8=======>

2022-03-01 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1640
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.133968-0.02%0.133081-0.68%0.0046✗0.943.7M2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9202-0.05%1.8782-2.23%0.0080✓1.18179k2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.342-0.09%9.78+4.60%0.0603✗1.213.4M2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.198731-0.10%0.193624-2.67%0.0133✓1.0720.5M2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074224-0.10%0.0754+1.48%0.0275✗0.99155k2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana98.798.5666-0.14%100.73+2.06%0.0367✗1.26131.2M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6887.561-0.14%86.11-1.79%0.0067✓0.84905k2022-03-02
DASHDashDash100.0199.8683-0.14%100.9+0.89%0.0238✗1.131.5M2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.3382-0.14%15.29-0.46%0.0109✗1.1852.2M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65112.466-0.16%110.35-2.04%0.0056✓1.1229.5M2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.01221-0.17%0.01235+0.98%0.0203✗0.7413k2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.754256-0.17%0.73047-3.32%0.0157✓1.37206k2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041798-0.17%0.04078-2.60%0.0128✓0.9929k2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6936-0.17%6.4867-3.26%0.0154✓1.34226k2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash119.02118.8105-0.18%125.91+5.79%0.0715✗1.137.2M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78328.1693-0.19%320.43-2.54%0.0123✓0.977.6M2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.16522-0.19%0.16542-0.07%0.0154✗1.1924k2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.519-0.19%1.496-1.71%0.0020✓1.12939k2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.5787-0.21%1.464-7.46%0.0629✓1.053.4M2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.241487-0.21%0.247+2.07%0.0328✗0.8659k2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.855065-0.21%0.8204-4.26%0.0279✓1.1320.7M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.962213-0.22%0.9394-2.58%0.0107✓1.1197.3M2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.15197-0.22%0.149-2.17%0.0100✓0.81294k2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.572333-0.22%0.570611-0.52%0.0105✗1.132.8M2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum46.2546.1464-0.22%46.16-0.19%0.0131✗1.0722.8M2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.6988-0.23%20.355-1.88%0.0049✓0.999.5M2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10970.109442-0.23%0.1064-3.01%0.0166✓0.9741k2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004699-0.24%0.00469-0.42%0.0177✗1.649.6M2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,970.47-0.24%2,948.56-0.98%0.0051✗1.04561.7M2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.231217-0.25%0.2308-0.43%0.0158✗1.472.6M2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.3139-0.25%10.05-2.80%0.0119✓1.1810.8M2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028776-0.26%0.02832-1.84%0.0067✓0.774.1M2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.062019-0.26%0.061505-1.08%0.0008✓0.77299k2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.887675-0.26%0.917+3.03%0.0478✗1.282.3M2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016517-0.26%0.01634-1.33%0.0074✗1.5212.5M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.695105-0.27%0.703+0.86%0.0241✗1.072.5M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.374255-0.28%0.3742-0.29%0.0161✗1.368.7M2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7012-0.28%6.71-0.15%0.0075✗0.511.2M2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.049346-0.28%0.04679-5.45%0.0404✓1.078.1M2022-03-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001984-0.29%0.00000196-1.51%0.0043✓0.6614.0M2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9544,309.66-0.29%43,912.34-1.19%0.0029✓1.00632.3M2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048537-0.29%0.04875+0.14%0.0188✗1.20681k2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7352-0.30%6.803+0.71%0.0184✗0.702.8M2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000078722-0.30%0.00007594-3.82%0.0229✓1.104.5M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.122624-0.31%0.116-5.69%0.0490✓0.5444k2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.286-0.31%1.27-1.55%0.0001✓1.04885k2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.753-0.31%6.038+4.63%0.0609✗1.05181k2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.833243-0.32%0.8082-3.31%0.0132✓1.45270k2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.6118-0.32%1.59-1.67%0.0001✓1.151.8M2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1729-0.33%2.13-2.29%0.0060✓1.17354k2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.8368-0.33%18.61-1.53%0.0024✓1.2129.4M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum119.35118.946-0.34%117.95-1.17%0.0034✗0.996.4M2022-03-02
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0563-0.35%1.02-3.77%0.0318✓0.27286k2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3419.2718-0.35%19.31-0.16%0.0158✗1.1620.6M2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3530.2426-0.35%29.52-2.73%0.0113✓1.085.2M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.523437-0.35%0.5144-2.08%0.0010✓1.37484k2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.724219-0.36%0.7242-0.36%0.0041✗0.351.2M2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.39818-0.36%0.397-0.65%0.0141✗1.431.3M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2499-0.36%2.2311-1.19%0.0001✓0.7126k2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.2047-0.36%15.16-0.66%0.0147✗1.482.4M2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.028097-0.37%0.0268-4.96%0.0314✓1.33500k2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.00002703-0.37%0.00002591-4.50%0.0274✓1.253.9M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1024-0.37%10.14+0.00%0.0116✗0.66928k2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.160899-0.37%0.1595-1.24%0.0035✓1.03446k2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.194665-0.38%0.197+0.82%0.0283✗1.372.8M2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.477194-0.38%0.468-2.30%0.0041✓1.294.2M2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.091882-0.39%0.091-1.34%0.0030✓1.0643k2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.1607-0.39%3.976-4.81%0.0307✓1.232.3M2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.078285-0.40%0.0775-1.40%0.0055✗1.311.0M2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.8958-0.40%20.73-1.19%0.0054✗1.129.1M2022-03-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.8027-0.40%2.237+23.59%0.2261✗0.8676k2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009751-0.40%0.00957-2.25%0.0037✓1.25563k2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34142.7629-0.40%137.7-3.93%0.0201✓1.346.8M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.776856-0.40%0.75-3.85%0.0147✓1.711.0M2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.291.2847-0.41%1.25-3.10%0.0131✓1.20596k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.13564-0.41%0.1299-4.63%0.0279✓1.293.1M2022-03-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.569-0.43%2.52-2.33%0.0073✓1.00488k2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.7227-0.43%16.15+2.28%0.0353✗0.712.2M2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.7277-0.43%30.37-1.59%0.0006✓0.931.5M2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.6001-0.43%1.548-3.67%0.0158✓1.45863k2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.9242-0.43%5.9424-0.13%0.0067✗0.31433k2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9686.5814-0.44%83.42-4.07%0.0201✓1.43118.3M2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.072582-0.44%0.0714-2.06%0.0044✓1.0112k2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4823-0.44%4.505+0.07%0.0151✗0.84435k2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.796495-0.44%0.7872-1.60%0.0013✓1.099.7M2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase39.3439.167-0.44%38.92-1.07%0.0110✗1.45280k2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.1888-0.44%3.114-2.78%0.0136✓0.85477k2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration138.55137.9306-0.45%138.31-0.17%0.0165✗1.15973k2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.1076-0.45%3.0322-2.87%0.0141✓0.883.6M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2607-0.46%4.413+3.10%0.0488✗1.14244k2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010440.010392-0.46%0.01037-0.67%0.0128✗1.241.3M2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.4536-0.47%3.41-1.73%0.0024✓1.266.8M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.9153-0.48%20.76-5.72%0.0370✓1.44328k2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.8235-0.48%2.7532-2.96%0.0109✓1.203.3M2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.256354-0.48%0.2571-0.19%0.0138✗0.912.0M2022-03-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3187-0.48%2.35+0.86%0.0253✗1.00443k2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3216-0.49%1.359+2.33%0.0436✗1.312.0M2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.9858-0.50%32.25+3.56%0.0537✗1.1450.3M2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.316401-0.50%0.308-3.14%0.0113✓1.312.2M2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3583-0.51%1.389+1.75%0.0387✗1.362.8M2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94125.3009-0.51%122.45-2.77%0.0085✓1.2258k2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2627.1209-0.51%26.56-2.57%0.0044✓1.381.6M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9797-0.52%1.93-3.02%0.0096✓1.332.0M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,643.81-0.52%22,346.94+2.72%0.0437✗0.985.9M2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3833-0.53%2.298-4.09%0.0256✓0.9123k2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.6119-0.54%2.895+10.24%0.1188✗1.33584k2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415666.0552-0.54%71.55+7.73%0.0964✗1.38223k2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2174-0.54%1.202-1.80%0.0016✓1.202.9M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0295-0.55%0.9988-3.52%0.0161✓1.192.1M2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,897.10-0.55%44,262.00+0.28%0.0199✗0.9752k2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero177.8176.8236-0.55%177.46-0.19%0.0155✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.4147-0.56%5.551+1.95%0.0357✗0.9171k2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.020336-0.56%0.01892-7.48%0.0592✓1.092.2M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.01242-0.56%0.012216-2.19%0.0042✓1.0315k2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.7845-0.56%6.7-1.80%0.0041✓1.3927k2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.573195-0.57%0.5665-1.73%0.0009✓0.91642k2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1956.8614-0.57%55.59-2.80%0.0071✓1.306.7M2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.2024-0.58%4.016-4.99%0.0298✓1.301.8M2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8308-0.60%4.65-4.32%0.0201✓1.51456k2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.303935-0.61%0.2945-3.70%0.0158✓1.32328k2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.53-0.63%2.647+3.97%0.0627✗1.4613.6M2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.034045-0.63%0.03397-0.85%0.0085✗0.901.2M2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4443-0.64%2.43-1.22%0.0061✓1.00263k2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.237-0.64%1.164-6.51%0.0481✓1.061.3M2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0774-0.66%1.0742-0.96%0.0129✗1.33175k2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.075825-0.66%0.07258-4.91%0.0288✓1.2569k2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.7747-0.66%6.64-2.64%0.0032✓1.41942k2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0847-0.69%5.59+9.18%0.1068✗1.01828k2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0706-0.70%3.0297-2.02%0.0029✓0.882.4M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0913.991-0.70%13.69-2.84%0.0087✓1.09331k2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011379-0.71%0.01231+7.42%0.0953✗1.392.8M2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.5353-0.76%0.5029-6.77%0.0384✓2.012.1M2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.478-0.76%5.57+0.91%0.0269✗0.86510k2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069757-0.77%0.0655-6.83%0.0419✓1.7676.7M2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4645-0.78%3.494+0.06%0.0238✗1.282.1M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.688-0.81%1.6226-4.65%0.0244✓1.27278k2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8248-0.83%1.82-1.09%0.0118✗1.21452k2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022494-0.83%0.021073-7.09%0.0549✓0.86124k2022-03-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-76.06e-7-0.83%6.29e-7+3.00%0.0499✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.418125-0.87%0.4033-4.39%0.0165✓1.6414.7M2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4532-0.87%6.43-1.23%0.0069✓0.88452k2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.103857-0.90%0.0991-5.44%0.0290✓1.50613k2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9627-1.18%1.9592-1.36%0.0106✓1.0475k2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 289.7288.6275-1.22%92.43+3.02%0.0591✗1.434.8M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.0331-1.23%2.98-2.96%0.0070✓0.89218k2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.149-1.38%2.99-6.36%0.0405✓0.95741k2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.533-1.53%2.7751+7.88%0.1019✗0.882.7M2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.9641-1.60%7.3-9.81%0.0812✓0.492.9M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.278.0816-2.28%7.94-3.99%0.0067✓0.92461k2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.739395-2.48%0.7291-3.84%0.0026✓1.392.5M2022-03-02
UMAUMAEthereum9.4479.1084-3.58%8.421-10.86%0.0615✓1.421.9M2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.