ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s5
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0983
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0015
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008267 | -0.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007315 | -0.24% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1244 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006872 | +0.20% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0883 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005763 | +0.82% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1706 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006909 | +0.61% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1773 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007699 | +0.48% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1168 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008717 | +0.19% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1212 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008674 | +0.28% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0038 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007568 | +0.71% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1522 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008738 | +0.56% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1673 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.01109 | -0.09% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010671 | +0.10% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012548 | -0.25% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1675 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013543 | -0.42% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0841 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013929 | -0.57% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013488 | -0.46% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013892 | -0.49% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014241 | -0.51% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013273 | -0.43% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0550 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015397 | -0.60% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1470 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014173 | -0.43% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013986 | -0.39% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014611 | -0.47% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.01912 | -0.37% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2664 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021406 | -0.44% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0973 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023864 | -0.65% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024521 | -0.95% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 1.00 |