8=======>

2022-02-28 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0463
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.8%
in alpha space · 39.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum7.2287.0695-2.19%9.447+30.70%0.2514✗1.351.9M2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 291.3889.5231-2.03%89.72-1.82%0.0393✓1.464.5M2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.4128-1.82%8.27+9.54%0.0839✗0.90461k2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2591-1.75%3.193-3.74%0.0480✓0.97741k2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.4343-1.26%8.094+7.50%0.0716✗0.472.3M2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.4097-1.20%2.5724+5.47%0.0403✗0.882.7M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0792-1.15%3.071-1.41%0.0283✓0.90218k2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.498623-1.07%0.5394+7.02%0.0217✗2.002.1M2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.5367-0.96%6.51-1.36%0.0294✓0.89452k2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.2032-0.92%3.203-0.93%0.0248✓0.87477k2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069661-0.91%0.0703+0.00%0.0416✓1.7876.7M2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.4625-0.86%5.52+0.18%0.0141✓0.86510k2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.214.0787-0.85%14.09-0.77%0.0306✓1.10331k2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.5264-0.85%4.502-1.38%0.0297✓0.85435k2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.130886-0.84%0.123-6.82%0.0785✓0.5844k2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6614-0.83%1.7018+1.58%0.0122✓1.27272k2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1816.0463-0.83%15.79-2.41%0.0366✓0.722.2M2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.021223-0.82%0.02045-4.44%0.0686✓1.112.2M2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0951-0.79%3.1217+0.07%0.0165✓0.883.6M2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.086-0.79%3.0922-0.59%0.0233✓0.892.4M2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.5873-0.76%5.445-3.29%0.0525✓0.9468k2022-03-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.36e-7-0.74%6.11e-7-4.60%0.0681✓1.001.2M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1510.0786-0.70%10.14-0.10%0.0129✓0.67928k2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3831.1618-0.70%31.14-0.76%0.0336✓1.1550.3M2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,842.23-0.68%44,139.10+2.32%0.0021✓0.9846k2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.16013-0.66%0.1615+0.19%0.0209✓1.03446k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.4241-0.65%2.46+0.82%0.0139✓1.01254k2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75119.965-0.65%125.94+4.30%0.0141✗1.2164k2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.745287-0.63%0.78+4.00%0.0033✓1.72995k2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2284-0.61%1.245+0.73%0.0171✓1.071.2M2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4627-0.58%2.396-3.27%0.0540✓0.9321k2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3202-0.57%1.3652+2.82%0.0053✓1.362.7M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8295-0.57%1.84+0.00%0.0290✓1.22483k2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero170.31169.3596-0.56%177.8+4.40%0.0204✗0.991.0M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028842-0.55%0.0282-2.76%0.0606✓1.34494k2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.012082-0.55%0.01249+2.82%0.0039✓1.0316k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.3677-0.53%30.35-0.59%0.0315✓1.095.1M2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.049004-0.53%0.049485+0.45%0.0207✓1.078.1M2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.8263-0.53%1.81-1.42%0.0339✓0.8776k2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.6058-0.53%20.98-3.41%0.0617✓1.148.6M2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.8949-0.52%5.9499+0.41%0.0005✓0.31385k2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.034852-0.51%0.03426-2.20%0.0429✓0.901.2M2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1320.0282-0.51%19.34-3.92%0.0684✓1.1821.3M2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.077607-0.50%0.0786+0.77%0.0248✓1.321.0M2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0646-0.50%1.06-0.93%0.0121✓0.27286k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76367.4243-0.50%66.4156-1.99%0.0548✓1.40214k2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,977.04-0.50%44,439.95+2.89%0.0050✓1.00630.5M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.1335-0.49%4.177+0.55%0.0248✓1.242.3M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.7567-0.49%6.82+0.44%0.0311✓1.421.1M2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.566861-0.48%0.7582+33.11%0.2531✗1.322.4M2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.5079-0.48%2.33-7.54%0.1021✓1.00486k2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.069172-0.47%0.0729+4.89%0.0240✗1.0012k2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.363973-0.47%0.4218+15.34%0.1014✗1.6214.6M2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.5234-0.47%3.47-1.98%0.0515✓1.276.8M2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1621.0612-0.47%22.02+4.06%0.0036✓1.44325k2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.98030.975768-0.46%1.0352+5.60%0.0255✗1.182.0M2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3626.2384-0.46%27.26+3.41%0.0012✓1.381.6M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.558128-0.46%0.5765+2.82%0.0065✗0.91641k2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.7084-0.46%1.9861+15.73%0.1219✗1.0172k2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.7598-0.45%30.86-0.13%0.0234✓0.941.5M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.306605-0.45%0.318+3.25%0.0007✓1.312.1M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8382-0.45%4.86+0.00%0.0388✓1.52430k2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.8651-0.45%18.9-0.26%0.0329✓1.2227.9M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4254.1762-0.45%57.19+5.09%0.0174✗1.296.7M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash118.68118.1506-0.45%119.02+0.29%0.0250✓1.147.2M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8518-0.44%1.99+6.99%0.0345✗1.321.9M2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000078343-0.44%0.00007896+0.34%0.0236✓1.104.4M2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.071694-0.44%0.07633+6.00%0.0274✗1.2469k2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.737924-0.44%0.75556+1.94%0.0156✓1.38206k2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.293214-0.44%0.3058+3.84%0.0044✗1.32367k2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.829-0.43%5.12+5.57%0.0301✗1.00828k2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.4845-0.43%10.34-1.80%0.0478✓1.1910.8M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.7463-0.43%39.34+3.77%0.0003✓1.44280k2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.129737-0.43%0.1362+4.53%0.0121✗1.282.9M2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.2164-0.43%4.2804+1.09%0.0175✓1.14244k2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0382-0.42%1.0846+4.03%0.0059✗1.33162k2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025683-0.42%0.00002713+5.20%0.0195✗1.243.8M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.819586-0.41%0.8359+1.57%0.0217✓1.45270k2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048508-0.41%0.04868-0.06%0.0310✓1.21686k2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.6291-0.41%2.58-2.27%0.0473✓1.00490k2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.8389-0.41%2.8371-0.48%0.0351✓1.213.2M2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.7625-0.41%46.25+0.65%0.0201✓1.0820.8M2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.251.2449-0.41%1.29+3.20%0.0016✓1.19610k2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.534-0.40%3.4918-1.59%0.0488✓1.292.1M2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.4322-0.40%2.546+4.26%0.0041✗1.4613.6M2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.4991-0.40%1.522+1.13%0.0167✓1.12931k2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010947-0.39%0.01146+4.28%0.0063✗1.392.7M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.375719-0.39%0.3753-0.50%0.0401✓1.378.7M2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.498738-0.39%0.5253+4.91%0.0129✗1.37484k2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.9187-0.39%4.227+7.45%0.0389✗1.291.8M2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5984.2637-0.39%86.96+2.80%0.0094✓1.44116.5M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.091777-0.38%0.09224+0.12%0.0253✓1.0745k2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.793672-0.38%0.8+0.41%0.0233✓1.109.6M2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27338.0016-0.37%328.78-3.09%0.0557✓0.997.3M2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.7248-0.37%6.823+1.08%0.0253✓1.4027k2022-03-01
DASHDashDash100.51100.1408-0.37%100.01-0.50%0.0337✓1.141.5M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009644-0.37%0.00979+1.14%0.0208✓1.26546k2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5603-0.37%1.607+2.62%0.0117✓1.45863k2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.355-0.37%1.29-5.15%0.0795✓1.06932k2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83145.2986-0.36%143.34-1.71%0.0521✓1.356.6M2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012265-0.36%0.01223-0.65%0.0241✓0.7512k2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.152545-0.36%0.1523-0.52%0.0249✓0.82295k2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022573-0.36%0.022682+0.12%0.0196✓0.86117k2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.573-0.36%0.573577-0.26%0.0315✓1.142.8M2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2921,512.85-0.35%21,756.24+0.77%0.0168✓0.985.7M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041792-0.35%0.04187-0.17%0.0265✓1.0029k2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.3164-0.35%15.26-0.72%0.0460✓1.492.4M2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1853-0.35%2.2579+2.96%0.0126✗0.7126k2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.10810.107727-0.35%0.1097+1.48%0.0096✓0.9740k2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5774-0.34%6.72+1.82%0.0069✗0.511.1M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.459442-0.34%0.479+3.90%0.0052✗1.284.2M2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.231317-0.34%0.2318-0.13%0.0402✓1.482.6M2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.029273-0.33%0.02885-1.77%0.0368✓0.784.1M2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001983-0.33%0.00000199+0.00%0.0158✓0.6714.0M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.4712-0.33%6.7053+3.28%0.0026✓1.34184k2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.6093-0.33%20.746+0.33%0.0219✓1.009.3M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.716.6882-0.33%6.7553+0.68%0.0102✓0.712.8M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.8559-0.32%5.771-1.77%0.0448✓1.06189k2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.191879-0.32%0.1954+1.51%0.0209✓1.372.8M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.559-0.32%1.582+1.15%0.0153✓1.053.4M2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.244619-0.32%0.2576+4.97%0.0259✗0.911.9M2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.010370.010338-0.31%0.01044+0.68%0.0257✓1.251.2M2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3478-0.31%1.328-1.78%0.0523✓1.322.0M2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5664-0.29%1.617+2.93%0.0009✓1.151.8M2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.2036-0.29%2.18-1.36%0.0443✓1.18343k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.393157-0.29%0.3996+1.34%0.0247✓1.441.2M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.874475-0.29%0.89+1.48%0.0190✓1.292.2M2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.865908-0.29%0.8569-1.32%0.0431✓1.1520.7M2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.133069-0.29%0.133991+0.40%0.0200✓0.943.7M2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.75626-0.28%0.7268-4.17%0.0499✓0.361.3M2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.505-0.28%112.65-1.03%0.0397✓1.1329.3M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004378-0.28%0.00471+7.29%0.0268✗1.639.6M2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.695211-0.26%0.697+0.00%0.0281✓1.082.4M2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.7499.4857-0.25%98.7-1.04%0.0443✓1.28127.4M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6788.4453-0.25%87.68-1.12%0.0328✓0.85905k2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.961589-0.25%0.9643+0.03%0.0291✓1.1296.0M2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1415.1029-0.24%15.36+1.45%0.0168✓1.1853.4M2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1612-0.24%1.224+5.15%0.0182✗1.212.9M2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.06164-0.24%0.062179+0.64%0.0132✓0.77286k2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.235463-0.23%0.242+2.54%0.0031✗0.8559k2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.166012-0.23%0.16553-0.52%0.0374✓1.2127k2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,916.71-0.22%2,977.72+1.87%0.0091✓1.05540.3M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.3099-0.22%9.35+0.21%0.0304✓1.223.1M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6586-0.20%2.626-1.43%0.0504✓1.34584k2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.74115.5138-0.20%119.35+3.12%0.0046✗0.996.3M2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.072858-0.20%0.0743+1.78%0.0085✓0.99160k2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.08554-0.19%0.1048+22.29%0.1613✗1.47613k2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9348-0.17%1.9211-0.88%0.0409✓1.19179k2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.197347-0.17%0.198927+0.63%0.0225✓1.0719.8M2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.017934-0.15%0.01656-7.80%0.1237✓1.5512.5M2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration130.28130.0984-0.14%138.55+6.35%0.0304✗1.14930k2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.