ATLA

? · · gru_s5

token id: #450
symbol: ATLA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-08-17
predictions: 1,266

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

50.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0298

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	116.35	115.6806	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-20	oos	116.7219	116.0336	-0.59%	116.35	-0.32%	0.0032	✓	0.17
2026-10-19	oos	115.1533	114.5034	-0.56%	116.7219	+1.36%	0.0170	✗	0.17
2026-10-18	oos	117.0067	116.27	-0.63%	115.1533	-1.58%	0.0093	✓	0.17
2026-10-17	oos	116.2617	115.5029	-0.65%	117.0067	+0.64%	0.0117	✗	0.17
2026-10-16	oos	116.6026	115.8699	-0.63%	116.2617	-0.29%	0.0036	✓	0.17
2026-10-15	oos	116.0011	115.2783	-0.62%	116.6026	+0.52%	0.0127	✗	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	116.679	115.8998	-0.67%	116.0011	-0.58%	0.0003	✓	0.17
2026-10-13	oos	117.4309	116.5739	-0.73%	116.679	-0.64%	0.0040	✓	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	115.7178	114.91	-0.70%	117.4309	+1.48%	0.0190	✗	0.16
2026-10-11	oos	119.1933	118.2067	-0.83%	115.7178	-2.92%	0.0178	✓	0.15
2026-10-10	oos	118.4958	117.5001	-0.84%	119.1933	+0.59%	0.0130	✗	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	118.2518	117.2325	-0.86%	118.4958	+0.21%	0.0101	✗	0.14
2026-10-08	oos	118.544	117.4703	-0.91%	118.2518	-0.25%	0.0052	✓	0.14
2026-10-07	oos	115.5679	114.5109	-0.91%	118.544	+2.58%	0.0376	✗	0.16
2026-10-06	oos	115.9719	114.8336	-0.98%	115.5679	-0.35%	0.0107	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	116.27	115.0887	-1.02%	115.9719	-0.26%	0.0080	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	117.0534	115.8243	-1.05%	116.27	-0.67%	0.0053	✓	0.16
2026-10-03	oos	116.522	115.2955	-1.05%	117.0534	+0.46%	0.0118	✗	0.16
2026-10-02	oos	116.2472	114.9991	-1.07%	116.522	+0.24%	0.0127	✗	0.16
2026-10-01	oos	118.5477	117.2696	-1.08%	116.2472	-1.94%	0.0081	✓	0.16
2026-09-30	oos	116.9363	115.7482	-1.02%	118.5477	+1.38%	0.0215	✗	0.16
2026-09-29	oos	118.5378	117.317	-1.03%	116.9363	-1.35%	0.0031	✓	0.16
2026-09-28	oos	118.279	117.027	-1.06%	118.5378	+0.22%	0.0125	✗	0.16
2026-09-27	oos	119.6322	118.2682	-1.14%	118.279	-1.13%	0.0019	✓	0.15
2026-09-26	oos	119.7037	118.4725	-1.03%	119.6322	-0.06%	0.0097	✓	0.15
2026-09-25	oos	119.1593	118.0369	-0.94%	119.7037	+0.46%	0.0134	✗	0.15
2026-09-24	oos	119.5586	118.4315	-0.94%	119.1593	-0.33%	0.0066	✓	0.15
2026-09-23	oos	119.5349	118.424	-0.93%	119.5586	+0.02%	0.0095	✗	0.15
2026-09-22	oos	120.5905	119.5007	-0.90%	119.5349	-0.88%	0.0034	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	122.0118	120.9063	-0.91%	120.5905	-1.16%	0.0020	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	122.0733	121.151	-0.76%	122.0118	-0.05%	0.0024	✓	0.15
2026-09-19	oos	122.1804	121.2929	-0.73%	122.0733	-0.09%	0.0065	✓	0.15
2026-09-18	oos	121.7619	121.0149	-0.61%	122.1804	+0.34%	0.0089	✗	0.15
2026-09-17	oos	119.8243	119.3642	-0.38%	121.7619	+1.62%	0.0125	✗	0.13
2026-09-16	oos	119.6282	119.2794	-0.29%	119.8243	+0.16%	0.0042	✗	0.13
2026-09-15	oos	118.9348	118.7327	-0.17%	119.6282	+0.58%	0.0066	✗	0.12
2026-09-14	oos	122.4108	122.2016	-0.17%	118.9348	-2.84%	0.0234	✓	0.11
2026-09-13	oos	121.0485	121.0059	-0.04%	122.4108	+1.13%	0.0098	✗	0.10
2026-09-12	oos	121.6973	121.7518	+0.04%	121.0485	-0.53%	0.0053	✗	0.09
2026-09-11	oos	121.8078	121.9623	+0.13%	121.6973	-0.09%	0.0022	✗	0.09
2026-09-10	oos	122.6452	122.7989	+0.13%	121.8078	-0.68%	0.0089	✗	0.09
2026-09-09	oos	125.4371	125.6261	+0.15%	122.6452	-2.23%	0.0222	✗	0.08
2026-09-08	oos	126.7087	126.902	+0.15%	125.4371	-1.00%	0.0115	✗	0.06
2026-09-07	oos	127.8053	127.9693	+0.13%	126.7087	-0.86%	0.0094	✗	0.06
2026-09-06	oos	129.8901	130.1236	+0.18%	127.8053	-1.61%	0.0167	✗	0.08
2026-09-05	oos	129.0303	129.2949	+0.21%	129.8901	+0.67%	0.0041	✓	0.08
2026-09-04	oos	130.1788	130.4459	+0.21%	129.0303	-0.88%	0.0111	✗	0.09
2026-09-03	oos	132.4877	132.9134	+0.32%	130.1788	-1.74%	0.0192	✗	0.08
2026-09-02	oos	136.2007	136.2781	+0.06%	132.4877	-2.73%	0.0344	✗	0.12
2026-09-01	oos	137.779	137.8788	+0.07%	136.2007	-1.15%	0.0121	✗	0.13
2026-08-31	oos	136.8872	137.0431	+0.11%	137.779	+0.65%	0.0075	✓	0.14
2026-08-30	oos	135.8412	135.898	+0.04%	136.8872	+0.77%	0.0058	✓	0.13
2026-08-29	oos	137.7388	137.7426	+0.00%	135.8412	-1.38%	0.0130	✗	0.12
2026-08-28	oos	136.563	136.5074	-0.04%	137.7388	+0.86%	0.0084	✗	0.12
2026-08-27	oos	137.6446	137.6252	-0.01%	136.563	-0.79%	0.0039	✓	0.13
2026-08-26	oos	136.7192	136.6104	-0.08%	137.6446	+0.68%	0.0056	✗	0.12
2026-08-25	oos	135.7951	135.6402	-0.11%	136.7192	+0.68%	0.0071	✗	0.12
2026-08-24	oos	138.0338	137.8062	-0.16%	135.7951	-1.62%	0.0140	✓	0.12
2026-08-23	oos	138.5343	138.2312	-0.22%	138.0338	-0.36%	0.0032	✓	0.11
2026-08-22	oos	137.8683	137.539	-0.24%	138.5343	+0.48%	0.0063	✗	0.11
2026-08-21	oos	138.6534	138.3161	-0.24%	137.8683	-0.57%	0.0015	✓	0.11
2026-08-20	oos	140.2151	139.7488	-0.33%	138.6534	-1.11%	0.0177	✓	0.14
2026-08-19	oos	139.2406	138.7004	-0.39%	140.2151	+0.70%	0.0025	✓	0.16
2026-08-18	oos	139.1964	138.5332	-0.48%	139.2406	+0.03%	0.0072	✓	0.18
2026-08-17	oos	138.781	138.1577	-0.45%	139.1964	+0.30%	0.0069	✗	0.19
2026-08-16	oos	139.7788	139.1396	-0.46%	138.781	-0.71%	0.0076	✓	0.20
2026-08-15	oos	140.189	139.5771	-0.44%	139.7788	-0.29%	0.0020	✓	0.19
2026-08-14	oos	146.9445	146.208	-0.50%	140.189	-4.60%	0.0422	✓	0.22
2026-08-13	oos	151.1525	150.3362	-0.54%	146.9445	-2.78%	0.0213	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	150.0512	149.2768	-0.52%	151.1525	+0.73%	0.0124	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	150.0016	149.2368	-0.51%	150.0512	+0.03%	0.0058	✗	0.18
2026-08-10	oos	150.5222	149.7499	-0.51%	150.0016	-0.35%	0.0030	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	149.8991	149.1819	-0.48%	150.5222	+0.42%	0.0119	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	150.7103	149.973	-0.49%	149.8991	-0.54%	0.0003	✓	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	150.2681	149.5359	-0.49%	150.7103	+0.29%	0.0078	✗	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	150.2508	149.5147	-0.49%	150.2681	+0.01%	0.0030	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	151.7696	151.0041	-0.50%	150.2508	-1.00%	0.0040	✓	0.20
2026-08-04	oos	151.192	150.4199	-0.51%	151.7696	+0.38%	0.0074	✗	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	151.2501	150.4569	-0.52%	151.192	-0.04%	0.0034	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	152.0657	151.2514	-0.54%	151.2501	-0.54%	0.0001	✓	0.18
2026-08-01	oos	151.7473	150.9177	-0.55%	152.0657	+0.21%	0.0056	✗	0.17
2026-07-31	oos	150.4472	149.6661	-0.52%	151.7473	+0.86%	0.0140	✗	0.17
2026-07-30	oos	151.3602	150.6265	-0.48%	150.4472	-0.60%	0.0039	✓	0.17
2026-07-29	oos	150.5366	149.8337	-0.47%	151.3602	+0.55%	0.0073	✗	0.22
2026-07-28	oos	151.869	151.1625	-0.47%	150.5366	-0.88%	0.0043	✓	0.23
2026-07-27	oos	149.3046	148.6825	-0.42%	151.869	+1.72%	0.0207	✗	0.22
2026-07-26	oos	153.1511	152.4962	-0.43%	149.3046	-2.51%	0.0161	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	151.4572	150.8526	-0.40%	153.1511	+1.12%	0.0121	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	151.2942	150.7175	-0.38%	151.4572	+0.11%	0.0043	✗	0.17
2026-07-23	oos	151.0425	150.5083	-0.35%	151.2942	+0.17%	0.0080	✗	0.18
2026-07-22	oos	152.3194	151.7918	-0.35%	151.0425	-0.84%	0.0021	✓	0.18
2026-07-21	oos	153.2626	152.7296	-0.35%	152.3194	-0.62%	0.0015	✓	0.18
2026-07-20	oos	152.0898	151.5807	-0.33%	153.2626	+0.77%	0.0073	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	154.1228	153.5743	-0.36%	152.0898	-1.32%	0.0113	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	155.108	154.5425	-0.36%	154.1228	-0.64%	0.0023	✓	0.22
2026-07-17	oos	152.9571	152.4229	-0.35%	155.108	+1.41%	0.0144	✗	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	151.6415	151.1338	-0.33%	152.9571	+0.87%	0.0116	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	149.9178	149.4566	-0.31%	151.6415	+1.15%	0.0181	✗	0.25
2026-07-14	oos	153.3422	152.8203	-0.34%	149.9178	-2.23%	0.0182	✓	0.23
2026-07-13	oos	152.7226	152.2014	-0.34%	153.3422	+0.41%	0.0019	✓	0.22
2026-07-12	oos	152.4355	151.9299	-0.33%	152.7226	+0.19%	0.0106	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	152.4016	151.8977	-0.33%	152.4355	+0.02%	0.0037	✗	0.25
2026-07-10	oos	152.366	151.8705	-0.33%	152.4016	+0.02%	0.0050	✗	0.27
2026-07-09	oos	152.3446	151.851	-0.32%	152.366	+0.01%	0.0007	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	151.7781	151.3057	-0.31%	152.3446	+0.37%	0.0028	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	151.5182	151.0618	-0.30%	151.7781	+0.17%	0.0094	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	154.3142	153.8156	-0.32%	151.5182	-1.81%	0.0122	✓	0.27
2026-07-05	oos	154.077	153.5906	-0.32%	154.3142	+0.15%	0.0029	✓	0.27
2026-07-04	oos	154.7202	154.229	-0.32%	154.077	-0.42%	0.0031	✓	0.27
2026-07-03	oos	153.7662	153.2949	-0.31%	154.7202	+0.62%	0.0069	✗	0.26
2026-07-02	oos	152.0462	151.6191	-0.28%	153.7662	+1.13%	0.0098	✗	0.26
2026-07-01	oos	151.6335	151.2299	-0.27%	152.0462	+0.27%	0.0010	✓	0.25
2026-06-30	oos	152.05	151.6555	-0.26%	151.6335	-0.27%	0.0062	✓	0.25
2026-06-29	oos	152.0878	151.6701	-0.27%	152.05	-0.02%	0.0097	✗	0.26
2026-06-28	oos	151.5607	151.1614	-0.26%	152.0878	+0.35%	0.0031	✗	0.26
2026-06-27	oos	152.1466	151.7393	-0.27%	151.5607	-0.39%	0.0009	✓	0.27
2026-06-26	oos	154.0792	153.64	-0.29%	152.1466	-1.25%	0.0095	✓	0.27
2026-06-25	oos	152.199	151.8079	-0.26%	154.0792	+1.24%	0.0135	✗	0.27
2026-06-24	oos	152.274	151.8709	-0.26%	152.199	-0.05%	0.0077	✗	0.26
2026-06-23	oos	152.4131	151.9953	-0.27%	152.274	-0.09%	0.0088	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	152.288	151.8793	-0.27%	152.4131	+0.08%	0.0090	✗	0.27
2026-06-21	oos	152.065	151.6823	-0.25%	152.288	+0.15%	0.0010	✓	0.26
2026-06-20	oos	152.8393	152.4539	-0.25%	152.065	-0.51%	0.0012	✓	0.24
2026-06-19	oos	153.6905	153.3142	-0.24%	152.8393	-0.55%	0.0059	✓	0.24
2026-06-18	oos	154.2555	153.8984	-0.23%	153.6905	-0.37%	0.0034	✓	0.22
2026-06-17	oos	155.0079	154.6316	-0.24%	154.2555	-0.49%	0.0031	✗	0.23
2026-06-16	oos	158.1635	157.7367	-0.27%	155.0079	-2.00%	0.0133	✓	0.23
2026-06-15	oos	155.3014	154.9328	-0.24%	158.1635	+1.84%	0.0227	✗	0.21
2026-06-14	oos	160.2353	159.8057	-0.27%	155.3014	-3.08%	0.0305	✓	0.22
2026-06-13	oos	159.8021	159.42	-0.24%	160.2353	+0.27%	0.0006	✓	0.23
2026-06-12	oos	159.9919	159.6627	-0.21%	159.8021	-0.12%	0.0024	✓	0.23
2026-06-11	oos	166.0988	165.7	-0.24%	159.9919	-3.68%	0.0350	✓	0.23
2026-06-10	oos	169.7934	169.4289	-0.21%	166.0988	-2.18%	0.0285	✓	0.25
2026-06-09	oos	174.6371	174.1766	-0.26%	169.7934	-2.77%	0.0245	✓	0.26
2026-06-08	oos	180.7511	180.165	-0.32%	174.6371	-3.38%	0.0254	✓	0.26
2026-06-07	oos	183.1239	182.4785	-0.35%	180.7511	-1.30%	0.0083	✓	0.31
2026-06-06	oos	182.4621	181.9558	-0.28%	183.1239	+0.36%	0.0035	✓	0.25
2026-06-05	oos	185.492	184.9349	-0.30%	182.4621	-1.63%	0.0128	✓	0.23
2026-06-04	oos	187.7511	187.0321	-0.38%	185.492	-1.20%	0.0018	✓	0.23
2026-06-03	oos	193.7013	192.8259	-0.45%	187.7511	-3.07%	0.0259	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	196.8275	195.7935	-0.53%	193.7013	-1.59%	0.0049	✓	0.15
2026-06-01	oos	198.3972	197.2257	-0.59%	196.8275	-0.79%	0.0144	✗	0.24
2026-05-31	oos	199.2405	198.0632	-0.59%	198.3972	-0.42%	0.0094	✗	0.25
2026-05-30	oos	202.775	201.5592	-0.60%	199.2405	-1.74%	0.0100	✓	0.59
2026-05-29	oos	200.2331	199.1349	-0.55%	202.775	+1.27%	0.0153	✗	0.51
2026-05-28	oos	204.5351	203.37	-0.57%	200.2331	-2.10%	0.0145	✓	0.52
2026-05-27	oos	206.7726	205.5717	-0.58%	204.5351	-1.08%	0.0019	✓	0.29
2026-05-26	oos	205.4656	204.2694	-0.58%	206.7726	+0.64%	0.0130	✗	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	203.8498	202.777	-0.53%	205.4656	+0.79%	0.0227	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	201.751	200.7488	-0.50%	203.8498	+1.04%	0.0135	✗	0.51
2026-05-23	oos	203.1663	202.195	-0.48%	201.751	-0.70%	0.0044	✓	0.52
2026-05-22	oos	202.7993	201.9395	-0.42%	203.1663	+0.18%	0.0025	✓	0.54
2026-05-21	oos	211.6062	210.4619	-0.54%	202.7993	-4.16%	0.0232	✓	0.50
2026-05-20	oos	208.2707	207.2854	-0.47%	211.6062	+1.60%	0.0202	✗	0.50
2026-05-19	oos	202.8908	202.1371	-0.37%	208.2707	+2.65%	0.0253	✗	0.50
2026-05-18	oos	204.5183	203.7793	-0.36%	202.8908	-0.80%	0.0032	✓	0.52
2026-05-17	oos	200.68	200.1744	-0.25%	204.5183	+1.91%	0.0246	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	222.4611	221.3583	-0.50%	200.68	-9.79%	0.0936	✓	0.50
2026-05-15	oos	221.8012	220.817	-0.44%	222.4611	+0.30%	0.0136	✗	0.51
2026-05-14	oos	222.2199	221.36	-0.39%	221.8012	-0.19%	0.0147	✗	0.51
2026-05-13	oos	228.3821	227.3085	-0.47%	222.2199	-2.70%	0.0339	✓	0.50
2026-05-12	oos	247.5702	246.0783	-0.60%	228.3821	-7.75%	0.0677	✓	0.46
2026-05-11	oos	240.5782	239.3944	-0.49%	247.5702	+2.91%	0.0408	✗	0.47
2026-05-10	oos	244.2902	243.0664	-0.50%	240.5782	-1.52%	0.0075	✓	0.49
2026-05-09	oos	243.2573	241.9778	-0.53%	244.2902	+0.42%	0.0000	✓	0.50
2026-05-08	oos	245.6895	244.2646	-0.58%	243.2573	-0.99%	0.0070	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	260.8894	258.9645	-0.74%	245.6895	-5.83%	0.0538	✓	0.50
2026-05-06	oos	255.1516	253.5057	-0.65%	260.8894	+2.25%	0.0374	✗	0.49
2026-05-05	oos	264.0396	261.9929	-0.78%	255.1516	-3.37%	0.0300	✓	0.54
2026-05-04	oos	259.6586	257.4711	-0.84%	264.0396	+1.69%	0.0179	✗	0.55
2026-05-03	oos	262.6737	260.0857	-0.99%	259.6586	-1.15%	0.0108	✓	0.56
2026-05-02	oos	262.4384	259.7434	-1.03%	262.6737	+0.09%	0.0121	✗	0.56
2026-05-01	oos	265.3872	262.3953	-1.13%	262.4384	-1.11%	0.0032	✓	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	249.8432	247.0206	-1.13%	265.3872	+6.22%	0.0579	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	246.8498	244.0705	-1.13%	249.8432	+1.21%	0.0194	✗	0.55
2026-04-28	oos	244.3125	241.5508	-1.13%	246.8498	+1.04%	0.0257	✗	0.54
2026-04-27	oos	239.4538	236.8251	-1.10%	244.3125	+2.03%	0.0384	✗	0.54
2026-04-26	oos	240.4076	237.796	-1.09%	239.4538	-0.40%	0.0157	✗	0.52
2026-04-25	oos	246.8195	243.9439	-1.17%	240.4076	-2.60%	0.0216	✓	0.53
2026-04-24	oos	239.3317	236.614	-1.14%	246.8195	+3.13%	0.0409	✗	0.55
2026-04-23	oos	240.4245	237.576	-1.18%	239.3317	-0.45%	0.0132	✗	0.55
2026-04-22	oos	242.0296	239.1437	-1.19%	240.4245	-0.66%	0.0048	✓	0.55
2026-04-21	oos	239.428	236.8244	-1.09%	242.0296	+1.09%	0.0083	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	241.0308	238.4288	-1.08%	239.428	-0.66%	0.0006	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	233.5885	231.6095	-0.85%	241.0308	+3.19%	0.0234	✗	0.60
2026-04-18	oos	239.4263	237.0334	-1.00%	233.5885	-2.44%	0.0006	✓	0.60
2026-04-17	oos	241.1719	238.6885	-1.03%	239.4263	-0.72%	0.0137	✗	0.60
2026-04-16	oos	235.6184	233.7898	-0.78%	241.1719	+2.36%	0.0157	✗	0.60
2026-04-15	oos	262.677	259.9268	-1.05%	235.6184	-10.30%	0.1009	✓	0.62
2026-04-14	oos	268.7346	266.0072	-1.01%	262.677	-2.25%	0.0181	✓	0.63
2026-04-13	oos	275.3103	272.3607	-1.07%	268.7346	-2.39%	0.0112	✓	0.62
2026-04-12	oos	269.944	267.3607	-0.96%	275.3103	+1.99%	0.0036	✓	0.65
2026-04-11	oos	280.1861	277.0289	-1.13%	269.944	-3.66%	0.0056	✓	0.63
2026-04-10	oos	283.65	280.0972	-1.25%	280.1861	-1.22%	0.0004	✓	0.63
2026-04-09	oos	285.12	281.5248	-1.26%	283.65	-0.52%	0.0030	✓	0.64
2026-04-08	oos	287.4921	283.9259	-1.24%	285.12	-0.83%	0.0022	✓	0.64
2026-04-07	oos	288.3202	284.5988	-1.29%	287.4921	-0.29%	0.0175	✗	0.64
2026-04-06	oos	285.8666	282.42	-1.21%	288.3202	+0.86%	0.0090	✓	0.68
2026-04-05	oos	292.2391	288.347	-1.33%	285.8666	-2.18%	0.0071	✓	0.68
2026-04-04	oos	296.5	292.4506	-1.37%	292.2391	-1.44%	0.0178	✓	0.68
2026-04-03	oos	289.5533	285.6908	-1.33%	296.5	+2.40%	0.0338	✗	0.68
2026-04-02	oos	291.033	286.9408	-1.41%	289.5533	-0.51%	0.0084	✓	0.68
2026-04-01	oos	290.5238	286.1381	-1.51%	291.033	+0.18%	0.0291	✗	0.67
2026-03-31	oos	288.4871	284.0328	-1.54%	290.5238	+0.71%	0.0237	✗	0.67
2026-03-30	oos	285.5425	281.2667	-1.50%	288.4871	+1.03%	0.0102	✓	0.69
2026-03-29	oos	282.4259	278.2932	-1.46%	285.5425	+1.10%	0.0177	✗	0.68
2026-03-28	oos	283.9924	279.7355	-1.50%	282.4259	-0.55%	0.0133	✓	0.69
2026-03-27	oos	286.5556	282.1209	-1.55%	283.9924	-0.89%	0.0070	✓	0.69
2026-03-26	oos	286.9869	282.2494	-1.65%	286.5556	-0.15%	0.0396	✗	0.68
2026-03-25	oos	288.6543	283.6245	-1.74%	286.9869	-0.58%	0.0363	✗	0.68
2026-03-24	oos	289.4908	284.3185	-1.79%	288.6543	-0.29%	0.0077	✓	0.69
2026-03-23	oos	285.2288	280.0654	-1.81%	289.4908	+1.49%	0.0364	✗	0.68
2026-03-22	oos	288.3836	283.0927	-1.83%	285.2288	-1.09%	0.0242	✓	0.73
2026-03-21	oos	285.2849	279.9145	-1.88%	288.3836	+1.09%	0.0411	✗	0.72
2026-03-20	oos	281.6591	276.2367	-1.93%	285.2849	+1.29%	0.0486	✗	0.72
2026-03-19	oos	283.0578	277.5513	-1.95%	281.6591	-0.49%	0.0087	✓	0.72
2026-03-18	oos	292.3958	285.9877	-2.19%	283.0578	-3.19%	0.0029	✓	0.70
2026-03-17	oos	287.8671	281.1556	-2.33%	292.3958	+1.57%	0.0660	✗	0.72
2026-03-16	oos	293.0667	286.1119	-2.37%	287.8671	-1.77%	0.0145	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	287.8375	280.3471	-2.60%	293.0667	+1.82%	0.0261	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	286.9874	279.2606	-2.69%	287.8375	+0.30%	0.0151	✓	0.68
2026-03-13	oos	287.1263	278.4012	-3.04%	286.9874	-0.05%	0.0276	✓	0.70
2026-03-12	oos	291.2892	281.1744	-3.47%	287.1263	-1.43%	0.0169	✓	0.70
2026-03-11	oos	274.2802	264.5489	-3.55%	291.2892	+6.20%	0.0932	✗	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	250.1096	241.1403	-3.59%	274.2802	+9.66%	0.1264	✗	0.66
2026-03-09	oos	229.7689	221.6628	-3.53%	250.1096	+8.85%	0.1063	✗	0.65
2026-03-08	oos	243.7696	234.827	-3.67%	229.7689	-5.74%	0.0476	✓	0.70
2026-03-07	oos	234.8456	225.6409	-3.92%	243.7696	+3.80%	0.0909	✗	0.70
2026-03-06	oos	235.0381	225.3679	-4.11%	234.8456	-0.08%	0.0499	✗	0.69
2026-03-05	oos	233.0921	221.6793	-4.90%	235.0381	+0.83%	0.0863	✗	0.69
2026-03-04	oos	217.4655	206.7507	-4.93%	233.0921	+7.19%	0.1382	✗	0.73
2026-03-03	oos	204.6076	194.3052	-5.04%	217.4655	+6.28%	0.0665	✗	0.75
2026-03-02	oos	205.5447	193.5508	-5.84%	204.6076	-0.46%	0.0610	✗	0.76
2026-03-01	oos	153.2768	144.5955	-5.66%	205.5447	+34.10%	0.3231	✗	0.63
2026-02-28	oos	133.8969	126.596	-5.45%	153.2768	+14.47%	0.2037	✗	0.69
2026-02-27	oos	130.9839	122.8967	-6.17%	133.8969	+2.22%	0.0742	✗	0.69
2026-02-26	oos	95.535	88.8113	-7.04%	130.9839	+37.11%	0.4076	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	32.0054	31.3806	-1.95%	95.535	+198.50%	1.1195	✗	0.84
2026-02-24	oos	22.4332	22.3303	-0.46%	32.0054	+42.67%	0.3260	✗	0.57
2026-02-23	oos	22.132	22.0373	-0.43%	22.4332	+1.36%	0.0228	✗	0.57
2026-02-22	oos	22.2461	22.1469	-0.45%	22.132	-0.51%	0.0259	✗	0.59
2026-02-21	oos	22.9018	22.785	-0.51%	22.2461	-2.86%	0.0210	✓	0.59
2026-02-20	oos	22.7649	22.6493	-0.51%	22.9018	+0.60%	0.0113	✗	0.59
2026-02-19	oos	22.1787	22.0826	-0.43%	22.7649	+2.64%	0.0217	✗	0.58
2026-02-18	oos	21.7848	21.6997	-0.39%	22.1787	+1.81%	0.0170	✗	0.59
2026-02-17	oos	22.3419	22.244	-0.44%	21.7848	-2.49%	0.0123	✓	0.55
2026-02-16	oos	22.6204	22.5144	-0.47%	22.3419	-1.23%	0.0041	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	22.5257	22.4203	-0.47%	22.6204	+0.42%	0.0083	✗	0.57
2026-02-14	oos	23.3204	23.1917	-0.55%	22.5257	-3.41%	0.0212	✓	0.55
2026-02-13	oos	22.5	22.3949	-0.47%	23.3204	+3.65%	0.0328	✗	0.55
2026-02-12	oos	22.3803	22.2839	-0.43%	22.5	+0.53%	0.0113	✓	0.54
2026-02-11	oos	21.9658	21.8747	-0.41%	22.3803	+1.89%	0.0308	✗	0.64
2026-02-10	oos	21.9054	21.8096	-0.44%	21.9658	+0.28%	0.0241	✗	0.65
2026-02-09	oos	22.4283	22.3159	-0.50%	21.9054	-2.33%	0.0065	✓	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	22.1734	22.0665	-0.48%	22.4283	+1.15%	0.0179	✗	0.66
2026-02-07	oos	22.3773	22.2701	-0.48%	22.1734	-0.91%	0.0143	✓	0.67
2026-02-06	oos	22.299	22.1899	-0.49%	22.3773	+0.35%	0.0207	✗	0.67
2026-02-05	oos	20.5777	20.5585	-0.09%	22.299	+8.36%	0.0049	✗	0.66
2026-02-04	oos	22.0357	21.9328	-0.47%	20.5777	-6.62%	0.0549	✗	0.79
2026-02-03	oos	22.5834	22.451	-0.59%	22.0357	-2.43%	0.0103	✗	0.81
2026-02-02	oos	22.4885	22.3487	-0.62%	22.5834	+0.42%	0.0386	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	21.5711	21.4746	-0.45%	22.4885	+4.25%	0.0313	✗	0.65
2026-01-31	oos	22.5394	22.398	-0.63%	21.5711	-4.30%	0.0222	✓	0.68
2026-01-30	oos	22.1003	21.9542	-0.66%	22.5394	+1.99%	0.0807	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	20.9116	20.8142	-0.47%	22.1003	+5.68%	0.0638	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	20.4224	20.338	-0.41%	20.9116	+2.40%	0.0775	✗	0.93
2026-01-27	oos	20.2232	20.1483	-0.37%	20.4224	+0.99%	0.0130	✗	0.93
2026-01-26	oos	21.3303	21.2266	-0.49%	20.2232	-5.19%	0.0573	✓	0.91
2026-01-25	oos	20.5804	20.5069	-0.36%	21.3303	+3.64%	0.0221	✗	0.89
2026-01-24	oos	21.7946	21.6882	-0.49%	20.5804	-5.57%	0.0272	✓	0.88
2026-01-23	oos	21.8302	21.7292	-0.46%	21.7946	-0.16%	0.0068	✗	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	21.8837	21.7838	-0.46%	21.8302	-0.24%	0.0020	✓	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	22.1339	22.0292	-0.47%	21.8837	-1.13%	0.0076	✓	0.88
2026-01-20	oos	21.6518	21.5634	-0.41%	22.1339	+2.23%	0.0158	✗	0.87
2026-01-19	oos	23.4273	23.3032	-0.53%	21.6518	-7.58%	0.0346	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	23.2421	23.1317	-0.48%	23.4273	+0.80%	0.0223	✗	0.84
2026-01-17	oos	23.9459	23.8244	-0.51%	23.2421	-2.94%	0.0115	✓	0.85
2026-01-16	oos	23.9111	23.792	-0.50%	23.9459	+0.15%	0.0100	✗	0.86
2026-01-15	oos	24.0331	23.9087	-0.52%	23.9111	-0.51%	0.0009	✓	0.86
2026-01-14	oos	24.5732	24.4381	-0.55%	24.0331	-2.20%	0.0045	✓	0.86
2026-01-13	oos	24.7011	24.5479	-0.62%	24.5732	-0.52%	0.0092	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	23.1593	23.0336	-0.54%	24.7011	+6.66%	0.0440	✗	0.58
2026-01-11	oos	23.9192	23.7751	-0.60%	23.1593	-3.18%	0.0283	✓	0.58
2026-01-10	oos	23.8134	23.6736	-0.59%	23.9192	+0.44%	0.0071	✗	0.58
2026-01-09	oos	23.8132	23.678	-0.57%	23.8134	+0.00%	0.0066	✗	0.60
2026-01-08	oos	24.1148	23.9751	-0.58%	23.8132	-1.25%	0.0035	✓	0.59
2026-01-07	oos	24.5347	24.388	-0.60%	24.1148	-1.71%	0.0097	✓	0.55
2026-01-06	oos	25.6867	25.515	-0.67%	24.5347	-4.48%	0.0250	✓	0.54
2026-01-05	oos	25.467	25.3051	-0.64%	25.6867	+0.86%	0.0158	✗	0.55
2026-01-04	oos	25.957	25.7802	-0.68%	25.467	-1.89%	0.0272	✓	0.58
2026-01-03	oos	25.5897	25.4242	-0.65%	25.957	+1.44%	0.0149	✗	0.59
2026-01-02	oos	25.667	25.4931	-0.68%	25.5897	-0.30%	0.0006	✓	0.62
2026-01-01	oos	24.5707	24.4262	-0.59%	25.667	+4.46%	0.0413	✗	0.60
2025-12-31	oos	23.7913	23.664	-0.53%	24.5707	+3.28%	0.0294	✗	0.58
2025-12-30	oos	24.2007	24.0644	-0.56%	23.7913	-1.69%	0.0055	✓	0.58
2025-12-29	oos	23.9863	23.8555	-0.55%	24.2007	+0.89%	0.0056	✗	0.59
2025-12-28	oos	24.3566	24.2231	-0.55%	23.9863	-1.52%	0.0046	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	24.3761	24.2471	-0.53%	24.3566	-0.08%	0.0040	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	23.7524	23.6426	-0.46%	24.3761	+2.63%	0.0271	✗	0.58
2025-12-25	oos	23.5185	23.4191	-0.42%	23.7524	+0.99%	0.0133	✗	0.58
2025-12-24	oos	26.0062	25.8685	-0.53%	23.5185	-9.57%	0.0923	✓	0.58
2025-12-23	oos	26.8291	26.6733	-0.58%	26.0062	-3.07%	0.0265	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	26.8696	26.7064	-0.61%	26.8291	-0.15%	0.0121	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	26.5705	26.4097	-0.61%	26.8696	+1.13%	0.0178	✗	0.58
2025-12-20	oos	26.8269	26.6561	-0.64%	26.5705	-0.96%	0.0052	✓	0.54
2025-12-19	oos	26.7768	26.6006	-0.66%	26.8269	+0.19%	0.0071	✗	0.54
2025-12-18	oos	26.2886	26.1174	-0.65%	26.7768	+1.86%	0.0092	✗	0.52
2025-12-17	oos	29.9878	29.6022	-1.29%	26.2886	-12.34%	0.1144	✓	0.50
2025-12-16	oos	21.8866	21.7862	-0.46%	29.9878	+37.01%	0.3310	✗	0.61
2025-12-15	oos	21.6415	21.5535	-0.41%	21.8866	+1.13%	0.0053	✗	0.61
2025-12-14	oos	22.2734	22.1774	-0.43%	21.6415	-2.84%	0.0125	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	23.0332	22.9246	-0.47%	22.2734	-3.30%	0.0151	✓	0.59
2025-12-12	oos	23.8373	23.7152	-0.51%	23.0332	-3.37%	0.0290	✓	0.59
2025-12-11	oos	21.8244	21.737	-0.40%	23.8373	+9.22%	0.1082	✗	0.64
2025-12-10	oos	22.8815	22.7885	-0.41%	21.8244	-4.62%	0.0468	✓	0.65
2025-12-09	oos	23.3848	23.2872	-0.42%	22.8815	-2.15%	0.0126	✓	0.70
2025-12-08	oos	22.6316	22.5574	-0.33%	23.3848	+3.33%	0.0207	✗	0.69
2025-12-07	oos	23.2849	23.2115	-0.32%	22.6316	-2.81%	0.0272	✓	0.69
2025-12-06	oos	23.7457	23.6746	-0.30%	23.2849	-1.94%	0.0255	✓	0.70
2025-12-05	oos	23.319	23.2575	-0.26%	23.7457	+1.83%	0.0214	✗	0.70
2025-12-04	oos	24.4511	24.3678	-0.34%	23.319	-4.63%	0.0233	✓	0.68
2025-12-03	oos	25.408	25.2994	-0.43%	24.4511	-3.77%	0.0242	✓	0.67
2025-12-02	oos	23.6644	23.5968	-0.29%	25.408	+7.37%	0.0591	✗	0.64
2025-12-01	oos	21.5241	21.521	-0.01%	23.6644	+9.94%	0.0638	✗	0.55
2025-11-30	oos	23.1575	23.1181	-0.17%	21.5241	-7.05%	0.0481	✓	0.50
2025-11-29	oos	23.481	23.4423	-0.16%	23.1575	-1.38%	0.0092	✓	0.60
2025-11-28	oos	23.7343	23.7001	-0.14%	23.481	-1.07%	0.0088	✓	0.61
2025-11-27	oos	24.1139	24.078	-0.15%	23.7343	-1.57%	0.0116	✓	0.60
2025-11-26	oos	24.3308	24.3074	-0.10%	24.1139	-0.89%	0.0138	✓	0.62
2025-11-25	oos	23.7477	23.7814	+0.14%	24.3308	+2.46%	0.0014	✓	0.61
2025-11-24	oos	23.9648	24.0115	+0.20%	23.7477	-0.91%	0.0046	✗	0.61
2025-11-23	oos	23.7215	23.8195	+0.41%	23.9648	+1.03%	0.0064	✗	0.75
2025-11-22	oos	23.2791	23.4505	+0.74%	23.7215	+1.90%	0.0044	✓	0.64
2025-11-21	oos	23.1645	23.3788	+0.93%	23.2791	+0.49%	0.0014	✓	0.64
2025-11-20	oos	23.9538	24.1705	+0.90%	23.1645	-3.30%	0.0317	✗	0.63
2025-11-19	oos	23.5218	23.7488	+0.96%	23.9538	+1.84%	0.0447	✓	0.65
2025-11-18	oos	28.4432	28.5641	+0.42%	23.5218	-17.30%	0.1855	✗	0.55
2025-11-17	oos	30.6551	30.7602	+0.34%	28.4432	-7.22%	0.0835	✗	0.59
2025-11-16	oos	30.1868	30.3305	+0.48%	30.6551	+1.55%	0.0219	✓	0.50
2025-11-15	oos	30.8623	31.0145	+0.49%	30.1868	-2.19%	0.0203	✗	0.47
2025-11-14	oos	33.0263	33.1599	+0.40%	30.8623	-6.55%	0.0773	✗	0.51
2025-11-13	oos	39.8493	39.7212	-0.32%	33.0263	-17.12%	0.1718	✓	0.24
2025-11-12	oos	40.1724	40.0244	-0.37%	39.8493	-0.80%	0.0003	✓	0.23
2025-11-11	oos	40.3298	40.1915	-0.34%	40.1724	-0.39%	0.0025	✓	0.22
2025-11-10	oos	43.3289	43.0503	-0.64%	40.3298	-6.92%	0.0608	✓	0.16
2025-11-09	oos	42.2415	42.0469	-0.46%	43.3289	+2.57%	0.0282	✗	0.15
2025-11-08	oos	42.1604	42.008	-0.36%	42.2415	+0.19%	0.0016	✓	0.17
2025-11-07	oos	43.038	42.8552	-0.42%	42.1604	-2.04%	0.0148	✓	0.16
2025-11-06	oos	42.0086	41.908	-0.24%	43.038	+2.45%	0.0235	✗	0.16
2025-11-05	oos	44.1646	43.9622	-0.46%	42.0086	-4.88%	0.0427	✓	0.11
2025-11-04	oos	52.6475	52.1555	-0.93%	44.1646	-16.11%	0.1727	✓	0.27
2025-11-03	oos	52.3884	51.8653	-1.00%	52.6475	+0.49%	0.0280	✗	0.27
2025-11-02	oos	57.15	56.4543	-1.22%	52.3884	-8.33%	0.0699	✓	0.13
2025-11-01	oos	55.4853	54.8404	-1.16%	57.15	+3.00%	0.0407	✗	0.13
2025-10-31	oos	55.7768	55.1108	-1.19%	55.4853	-0.52%	0.0061	✓	0.14
2025-10-30	oos	54.3527	53.736	-1.13%	55.7768	+2.62%	0.0357	✗	0.14
2025-10-29	oos	55.7967	55.1103	-1.23%	54.3527	-2.59%	0.0121	✓	0.11
2025-10-28	oos	54.3445	53.6978	-1.19%	55.7967	+2.67%	0.0413	✗	0.12
2025-10-27	oos	55.5335	54.845	-1.24%	54.3445	-2.14%	0.0081	✓	0.10
2025-10-26	oos	57.5933	56.7856	-1.40%	55.5335	-3.58%	0.0219	✓	0.09
2025-10-25	oos	57.1906	56.3828	-1.41%	57.5933	+0.70%	0.0184	✗	0.11
2025-10-24	oos	57.1726	56.3479	-1.44%	57.1906	+0.03%	0.0142	✓	0.12
2025-10-23	oos	56.9443	56.1054	-1.47%	57.1726	+0.40%	0.0178	✗	0.13
2025-10-22	oos	56.2255	55.3954	-1.48%	56.9443	+1.28%	0.0242	✗	0.14
2025-10-21	oos	56.035	55.1806	-1.52%	56.2255	+0.34%	0.0198	✗	0.14
2025-10-20	oos	57.4	56.4221	-1.70%	56.035	-2.38%	0.0049	✓	0.10
2025-10-19	oos	55.5789	54.6624	-1.65%	57.4	+3.28%	0.0472	✗	0.10
2025-10-18	oos	54.0674	53.1901	-1.62%	55.5789	+2.80%	0.0426	✗	0.10
2025-10-17	oos	54.232	53.2829	-1.75%	54.0674	-0.30%	0.0138	✓	0.11
2025-10-16	oos	55.8495	54.3235	-2.73%	54.232	-2.90%	0.0005	✓	0.08
2025-10-15	oos	38.7231	38.3422	-0.98%	55.8495	+44.23%	0.3861	✗	0.42
2025-10-14	oos	39.6162	39.1775	-1.11%	38.7231	-2.25%	0.0039	✓	0.38
2025-10-13	oos	40.1722	39.6833	-1.22%	39.6162	-1.38%	0.0052	✓	0.36
2025-10-12	oos	39.6347	39.1555	-1.21%	40.1722	+1.36%	0.0250	✗	0.36
2025-10-11	oos	38.3818	37.955	-1.11%	39.6347	+3.26%	0.0291	✗	0.37
2025-10-10	oos	38.5326	38.0695	-1.20%	38.3818	-0.39%	0.0151	✗	0.35
2025-10-09	oos	39.5594	39.043	-1.31%	38.5326	-2.60%	0.0026	✓	0.21
2025-10-08	oos	40.0443	39.51	-1.33%	39.5594	-1.21%	0.0036	✓	0.17
2025-10-07	oos	38.6379	38.1478	-1.27%	40.0443	+3.64%	0.0458	✗	0.17
2025-10-06	oos	40.0257	39.4628	-1.41%	38.6379	-3.47%	0.0199	✓	0.04
2025-10-05	oos	38.1369	37.5993	-1.41%	40.0257	+4.95%	0.0622	✗	0.03
2025-10-04	oos	34.6692	34.243	-1.23%	38.1369	+10.00%	0.1078	✗	-0.01
2025-10-03	oos	35.2035	34.7529	-1.28%	34.6692	-1.52%	0.0024	✓	-0.01
2025-10-02	oos	35.7534	35.2729	-1.34%	35.2035	-1.54%	0.0025	✓	0.04
2025-10-01	oos	35.9315	35.425	-1.41%	35.7534	-0.50%	0.0079	✓	0.08
2025-09-30	oos	34.53	34.0485	-1.39%	35.9315	+4.06%	0.0516	✗	0.06
2025-09-29	oos	35.227	34.7099	-1.47%	34.53	-1.98%	0.0051	✓	0.05
2025-09-28	oos	35.3014	34.7701	-1.51%	35.227	-0.21%	0.0109	✓	0.11
2025-09-27	oos	34.9165	34.4029	-1.47%	35.3014	+1.10%	0.0219	✗	0.17
2025-09-26	oos	35.3441	34.7989	-1.54%	34.9165	-1.21%	0.0034	✓	0.18
2025-09-25	oos	34.0119	33.5157	-1.46%	35.3441	+3.92%	0.0521	✗	0.17
2025-09-24	oos	34.679	34.1387	-1.56%	34.0119	-1.92%	0.0049	✓	-0.03
2025-09-23	oos	34.2595	33.6825	-1.68%	34.679	+1.22%	0.0291	✗	0.00
2025-09-22	oos	32.1767	31.6772	-1.55%	34.2595	+6.47%	0.0785	✗	0.02
2025-09-21	oos	29.8116	29.3714	-1.48%	32.1767	+7.93%	0.0943	✗	0.14
2025-09-20	oos	24.5372	24.2872	-1.02%	29.8116	+21.50%	0.2058	✗	0.21
2025-09-19	oos	31.4257	30.9447	-1.53%	24.5372	-21.92%	0.2321	✓	0.25
2025-09-18	oos	30.3499	29.9116	-1.44%	31.4257	+3.54%	0.0525	✗	0.25
2025-09-17	oos	30.069	29.6315	-1.45%	30.3499	+0.93%	0.0225	✗	0.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.