2022-02-27 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0281

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-4.36%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

79.5%

in alpha space · 9.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+14.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01609	0.016121	+0.19%	0.01796	+11.62%	0.1179	✗	1.67	12.7M	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00404	0.004044	+0.10%	0.00439	+8.66%	0.1672	✗	1.84	11.3M	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0675	0.067555	+0.08%	0.073	+8.15%	0.0673	✗	1.07	163k	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7425	1.7437	+0.07%	1.9381	+11.23%	0.0655	✗	1.26	181k	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.358	2.3595	+0.07%	2.664	+12.98%	0.0697	✗	1.41	584k	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.412	1.4127	+0.05%	1.564	+10.76%	0.0472	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3174	0.317453	+0.02%	0.3657	+15.22%	0.0959	✗	1.75	14.7M	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.123115	0.12313	+0.01%	0.133451	+8.40%	0.0567	✗	1.01	3.7M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	85.7	85.7064	+0.01%	99.74	+16.38%	0.0243	✗	1.30	127.4M	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1985	0.198502	+0.00%	0.2321	+16.93%	0.0528	✗	1.54	2.6M	2022-02-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.41	2.4099	-0.00%	2.64	+9.54%	0.0444	✓	1.00	492k	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4426	0.442573	-0.01%	0.5007	+13.13%	0.0738	✓	1.45	521k	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.669878	-0.02%	0.75	+11.94%	0.1460	✓	1.91	995k	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.4	8.3984	-0.02%	9.33	+11.07%	0.0719	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.036	5.0348	-0.02%	5.875	+16.66%	0.0141	✗	1.03	189k	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0773	0.077278	-0.03%	0.0857	+10.87%	0.1138	✓	1.60	633k	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181008	0.180943	-0.04%	0.197675	+9.21%	0.0676	✓	1.15	19.2M	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.3	88.2676	-0.04%	100.51	+13.83%	0.0290	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.384	1.3835	-0.04%	1.505	+8.74%	0.0814	✓	1.22	939k	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058112	0.058082	-0.05%	0.061786	+6.32%	0.0510	✓	0.83	270k	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.71	81.6656	-0.05%	88.67	+8.52%	0.0386	✓	0.89	908k	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8667	5.8634	-0.06%	6.4925	+10.67%	0.0942	✓	1.45	184k	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	103.05	102.988	-0.06%	113.82	+10.45%	0.0634	✓	1.21	28.8M	2022-02-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.681	1.6799	-0.06%	1.836	+9.22%	0.0458	✓	0.99	76k	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66823	0.667776	-0.07%	0.74117	+10.92%	0.1001	✓	1.51	211k	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.65	13.6405	-0.07%	15.14	+10.92%	0.0673	✓	1.27	52.3M	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1674	0.167283	-0.07%	0.1925	+14.99%	0.0547	✓	1.44	2.7M	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.66	102.5859	-0.07%	118.68	+15.60%	0.0109	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1	0.099919	-0.08%	0.1081	+8.10%	0.0637	✓	1.05	38k	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.64	32.6132	-0.08%	37.91	+16.15%	0.0526	✓	1.50	280k	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12	11.9895	-0.09%	14.2	+18.33%	0.0244	✗	1.07	331k	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3419	0.341588	-0.09%	0.3943	+15.33%	0.0612	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5293	1.5279	-0.09%	1.7163	+12.22%	0.0240	✓	1.03	69k	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.119	-0.09%	1.25	+11.61%	0.0657	✓	1.30	610k	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7266	0.725919	-0.09%	0.823	+13.27%	0.0849	✓	1.55	270k	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,618.01	2,615.54	-0.09%	2,923.08	+11.65%	0.0359	✓	1.08	525.4M	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01158	0.011569	-0.10%	0.01231	+6.30%	0.0470	✓	0.80	13k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.521555	0.521044	-0.10%	0.575051	+10.26%	0.0670	✓	1.22	2.9M	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	105.8	105.6912	-0.10%	115.74	+9.40%	0.0518	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9677	-0.11%	2.21	+12.18%	0.0524	✓	1.24	343k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.053	-0.11%	6.6	+8.91%	0.0233	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	304.19	303.8203	-0.12%	339.27	+11.53%	0.0277	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15123	0.151045	-0.12%	0.16639	+10.02%	0.0855	✓	1.34	27k	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.22	13.2035	-0.12%	15.37	+16.26%	0.0570	✓	1.54	2.5M	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,717.08	37,669.55	-0.13%	43,192.66	+14.52%	0.0013	✗	1.00	603.6M	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.035	19.0107	-0.13%	20.677	+8.63%	0.0620	✓	1.08	9.3M	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.812	0.810937	-0.13%	0.877	+8.00%	0.1151	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8286	3.8235	-0.13%	4.2345	+10.60%	0.0633	✓	1.22	269k	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011286	0.011271	-0.13%	0.012148	+7.64%	0.0772	✓	1.12	25k	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7983	0.797202	-0.14%	0.8684	+8.78%	0.0831	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7935	0.792381	-0.14%	0.7584	-4.42%	0.1179	✓	0.55	1.3M	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.682	4.6754	-0.14%	5.63	+20.25%	0.0710	✗	0.85	65k	2022-02-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.14	2.137	-0.14%	2.52	+17.76%	0.0293	✗	1.00	529k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8569	0.855654	-0.15%	0.964	+12.50%	0.0396	✓	1.17	94.8M	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3363	0.33581	-0.15%	0.3772	+12.16%	0.0833	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06333	0.063237	-0.15%	0.07201	+13.71%	0.0460	✓	1.30	64k	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02689	0.026849	-0.15%	0.02937	+9.22%	0.0190	✓	0.80	4.3M	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.115	0.114811	-0.16%	0.1303	+13.30%	0.0567	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007235	0.000072228	-0.17%	0.00007869	+8.76%	0.0766	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.98	47.8985	-0.17%	54.42	+13.42%	0.0555	✓	1.35	6.5M	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.452	3.4458	-0.18%	3.934	+13.96%	0.0514	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04436	0.044279	-0.18%	0.04871	+9.81%	0.0816	✓	1.31	703k	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00867	0.008654	-0.18%	0.00968	+11.65%	0.0711	✓	1.35	546k	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4859	0.485009	-0.18%	0.5696	+17.23%	0.0226	✓	1.35	2.2M	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002342	0.000023375	-0.19%	0.00002579	+10.12%	0.0844	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.9359	0.934078	-0.19%	1.0426	+11.40%	0.0854	✓	1.44	165k	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.66	117.4303	-0.20%	130.28	+10.73%	0.0591	✓	1.20	930k	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.09	74.9402	-0.20%	84.59	+12.65%	0.0889	✓	1.55	113.8M	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.3	4.2914	-0.20%	4.85	+12.79%	0.0144	✓	1.01	696k	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.377	1.3742	-0.20%	1.566	+13.73%	0.0791	✓	1.55	897k	2022-02-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000184	0.000001836	-0.21%	0.00000199	+8.15%	0.0145	✓	0.70	14.0M	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.37	27.3128	-0.21%	30.53	+11.55%	0.0432	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.51	41.4219	-0.21%	45.95	+10.70%	0.0521	✓	1.15	19.7M	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.6	1.5966	-0.21%	1.86	+16.25%	0.0308	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.43	1.427	-0.21%	1.571	+9.86%	0.0716	✓	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.23	2.2252	-0.21%	2.1929	-1.66%	0.1308	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03926	0.039176	-0.21%	0.04194	+6.83%	0.0800	✓	1.09	29k	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.24	17.2026	-0.22%	20.13	+16.76%	0.0023	✓	1.18	21.6M	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.648	0.646565	-0.22%	0.697	+7.56%	0.0851	✓	1.18	2.4M	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	131.61	131.318	-0.22%	145.83	+10.80%	0.0942	✓	1.47	6.5M	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.28	0.279369	-0.23%	0.308	+10.00%	0.0946	✓	1.42	2.1M	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.185	2.1801	-0.23%	2.442	+11.76%	0.1005	✓	1.58	13.2M	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0644	0.064254	-0.23%	0.0695	+7.92%	0.0693	✓	1.09	12k	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.77	9.7478	-0.23%	10.53	+7.78%	0.1002	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.416	0.41505	-0.23%	0.461	+10.82%	0.0815	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.165	-0.23%	2.44	+12.44%	0.0198	✓	1.03	254k	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,385.43	19,340.84	-0.23%	21,589.29	+11.37%	0.0287	✓	1.02	5.6M	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.197	1.1942	-0.23%	1.352	+12.95%	0.0619	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.741	3.7323	-0.23%	4.154	+11.04%	0.0737	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1447	0.144359	-0.24%	0.1612	+11.40%	0.0359	✓	1.08	420k	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.217	0.216489	-0.24%	0.236	+8.76%	0.0347	✓	0.89	59k	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08363	0.083425	-0.24%	0.09213	+10.16%	0.0543	✓	1.13	45k	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.141	0.140651	-0.25%	0.1531	+8.58%	0.0298	✓	0.85	299k	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03182	0.031741	-0.25%	0.03503	+10.09%	0.0213	✓	0.88	1.3M	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.5	17.4559	-0.25%	18.95	+8.29%	0.1000	✓	1.34	26.4M	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5576	2.5511	-0.25%	2.8507	+11.46%	0.0650	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8849	0.882652	-0.25%	0.9803	+10.78%	0.0666	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.081	1.0781	-0.27%	1.164	+7.68%	0.1044	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.21	4.1986	-0.27%	4.86	+15.44%	0.0724	✓	1.61	432k	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3355	6.3182	-0.27%	6.71	+5.91%	0.0447	✓	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.91	19.8554	-0.27%	21.16	+6.28%	0.1578	✓	1.63	325k	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0698	0.069608	-0.28%	0.078	+11.75%	0.0789	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7097	0.707665	-0.29%	0.7967	+12.26%	0.0355	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00923	0.009203	-0.29%	0.01037	+12.35%	0.0596	✓	1.32	1.2M	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.854	5.8369	-0.29%	6.75	+15.31%	0.0531	✓	1.46	27k	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	150.62	150.1679	-0.30%	170.31	+13.07%	0.0108	✓	1.01	960k	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.12	3.1105	-0.30%	3.54	+13.46%	0.0504	✓	1.33	6.8M	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.08	107.7512	-0.30%	120.75	+11.72%	0.0605	✓	1.29	64k	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.96	23.886	-0.31%	26.36	+10.02%	0.1079	✓	1.52	1.6M	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,686.70	37,567.85	-0.32%	43,136.20	+14.46%	0.0067	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0267	0.026614	-0.32%	0.029	+8.61%	0.1131	✓	1.47	479k	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	61.5448	61.3464	-0.32%	67.763	+10.10%	0.1074	✓	1.53	211k	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01839	0.01833	-0.32%	0.0214	+16.37%	0.0065	✗	1.09	2.2M	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.1219	3.1117	-0.33%	3.5483	+13.66%	0.0537	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.951	5.9312	-0.33%	5.9258	-0.42%	0.0540	✓	0.39	433k	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.795	4.7785	-0.34%	7.228	+50.74%	0.2784	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00965	0.009616	-0.35%	0.01099	+13.89%	0.0664	✓	1.48	2.7M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.06	4.0456	-0.35%	4.565	+12.44%	0.0057	✗	0.85	414k	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046151	0.045986	-0.36%	0.049264	+6.75%	0.0933	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2684	0.267439	-0.36%	0.2945	+9.72%	0.1008	✓	1.45	398k	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1719	1.1677	-0.36%	1.3278	+13.30%	0.0699	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.8	26.6985	-0.38%	31.38	+17.09%	0.0042	✗	1.16	50.3M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.31	1.305	-0.38%	1.36	+3.82%	0.1252	✓	1.23	934k	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4116	0.409994	-0.39%	0.504	+22.45%	0.0752	✓	2.08	2.1M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.38	20.2979	-0.40%	21.72	+6.58%	0.1036	✓	1.26	8.6M	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.35	9.3118	-0.41%	10.15	+8.56%	0.0067	✓	0.69	917k	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.13	29.0097	-0.41%	30.9	+6.08%	0.0779	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.93	5.9051	-0.42%	6.79	+14.50%	0.0635	✓	1.50	1.1M	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.64	14.5783	-0.42%	16.18	+10.52%	0.0063	✗	0.72	2.0M	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.002	2.9891	-0.43%	3.233	+7.69%	0.0486	✓	0.94	477k	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.64	4.6195	-0.44%	5.51	+18.75%	0.0713	✗	0.77	483k	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.14	0.139377	-0.44%	0.132	-5.71%	0.1807	✓	0.93	44k	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2326	0.23156	-0.45%	0.2454	+5.50%	0.0783	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5151	0.51267	-0.47%	0.5607	+8.85%	0.0430	✓	0.98	643k	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0605	0.060212	-0.48%	0.0703	+16.20%	0.1113	✓	1.96	76.7M	2022-02-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.99	0.985147	-0.49%	1.07	+8.08%	0.0673	✗	0.11	286k	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.81	1.8011	-0.49%	1.84	+1.66%	0.1966	✓	1.61	502k	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.859	2.8428	-0.57%	3.1196	+9.12%	0.0340	✓	0.94	3.3M	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6177	-0.57%	6.6	+16.81%	0.0480	✗	0.83	430k	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022401	0.022269	-0.59%	0.022655	+1.13%	0.1214	✓	1.02	114k	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.897	1.8847	-0.65%	2.4391	+28.58%	0.1646	✗	0.69	2.6M	2022-02-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	5.53e-7	5.50e-7	-0.66%	6.40e-7	+15.75%	0.0173	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.541	1.5301	-0.70%	1.6754	+8.72%	0.1046	✓	1.44	262k	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.647	2.6279	-0.72%	3.115	+17.68%	0.0569	✗	0.83	213k	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	72.51	71.9758	-0.74%	91.38	+26.02%	0.0487	✗	1.40	4.5M	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8883	2.8626	-0.89%	3.1104	+7.69%	0.0477	✓	0.96	2.3M	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.179	1.1674	-0.99%	1.236	+4.83%	0.1083	✓	1.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.379	2.3541	-1.05%	2.477	+4.12%	0.0920	✓	1.05	20k	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.6	6.5263	-1.12%	7.529	+14.08%	0.0939	✗	0.36	2.2M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.32	6.2128	-1.70%	7.55	+19.46%	0.0853	✗	0.81	435k	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.224	3.1374	-2.69%	3.317	+2.88%	0.0949	✓	1.11	687k	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.