✓	3.74
2025-09-10	oos	0.02493	0.023227	-6.83%	0.00968	-61.17%	0.8420	✓	3.78
2025-09-09	oos	0.02357	0.021782	-7.59%	0.018125	-23.10%	0.5202	✓	3.86
2025-09-08	oos	0.02671	0.024441	-8.49%	0.01968	-26.32%	0.5910	✓	3.91

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.