8=======>

2022-04-26 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0092
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.8%
in alpha space · 20.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.23435.1588-1.44%5.5569+6.16%0.0529✗0.738.7M2022-04-27
APEApeCoinEthereum18.09217.8375-1.41%19.424+7.36%0.0226✗2.1345.8M2022-04-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078090.077046-1.34%0.08116+3.93%0.0301✗0.7431k2022-04-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5352.5095-1.01%2.69+6.11%0.0412✗0.9610.9M2022-04-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8325780.824735-0.94%0.875631+5.17%0.0307✗0.994.6M2022-04-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026940.026739-0.75%0.026615-1.21%0.0191✓0.49199k2022-04-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.84e-7-0.69%9.09e-7+2.08%0.0307✗-0.11590k2022-04-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.36282.3474-0.65%2.3741+0.48%0.0071✓0.6211k2022-04-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.5425.3774-0.64%25.1-1.72%0.0382✓0.92517k2022-04-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.425.3868-0.61%5.857+8.06%0.0435✗1.378.7M2022-04-27
PROPropyEthereum1.51.4911-0.60%2.19+46.00%0.3708✗0.46267k2022-04-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.509148-0.56%0.542+5.86%0.0331✗1.004.9M2022-04-27
XTZTezosTezos2.72032.7055-0.54%2.8188+3.62%0.0109✗1.02893k2022-04-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.5123.3846-0.53%24.72+5.15%0.0189✗1.25685k2022-04-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3514.2749-0.52%18.59+29.55%0.2269✗1.262.2M2022-04-27
KSMKusamaHydration154.99154.1953-0.51%158.07+1.99%0.0061✓1.051.1M2022-04-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3662.3539-0.51%2.489+5.20%0.0183✗1.278.3M2022-04-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1376190.136917-0.51%0.139898+1.66%0.0056✓0.925.1M2022-04-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020750.020644-0.51%0.02097+1.06%0.0269✓1.4549.4M2022-04-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33710.335397-0.51%0.3677+9.08%0.0574✗1.179.9M2022-04-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09860.098109-0.50%0.0974-1.22%0.0339✓0.912.6M2022-04-27
LUNATerraTerra 288.4788.0401-0.49%89.04+0.64%0.0263✓1.2810.4M2022-04-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022980.000022877-0.45%0.00002342+1.91%0.0073✓1.052.0M2022-04-27
UMAUMAEthereum5.5325.5083-0.43%5.62+1.59%0.0222✓1.442.5M2022-04-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22550.224551-0.42%0.2405+6.65%0.0317✗1.26223k2022-04-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.9947-0.42%6.18+2.66%0.0139✗0.561.0M2022-04-27
GITCOINGITCOIN5.2545.2321-0.42%5.482+4.34%0.0044✗1.4418k2022-04-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.260.25892-0.42%0.265+1.92%0.0039✓0.6636k2022-04-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.49235.47-0.41%5.8194+5.96%0.0288✗1.1311.2M2022-04-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.8964.8762-0.40%4.829-1.37%0.0370✓0.9364k2022-04-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066730.066465-0.40%0.06999+4.89%0.0220✗1.01121k2022-04-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.285.2591-0.40%5.51+4.36%0.0037✓1.46494k2022-04-27
COMPCompoundEthereum121.78121.3089-0.39%124.46+2.20%0.0073✓1.1265k2022-04-27
XMRMoneroMonero230.31229.4201-0.39%229.66-0.28%0.0261✓0.923.3M2022-04-27
XYMSymbolnative0.10120.100833-0.36%0.1015+0.30%0.0126✓0.65823k2022-04-27
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3217-0.36%2.28-2.15%0.0331✓0.51322k2022-04-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,008.8037,875.25-0.35%39,133.20+2.96%0.0054✗0.9325k2022-04-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.010860.010822-0.35%0.01102+1.47%0.0015✓0.5730k2022-04-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13280.132344-0.34%0.1349+1.58%0.0090✓0.96203k2022-04-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.98491.9783-0.33%2.0806+4.82%0.0261✗0.8396k2022-04-27
GTGateEthereum6.13596.1161-0.32%6.128-0.13%0.0119✓0.474.7M2022-04-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.39320.391935-0.32%0.3987+1.40%0.0208✓1.29282k2022-04-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.022.0135-0.32%2.066+2.28%0.0049✗0.7124k2022-04-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01590.015851-0.31%0.01615+1.57%0.0071✓0.881.5M2022-04-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.021160.021095-0.31%0.02156+1.89%0.0007✓0.724.2M2022-04-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.86490.86224-0.31%0.84962-1.77%0.0511✓1.241.6M2022-04-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.1312.093-0.30%12.32+1.57%0.0117✓1.031.2M2022-04-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46740.465975-0.30%0.4789+2.46%0.0021✓0.86479k2022-04-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09984.0873-0.30%4.1974+2.38%0.0020✓0.97275k2022-04-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.086220.085958-0.30%0.08706+0.97%0.0101✓0.7835k2022-04-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,482.3917,430.16-0.30%17,725.84+1.39%0.0122✓0.994.0M2022-04-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.43295.5536-0.30%307.39+3.70%0.0111✗0.966.0M2022-04-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04070.04058-0.30%0.0412+1.23%0.0087✓0.8163k2022-04-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07221.0691-0.29%1.085+1.19%0.0215✓1.249.9M2022-04-27
RADRadworksEthereum4.144.128-0.29%4.17+0.72%0.0149✓0.85741k2022-04-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.65620.654309-0.29%0.6715+2.33%0.0008✓0.9112.2M2022-04-27
API3Api3Ethereum3.93.8888-0.29%4.039+3.56%0.0104✗0.942.8M2022-04-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0132680.01323-0.29%0.013891+4.70%0.0235✗0.8653k2022-04-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.60010.598388-0.29%0.6169+2.80%0.0023✓0.968.8M2022-04-27
TRXTRONTron0.0618240.061649-0.28%0.063211+2.24%0.0070✗0.61302k2022-04-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.072.0642-0.28%2.14+3.38%0.0070✗0.99137k2022-04-27
HIVEHivenative0.84020.837854-0.28%0.8819+4.96%0.0231✗0.961.8M2022-04-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6916.6437-0.28%16.95+1.56%0.0114✓1.0114.6M2022-04-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV76.5376.3274-0.26%77.91+1.80%0.0027✓0.793.1M2022-04-27
ZECZcashZcash145.94145.5603-0.26%149.27+2.28%0.0049✓1.026.7M2022-04-27
BANDBandEthereum3.3073.2985-0.26%3.443+4.11%0.0076✗1.20666k2022-04-27
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6661.6617-0.26%1.719+3.18%0.0048✗0.998.7M2022-04-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.8249-0.26%5.8032-0.63%0.0183✓0.49213k2022-04-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.957960.955526-0.25%0.99319+3.68%0.0058✗1.12154k2022-04-27
ETHEthereumEthereum2,809.262,802.22-0.25%2,889.78+2.87%0.0014✓1.00448.2M2022-04-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.768.5295-0.25%69.86+1.69%0.0152✓1.1762.7M2022-04-27
DODODODOEthereum0.3490.348136-0.25%0.362+3.72%0.0069✗1.098.0M2022-04-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2731.2699-0.25%1.307+2.67%0.0072✓1.23494k2022-04-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.10973-0.25%0.1088-1.09%0.0346✓0.89658k2022-04-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,113.8238,020.65-0.24%39,251.11+2.98%0.0024✓1.00565.5M2022-04-27
QNTQuantEthereum100.69100.4474-0.24%101.26+0.57%0.0156✓0.813.4M2022-04-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.26880.26816-0.24%0.2745+2.12%0.0088✓1.09462k2022-04-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0891.0864-0.24%1.146+5.23%0.0234✗1.023.9M2022-04-27
FTTFTXEthereum38.7138.6196-0.23%39.57+2.22%0.0022✓0.9018.9M2022-04-27
SOLSolanaSolana95.7495.5174-0.23%98.35+2.73%0.0060✓1.20127.9M2022-04-27
SCSiacoinnative0.009320.009298-0.23%0.00953+2.25%0.0090✓1.14453k2022-04-27
BTTCBTTC0.000001750.000001746-0.23%0.00000176+0.57%0.0128✓0.719.0M2022-04-27
KCSKuCoinnative18.81718.774-0.23%19.033+1.15%0.0090✓0.775.8M2022-04-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0663.059-0.23%2.992-2.41%0.0665✓1.51896k2022-04-27
AAVEAaveEthereum158.02157.6608-0.23%168.44+6.59%0.0297✗1.2412.5M2022-04-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.20490.204445-0.22%0.2147+4.78%0.0118✗1.263.3M2022-04-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3117.2716-0.22%17.72+2.37%0.0043✓1.0210.6M2022-04-27
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.9036-0.22%2.99+2.75%0.0060✓1.204.4M2022-04-27
XEMNEMnative0.08890.088704-0.22%0.0921+3.60%0.0107✗0.9283k2022-04-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.741.7362-0.22%1.78+2.30%0.0131✓1.291.6M2022-04-27
XVGVergenative0.009270.00925-0.22%0.00948+2.27%0.0066✓1.061.3M2022-04-27
ADACardanoCardano0.82590.824117-0.22%0.8405+1.77%0.0107✓1.0353.5M2022-04-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.0464.0373-0.22%4.173+3.14%0.0046✓1.28121k2022-04-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21510.214647-0.21%0.2181+1.39%0.0083✓0.821.6M2022-04-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos20.3120.2675-0.21%21.45+5.61%0.0263✗1.0321.8M2022-04-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.40530.404453-0.21%0.4145+2.27%0.0147✗0.345,5292022-04-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.833.8221-0.21%4.26+11.23%0.0696✗1.32385k2022-04-27
XVSVenusEthereum9.559.5307-0.20%9.63+0.84%0.0192✓1.004.5M2022-04-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.021150.021108-0.20%0.02058-2.70%0.0555✓1.03373k2022-04-27
MANADecentralandEthereum1.80741.8039-0.19%1.845+2.08%0.0091✓1.081.2M2022-04-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7515.7398-0.19%5.956+3.56%0.0041✗1.12216k2022-04-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.0214.9913-0.19%15.3+1.86%0.0108✓1.0611.7M2022-04-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.3698-0.18%3.6093+6.91%0.0518✗0.574.6M2022-04-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1804670.180139-0.18%0.18432+2.14%0.0053✓0.9618.1M2022-04-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.715690.714408-0.18%0.72269+0.98%0.0211✓1.11140k2022-04-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin98.5998.4155-0.18%100.63+2.07%0.0074✓1.0119.2M2022-04-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1311.129-0.18%1.213+7.25%0.0383✗1.142.6M2022-04-27
MOVRMoonriverBase45.76845.6892-0.17%46.7322+2.11%0.0185✓1.40223k2022-04-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.196466-0.17%0.2094+6.40%0.0311✗1.112.6M2022-04-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.656450.655356-0.17%0.66975+2.03%0.0082✓1.02152k2022-04-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.3712.3496-0.16%12.74+2.99%0.0010✓1.0925.8M2022-04-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042220.042151-0.16%0.0433+2.56%0.0027✗0.82370k2022-04-27
ORCAOrcaSolana1.881.877-0.16%1.93+2.66%0.0071✗0.71211k2022-04-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.129840.129637-0.16%0.13529+4.20%0.0208✗0.7515k2022-04-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008560.008547-0.15%0.00862+0.70%0.0261✓1.183.1M2022-04-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029860.029815-0.15%0.0306+2.48%0.0087✗0.59514k2022-04-27
DIADIAEthereum0.810.808826-0.14%0.81+0.00%0.0125✓0.4777k2022-04-27
NANOnanopayBase1.89461.8919-0.14%1.9163+1.14%0.0168✓1.01188k2022-04-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04230.042241-0.14%0.0456+7.80%0.0285✗1.6331.5M2022-04-27
DASHDashDash93.2793.1429-0.14%95.64+2.54%0.0030✓1.001.5M2022-04-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7480.746997-0.13%0.784+4.81%0.0084✗1.361.9M2022-04-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83970.838584-0.13%0.8279-1.41%0.0489✓1.23184k2022-04-27
STXStacksnative1.031.0287-0.13%1.06+2.91%0.0024✗0.94418k2022-04-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81930.818271-0.13%0.8582+4.75%0.0122✗1.21454k2022-04-27
QTUMQtumQtum6.00986.0023-0.12%6.1184+1.81%0.0139✓1.12147k2022-04-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6370.636296-0.11%0.63-1.10%0.0321✓0.752.8M2022-04-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9860.984992-0.10%1.011+2.54%0.0050✓1.061.3M2022-04-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.027480.027453-0.10%0.029142+6.05%0.0301✗1.014.4M2022-04-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16590.165739-0.10%0.1642-1.02%0.0737✓2.19395k2022-04-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05990.059842-0.10%0.0624+4.17%0.0093✗1.11279k2022-04-27
FIDABonfidaSolana1.21.1989-0.09%1.22+1.67%0.0114✓0.9861k2022-04-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana10.7310.7217-0.08%11.41+6.34%0.0513✗0.372.0M2022-04-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.6751.6737-0.08%1.759+5.01%0.0210✗0.9881k2022-04-27
UNIUniswapEthereum87.9942-0.07%8.23+2.88%0.0010✓1.025.6M2022-04-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.93932-0.07%0.94+0.00%0.0300✓1.04595k2022-04-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.16410.163983-0.07%0.1726+5.18%0.0175✗1.15242k2022-04-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.84.7975-0.05%5.18+7.92%0.0579✗0.64756k2022-04-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.7438.7203-0.05%38.81+0.18%0.0328✓1.195.3M2022-04-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2317.2213-0.05%17.87+3.71%0.0022✓1.33175k2022-04-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.27470.274582-0.04%0.2849+3.71%0.0042✓1.408.8M2022-04-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003649-0.03%0.00378+3.56%0.0049✗1.037.1M2022-04-27
XECeCashnative0.000078590.00007857-0.03%0.00008163+3.87%0.0108✗0.939.6M2022-04-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0524.052+0.00%4.348+7.31%0.0626✓0.272.5M2022-04-27
ZENHorizenBase32.2132.212+0.01%33.33+3.48%0.0042✗1.30261k2022-04-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2960.296048+0.02%0.3056+3.24%0.0062✗1.291.2M2022-04-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.291.2903+0.03%1.322+2.48%0.0057✗1.02573k2022-04-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15810.158165+0.04%0.1612+1.96%0.0156✗1.188.5M2022-04-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.5311.5351+0.04%12.22+5.98%0.0440✓0.472.9M2022-04-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.730.7241+0.08%31.28+1.89%0.0138✗1.087.8M2022-04-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.53730.537728+0.08%0.503-6.38%0.0735✗0.23769k2022-04-27
MINAMina Protocolnative1.951.9523+0.12%2.02+3.59%0.0027✓1.071.3M2022-04-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3855+0.13%5+14.16%0.1109✓0.691.2M2022-04-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.9623.9675+0.14%4.086+3.13%0.0197✗1.671.8M2022-04-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9282.9323+0.15%3.23+10.31%0.0774✓0.661.3M2022-04-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.50.50084+0.17%0.52+4.00%0.0050✗1.45395k2022-04-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0093.0149+0.20%3.318+10.27%0.0784✓0.591.8M2022-04-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1590.159322+0.20%0.154-3.14%0.0473✗0.45190k2022-04-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.47080.471768+0.21%0.4722+0.30%0.0312✗1.09690k2022-04-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.5863.5953+0.26%3.8142+6.36%0.0435✓0.535.6M2022-04-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.265.2743+0.27%5.72+8.75%0.0623✓0.641.3M2022-04-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.26460.265466+0.33%0.253-4.38%0.0983✗1.712.2M2022-04-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7144.7326+0.39%6.73+42.77%0.3363✓0.541.6M2022-04-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.