8=======>

2022-02-16 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0688
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.3%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.085147+0.06%0.0849-0.24%0.0935✓1.21194k2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana101.94101.9319-0.01%93.56-8.22%0.0152✗1.27179.7M2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8598-0.01%1.66-10.75%0.0174✓1.211.3M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.14869-0.03%0.138407-6.95%0.0091✗1.016.1M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.06644-0.05%0.062402-6.12%0.0049✗0.85344k2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.834874-0.06%0.76017-9.00%0.0266✗1.51334k2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.006006-0.06%0.0054-10.15%0.0537✗2.0117.9M2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.2109-0.08%10.41-7.22%0.0326✗1.3412.2M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.21855-0.09%0.202261-7.53%0.0045✗1.0321.9M2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.5846-0.09%36.74-9.55%0.0262✗1.58364k2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.105103-0.09%0.0969-7.89%0.0419✗1.55996k2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55334.2297-0.10%313.15-6.40%0.0138✗0.998.9M2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.6326-0.10%15.78-10.59%0.0268✗1.733.4M2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8222-0.10%1.6695-8.47%0.0029✗1.1469k2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.8933-0.11%14.58-8.36%0.0038✓1.04483k2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.114079-0.11%0.1047-8.32%0.0050✓1.0137k2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2557-0.12%2.1008-6.98%0.0290✗1.26367k2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,120.78-0.12%2,893.56-7.39%0.0147✗1.13581.4M2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,843.80-0.12%40,536.73-7.65%0.0012✓1.00642.7M2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.082-0.12%1.0203-5.82%0.0320✗1.14106.9M2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.118-0.13%15.6-8.98%0.0027✗1.2070.2M2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.8263-0.14%19.71-5.49%0.0464✗1.2710.1M2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.567504-0.14%0.542-4.63%0.0623✗1.362.4M2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.044597-0.14%0.04103-8.13%0.0048✗1.1131k2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.8073-0.15%1.65-8.84%0.0081✗1.251.3M2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84127.6512-0.15%116.39-8.96%0.0057✗1.2332.4M2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.981534-0.15%0.894-9.05%0.0154✗1.372.4M2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.3963-0.15%2.13-11.25%0.0376✓1.013.2M2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.9274-0.17%50.27-10.26%0.0063✗1.426.3M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.958611-0.17%0.883-8.04%0.0384✗1.52552k2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.284526-0.17%0.2558-10.25%0.0159✗1.544.0M2022-02-17
DASHDashDash115.33115.1364-0.17%104.76-9.17%0.0063✓1.111.9M2022-02-17
DIADIAEthereum0.970.968333-0.17%1.2+23.71%0.2941✗1.00269k2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.694.4357-0.17%87.71-7.28%0.0031✓0.891.1M2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1894-0.18%1.0731-9.94%0.0163✓1.09193k2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.175924-0.18%0.16982-3.64%0.0926✗1.6132k2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2269-0.18%7.46+3.04%0.0533✗0.271.2M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.977309-0.18%0.8983-8.25%0.0137✗1.2326.7M2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash125.58125.3485-0.18%113.58-9.56%0.0021✓1.217.4M2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.7435-0.18%18.16-8.19%0.0249✗1.3633.6M2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000085232-0.19%0.00007849-8.08%0.0084✗1.144.7M2022-02-17
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.164-0.19%2.92-7.89%0.0007✓1.00829k2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6649-0.19%2.47-7.49%0.0062✗1.03373k2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum129.55129.2939-0.20%119.39-7.84%0.0009✓1.017.8M2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.675745-0.20%0.62107-8.27%0.0071✗1.153.6M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010758-0.20%0.00987-8.44%0.0028✓1.05483k2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.032094-0.21%0.02995-6.87%0.0013✓0.856.2M2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.219738-0.21%0.2015-8.49%0.0243✗1.393.7M2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.5063-0.21%6.03-7.52%0.0103✓0.83463k2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.803-0.21%2.668-5.02%0.0576✗1.341.0M2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.474391-0.21%0.4344-8.62%0.0301✗1.481.9M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.1254-0.22%1.9-10.80%0.0056✓1.342.1M2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,865.09-0.22%40,651.20-7.53%0.0015✓0.9751k2022-02-17
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002175-0.22%0.00000206-5.50%0.0252✗1.0014.3M2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6441-0.22%2.56-3.40%0.0682✗1.26390k2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.7922-0.22%4.567-4.91%0.0177✗0.83379k2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.8181-0.23%4.3951-8.99%0.0036✗1.20335k2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.78516-0.23%0.742-5.72%0.0317✗1.111.9M2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4263.2709-0.24%56.37-11.12%0.0148✓1.269.2M2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.697247-0.24%0.6239-10.73%0.0079✗1.50665k2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum46.3846.2681-0.24%43.72-5.74%0.0382✗1.1930.4M2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2709-0.24%1.142-10.36%0.0087✓1.233.4M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6838-0.25%1.541-8.71%0.0033✗1.162.1M2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.305932-0.25%0.2746-10.47%0.0184✓1.13538k2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.011710.01168-0.26%0.0107-8.63%0.0186✗1.331.2M2022-02-17
STXStacksnative1.551.546-0.26%1.4-9.68%0.0196✓1.00980k2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8651-0.26%6.58-4.40%0.0261✗0.863.8M2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.537587-0.26%0.493-8.53%0.0273✗1.434.5M2022-02-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.447009-0.27%0.4073-9.13%0.0450✗1.7321.4M2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4454-0.27%2.231-9.01%0.0083✓1.0520k2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.174228-0.27%0.1642-6.01%0.0069✓0.66388k2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.28722-0.27%0.268-6.94%0.0048✗0.9373k2022-02-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.11568-0.28%0.124+6.90%0.1491✗1.0064k2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.05743-0.28%0.05215-9.45%0.0143✗1.391.2M2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013851-0.28%0.01258-9.43%0.0341✓0.7814k2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2532.1575-0.29%29.43-8.74%0.0039✓1.065.5M2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.11251.1093-0.29%1.0138-8.87%0.0367✗1.591.9M2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4542-0.29%5.36-2.01%0.0456✗0.79407k2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.0623-0.29%5.45-10.36%0.0233✓1.04555k2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5912-0.29%3.227-10.40%0.0265✓1.012.5M2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075478-0.29%0.0698-7.79%0.0075✗1.0817k2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.268501-0.30%0.2525-6.24%0.0204✗1.031.8M2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.5449-0.30%25.54-10.79%0.0092✗1.512.0M2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.097596-0.30%0.0902-7.86%0.0093✗1.1150k2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44169.9238-0.30%152.99-10.24%0.0074✗1.418.0M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.9461-0.30%1.741-10.81%0.0003✓1.401.1M2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.080922-0.31%0.07416-8.64%0.0274✓0.7589k2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.8436-0.31%7.015-10.84%0.0055✗1.47153k2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.167279-0.31%0.1536-8.46%0.0031✓1.03470k2022-02-17
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.3407-0.31%2.105-10.35%0.0265✓1.0084k2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.371834-0.31%0.334-10.46%0.0009✓1.362.3M2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8847-0.31%4.59-6.33%0.0374✗1.252.6M2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration166.77166.2415-0.32%155.14-6.97%0.0262✗1.20973k2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.1164-0.32%1.07-4.46%0.0681✗1.39694k2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.3375-0.32%6.1-4.06%0.0287✗0.8472k2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.4296-0.33%6.499-12.81%0.0570✓0.96407k2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.7377-0.33%6.42-5.03%0.0214✗0.88430k2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.7444-0.33%10.24-5.01%0.0049✗0.67821k2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021699-0.34%0.020359-6.49%0.0353✗1.242.4M2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.485537-0.34%0.4369-10.32%0.0060✗1.408.9M2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0323.9466-0.35%21.3-11.36%0.0056✗1.54387k2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5128.4106-0.35%28.08-1.51%0.0760✗1.1066.4M2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero179.36178.7309-0.35%163.89-8.63%0.0060✓1.011.2M2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.5017-0.35%3.268-7.00%0.0016✓0.89481k2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3128.2078-0.36%26.61-6.00%0.0176✗0.951.2M2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.2054-0.36%3.08-4.26%0.0236✗0.80215k2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0821.999-0.37%19.86-10.05%0.0104✓1.1524.2M2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.155622-0.37%0.1568+0.38%0.1149✗1.353.2M2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.889955-0.37%0.8222-7.96%0.0059✗1.0711.9M2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.9917-0.38%20.54-11.01%0.0161✓1.2110.5M2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.031857-0.38%0.02758-13.76%0.0379✓1.3410.7M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.5044-0.39%6.03-7.66%0.0048✗1.011.9M2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0023,593.16-0.41%22,441.70-5.27%0.0304✗1.017.2M2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.1566-0.42%2.91-8.20%0.0381✗1.5016.5M2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum6.076.0442-0.43%5.54-8.73%0.0063✓1.02701k2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.9344-0.43%3.3132-16.15%0.1013✓0.892.3M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.028158-0.45%0.026932-4.78%0.0583✗1.2989k2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.069189-0.45%0.0608-12.52%0.0112✗1.7664.3M2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3994.9615-0.45%88.28-7.45%0.0427✗1.45104.0M2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.8515-0.46%1.69-9.14%0.0194✗1.392.9M2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.5586-0.47%5+9.17%0.1213✗0.361.8M2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.6701-0.48%15.35-8.36%0.0296✓0.661.5M2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum4.874.8467-0.48%4.44-8.83%0.0117✗1.251.9M2022-02-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.1961-0.49%1.2327+2.56%0.1052✗0.941.5M2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.03824.0185-0.49%3.6686-9.15%0.0113✗1.292.4M2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.033335-0.49%0.0309-7.76%0.0439✗1.50499k2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01135.3204-0.51%123.7-9.05%0.0140✗1.3058k2022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.598809-0.53%0.5558-7.67%0.0033✓0.89840k2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.8355-0.53%5.5502-5.40%0.0226✓0.35441k2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.2457-0.54%3.0801-5.61%0.0433✗1.203.3M2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.7192-0.56%3.4641-7.38%0.0032✓0.9330k2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.2758-0.56%3.95-8.14%0.0314✗1.397.9M2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551595.0073-0.57%85.9444-10.05%0.0216✗1.53315k2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.089478-0.58%0.0825-8.33%0.0269✗1.36868k2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0438-0.59%0.94-10.48%0.0564✗2.021.1M2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.1896-0.60%7.107-13.74%0.1204✓0.2737k2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030764-0.60%0.00002821-8.85%0.0250✗1.402.8M2022-02-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.045543-0.63%0.04378-4.47%0.0244✗0.802.2M2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.013353-0.65%0.01178-12.35%0.0007✓1.571.8M2022-02-17
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.2876-0.68%2.89-12.69%0.0493✓1.00681k2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016852-0.69%0.015816-6.79%0.0267✗1.13450k2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.055675-0.73%0.051055-8.97%0.0122✗1.247.6M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.620423-0.73%0.5382-13.89%0.0100✗1.911.8M2022-02-17
PROPropyEthereum2.342.3215-0.79%2.17-7.26%0.0873✗1.94812k2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.4146-0.82%1.2511-12.28%0.0214✓1.272.4M2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.248.1717-0.83%7.1-13.83%0.1177✓0.291.7M2022-02-17
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.6701-0.93%11.44-2.89%0.0832✗1.303.1M2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.2601-0.97%2.2781-0.18%0.0544✗0.582.9M2022-02-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.9944-1.02%4.316-14.47%0.0647✓1.02664k2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.6078-1.40%1.4805-9.20%0.0413✗1.55140k2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.