4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0990
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0022
actual -0.0339
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.003895 | -0.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003531 | +0.10% | 0.003904 | +10.66% | 0.1116 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003599 | +0.15% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0716 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003214 | +0.47% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1196 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003755 | +0.25% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1907 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003485 | +0.52% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0779 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003503 | +0.61% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003832 | +0.57% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1239 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004406 | +0.30% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0685 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.0046 | +0.37% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1149 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005344 | +0.01% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0555 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005189 | +0.25% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005344 | +0.32% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0364 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004841 | +0.69% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0853 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005627 | +0.39% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.007058 | -0.39% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.2036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006877 | -0.18% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007221 | -0.29% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0382 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007348 | -0.21% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007345 | -0.12% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008955 | -0.63% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1929 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009348 | -0.67% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.00856 | -0.40% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.0958 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009708 | -0.65% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1241 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.01102 | -0.88% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.1082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010681 | -0.79% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0395 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010207 | -0.66% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0495 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011345 | -0.78% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0955 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013338 | -1.03% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014909 | -1.75% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.011131 | -1.04% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009242 | -0.60% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011348 | -1.03% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1983 | ✓ | 1.00 |