8=======>

2022-03-13 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 157 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1680
157 of 157 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.7%
in alpha space · 17.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (157 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XEMNEMnative0.09130.091286-0.02%0.0947+3.72%0.0040✓0.8440k2022-03-14
API3Api3Ethereum4.8354.8338-0.02%4.765-1.45%0.0443✓0.627.4M2022-03-14
XVSVenusEthereum8.268.2546-0.07%8.49+2.78%0.0229✓1.053.2M2022-03-14
QTUMQtumQtum5.54915.5455-0.07%5.7568+3.74%0.0181✓1.14133k2022-03-14
KCSKuCoinnative17.69117.6701-0.12%18.087+2.24%0.0223✓0.947.9M2022-03-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06360.063524-0.12%0.0663+4.25%0.0131✓1.15445k2022-03-14
TRXTRONTron0.0592860.059215-0.12%0.060064+1.31%0.0183✓0.67259k2022-03-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40110.400573-0.13%0.3858-3.81%0.1028✓1.34377k2022-03-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,516.412,512.56-0.15%2,590.23+2.93%0.0200✓1.04501.7M2022-03-14
MINAMina Protocolnative1.631.6275-0.15%1.67+2.45%0.0238✓1.02328k2022-03-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1114940.111317-0.16%0.113913+2.17%0.0190✓0.872.9M2022-03-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06740.067289-0.17%0.0683+1.34%0.0304✓0.93151k2022-03-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.252.2462-0.17%2.368+5.24%0.0012✓1.06534k2022-03-14
SOLSolanaSolana78.7578.6158-0.17%81.24+3.16%0.0284✓1.2696.5M2022-03-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6050.603964-0.17%0.622+2.81%0.0152✓0.922.4M2022-03-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.28.1859-0.17%8.48+3.41%0.0144✓1.026.2M2022-03-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0157470.01572-0.17%0.021474+36.37%0.2787✗0.68143k2022-03-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.474070.473246-0.17%0.490244+3.41%0.0152✓1.042.0M2022-03-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.31.2977-0.17%1.4082+8.32%0.0196✗1.28289k2022-03-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.9767.8515-0.17%68.98+1.49%0.0476✓1.32116.5M2022-03-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,793.0137,726.15-0.18%39,674.17+4.98%0.0018✓1.00645.2M2022-03-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.580.578948-0.18%0.58+0.00%0.0742✓1.56711k2022-03-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1763420.17602-0.18%0.180075+2.12%0.0266✓1.0219.3M2022-03-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9260.924262-0.19%0.942+1.73%0.0227✓0.861.0M2022-03-14
MOVRMoonriverBase45.145.0141-0.19%46.9295+4.06%0.0234✓1.34160k2022-03-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.3675.2132-0.19%75.63+0.36%0.0310✓0.75905k2022-03-14
RADRadworksEthereum4.434.4213-0.20%4.39-0.90%0.0496✓0.88590k2022-03-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash279.78279.229-0.20%289.43+3.45%0.0096✓0.947.0M2022-03-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.4915.4802-0.20%5.636+2.64%0.0205✓1.00460k2022-03-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.69101.486-0.20%105.58+3.83%0.0095✓1.0126.1M2022-03-14
NANOnanopayBase1.63731.6339-0.20%1.7056+4.18%0.0093✓1.08125k2022-03-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021530.000021484-0.21%0.00002203+2.32%0.0323✓1.183.3M2022-03-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.68290.681449-0.21%0.6963+1.96%0.0431✓1.33106k2022-03-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.7112.6829-0.21%13.41+5.51%0.0039✗1.0744.7M2022-03-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003360.003353-0.21%0.00363+8.04%0.0087✗1.465.2M2022-03-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011670.011645-0.22%0.01174+0.60%0.0274✓0.7311k2022-03-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7450.74336-0.22%0.768+3.09%0.0316✓1.322.0M2022-03-14
DASHDashDash93.7893.5706-0.22%98.24+4.76%0.0001✓1.001.6M2022-03-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.755.7371-0.22%5.85+1.74%0.0151✓0.71931k2022-03-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022450.022399-0.23%0.0228+1.56%0.0341✓1.07323k2022-03-14
DIADIAEthereum0.870.867985-0.23%0.89+2.30%0.0079✗0.35274k2022-03-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016030.015992-0.23%0.01619+1.00%0.0360✓0.991.4M2022-03-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3121.3089-0.24%1.336+1.83%0.0273✓0.98672k2022-03-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.5861-0.24%1.69+6.29%0.0022✓1.261.3M2022-03-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.3640.363114-0.24%0.3874+6.43%0.0282✓1.912.2M2022-03-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0393530.039257-0.24%0.039855+1.28%0.0322✓0.975.1M2022-03-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00830.00828-0.24%0.00877+5.66%0.0043✗1.10489k2022-03-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.105737-0.25%0.104-1.89%0.0429✓0.5439k2022-03-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.5417.4954-0.25%18.64+6.27%0.0003✓1.30260k2022-03-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.7515.7093-0.26%16.18+2.73%0.0200✓1.0214.7M2022-03-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.68130.679532-0.26%0.7063+3.67%0.0109✓1.0218.2M2022-03-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3981.3943-0.26%1.459+4.36%0.0029✓0.991.6M2022-03-14
ADACardanoCardano0.78750.785404-0.27%0.8028+1.94%0.0276✓1.0269.1M2022-03-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001740.000001735-0.27%0.00000175+0.57%0.0215✓0.6213.3M2022-03-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.671510.669686-0.27%0.72186+7.50%0.0209✗1.12118k2022-03-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.3814.369-0.27%4.522+3.22%0.0108✓0.93121k2022-03-14
HIVEHivenative0.8290.826727-0.27%0.8427+1.65%0.0352✓1.121.7M2022-03-14
AAVEAaveEthereum115.63115.3128-0.27%118.38+2.38%0.0336✓1.237.0M2022-03-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.2212.1865-0.27%12.66+3.60%0.0139✓1.07359k2022-03-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.024330.024263-0.28%0.02467+1.40%0.0194✓0.743.1M2022-03-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037680.037576-0.28%0.03912+3.82%0.0013✓0.8625k2022-03-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6294.6161-0.28%4.77+3.05%0.0124✓0.9376k2022-03-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.31.2963-0.28%1.327+2.08%0.0431✓1.37569k2022-03-14
DODODODOEthereum0.3640.362976-0.28%0.369+1.37%0.0370✓1.103.2M2022-03-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0731.07-0.28%1.144+6.62%0.0204✗0.962.9M2022-03-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.2562.2496-0.28%2.3068+2.25%0.0320✓1.182.1M2022-03-14
ORCAOrcaSolana2.042.0342-0.29%2-1.96%0.0503✓0.69192k2022-03-14
FTTFTXEthereum39.839.6857-0.29%41.47+4.20%0.0067✓1.0416.1M2022-03-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.092.084-0.29%2.18+4.31%0.0018✓0.96141k2022-03-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7312.6923-0.30%13.52+6.21%0.0023✓1.252.2M2022-03-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62650.624623-0.30%0.6427+2.59%0.0324✓1.253.1M2022-03-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.09991.0966-0.30%1.1348+3.18%0.0291✓1.312.6M2022-03-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.70950.70736-0.30%0.7046-0.69%0.0200✓0.33878k2022-03-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.2217.168-0.30%17.69+2.73%0.0227✓1.0825.0M2022-03-14
ZENHorizenBase36.3636.2502-0.30%38.54+6.00%0.0005✓1.27244k2022-03-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.2517.1974-0.30%17.46+1.22%0.0327✓0.996.7M2022-03-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11310.112754-0.31%0.1186+4.86%0.0068✓1.182.8M2022-03-14
BANDBandEthereum3.3083.2979-0.31%3.366+1.75%0.0339✓1.12796k2022-03-14
SUSHISushiEthereum2.782.7714-0.31%2.9+4.32%0.0110✓1.165.8M2022-03-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.3825.3-0.32%25.92+2.13%0.0236✓0.984.5M2022-03-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.19390.193285-0.32%0.1945+0.31%0.0573✓1.312.0M2022-03-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.24590.245109-0.32%0.2584+5.08%0.0022✓1.13204k2022-03-14
QNTQuantEthereum111.99111.6294-0.32%113.5+1.35%0.0282✓0.924.8M2022-03-14
XVGVergenative0.008830.008801-0.33%0.00916+3.74%0.0164✓1.161.4M2022-03-14
XYMSymbolnative0.1330.132556-0.33%0.1322-0.60%0.0417✓0.80296k2022-03-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2227.1284-0.34%27.37+0.55%0.0351✓0.91893k2022-03-14
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5781.5727-0.34%1.61+2.03%0.0172✓0.8462k2022-03-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,034.5617,972.62-0.34%18,523.08+2.71%0.0151✓0.935.0M2022-03-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2622.1822-0.35%23.42+5.21%0.0065✓1.25846k2022-03-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9191.9123-0.35%1.952+1.72%0.0425✓1.309.4M2022-03-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14460.144086-0.36%0.1527+5.60%0.0083✗1.02244k2022-03-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.1845.0193-0.36%47.89+6.00%0.0014✓1.245.2M2022-03-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046570.046404-0.36%0.04611-0.99%0.0590✓1.08467k2022-03-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.913.896-0.36%3.965+1.41%0.0439✓1.262.3M2022-03-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68040.67795-0.36%0.7121+4.66%0.0016✓0.987.4M2022-03-14
KSMKusamaHydration117.74117.3116-0.36%120.47+2.32%0.0279✓1.12649k2022-03-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.0662.0584-0.37%2.098+1.55%0.0188✓0.7819k2022-03-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22660.22576-0.37%0.2384+5.21%0.0156✗0.801.9M2022-03-14
SGBSongbirdnative0.06350.063264-0.37%0.0614-3.31%0.0785✓1.00303k2022-03-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.29370.292577-0.38%0.3117+6.13%0.0121✓1.5510.3M2022-03-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4780.476155-0.39%0.4889+2.28%0.0103✓0.75436k2022-03-14
GTGateEthereum6.24886.2244-0.39%6.346+1.56%0.0126✓0.662.8M2022-03-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012790.01274-0.39%0.01958+53.09%0.3621✗1.3912.7M2022-03-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.2526.1471-0.39%26.83+2.21%0.0294✓1.1443.1M2022-03-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2210.220128-0.39%0.228+3.17%0.0037✓0.8047k2022-03-14
PROPropyEthereum1.51.494-0.40%1.43-4.67%0.0976✓1.11295k2022-03-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83355.81-0.40%5.8951+1.06%0.0048✓0.40186k2022-03-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33410.332724-0.41%0.3655+9.40%0.0361✗1.197.6M2022-03-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28980.288605-0.41%0.3223+11.21%0.0479✗1.29857k2022-03-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1511.1461-0.42%1.236+7.38%0.0174✗1.202.2M2022-03-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4413.3819-0.43%13.26-1.34%0.0304✓0.443.2M2022-03-14
COMPCompoundEthereum98.7998.3618-0.43%99.59+0.81%0.0416✓1.1144k2022-03-14
XTZTezosTezos2.91172.899-0.44%3.0001+3.04%0.0206✓1.131.2M2022-03-14
XECeCashnative0.000073480.000073159-0.44%0.00007592+3.32%0.0105✓0.984.2M2022-03-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.4720.469907-0.44%0.4608-2.37%0.0681✓1.004,6242022-03-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.693-0.46%3.73+0.54%0.0582✓1.40341k2022-03-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.051.0452-0.46%1.04-0.95%0.0541✓1.01569k2022-03-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.991470.986909-0.46%0.9939+0.25%0.0474✓1.12112k2022-03-14
LSKLiskEthereum2.03462.0252-0.46%2.0564+1.08%0.0254✓0.84112k2022-03-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.142620.141948-0.47%0.1444+1.25%0.0235✓0.8416k2022-03-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0111380.011086-0.47%0.01177+5.67%0.0144✗0.9411k2022-03-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,704.3037,524.36-0.48%39,373.20+4.43%0.0013✓0.9642k2022-03-14
XMRMoneroMonero176.15175.3049-0.48%185.79+5.47%0.0133✗0.921.5M2022-03-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06750.067172-0.49%0.0694+2.81%0.0195✓1.0758k2022-03-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.255.2239-0.50%5.44+3.62%0.0230✓1.31564k2022-03-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.9313.9112-0.50%4.0362+2.68%0.0141✓0.94204k2022-03-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.21720.216107-0.50%0.2186+0.64%0.0371✓1.00168k2022-03-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.08880.088348-0.51%0.09014+1.51%0.0230✓0.8933k2022-03-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.1940.193012-0.51%0.1955+0.77%0.0445✓1.182.3M2022-03-14
AVTAventusEthereum2.142.1291-0.51%2.3+7.48%0.0579✗0.40272k2022-03-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011210.011152-0.52%0.01143+1.96%0.0347✓1.223.1M2022-03-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06780.067444-0.52%0.06877+1.43%0.0208✓0.8311k2022-03-14
GITCOINGITCOIN5.2255.1975-0.53%5.436+4.04%0.0177✓1.2925k2022-03-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05390.053611-0.54%0.0558+3.53%0.0431✓1.7144.0M2022-03-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4432.4289-0.58%2.416-1.11%0.0539✓1.0054k2022-03-14
ZECZcashZcash155153.9323-0.69%149.64-3.46%0.0748✓0.967.9M2022-03-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.02462.0099-0.72%2.033+0.41%0.0233✓0.7120k2022-03-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03830.038016-0.74%0.03625-5.35%0.0841✓0.751.0M2022-03-14
STXStacksnative1.221.2108-0.75%1.28+4.92%0.0112✗0.91419k2022-03-14
LUNATerraTerra 287.4686.7952-0.76%94.79+8.38%0.0199✗1.407.8M2022-03-14
UMAUMAEthereum7.3267.2698-0.77%7.574+3.39%0.0227✓1.315.4M2022-03-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.58392.5622-0.84%2.9+12.23%0.0852✗0.793.6M2022-03-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6931.6781-0.88%1.651-2.48%0.0629✓0.963.3M2022-03-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.7711.6588-0.94%11.32-3.82%0.0559✓0.541.2M2022-03-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.4816-1.20%6.85+4.42%0.0189✗0.75683k2022-03-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.228.1105-1.33%8.06-1.95%0.0412✓0.721.1M2022-03-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8234.7584-1.34%4.541-5.85%0.0812✓0.71522k2022-03-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001170.000001154-1.35%0.000001126-3.69%0.0726✓1.001.7M2022-03-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.91843.8637-1.40%3.6677-6.40%0.0825✓0.633.4M2022-03-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.09620.09482-1.43%0.0894-7.07%0.1217✓1.29504k2022-03-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.276.1727-1.55%6.81+8.61%0.0636✗0.71612k2022-03-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5763.5038-2.02%3.453-3.44%0.0504✓0.74337k2022-03-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.5475.42-2.29%5.312-4.24%0.0427✓0.461.9M2022-03-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3540.345461-2.41%0.421+18.93%0.1453✗1.081.8M2022-03-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3994.2843-2.61%4.071-7.46%0.0825✓0.65436k2022-03-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.73927.5339-2.65%8.597+11.08%0.0834✗1.0025.2M2022-03-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.86544.7276-2.83%4.315-11.31%0.1246✓0.692.4M2022-03-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.