8=======>

2022-03-04 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1502
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
21.1%
in alpha space · 16.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.2169.0332-1.98%9.313+1.05%0.0224✗1.352.0M2022-03-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.518.3508-1.87%8.2-3.64%0.0229✓0.78480k2022-03-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2635-1.61%3.29-0.81%0.0050✓0.52955k2022-03-05
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.6782-1.54%2.59-4.78%0.0395✓1.00443k2022-03-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-77.28e-7-1.22%0.000001117+51.59%0.4223✗1.001.0M2022-03-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.417.2204-1.03%17.27-0.75%0.0007✓0.602.8M2022-03-05
LUNATerraTerra 283.4982.6534-1.00%87.53+4.84%0.0489✗1.405.0M2022-03-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.72317-0.99%0.7277-0.37%0.0015✓1.292.7M2022-03-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.2905-0.77%10.56+1.83%0.0223✗0.59984k2022-03-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.4892-0.70%2.3445-6.47%0.0648✓0.812.9M2022-03-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01772.9985-0.64%2.9968-0.69%0.0050✓0.743.6M2022-03-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.435257-0.63%0.4561+4.13%0.0345✗2.052.3M2022-03-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8971-0.62%1.9409+1.67%0.0170✗0.9682k2022-03-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.1696-0.59%14.85-2.69%0.0295✓1.372.4M2022-03-05
PROPropyEthereum1.761.7498-0.58%1.77+0.57%0.0046✓1.15411k2022-03-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.9919-0.58%2.9894-0.66%0.0053✓0.742.4M2022-03-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.067535-0.54%0.0689+1.47%0.0145✗0.9213k2022-03-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.0563-0.53%0.0573+1.24%0.0072✗1.7366.8M2022-03-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.093.0739-0.52%2.927-5.28%0.0557✓1.11660k2022-03-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.7896-0.52%1.89+5.06%0.0492✗0.8968k2022-03-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8683-0.51%2.877-0.21%0.0020✓0.83276k2022-03-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7186-0.51%2.826+3.42%0.0327✗1.0012.7M2022-03-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.4156-0.51%4.51+1.62%0.0165✗0.78463k2022-03-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.146459-0.50%0.146-0.82%0.0092✓1.01330k2022-03-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9039,394.54-0.50%39,586.40-0.01%0.0009✓0.9659k2022-03-05
API3Api3Ethereum6.3116.2804-0.48%6.513+3.20%0.0329✗0.587.0M2022-03-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027574-0.46%0.0275-0.72%0.0099✓1.21503k2022-03-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.01134-0.45%0.012109+6.30%0.0597✗1.0013k2022-03-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.344843-0.45%0.3623+4.59%0.0397✗1.6214.3M2022-03-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3561-0.44%5.41+0.56%0.0051✗0.82584k2022-03-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5130.3748-0.44%30.85+1.11%0.0084✗1.1952.8M2022-03-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6327.5108-0.43%27.83+0.72%0.0053✗1.045.2M2022-03-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2429-0.43%6.28+0.16%0.0010✓0.82518k2022-03-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6828.5564-0.43%29.9+4.25%0.0403✗0.941.5M2022-03-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3402-0.43%1.334-0.89%0.0120✓1.222.4M2022-03-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8649-0.42%2.898+0.73%0.0067✗0.80457k2022-03-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.2523-0.42%1.2868+2.33%0.0188✗1.393.1M2022-03-05
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79108.3373-0.42%109.66+0.80%0.0051✗1.1757k2022-03-05
ZECZcashZcash117.05116.5634-0.42%116.52-0.45%0.0070✓1.107.4M2022-03-05
DIADIAEthereum0.970.966026-0.41%1.01+4.12%0.0426✗0.33277k2022-03-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.9517-0.41%4.0278+1.51%0.0125✗1.09244k2022-03-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.0495-0.40%5-1.38%0.0158✓0.98862k2022-03-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.78159.1409-0.40%166.09+3.95%0.0368✗0.991.4M2022-03-05
GTGateEthereum6.68186.6552-0.40%6.7967+1.72%0.0169✗0.692.8M2022-03-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.034373-0.40%0.03865+12.00%0.1128✗0.751.1M2022-03-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.239048-0.40%0.246+2.50%0.0239✗0.7966k2022-03-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.08858-0.39%0.09015+1.37%0.0118✗0.9742k2022-03-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.4187-0.39%1.4397+1.08%0.0070✗1.29293k2022-03-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.047165-0.39%0.05203+9.88%0.0913✗1.15605k2022-03-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.5163-0.39%5.3562-3.28%0.0317✓0.38300k2022-03-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.527193-0.38%0.5331+0.74%0.0062✗0.82545k2022-03-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.261305-0.38%0.268+2.17%0.0179✗1.23284k2022-03-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.749.5121-0.38%51.87+4.37%0.0387✗1.306.3M2022-03-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.9513-0.38%5.094+2.49%0.0227✗0.9472k2022-03-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.012065-0.37%0.01233+1.82%0.0172✗0.7613k2022-03-05
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000070347-0.37%0.00007291+3.26%0.0295✗1.054.5M2022-03-05
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.3514-0.37%2.43+2.97%0.0283✗0.76393k2022-03-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.778844-0.37%0.8021+2.61%0.0276✗0.311.2M2022-03-05
BANDBandEthereum3.723.7067-0.36%3.81+2.42%0.0203✗1.201.7M2022-03-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03042.0232-0.36%2.3731+16.88%0.1551✗0.7325k2022-03-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.194513-0.35%0.2326+19.16%0.1713✗1.262.7M2022-03-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003986-0.34%0.0041+2.50%0.0184✗1.616.6M2022-03-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.8001-0.34%6.06+4.12%0.0356✗1.37829k2022-03-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.00002345-0.34%0.00002459+4.50%0.0401✗1.243.9M2022-03-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.068966-0.34%0.0709+2.46%0.0202✗1.241.0M2022-03-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.017551-0.34%0.01871+6.25%0.0577✗1.052.2M2022-03-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.647831-0.33%0.66+1.54%0.0085✗1.68988k2022-03-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.27311-0.32%0.281+2.55%0.0210✗1.252.1M2022-03-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.7144-0.32%1.81+5.23%0.0463✗1.321.9M2022-03-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.946355-0.32%0.96031+1.15%0.0070✗1.27162k2022-03-05
STXStacksnative1.111.1064-0.32%1.14+2.70%0.0229✗1.17517k2022-03-05
XEMNEMnative0.0960.095691-0.32%0.0978+1.87%0.0164✗0.8940k2022-03-05
HIVEHivenative0.90480.901893-0.32%0.9161+1.25%0.0084✗1.212.1M2022-03-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.3404-0.32%13.16+6.30%0.0577✗1.10312k2022-03-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011075-0.32%0.01183+6.48%0.0579✗1.342.9M2022-03-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.733089-0.31%0.7607+3.44%0.0282✗1.45227k2022-03-05
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232760.0435-0.31%60.0292-0.34%0.0084✓1.37223k2022-03-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0808-0.31%6.34+3.93%0.0371✗0.781.1M2022-03-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.565-0.31%17.68+0.34%0.0001✓1.1019.5M2022-03-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5139,047.24-0.30%39,402.43+0.60%0.0030✓1.00706.4M2022-03-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.652031-0.30%0.6759+3.35%0.0280✗1.32180k2022-03-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.2453-0.30%2.247-0.22%0.0078✓1.4312.7M2022-03-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.036-0.29%1.06+2.02%0.0170✗0.991.2M2022-03-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.1666-0.29%1.22+4.27%0.0387✗1.00770k2022-03-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.6075-0.29%3.861+6.72%0.0606✗1.212.1M2022-03-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.044022-0.29%0.04506+2.07%0.0171✗1.048.1M2022-03-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.150199-0.29%0.15295+1.54%0.0126✗0.9321k2022-03-05
SUSHISushiEthereum3.043.0314-0.28%3.1+1.97%0.0151✗1.206.5M2022-03-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.339043-0.28%0.347+2.06%0.0154✗1.318.7M2022-03-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2118.1588-0.28%19.06+4.67%0.0402✗1.37325k2022-03-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.7673-0.28%19.09+1.43%0.0109✗1.029.1M2022-03-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3442-0.28%1.359+0.82%0.0048✗1.03917k2022-03-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.104708-0.28%0.105+0.00%0.0008✓0.6044k2022-03-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.688099-0.28%0.687-0.43%0.0074✓0.962.6M2022-03-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.064203-0.27%0.06626+2.92%0.0245✗1.1760k2022-03-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.7975-0.27%23.37+2.23%0.0167✗1.351.4M2022-03-05
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.140116-0.27%0.14-0.36%0.0057✓0.81299k2022-03-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.2139-0.27%2.26+1.80%0.0146✗1.00242k2022-03-05
FTTFTXEthereum40.540.3901-0.27%41.16+1.63%0.0123✗1.1019.7M2022-03-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.054.039-0.27%4.15+2.47%0.0182✗1.48458k2022-03-05
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008447-0.27%0.00862+1.77%0.0132✗1.17546k2022-03-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8275.6151-0.27%76.71+1.17%0.0061✗1.39123.1M2022-03-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.1283-0.27%2.18+2.16%0.0190✗0.8423k2022-03-05
QNTQuantEthereum118.5118.1835-0.27%120.94+2.06%0.0170✗1.016.3M2022-03-05
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.4109-0.27%0.424+2.91%0.0243✗1.184.1M2022-03-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001825-0.27%0.00000186+1.64%0.0151✗0.6413.7M2022-03-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.7454-0.27%17.32+3.16%0.0267✗1.1726.4M2022-03-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.122068-0.26%0.124887+2.04%0.0174✗0.903.7M2022-03-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.8356-0.26%6.001+2.56%0.0198✗1.3525k2022-03-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.449214-0.26%0.4583+1.75%0.0116✗1.40452k2022-03-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.4093-0.26%1.459+3.26%0.0282✗1.081.8M2022-03-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.4716-0.26%2.5502+2.91%0.0237✗1.273.1M2022-03-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.022.0148-0.26%2.01-0.50%0.0091✓1.12354k2022-03-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3679.1561-0.26%81.26+2.39%0.0213✗0.82908k2022-03-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.026534-0.25%0.02701+1.54%0.0132✗0.774.0M2022-03-05
DASHDashDash89.5989.3673-0.25%89.69+0.11%0.0029✓1.071.5M2022-03-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.3547-0.25%1.419+4.49%0.0375✗1.49797k2022-03-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.037718-0.24%0.03857+2.01%0.0169✗0.9129k2022-03-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.9111-0.24%6.0793+2.60%0.0205✗1.26226k2022-03-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.208494-0.24%0.2122+1.53%0.0089✗1.452.5M2022-03-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.116627-0.23%0.118+0.94%0.0044✗1.213.2M2022-03-05
ZENHorizenBase33.6133.5334-0.23%34.69+3.21%0.0254✗1.41280k2022-03-05
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.058132-0.23%0.060417+3.70%0.0341✗0.74307k2022-03-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.234471-0.23%0.238+1.28%0.0095✗0.902.0M2022-03-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.708409-0.22%0.7364+3.72%0.0326✗1.029.6M2022-03-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67290.0261-0.22%294.47+1.31%0.0095✗0.947.3M2022-03-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.9891-0.22%5.173+3.46%0.0304✗0.96166k2022-03-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0119,815.84-0.22%20,264.00+2.04%0.0166✗0.975.8M2022-03-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.758861-0.22%0.7744+1.83%0.0135✗1.1219.7M2022-03-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.349256-0.21%0.3617+3.34%0.0267✗1.381.2M2022-03-05
KCSKuCoinnative18.23818.1996-0.21%18.59+1.93%0.0152✗1.009.1M2022-03-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.494072-0.21%0.500783+1.14%0.0070✗1.082.8M2022-03-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.084924-0.21%0.088+3.41%0.0266✗1.50592k2022-03-05
XTZTezosTezos3.07893.0726-0.20%3.141+2.02%0.0145✗1.241.7M2022-03-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.05100.8457-0.20%104.9+3.81%0.0330✗1.0729.3M2022-03-05
XVGVergenative0.009440.009421-0.20%0.00954+1.06%0.0054✗1.181.4M2022-03-05
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3124.0539-0.20%124.61+0.25%0.0033✓1.307.2M2022-03-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.1118-0.20%1.162+4.31%0.0378✗1.053.0M2022-03-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.7937-0.19%9.02+2.38%0.0187✗1.129.2M2022-03-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.778593-0.18%0.821+5.26%0.0456✗1.252.4M2022-03-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.7166-0.17%14.02+2.04%0.0150✗1.1550.1M2022-03-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.06699-0.16%0.0692+3.13%0.0265✗0.99159k2022-03-05
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.843683-0.16%0.8654+2.41%0.0189✗1.0992.2M2022-03-05
SOLSolanaSolana88.3288.2059-0.13%89.62+1.47%0.0083✗1.27121.6M2022-03-05
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.7506-0.13%1.8157+3.58%0.0298✗1.12171k2022-03-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,619.88-0.12%2,665.77+1.63%0.0109✗1.08561.7M2022-03-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.5697-0.12%8.84+3.03%0.0239✗1.183.6M2022-03-05
KSMKusamaHydration120.67120.5363-0.11%122.67+1.66%0.0108✗1.12910k2022-03-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018574-0.11%0.018318-1.48%0.0189✓0.84143k2022-03-05
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.175901-0.09%0.180332+2.43%0.0186✗1.0519.8M2022-03-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.3195-0.04%1.282-2.88%0.0351✓1.043.4M2022-03-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.014436+0.04%0.01395-3.33%0.0431✗1.4712.7M2022-03-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.