8=======>

2022-03-29 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0341
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.0%
in alpha space · 30.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.99975.9884-0.19%6.0877+1.47%0.0201✗0.46175k2022-03-30
TRXTRONTron0.0694280.06928-0.21%0.073058+5.23%0.0582✗0.64289k2022-03-30
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0478-0.21%1.07+1.90%0.0242✗0.40165k2022-03-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,454.1947,343.71-0.23%47,078.03-0.79%0.0023✓1.00729.5M2022-03-30
RADRadworksEthereum5.165.147-0.25%5.49+6.40%0.0719✗0.93400k2022-03-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.826.8018-0.27%6.66-2.35%0.0153✓0.721.7M2022-03-30
BTTCBTTC0.00000210.000002094-0.27%0.00000212+0.95%0.0175✗0.6712.0M2022-03-30
XYMSymbolnative0.14930.148887-0.28%0.1493+0.00%0.0086✗0.73393k2022-03-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.55510.553478-0.29%0.5635+1.51%0.0259✗1.001.3M2022-03-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.9916.94-0.29%17.23+1.41%0.0250✗1.0126.1M2022-03-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.6177.5946-0.29%7.786+2.22%0.0329✗1.01451k2022-03-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1443910.143965-0.30%0.142853-1.07%0.0013✓0.822.6M2022-03-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9513.9085-0.30%13.77-1.29%0.0068✓0.403.0M2022-03-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2331240.23242-0.30%0.234742+0.69%0.0177✗0.9718.7M2022-03-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin130.08129.6843-0.30%131.12+0.80%0.0190✗1.0126.1M2022-03-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.770.767587-0.31%0.818+6.23%0.0711✗0.941.8M2022-03-30
FTTFTXEthereum51.1150.9497-0.31%51.17+0.12%0.0125✗1.0314.1M2022-03-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24220.241436-0.32%0.2563+5.82%0.0677✗1.001.2M2022-03-30
XVSVenusEthereum11.0811.0446-0.32%11.27+1.71%0.0286✗1.053.0M2022-03-30
GTGateEthereum6.76286.7408-0.33%6.7657+0.04%0.0085✗0.614.3M2022-03-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.027270.02718-0.33%0.02759+1.17%0.0211✗0.773.1M2022-03-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1254.1113-0.33%4.213+2.13%0.0299✗0.682.7M2022-03-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,401.713,390.24-0.34%3,386.68-0.44%0.0074✗1.06508.5M2022-03-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.893890.890755-0.35%0.89959+0.64%0.0181✗1.04127k2022-03-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16760.16701-0.35%0.1668-0.48%0.0068✗1.02211k2022-03-30
PROPropyEthereum1.61.5944-0.35%1.69+5.62%0.0663✗1.01185k2022-03-30
SOLSolanaSolana111.64111.2439-0.35%120.79+8.20%0.0923✗1.2689.9M2022-03-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27840.277412-0.35%0.293+5.24%0.0610✗0.791.8M2022-03-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055990.055789-0.36%0.05567-0.57%0.0062✗1.04541k2022-03-30
STXStacksnative1.451.4447-0.37%1.54+6.21%0.0714✗0.95606k2022-03-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0451040.044937-0.37%0.043539-3.47%0.0240✓0.964.1M2022-03-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.087.0538-0.37%6.85-3.25%0.0236✓0.72878k2022-03-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.28581.281-0.37%1.3034+1.37%0.0277✗1.301.4M2022-03-30
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9411.9335-0.38%1.937-0.21%0.0085✗0.8454k2022-03-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3831.3777-0.39%1.385+0.14%0.0128✗0.942.8M2022-03-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9615.8982-0.39%16.49+3.32%0.0458✗1.17788k2022-03-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,265.5047,081.38-0.39%47,057.40-0.44%0.0072✗0.9738k2022-03-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.173050.172367-0.39%0.16978-1.89%0.0086✓0.8214k2022-03-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.031230.031105-0.40%0.03322+6.37%0.0746✗1.12210k2022-03-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.2430.119-0.40%30.02-0.73%0.0054✗1.1039.5M2022-03-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash373.24371.7151-0.41%380.29+1.89%0.0304✗0.968.0M2022-03-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.7992.4099-0.41%95.57+3.00%0.0439✗1.29103.6M2022-03-30
XEMNEMnative0.12220.121699-0.41%0.1223+0.08%0.0115✗0.8241k2022-03-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.4524.3485-0.41%25.48+4.21%0.0559✗1.31232k2022-03-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57730.574841-0.43%0.5854+1.40%0.0238✗0.70359k2022-03-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.7941.7864-0.43%1.838+2.45%0.0362✗0.96803k2022-03-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.27110.269935-0.43%0.2718+0.26%0.0145✗0.95215k2022-03-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.4422.3432-0.43%22.46+0.09%0.0137✗1.0719.8M2022-03-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08570.085326-0.44%0.0871+1.63%0.0282✗0.95169k2022-03-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00430.004281-0.44%0.00461+7.21%0.0841✗1.275.5M2022-03-30
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2511.2-0.44%11.74+4.36%0.0553✗1.036.3M2022-03-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.7015.6754-0.45%5.642-1.03%0.0015✓0.564.6M2022-03-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.63950.636625-0.45%0.68+6.33%0.0660✗0.015,0372022-03-30
XECeCashnative0.000094360.000093935-0.45%0.00009555+1.26%0.0249✗0.996.3M2022-03-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.32.2896-0.45%2.41+4.78%0.0614✗1.27903k2022-03-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.19.0585-0.46%9.04-0.66%0.0038✓0.733.0M2022-03-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.86350.859561-0.46%0.892+3.30%0.0451✗1.017.5M2022-03-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.7232.5697-0.46%31.8-2.81%0.0168✓0.90676k2022-03-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1726.1436-0.46%6.258+1.39%0.0263✗0.9994k2022-03-30
QNTQuantEthereum144.61143.9422-0.46%143.18-0.99%0.0018✓0.904.2M2022-03-30
DASHDashDash130.31129.7049-0.46%132.65+1.80%0.0298✗0.921.9M2022-03-30
ZENHorizenBase49.1148.8817-0.46%49.86+1.53%0.0301✗1.29508k2022-03-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02040.020305-0.47%0.02037-0.15%0.0112✗1.001.7M2022-03-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92320.918889-0.47%0.9268+0.39%0.0163✗0.9717.2M2022-03-30
SCSiacoinnative0.011790.011734-0.47%0.01247+5.77%0.0697✗1.12444k2022-03-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.35378.314-0.48%8.8728+6.21%0.0739✗1.11119k2022-03-30
XVGVergenative0.012010.011953-0.48%0.01212+0.92%0.0232✗1.171.9M2022-03-30
XMRMoneroMonero221.94220.8822-0.48%221.39-0.25%0.0097✗0.941.6M2022-03-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08020.079817-0.48%0.0808+0.75%0.0253✗1.6544.1M2022-03-30
HIVEHivenative1.17961.1739-0.48%1.1817+0.18%0.0152✗1.082.0M2022-03-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0651.0599-0.48%1.12+5.16%0.0659✗1.352.4M2022-03-30
ADACardanoCardano1.19091.1852-0.48%1.1906-0.03%0.0124✗0.9963.3M2022-03-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.3053.2891-0.48%3.313+0.24%0.0165✗1.16393k2022-03-30
NANOnanopayBase2.4992.4868-0.49%2.5355+1.46%0.0283✗1.12177k2022-03-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04910.048861-0.49%0.05135+4.58%0.0564✗0.8525k2022-03-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,320.9623,207.18-0.49%24,045.64+3.11%0.0443✗1.105.9M2022-03-30
ZECZcashZcash196.15195.1753-0.50%192.01-2.11%0.0089✓0.9315.7M2022-03-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9521.9422-0.50%2.108+7.99%0.0895✗0.962.8M2022-03-30
MANADecentralandEthereum2.72.6865-0.50%2.7035+0.13%0.0153✗1.131.3M2022-03-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.751.7411-0.51%1.793+2.46%0.0400✗1.34433k2022-03-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.677.6311-0.51%8.17+6.52%0.0741✗0.741.8M2022-03-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.897.3033-0.51%97.98+0.18%0.0131✗0.771.7M2022-03-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042010.041795-0.51%0.04133-1.62%0.0057✓0.691.1M2022-03-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.2119.1113-0.51%19.25+0.21%0.0176✗1.312.9M2022-03-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.1322.0162-0.51%21.81-1.45%0.0017✓0.9715.7M2022-03-30
MINAMina Protocolnative2.622.6061-0.53%2.66+1.53%0.0286✗1.02497k2022-03-30
APEApeCoinEthereum13.60413.5315-0.53%14.219+4.52%0.0575✗1.00100.0M2022-03-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.61662.6026-0.53%2.6562+1.51%0.0268✗0.80183k2022-03-30
UMAUMAEthereum7.9147.8715-0.54%8.072+2.00%0.0352✗1.266.1M2022-03-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.932.9142-0.54%3.072+4.85%0.0594✗0.8353k2022-03-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.28280.281255-0.55%0.297+5.02%0.0624✗1.00425k2022-03-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.7072.6918-0.56%2.741+1.26%0.0243✗0.7719k2022-03-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.3511.3432-0.58%1.4172+4.90%0.0624✗1.10113k2022-03-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.7938-0.58%2.814+0.14%0.0180✗1.359.1M2022-03-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.60891.5996-0.58%1.47-8.63%0.0736✓1.37199k2022-03-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.087280.086773-0.58%0.09268+6.19%0.0739✗1.0299k2022-03-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.7175.6834-0.59%6.643+16.20%0.1659✗1.243.8M2022-03-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2840.282306-0.60%0.291+2.46%0.0367✗0.8128k2022-03-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.429.2228-0.60%30.69+4.39%0.0592✗1.28740k2022-03-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.691.6797-0.61%1.747+3.37%0.0489✗1.213.6M2022-03-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027340.000027172-0.61%0.00002736+0.07%0.0159✗1.132.2M2022-03-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42240.419789-0.62%0.4469+5.80%0.0728✗1.291.2M2022-03-30
DODODODOEthereum0.5130.509817-0.62%0.546+6.43%0.0773✗1.102.9M2022-03-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013730.013644-0.63%0.01346-1.97%0.0082✓0.679,6662022-03-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.11230.111588-0.63%0.11481+2.24%0.0354✗0.8729k2022-03-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.12380.123012-0.64%0.1259+1.70%0.0330✗1.23602k2022-03-30
KCSKuCoinnative21.71421.5736-0.65%21.318-1.82%0.0050✓0.865.1M2022-03-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.491.4803-0.65%1.52+2.01%0.0351✗1.08603k2022-03-30
BANDBandEthereum4.5364.5063-0.65%4.904+8.11%0.0934✗1.10606k2022-03-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.5924.5618-0.66%4.3201-5.92%0.0500✓0.564.0M2022-03-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7299660.725158-0.66%0.818426+12.12%0.1294✗1.061.8M2022-03-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19971.1918-0.66%1.2858+7.18%0.0857✗1.2315.1M2022-03-30
XTZTezosTezos3.80043.7752-0.66%3.8297+0.77%0.0227✗1.051.1M2022-03-30
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8387.785-0.68%7.714-1.58%0.0021✓1.4123k2022-03-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.65665.6181-0.68%5.69+0.59%0.0199✗0.90264k2022-03-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48820.484873-0.68%0.4825-1.17%0.0041✓1.1310.3M2022-03-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0834.0551-0.68%3.964-2.91%0.0165✓0.782.4M2022-03-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5940.589933-0.68%0.5986+0.77%0.0291✗1.822.2M2022-03-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.088180.087571-0.69%0.08935+1.33%0.0264✗0.7922k2022-03-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.0615.9482-0.70%15.89-1.06%0.0000✓0.462.8M2022-03-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.38344.3526-0.70%4.3-1.90%0.0072✓0.635.5M2022-03-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.774413-0.72%0.8+2.56%0.0445✗1.51363k2022-03-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69380.688816-0.72%0.6894-0.63%0.0114✗1.32514k2022-03-30
MOVRMoonriverBase71.438670.9222-0.72%69.3339-2.95%0.0118✓1.36166k2022-03-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.5036.4552-0.73%7.835+20.48%0.2017✗1.002.2M2022-03-30
IMXImmutableEthereum2.6962.676-0.74%2.64-2.08%0.0060✓0.956.6M2022-03-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013760.013657-0.75%0.01386+0.73%0.0242✗1.183.4M2022-03-30
SUSHISushiEthereum4.224.1881-0.76%4.47+5.92%0.0747✗1.206.7M2022-03-30
KSMKusamaHydration184.23182.7985-0.78%188.4+2.26%0.0390✗1.11840k2022-03-30
LUNATerraTerra 2109.12108.2512-0.80%105.96-2.90%0.0108✓1.339.1M2022-03-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7271.7131-0.80%2.11+22.18%0.2159✗0.951.3M2022-03-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034520.034235-0.83%0.03793+9.88%0.1146✗1.5149.3M2022-03-30
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.7172-0.83%2.73-0.36%0.0080✓0.41373k2022-03-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum64.1863.6424-0.84%64.42+0.37%0.0224✗1.295.1M2022-03-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.35430.351276-0.85%0.3732+5.33%0.0694✗1.12317k2022-03-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.4436.3875-0.86%6.347-1.49%0.0032✓0.408.0M2022-03-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.762.736-0.87%2.77+0.36%0.0201✗0.97146k2022-03-30
ORCAOrcaSolana2.312.2896-0.88%2.38+3.03%0.0442✗0.68208k2022-03-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.45613.4253-0.89%3.4679+0.34%0.0185✗0.774.9M2022-03-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.28790.285306-0.90%0.2868-0.38%0.0153✗1.271.8M2022-03-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7685.7159-0.90%6.28+8.88%0.1018✗0.9693k2022-03-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001079-0.91%9.33e-7-14.28%0.1487✓-0.471.1M2022-03-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.745.6865-0.93%5.61-2.26%0.0022✓1.42584k2022-03-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.13965-0.96%0.151+7.09%0.0826✗0.5725k2022-03-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08610.085274-0.96%0.0883+2.56%0.0441✗1.16337k2022-03-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0367810.036427-0.96%0.03562-3.16%0.0157✓0.84187k2022-03-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.97.8233-0.97%7.88-0.25%0.0187✗1.44458k2022-03-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45890.454332-1.00%0.4822+5.08%0.0716✗1.518.9M2022-03-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5980.591962-1.01%0.666+11.37%0.1264✗1.075.8M2022-03-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0146850.014537-1.01%0.015574+6.05%0.0761✗0.9013k2022-03-30
COMPCompoundEthereum147.68146.0834-1.08%156.18+5.76%0.0756✗1.1054k2022-03-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.217.129-1.12%7.08-1.80%0.0013✓0.701.3M2022-03-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.29430.290974-1.13%0.3009+2.24%0.0427✗1.152.9M2022-03-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin26.3326.0191-1.18%25.9-1.63%0.0038✓1.056.6M2022-03-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.74312.7105-1.19%2.6933-1.82%0.0005✓0.7413k2022-03-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative49.348.688-1.24%49.64+0.69%0.0276✗1.034.5M2022-03-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.47077.3646-1.42%7.2345-3.16%0.0094✓1.0623.8M2022-03-30
AAVEAaveEthereum222.76219.0863-1.65%223.52+0.34%0.0298✗1.239.7M2022-03-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.19931.1792-1.67%1.0802-9.93%0.0847✓0.39676k2022-03-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21310.208462-2.18%0.2226+4.46%0.0747✗1.142.4M2022-03-30
LRCLoopringEthereum1.29151.2622-2.27%1.2646-2.08%0.0125✓1.33196k2022-03-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.