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2022-03-16 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 157 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1959
157 of 157 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.6%
in alpha space · 62.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (157 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum8.558.5375-0.15%8.77+2.57%0.0313✗1.033.1M2022-03-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.00755.997-0.17%5.9375-1.16%0.0051✓1.12127k2022-03-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.7434.7345-0.18%4.595-3.12%0.0272✓0.637.0M2022-03-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.474.4609-0.20%4.34-2.91%0.0237✓0.87521k2022-03-17
KCSKuCoinnative18.29918.261-0.21%18.162-0.75%0.0016✓0.907.5M2022-03-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1169670.116719-0.21%0.116426-0.46%0.0010✓0.812.8M2022-03-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011824-0.22%0.01199+1.18%0.0169✗0.709,5812022-03-17
TRXTRONTron0.0610660.060932-0.22%0.060788-0.46%0.0005✓0.65303k2022-03-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07050.070343-0.22%0.0711+0.85%0.0147✗0.93151k2022-03-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.10476-0.23%0.108+2.86%0.0328✗0.5439k2022-03-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6350.633534-0.23%0.639+0.63%0.0125✗0.912.4M2022-03-17
DASHDashDash98.498.1602-0.24%96.42-2.01%0.0136✓1.001.7M2022-03-17
XLMStellarStellar0.189360.188855-0.27%0.189695+0.18%0.0087✗0.9819.3M2022-03-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,127.9741,008.43-0.29%40,950.33-0.43%0.0029✗1.00700.4M2022-03-17
SCSiacoinnative0.008950.008922-0.31%0.00886-1.01%0.0023✓1.09464k2022-03-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.024740.024663-0.31%0.02476+0.08%0.0085✗1.06304k2022-03-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.71510.71287-0.31%0.7071-1.12%0.0024✓1.3199k2022-03-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040490.04036-0.32%0.04027-0.54%0.0014✓0.8426k2022-03-17
SOLSolanaSolana87.8287.5332-0.33%87.88+0.07%0.0093✗1.2496.5M2022-03-17
XEMNEMnative0.0990.098674-0.33%0.0982-0.81%0.0012✓0.8439k2022-03-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.2377.9717-0.33%77.91-0.41%0.0024✓0.741.0M2022-03-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2313.1849-0.34%13.15-0.60%0.0021✓1.10359k2022-03-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7319.6625-0.34%19.15-2.94%0.0207✓1.31291k2022-03-17
FTTFTXEthereum42.7242.5732-0.34%43.06+0.80%0.0159✗1.0415.5M2022-03-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.35110.966-0.34%110.26-0.98%0.0021✓1.0026.1M2022-03-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.025220.025133-0.35%0.02502-0.79%0.0013✓0.732.8M2022-03-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,774.892,765.19-0.35%2,814.67+1.43%0.0222✗1.04501.7M2022-03-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.099.0577-0.35%9.23+1.54%0.0232✗1.006.2M2022-03-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.5722.5627-0.36%2.404-6.53%0.0590✓1.13555k2022-03-17
DIADIAEthereum0.920.916679-0.36%0.93+1.09%0.0160✗0.37279k2022-03-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.1273.852-0.36%79.47+7.22%0.0788✗1.26116.5M2022-03-17
ADACardanoCardano0.83930.836256-0.36%0.8365-0.33%0.0046✗1.0065.6M2022-03-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022730.000022647-0.36%0.00002221-2.29%0.0144✓1.172.9M2022-03-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001850.000001843-0.37%0.00000182-1.62%0.0100✓0.6212.9M2022-03-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0407050.040554-0.37%0.039784-2.26%0.0151✓0.955.1M2022-03-17
XYMSymbolnative0.13570.135191-0.37%0.1349-0.59%0.0013✓0.79296k2022-03-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.38350.382055-0.38%0.4235+10.43%0.1113✗1.932.1M2022-03-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71080.708114-0.38%0.7164+0.79%0.0131✗0.34768k2022-03-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.6814.6243-0.38%14.41-1.84%0.0101✓1.0740.4M2022-03-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.84298.6875-0.38%296.36-1.16%0.0038✓0.936.6M2022-03-17
XVGVergenative0.0090.008965-0.39%0.00913+1.44%0.0233✗1.161.6M2022-03-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.08820.087855-0.39%0.0857-2.83%0.0196✓1.22504k2022-03-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1352.1266-0.39%2.148+0.61%0.0133✗0.7721k2022-03-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8190.815775-0.39%0.794-3.05%0.0214✓1.312.0M2022-03-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4916.425-0.39%16.56+0.42%0.0125✗1.0114.4M2022-03-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1313.077-0.40%13.04-0.69%0.0010✓0.433.1M2022-03-17
HIVEHivenative0.87460.871034-0.41%0.9169+4.84%0.0561✗1.111.9M2022-03-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0054.9846-0.41%5.114+2.18%0.0296✗0.9176k2022-03-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73710.734007-0.42%0.7417+0.62%0.0148✗1.0018.1M2022-03-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4217.3461-0.42%17.44+0.11%0.0096✗0.976.3M2022-03-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.1741.169-0.43%1.1607-1.13%0.0015✓1.282.4M2022-03-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.9943-0.43%6.05+0.50%0.0123✗0.71880k2022-03-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003480.003465-0.43%0.00345-0.86%0.0018✓1.435.2M2022-03-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24350.242454-0.43%0.2446+0.45%0.0124✗0.832.0M2022-03-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41940.417541-0.44%0.4096-2.34%0.0137✓1.27416k2022-03-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.322.3097-0.44%2.31-0.43%0.0043✓0.97145k2022-03-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5114430.509127-0.45%0.516324+0.95%0.0185✗1.041.9M2022-03-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.0418.9536-0.45%18.75-1.52%0.0061✓1.0825.1M2022-03-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2280.22695-0.46%0.239+4.82%0.0553✗0.8236k2022-03-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.72370.720357-0.46%0.7159-1.08%0.0020✓0.987.5M2022-03-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.8016-0.46%1.81+0.00%0.0102✗1.281.3M2022-03-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,215.3519,125.25-0.47%19,412.72+1.03%0.0191✗0.965.3M2022-03-17
GTGateEthereum6.50786.4771-0.47%6.3086-3.06%0.0236✓0.653.1M2022-03-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.07622.0663-0.47%2.0943+0.87%0.0170✗0.81123k2022-03-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.06470.064393-0.47%0.0633-2.16%0.0128✓1.00302k2022-03-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0171770.017095-0.48%0.016549-3.66%0.0291✓0.78167k2022-03-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.1546.1246-0.48%6.211+0.93%0.0183✗1.00462k2022-03-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016950.016868-0.48%0.01684-0.65%0.0027✓1.001.3M2022-03-17
PROPropyEthereum1.461.4529-0.49%1.45-0.68%0.0026✓1.05228k2022-03-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049450.049208-0.49%0.04974+0.59%0.0154✗1.08452k2022-03-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4281.421-0.49%1.408-1.40%0.0033✓1.36570k2022-03-17
QNTQuantEthereum117.28116.6979-0.50%114.23-2.60%0.0174✓0.924.5M2022-03-17
KSMKusamaHydration130.7130.0502-0.50%133.2+1.91%0.0287✗1.11664k2022-03-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50550.502971-0.50%0.5058+0.06%0.0088✗0.74420k2022-03-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1811.175-0.51%1.176-0.42%0.0050✓0.973.0M2022-03-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.20510.204062-0.51%0.2023-1.37%0.0031✓1.291.9M2022-03-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1327.9866-0.51%27.9-0.82%0.0008✓0.89846k2022-03-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.123.1041-0.51%3.17+1.60%0.0260✗1.165.8M2022-03-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.4414.3663-0.51%15.07+4.36%0.0534✗1.292.3M2022-03-17
XMRMoneroMonero189.66188.6841-0.51%187.84-0.96%0.0005✓0.931.7M2022-03-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.0912.0802-0.52%2.129+1.82%0.0288✗1.299.5M2022-03-17
ZENHorizenBase38.6738.4704-0.52%38.72+0.13%0.0121✗1.29244k2022-03-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5291.521-0.52%1.515-0.92%0.0002✓0.971.8M2022-03-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2164.194-0.52%4.399+4.34%0.0531✗1.252.4M2022-03-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.9728.8188-0.52%28.17-2.76%0.0178✓1.1442.9M2022-03-17
MINAMina Protocolnative1.861.8502-0.53%2.13+14.52%0.1454✗1.04336k2022-03-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.0531.0474-0.53%1.0593+0.60%0.0161✗1.11116k2022-03-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20370.202598-0.54%0.2105+3.34%0.0433✗1.172.3M2022-03-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1280.1273-0.55%0.12-6.25%0.0539✓1.182.4M2022-03-17
ZECZcashZcash154.1153.2561-0.55%153.41-0.45%0.0051✓0.959.0M2022-03-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.3627.2092-0.55%27.15-0.77%0.0020✓0.984.1M2022-03-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3224.1835-0.56%24.69+1.52%0.0262✗1.26735k2022-03-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.49222.4781-0.57%2.4389-2.14%0.0108✓1.182.1M2022-03-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011170.011106-0.58%0.01102-1.34%0.0025✓1.213.1M2022-03-17
XECeCashnative0.000080280.000079813-0.58%0.00007845-2.28%0.0131✓0.944.5M2022-03-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07320.07277-0.59%0.072-1.64%0.0072✓0.799,6412022-03-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15190.150999-0.59%0.1508-0.72%0.0032✓1.04244k2022-03-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4882.4731-0.60%2.555+2.69%0.0369✗1.0052k2022-03-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6111.6013-0.60%1.654+2.67%0.0359✗0.8150k2022-03-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4131.4045-0.60%1.5251+7.93%0.0883✗1.37289k2022-03-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6794.6509-0.60%4.833+3.29%0.0413✗0.67537k2022-03-17
ORCAOrcaSolana2.12.0873-0.61%2.06-1.90%0.0102✓0.67192k2022-03-17
COMPCompoundEthereum110109.3221-0.62%111.36+1.24%0.0232✗1.1046k2022-03-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3221.3138-0.62%1.283-2.95%0.0182✓1.262.8M2022-03-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31850.316509-0.63%0.3179-0.19%0.0100✗1.30866k2022-03-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.27130.2696-0.63%0.2838+4.61%0.0563✗1.14183k2022-03-17
XTZTezosTezos3.10133.0818-0.63%3.0843-0.55%0.0055✓1.091.2M2022-03-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036220.03599-0.64%0.03458-4.53%0.0368✓0.72979k2022-03-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.069851-0.64%0.0683-2.84%0.0173✓1.20377k2022-03-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.17634.1496-0.64%4.139-0.89%0.0015✓0.93204k2022-03-17
BANDBandEthereum3.6423.6183-0.65%3.529-3.10%0.0203✓1.09637k2022-03-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.8311.7531-0.65%12.5+5.66%0.0639✗0.531.2M2022-03-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.073080.072601-0.66%0.07231-1.05%0.0005✓1.0560k2022-03-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.081.0729-0.66%1.06-1.85%0.0077✓1.02532k2022-03-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094660.094028-0.67%0.09418-0.51%0.0054✓0.8730k2022-03-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.615833-0.67%0.6-3.23%0.0197✓1.47547k2022-03-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.49840.495036-0.68%0.5116+2.65%0.0372✗1.004,7232022-03-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.04996.0086-0.68%6.2395+3.13%0.0395✗0.41189k2022-03-17
MOVRMoonriverBase51.812351.4538-0.69%50.138-3.23%0.0201✓1.33166k2022-03-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.282.2641-0.70%2.12-7.02%0.0639✓0.42302k2022-03-17
STXStacksnative1.281.271-0.70%1.27-0.78%0.0032✓0.93463k2022-03-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73470.729475-0.71%0.7893+7.43%0.0841✗1.213.7M2022-03-17
LUNATerraTerra 289.1788.5295-0.72%86.84-2.61%0.0133✓1.388.8M2022-03-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7334.6984-0.73%4.762+0.61%0.0174✗0.92106k2022-03-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.23940.237619-0.74%0.2275-4.97%0.0392✓1.00174k2022-03-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7365.6933-0.74%5.612-2.16%0.0087✓1.3125k2022-03-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6461.6337-0.75%1.578-4.13%0.0306✓0.963.4M2022-03-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.33421-0.77%0.3225-4.25%0.0292✓1.5010.5M2022-03-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.8087.7478-0.77%7.738-0.90%0.0044✓1.306.0M2022-03-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.4550.0507-0.79%50.31-0.28%0.0106✗1.255.2M2022-03-17
AAVEAaveEthereum141.71140.5613-0.81%155.68+9.86%0.1076✗1.267.2M2022-03-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.14730.146078-0.83%0.14773+0.29%0.0149✗0.8515k2022-03-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.496.4357-0.84%6.38-1.69%0.0056✓0.72764k2022-03-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.7515-0.84%5.63-2.93%0.0156✓1.33498k2022-03-17
DODODODOEthereum0.3990.395642-0.84%0.389-2.51%0.0122✓1.102.8M2022-03-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0116830.011575-0.92%0.011603-0.68%0.0064✓0.9411k2022-03-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.511.4958-0.94%1.483-1.79%0.0043✓1.00593k2022-03-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06190.06131-0.95%0.0603-2.58%0.0092✓1.7242.5M2022-03-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.598.5077-0.96%8.25-3.96%0.0276✓0.721.5M2022-03-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.666.5943-0.99%6.56-1.50%0.0020✓0.74789k2022-03-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.820980.812873-0.99%0.85272+3.87%0.0527✗1.12111k2022-03-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.144.0988-0.99%4.13-0.24%0.0136✗1.39341k2022-03-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,103.1040,691.91-1.00%40,887.40-0.52%0.0089✓0.9652k2022-03-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4550.450363-1.02%0.4095-10.00%0.0900✓1.198.8M2022-03-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06073.0291-1.03%3.112+1.68%0.0305✗0.804.9M2022-03-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.08154.0315-1.23%3.8006-6.88%0.0563✓0.623.9M2022-03-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10722.081-1.24%2.0515-2.64%0.0112✓0.7016k2022-03-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1861.1711-1.25%1.131-4.64%0.0309✓0.931.0M2022-03-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5723.5171-1.54%3.389-5.12%0.0339✓0.74407k2022-03-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001290.000001269-1.66%0.000001211-6.10%0.0419✓1.001.7M2022-03-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021060.020694-1.74%0.02401+14.01%0.1555✗1.5913.0M2022-03-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9753.8998-1.89%3.752-5.61%0.0359✓0.64488k2022-03-17
NANOnanopayBase2.30372.2593-1.93%2.599+12.82%0.1453✗1.19119k2022-03-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4614.3639-2.18%4.3389-2.74%0.0028✓0.672.8M2022-03-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4470.435679-2.53%0.411-8.05%0.0535✓1.101.8M2022-03-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.85568.6173-2.69%9.064+2.35%0.0549✗1.0043.8M2022-03-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.4016.2043-3.07%6.185-3.37%0.0009✓0.503.6M2022-03-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.