8=======>

2022-03-30 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0796
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.3%
in alpha space · 76.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.08776.0764-0.18%5.834-4.17%0.0253✓0.46175k2022-03-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.666.6474-0.19%6.53-1.95%0.0063✗0.721.6M2022-03-31
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0679-0.20%1.1+2.80%0.0430✗0.40165k2022-03-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,078.0346,978.30-0.21%45,528.45-3.29%0.0021✗1.00680.6M2022-03-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1428530.142519-0.23%0.138112-3.32%0.0041✓0.822.6M2022-03-31
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002115-0.25%0.00000214+0.94%0.0342✗0.6711.5M2022-03-31
XYMSymbolnative0.14930.148917-0.26%0.1461-2.14%0.0055✗0.74513k2022-03-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.7345-0.26%13.89+0.87%0.0246✗0.403.0M2022-03-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.831.7093-0.29%31.27-1.67%0.0162✗0.90665k2022-03-31
GTGateEthereum6.76576.746-0.29%6.6752-1.34%0.0096✗0.604.3M2022-03-31
FTTFTXEthereum51.1751.0208-0.29%48.83-4.57%0.0093✓1.0314.1M2022-03-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2347420.234054-0.29%0.228422-2.69%0.0081✗0.9718.7M2022-03-31
ETHEthereumEthereum3,386.683,376.65-0.30%3,283.08-3.06%0.0073✗1.06491.5M2022-03-31
XEMNEMnative0.12230.121937-0.30%0.1183-3.27%0.0027✓0.8238k2022-03-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.12130.7271-0.30%123.87-5.53%0.0201✓1.0126.1M2022-03-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.7867.7623-0.30%7.52-3.42%0.0017✓1.00451k2022-03-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.56350.561773-0.31%0.5527-1.92%0.0172✗1.001.2M2022-03-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.2317.1766-0.31%16.93-1.74%0.0193✗1.0126.1M2022-03-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0435390.043403-0.31%0.041867-3.84%0.0040✓0.964.1M2022-03-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.856.8281-0.32%6.73-1.75%0.0096✗0.72878k2022-03-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.899590.896679-0.32%0.86577-3.76%0.0004✓1.04148k2022-03-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.027590.027498-0.33%0.02695-2.32%0.0055✗0.773.1M2022-03-31
XVSVenusEthereum11.2711.2316-0.34%11.81+4.79%0.0853✗1.053.2M2022-03-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2134.1986-0.34%4.122-2.16%0.0045✗0.682.7M2022-03-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.30341.2988-0.35%1.2649-2.95%0.0172✗1.301.4M2022-03-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169780.169177-0.36%0.16325-3.85%0.0079✓0.8314k2022-03-31
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9371.93-0.36%1.839-5.06%0.0203✓0.8453k2022-03-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055670.055469-0.36%0.05488-1.42%0.0242✗1.04541k2022-03-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.25630.255372-0.36%0.2457-4.14%0.0051✓1.001.2M2022-03-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.0229.9069-0.38%28.9-3.73%0.0022✓1.0939.5M2022-03-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3851.3796-0.39%1.51+9.03%0.1216✗0.942.8M2022-03-31
KCSKuCoinnative21.31821.2339-0.39%20.465-4.00%0.0080✓0.865.1M2022-03-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.471.4641-0.40%1.3868-5.66%0.0080✓1.38199k2022-03-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.3133.2998-0.40%3.115-5.98%0.0190✓1.15393k2022-03-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.27180.27071-0.40%0.2541-6.51%0.0316✓0.95215k2022-03-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.8121.7215-0.41%21-3.71%0.0014✓0.9716.5M2022-03-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020370.020287-0.41%0.02088+2.50%0.0623✗1.001.7M2022-03-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.049.0027-0.41%9.25+2.32%0.0517✗0.732.9M2022-03-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash380.29378.721-0.41%384.15+1.02%0.0462✗0.958.0M2022-03-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.58540.582954-0.42%0.5966+1.91%0.0465✗0.70376k2022-03-31
HIVEHivenative1.18171.1767-0.42%1.2151+2.83%0.0681✗1.082.0M2022-03-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.4622.3647-0.42%21.35-4.94%0.0108✓1.0619.8M2022-03-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2586.2314-0.42%6.029-3.66%0.0001✓0.9988k2022-03-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.5795.1623-0.43%97.42+1.94%0.0666✗1.29103.6M2022-03-31
QNTQuantEthereum143.18142.5656-0.43%137.61-3.89%0.0054✓0.904.1M2022-03-31
PROPropyEthereum1.691.6826-0.44%1.57-7.10%0.0357✓1.00185k2022-03-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2930.291724-0.44%0.2695-8.02%0.0528✓0.791.8M2022-03-31
ADACardanoCardano1.19061.1854-0.44%1.1417-4.11%0.0045✓0.9963.3M2022-03-31
XECeCashnative0.000095550.00009513-0.44%0.00009285-2.83%0.0088✗0.996.6M2022-03-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,057.4046,848.34-0.44%45,846.40-2.57%0.0108✗0.9727k2022-03-31
STXStacksnative1.541.5332-0.44%1.44-6.49%0.0312✓0.94601k2022-03-31
MANADecentralandEthereum2.70352.6913-0.45%2.6098-3.46%0.0070✗1.131.3M2022-03-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92680.922604-0.45%0.9295+0.29%0.0396✗0.9617.2M2022-03-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8180.814295-0.45%0.915+11.86%0.1478✗0.931.8M2022-03-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.4825.3646-0.45%25.7+0.86%0.0568✗1.31232k2022-03-31
API3Api3Ethereum5.6425.6162-0.46%5.195-7.92%0.0592✓0.564.6M2022-03-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8381.8296-0.46%1.775-3.43%0.0018✓0.96887k2022-03-31
RADRadworksEthereum5.495.4647-0.46%5.41-1.46%0.0211✗0.93400k2022-03-31
XMRMoneroMonero221.39220.3688-0.46%212.94-3.82%0.0031✓0.931.6M2022-03-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.4916.4123-0.47%15.65-5.09%0.0086✓1.16788k2022-03-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.2519.1591-0.47%18.07-6.13%0.0149✓1.303.1M2022-03-31
NANOnanopayBase2.53552.5234-0.48%2.4796-2.20%0.0200✗1.12177k2022-03-31
MINAMina Protocolnative2.662.6472-0.48%2.65-0.38%0.0349✗1.01632k2022-03-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8920.887709-0.48%0.8523-4.45%0.0069✓1.017.5M2022-03-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.9897.5046-0.49%94.5-3.55%0.0055✓0.771.8M2022-03-31
DASHDashDash132.65132.0056-0.49%127.13-4.16%0.0067✓0.922.0M2022-03-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08080.080407-0.49%0.0684-15.35%0.1070✓1.6444.1M2022-03-31
XVGVergenative0.012120.012061-0.49%0.01339+10.48%0.1435✗1.161.9M2022-03-31
ZENHorizenBase49.8649.6169-0.49%48.75-2.23%0.0256✗1.29454k2022-03-31
TRXTRONTron0.0730580.072701-0.49%0.073796+1.01%0.0362✗0.64289k2022-03-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.680.67667-0.49%0.6406-5.79%0.0547✓0.005,0712022-03-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08710.086671-0.49%0.0836-4.02%0.0043✓0.95173k2022-03-31
SOLSolanaSolana120.79120.19-0.50%122.86+1.71%0.0638✗1.2589.9M2022-03-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.32014.2986-0.50%4.4084+2.04%0.0443✗0.574.0M2022-03-31
ZECZcashZcash192.01191.0433-0.50%178.39-7.09%0.0374✓0.9315.7M2022-03-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,045.6423,924.45-0.50%22,229.80-7.55%0.0369✓1.095.9M2022-03-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.033220.03305-0.51%0.03408+2.59%0.0670✗1.09210k2022-03-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7931.7837-0.52%1.795+0.11%0.0512✗1.34433k2022-03-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.041330.041116-0.52%0.0405-2.01%0.0078✗0.681.1M2022-03-31
MOVRMoonriverBase69.333968.9748-0.52%66.8749-3.55%0.0146✗1.36159k2022-03-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8142.7994-0.52%2.638-6.25%0.0144✓1.349.1M2022-03-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48250.479962-0.53%0.4698-2.63%0.0165✗1.1310.3M2022-03-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.772.7554-0.53%2.68-3.25%0.0048✓0.97142k2022-03-31
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7411.6781-0.53%11.29-3.83%0.0005✓1.036.3M2022-03-31
APEApeCoinEthereum14.21914.1439-0.53%12.702-10.67%0.0741✓1.0091.6M2022-03-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.051350.051077-0.53%0.05271+2.65%0.0596✗0.8426k2022-03-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.412.397-0.54%2.24-7.05%0.0255✓1.26903k2022-03-31
UMAUMAEthereum8.0728.0282-0.54%7.803-3.33%0.0139✗1.265.8M2022-03-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9643.9423-0.55%3.891-1.84%0.0132✗0.792.2M2022-03-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.59860.595269-0.56%0.5827-2.66%0.0396✗1.822.2M2022-03-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.289377-0.56%0.283-2.75%0.0047✓0.8129k2022-03-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004610.004584-0.56%0.00431-6.51%0.0194✓1.265.7M2022-03-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.65622.641-0.57%2.5204-5.11%0.0199✓0.80196k2022-03-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013460.013383-0.57%0.01312-2.53%0.0027✓0.6710k2022-03-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.178.1232-0.57%7.78-4.77%0.0186✓0.731.8M2022-03-31
SCSiacoinnative0.012470.012398-0.58%0.01207-3.21%0.0105✗1.12469k2022-03-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027360.000027199-0.59%0.00002586-5.48%0.0127✓1.132.2M2022-03-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.12590.125157-0.59%0.1229-2.38%0.0227✗1.22648k2022-03-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.33e-79.28e-7-0.59%8.72e-7-6.58%0.0769✓-0.441.1M2022-03-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.68940.685298-0.60%0.6676-3.16%0.0183✗1.33608k2022-03-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114810.114125-0.60%0.12603+9.77%0.1281✗0.8629k2022-03-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16680.165804-0.60%0.1579-5.34%0.0148✓1.02211k2022-03-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.695.6554-0.61%5.4868-3.57%0.0002✓0.90264k2022-03-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.8915.7928-0.61%16.52+3.96%0.0606✗0.462.8M2022-03-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.7471.7363-0.61%1.594-8.76%0.0450✓1.213.7M2022-03-31
IMXImmutableEthereum2.642.6238-0.61%2.352-10.91%0.0779✓0.946.6M2022-03-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34.273-0.63%4.2237-1.77%0.0096✗0.634.7M2022-03-31
XTZTezosTezos3.82973.8053-0.64%3.7255-2.72%0.0141✗1.061.0M2022-03-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.80.794889-0.64%0.82+2.50%0.0817✗1.51363k2022-03-31
AVTAventusEthereum2.732.7125-0.64%2.68-1.83%0.0017✓0.41376k2022-03-31
LUNATerraTerra 2105.96105.2801-0.64%102.96-2.83%0.0224✗1.339.1M2022-03-31
QTUMQtumQtum8.87288.8152-0.65%8.2842-6.63%0.0251✓1.11143k2022-03-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.7412.723-0.66%2.756+0.55%0.0379✗0.7718k2022-03-31
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7147.6628-0.66%7.189-6.81%0.0162✓1.4222k2022-03-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.121.1124-0.67%1.212+8.21%0.1310✗1.352.4M2022-03-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.087.0322-0.68%8.197+15.78%0.1769✗0.711.3M2022-03-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.615.5719-0.68%6+6.95%0.1216✗1.42642k2022-03-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.521.5097-0.68%1.41-7.24%0.0322✓1.08603k2022-03-31
KSMKusamaHydration188.4187.0992-0.69%188.49+0.05%0.0446✗1.11901k2022-03-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1510.149954-0.69%0.174+15.23%0.1674✗0.5625k2022-03-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.28680.284806-0.70%0.2732-4.74%0.0010✓1.271.8M2022-03-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum64.4263.9683-0.70%63.53-1.38%0.0363✗1.295.1M2022-03-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.6930.4739-0.70%27.75-9.58%0.0507✓1.28740k2022-03-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.08021.0724-0.72%1.071-0.85%0.0119✗0.39676k2022-03-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.092009-0.72%0.09501+2.51%0.0659✗1.01101k2022-03-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.0723.0486-0.76%2.998-2.41%0.0106✗0.8253k2022-03-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44690.443456-0.77%0.4674+4.59%0.0954✗1.281.4M2022-03-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.0917-0.77%2.033-3.56%0.0033✓0.952.8M2022-03-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.089350.088653-0.78%0.09183+2.78%0.0617✗0.7924k2022-03-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013860.013752-0.78%0.01361-1.80%0.0290✗1.183.3M2022-03-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.28581.2757-0.79%1.1908-7.39%0.0280✓1.2215.4M2022-03-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.46793.4406-0.79%3.2595-6.01%0.0284✓0.774.6M2022-03-31
SUSHISushiEthereum4.474.4344-0.80%4.41-1.34%0.0340✗1.186.8M2022-03-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.3476.2947-0.82%6.061-4.51%0.0243✓0.407.0M2022-03-31
DODODODOEthereum0.5460.541434-0.84%0.518-5.13%0.0076✓1.093.1M2022-03-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08830.08755-0.85%0.0852-3.51%0.0115✗1.16352k2022-03-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.925.6723-0.88%24.45-5.60%0.0137✓1.056.6M2022-03-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.41721.4047-0.88%1.3386-5.54%0.0115✓1.10125k2022-03-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.887.809-0.90%7.31-7.23%0.0177✓1.44458k2022-03-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.035620.035293-0.92%0.03269-8.23%0.0485✓0.84185k2022-03-31
ORCAOrcaSolana2.382.3581-0.92%2.3-3.36%0.0023✓0.68218k2022-03-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2970.294196-0.94%0.285-4.04%0.0017✓1.00463k2022-03-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30090.298043-0.95%0.2832-5.88%0.0125✓1.152.9M2022-03-31
COMPCompoundEthereum156.18154.6687-0.97%149.85-4.05%0.0051✓1.1054k2022-03-31
BANDBandEthereum4.9044.8547-1.01%4.893-0.22%0.0446✗1.10606k2022-03-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative49.6449.1306-1.03%47.48-4.35%0.0003✓1.034.5M2022-03-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.6436.5747-1.03%6.818+2.63%0.0773✗1.234.3M2022-03-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.37320.369178-1.08%0.3602-3.48%0.0127✗1.11318k2022-03-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.48220.47676-1.13%0.4968+3.03%0.0918✗1.518.9M2022-03-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.037930.037491-1.16%0.03531-6.91%0.0098✓1.5052.9M2022-03-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0155740.015393-1.16%0.016106+3.42%0.0751✗0.8914k2022-03-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.69332.6619-1.17%2.8148+4.51%0.0807✗0.7413k2022-03-31
AAVEAaveEthereum223.52220.9065-1.17%207-7.39%0.0244✓1.219.7M2022-03-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.286.2023-1.24%6.001-4.44%0.0007✓0.9693k2022-03-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8184260.808107-1.26%0.773803-5.45%0.0083✓1.051.8M2022-03-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23457.1395-1.31%6.8863-4.81%0.0003✓1.0719.8M2022-03-31
LRCLoopringEthereum1.26461.2477-1.34%1.1619-8.12%0.0269✓1.33234k2022-03-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6660.655518-1.57%0.609-8.56%0.0380✓1.066.9M2022-03-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.112.0767-1.58%2.101-0.43%0.0430✗0.941.3M2022-03-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22260.218787-1.71%0.2417+8.58%0.1378✗1.142.4M2022-03-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.8357.6792-1.99%6.639-15.26%0.1121✓1.002.6M2022-03-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.