ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s5
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
81.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2866
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0170
actual -0.2974
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008583 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008574 | -4.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007188 | -1.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006835 | -0.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005844 | +2.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006952 | +1.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007716 | +0.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008676 | -0.28% | 0.009037 | +3.87% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008679 | +0.33% | 0.008983 | +3.85% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007657 | +1.89% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0414 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008795 | +1.20% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2499 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010951 | -1.34% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010587 | -0.68% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012346 | -1.86% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4642 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013292 | -2.26% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013656 | -2.53% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4359 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013233 | -2.34% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5369 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013628 | -2.38% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013977 | -2.36% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1972 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013029 | -2.26% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015102 | -2.50% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013899 | -2.36% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013674 | -2.61% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0276 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014181 | -3.40% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018736 | -2.37% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021033 | -2.17% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023459 | -2.34% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5691 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024122 | -2.56% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4478 | ✓ | 1.00 |