8=======>

2022-02-27 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0281
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.5%
in alpha space · 9.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2243.1374-2.69%3.317+2.88%0.0949✓1.11687k2022-02-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.2128-1.70%7.55+19.46%0.0853✗0.81435k2022-02-28
API3Api3Ethereum6.66.5263-1.12%7.529+14.08%0.0939✗0.362.2M2022-02-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.3792.3541-1.05%2.477+4.12%0.0920✓1.0520k2022-02-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1791.1674-0.99%1.236+4.83%0.1083✓1.221.2M2022-02-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88832.8626-0.89%3.1104+7.69%0.0477✓0.962.3M2022-02-28
LUNATerraTerra 272.5171.9758-0.74%91.38+26.02%0.0487✗1.404.5M2022-02-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6472.6279-0.72%3.115+17.68%0.0569✗0.83213k2022-02-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5411.5301-0.70%1.6754+8.72%0.1046✓1.44262k2022-02-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.53e-75.50e-7-0.66%6.40e-7+15.75%0.0173✗1.001.3M2022-02-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8971.8847-0.65%2.4391+28.58%0.1646✗0.692.6M2022-02-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224010.022269-0.59%0.022655+1.13%0.1214✓1.02114k2022-02-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6177-0.57%6.6+16.81%0.0480✗0.83430k2022-02-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.8592.8428-0.57%3.1196+9.12%0.0340✓0.943.3M2022-02-28
PROPropyEthereum1.811.8011-0.49%1.84+1.66%0.1966✓1.61502k2022-02-28
DIADIAEthereum0.990.985147-0.49%1.07+8.08%0.0673✗0.11286k2022-02-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06050.060212-0.48%0.0703+16.20%0.1113✓1.9676.7M2022-02-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51510.51267-0.47%0.5607+8.85%0.0430✓0.98643k2022-02-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23260.23156-0.45%0.2454+5.50%0.0783✓1.011.9M2022-02-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.140.139377-0.44%0.132-5.71%0.1807✓0.9344k2022-02-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.6195-0.44%5.51+18.75%0.0713✗0.77483k2022-02-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0022.9891-0.43%3.233+7.69%0.0486✓0.94477k2022-02-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.6414.5783-0.42%16.18+10.52%0.0063✗0.722.0M2022-02-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.935.9051-0.42%6.79+14.50%0.0635✓1.501.1M2022-02-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.1329.0097-0.41%30.9+6.08%0.0779✓1.041.5M2022-02-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.359.3118-0.41%10.15+8.56%0.0067✓0.69917k2022-02-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.3820.2979-0.40%21.72+6.58%0.1036✓1.268.6M2022-02-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.41160.409994-0.39%0.504+22.45%0.0752✓2.082.1M2022-02-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.305-0.38%1.36+3.82%0.1252✓1.23934k2022-02-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.826.6985-0.38%31.38+17.09%0.0042✗1.1650.3M2022-02-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.17191.1677-0.36%1.3278+13.30%0.0699✓1.462.6M2022-02-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.26840.267439-0.36%0.2945+9.72%0.1008✓1.45398k2022-02-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0461510.045986-0.36%0.049264+6.75%0.0933✓1.208.1M2022-02-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.064.0456-0.35%4.565+12.44%0.0057✗0.85414k2022-02-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009650.009616-0.35%0.01099+13.89%0.0664✓1.482.7M2022-02-28
UMAUMAEthereum4.7954.7785-0.34%7.228+50.74%0.2784✗1.001.8M2022-02-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9515.9312-0.33%5.9258-0.42%0.0540✓0.39433k2022-02-28
XTZTezosTezos3.12193.1117-0.33%3.5483+13.66%0.0537✓1.372.1M2022-02-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018390.01833-0.32%0.0214+16.37%0.0065✗1.092.2M2022-02-28
MOVRMoonriverBase61.544861.3464-0.32%67.763+10.10%0.1074✓1.53211k2022-02-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02670.026614-0.32%0.029+8.61%0.1131✓1.47479k2022-02-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,686.7037,567.85-0.32%43,136.20+14.46%0.0067✗0.9742k2022-02-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9623.886-0.31%26.36+10.02%0.1079✓1.521.6M2022-02-28
COMPCompoundEthereum108.08107.7512-0.30%120.75+11.72%0.0605✓1.2964k2022-02-28
SUSHISushiEthereum3.123.1105-0.30%3.54+13.46%0.0504✓1.336.8M2022-02-28
XMRMoneroMonero150.62150.1679-0.30%170.31+13.07%0.0108✓1.01960k2022-02-28
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8545.8369-0.29%6.75+15.31%0.0531✓1.4627k2022-02-28
XVGVergenative0.009230.009203-0.29%0.01037+12.35%0.0596✓1.321.2M2022-02-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.70970.707665-0.29%0.7967+12.26%0.0355✓1.149.6M2022-02-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06980.069608-0.28%0.078+11.75%0.0789✓1.421.0M2022-02-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.9119.8554-0.27%21.16+6.28%0.1578✓1.63325k2022-02-28
GTGateEthereum6.33556.3182-0.27%6.71+5.91%0.0447✓0.772.8M2022-02-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.214.1986-0.27%4.86+15.44%0.0724✓1.61432k2022-02-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0811.0781-0.27%1.164+7.68%0.1044✓1.342.8M2022-02-28
HIVEHivenative0.88490.882652-0.25%0.9803+10.78%0.0666✓1.271.9M2022-02-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55762.5511-0.25%2.8507+11.46%0.0650✓1.303.1M2022-02-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.517.4559-0.25%18.95+8.29%0.1000✓1.3426.4M2022-02-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.031820.031741-0.25%0.03503+10.09%0.0213✓0.881.3M2022-02-28
XYMSymbolnative0.1410.140651-0.25%0.1531+8.58%0.0298✓0.85299k2022-02-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083630.083425-0.24%0.09213+10.16%0.0543✓1.1345k2022-02-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.216489-0.24%0.236+8.76%0.0347✓0.8959k2022-02-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14470.144359-0.24%0.1612+11.40%0.0359✓1.08420k2022-02-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7413.7323-0.23%4.154+11.04%0.0737✓1.332.3M2022-02-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1971.1942-0.23%1.352+12.95%0.0619✓1.372.0M2022-02-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,385.4319,340.84-0.23%21,589.29+11.37%0.0287✓1.025.6M2022-02-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.165-0.23%2.44+12.44%0.0198✓1.03254k2022-02-28
DODODODOEthereum0.4160.41505-0.23%0.461+10.82%0.0815✓1.384.2M2022-02-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.779.7478-0.23%10.53+7.78%0.1002✓1.3110.8M2022-02-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06440.064254-0.23%0.0695+7.92%0.0693✓1.0912k2022-02-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1852.1801-0.23%2.442+11.76%0.1005✓1.5813.2M2022-02-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.280.279369-0.23%0.308+10.00%0.0946✓1.422.1M2022-02-28
AAVEAaveEthereum131.61131.318-0.22%145.83+10.80%0.0942✓1.476.5M2022-02-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6480.646565-0.22%0.697+7.56%0.0851✓1.182.4M2022-02-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2417.2026-0.22%20.13+16.76%0.0023✓1.1821.6M2022-02-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039260.039176-0.21%0.04194+6.83%0.0800✓1.0929k2022-02-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.232.2252-0.21%2.1929-1.66%0.1308✓0.8626k2022-02-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.427-0.21%1.571+9.86%0.0716✓1.241.8M2022-02-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.61.5966-0.21%1.86+16.25%0.0308✓1.351.9M2022-02-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.5141.4219-0.21%45.95+10.70%0.0521✓1.1519.7M2022-02-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.3727.3128-0.21%30.53+11.55%0.0432✓1.145.1M2022-02-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001840.000001836-0.21%0.00000199+8.15%0.0145✓0.7014.0M2022-02-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3771.3742-0.20%1.566+13.73%0.0791✓1.55897k2022-02-28
RADRadworksEthereum4.34.2914-0.20%4.85+12.79%0.0144✓1.01696k2022-02-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.0974.9402-0.20%84.59+12.65%0.0889✓1.55113.8M2022-02-28
KSMKusamaHydration117.66117.4303-0.20%130.28+10.73%0.0591✓1.20930k2022-02-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.93590.934078-0.19%1.0426+11.40%0.0854✓1.44165k2022-02-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023420.000023375-0.19%0.00002579+10.12%0.0844✓1.353.8M2022-02-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.48590.485009-0.18%0.5696+17.23%0.0226✓1.352.2M2022-02-28
SCSiacoinnative0.008670.008654-0.18%0.00968+11.65%0.0711✓1.35546k2022-02-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044360.044279-0.18%0.04871+9.81%0.0816✓1.31703k2022-02-28
BANDBandEthereum3.4523.4458-0.18%3.934+13.96%0.0514✓1.361.9M2022-02-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.9847.8985-0.17%54.42+13.42%0.0555✓1.356.5M2022-02-28
XECeCashnative0.000072350.000072228-0.17%0.00007869+8.76%0.0766✓1.204.5M2022-02-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1150.114811-0.16%0.1303+13.30%0.0567✓1.352.9M2022-02-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.026890.026849-0.15%0.02937+9.22%0.0190✓0.804.3M2022-02-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.063330.063237-0.15%0.07201+13.71%0.0460✓1.3064k2022-02-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33630.33581-0.15%0.3772+12.16%0.0833✓1.478.3M2022-02-28
ADACardanoCardano0.85690.855654-0.15%0.964+12.50%0.0396✓1.1794.8M2022-02-28
AVTAventusEthereum2.142.137-0.14%2.52+17.76%0.0293✗1.00529k2022-02-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6824.6754-0.14%5.63+20.25%0.0710✗0.8565k2022-02-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79350.792381-0.14%0.7584-4.42%0.1179✓0.551.3M2022-02-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79830.797202-0.14%0.8684+8.78%0.0831✓1.2421.7M2022-02-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0112860.011271-0.13%0.012148+7.64%0.0772✓1.1225k2022-02-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.82863.8235-0.13%4.2345+10.60%0.0633✓1.22269k2022-02-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8120.810937-0.13%0.877+8.00%0.1151✓1.432.1M2022-02-28
KCSKuCoinnative19.03519.0107-0.13%20.677+8.63%0.0620✓1.089.3M2022-02-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,717.0837,669.55-0.13%43,192.66+14.52%0.0013✗1.00603.6M2022-02-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.2213.2035-0.12%15.37+16.26%0.0570✓1.542.5M2022-02-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151230.151045-0.12%0.16639+10.02%0.0855✓1.3427k2022-02-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash304.19303.8203-0.12%339.27+11.53%0.0277✓1.027.2M2022-02-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.066.053-0.11%6.6+8.91%0.0233✗0.471.1M2022-02-28
MINAMina Protocolnative1.971.9677-0.11%2.21+12.18%0.0524✓1.24343k2022-02-28
QNTQuantEthereum105.8105.6912-0.10%115.74+9.40%0.0518✓1.056.3M2022-02-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5215550.521044-0.10%0.575051+10.26%0.0670✓1.222.9M2022-02-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011580.011569-0.10%0.01231+6.30%0.0470✓0.8013k2022-02-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,618.012,615.54-0.09%2,923.08+11.65%0.0359✓1.08525.4M2022-02-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72660.725919-0.09%0.823+13.27%0.0849✓1.55270k2022-02-28
STXStacksnative1.121.119-0.09%1.25+11.61%0.0657✓1.30610k2022-02-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.52931.5279-0.09%1.7163+12.22%0.0240✓1.0369k2022-02-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34190.341588-0.09%0.3943+15.33%0.0612✓1.511.3M2022-02-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum1211.9895-0.09%14.2+18.33%0.0244✗1.07331k2022-02-28
ZENHorizenBase32.6432.6132-0.08%37.91+16.15%0.0526✓1.50280k2022-02-28
XEMNEMnative0.10.099919-0.08%0.1081+8.10%0.0637✓1.0538k2022-02-28
ZECZcashZcash102.66102.5859-0.07%118.68+15.60%0.0109✓1.167.4M2022-02-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.167283-0.07%0.1925+14.99%0.0547✓1.442.7M2022-02-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.6513.6405-0.07%15.14+10.92%0.0673✓1.2752.3M2022-02-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.668230.667776-0.07%0.74117+10.92%0.1001✓1.51211k2022-02-28
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6811.6799-0.06%1.836+9.22%0.0458✓0.9976k2022-02-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin103.05102.988-0.06%113.82+10.45%0.0634✓1.2128.8M2022-02-28
QTUMQtumQtum5.86675.8634-0.06%6.4925+10.67%0.0942✓1.45184k2022-02-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.7181.6656-0.05%88.67+8.52%0.0386✓0.89908k2022-02-28
TRXTRONTron0.0581120.058082-0.05%0.061786+6.32%0.0510✓0.83270k2022-02-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3841.3835-0.04%1.505+8.74%0.0814✓1.22939k2022-02-28
DASHDashDash88.388.2676-0.04%100.51+13.83%0.0290✓1.171.5M2022-02-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1810080.180943-0.04%0.197675+9.21%0.0676✓1.1519.2M2022-02-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.07730.077278-0.03%0.0857+10.87%0.1138✓1.60633k2022-02-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0365.0348-0.02%5.875+16.66%0.0141✗1.03189k2022-02-28
XVSVenusEthereum8.48.3984-0.02%9.33+11.07%0.0719✓1.313.2M2022-02-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.669878-0.02%0.75+11.94%0.1460✓1.91995k2022-02-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44260.442573-0.01%0.5007+13.13%0.0738✓1.45521k2022-02-28
ORCAOrcaSolana2.412.4099-0.00%2.64+9.54%0.0444✓1.00492k2022-02-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.19850.198502+0.00%0.2321+16.93%0.0528✗1.542.6M2022-02-28
SOLSolanaSolana85.785.7064+0.01%99.74+16.38%0.0243✗1.30127.4M2022-02-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1231150.12313+0.01%0.133451+8.40%0.0567✗1.013.7M2022-02-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31740.317453+0.02%0.3657+15.22%0.0959✗1.7514.7M2022-02-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4121.4127+0.05%1.564+10.76%0.0472✗1.103.4M2022-02-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3582.3595+0.07%2.664+12.98%0.0697✗1.41584k2022-02-28
NANOnanopayBase1.74251.7437+0.07%1.9381+11.23%0.0655✗1.26181k2022-02-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06750.067555+0.08%0.073+8.15%0.0673✗1.07163k2022-02-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004040.004044+0.10%0.00439+8.66%0.1672✗1.8411.3M2022-02-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016090.016121+0.19%0.01796+11.62%0.1179✗1.6712.7M2022-02-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.