8=======>

2022-02-11 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0197
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.0%
in alpha space · 52.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.629551-0.98%0.6015-5.39%0.0393✓1.871.8M2022-02-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1575.1104-0.90%4.904-4.91%0.0382✓0.921.0M2022-02-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18686.1322-0.88%5.9446-3.91%0.0300✓0.32447k2022-02-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.050689-0.82%0.04741-7.24%0.0635✓1.004.9M2022-02-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.086269-0.73%0.0956+10.01%0.1073✗1.39567k2022-02-12
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.5328-0.71%2.404-5.76%0.0488✓1.0068k2022-02-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000028531-0.66%0.0000292+1.67%0.0279✗1.421.7M2022-02-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.148031-0.65%0.1393-6.51%0.0563✓1.353.2M2022-02-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.5767-0.65%3.7974+5.48%0.0631✗0.972.2M2022-02-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.8735-0.63%18.05+6.30%0.0698✗0.71919k2022-02-12
PROPropyEthereum2.282.266-0.61%2.22-2.63%0.0172✓1.001.4M2022-02-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.5727-0.59%3.527-1.87%0.0099✓0.8830k2022-02-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.22-0.56%1.2939+5.46%0.0618✗0.901.8M2022-02-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.116341-0.56%0.116-0.85%0.0004✓1.0072k2022-02-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.914822-0.56%0.94+2.17%0.0337✗1.961.1M2022-02-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.031943-0.56%0.028632-10.87%0.1051✓1.29111k2022-02-12
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.927-0.55%6.32+6.04%0.0675✗0.981.9M2022-02-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7432.5594-0.55%31.67-3.27%0.0242✓1.064.6M2022-02-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.142-0.55%1.2471+8.60%0.0933✗1.59114k2022-02-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.9046-0.55%1.8422-3.81%0.0313✓0.612.9M2022-02-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.299371-0.54%0.338+12.29%0.1245✗0.9476k2022-02-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.6597-0.52%7.93+2.99%0.0357✗0.301.0M2022-02-12
BANDBandEthereum4.254.2291-0.49%4.27+0.47%0.0138✗1.241.9M2022-02-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.155835-0.49%0.1672+6.77%0.0739✗1.05430k2022-02-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.031745-0.49%0.0322+0.94%0.0192✗1.49490k2022-02-12
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.0704-0.48%4.15+1.47%0.0240✗1.388.0M2022-02-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.592772-0.47%0.5785-2.87%0.0208✓1.061.1M2022-02-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.015797-0.47%0.015897+0.16%0.0102✗1.17689k2022-02-12
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.2927-0.47%4.109-4.73%0.0394✓1.302.4M2022-02-12
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.9515-0.47%4.07+2.52%0.0307✗0.341.8M2022-02-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.047499-0.46%0.044288-7.19%0.0659✓1.218.7M2022-02-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.9313-0.46%30.19+7.59%0.0810✗0.96679k2022-02-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7042,160.15-0.44%42,568.00+0.52%0.0129✗0.9741k2022-02-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.373343-0.44%0.37-1.33%0.0044✓1.361.9M2022-02-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032837-0.43%0.03125-5.25%0.0466✓0.866.4M2022-02-12
XMRMoneroMonero169.21168.5008-0.42%173.82+2.72%0.0346✗1.051.4M2022-02-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013533-0.42%0.01362+0.22%0.0090✗0.7813k2022-02-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8802-0.40%4.89-0.20%0.0062✗1.242.6M2022-02-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.938-0.40%7.78-2.38%0.0189✓0.371.7M2022-02-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.015.9871-0.38%5.916-1.56%0.0089✓0.9272k2022-02-12
DIADIAEthereum0.960.956361-0.38%0.96+0.00%0.0071✗1.00281k2022-02-12
STXStacksnative1.511.5043-0.37%1.52+0.66%0.0137✗1.001.2M2022-02-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.7462-0.37%20.07+1.26%0.0202✗1.1625.3M2022-02-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.056011-0.37%0.05601-0.37%0.0048✗1.431.2M2022-02-12
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.8938-0.37%7.781-1.79%0.0132✓0.3538k2022-02-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.448665-0.36%0.4544+0.91%0.0188✗1.8335.7M2022-02-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5626.4637-0.36%27.07+1.92%0.0264✗1.1376.9M2022-02-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.065165-0.36%0.0682+4.28%0.0514✗1.7542.7M2022-02-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0961-0.36%1.12+1.82%0.0263✗1.39655k2022-02-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.2783-0.36%3.312+0.67%0.0132✗0.89525k2022-02-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.6852-0.35%4.7989+2.07%0.0281✗1.23442k2022-02-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4742,239.49-0.35%42,244.97-0.33%0.0035✓1.00642.7M2022-02-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1323,035.04-0.35%23,131.85+0.07%0.0074✗0.968.0M2022-02-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.022533-0.35%0.021888-3.20%0.0250✓1.212.4M2022-02-12
XECeCashnative0.000083910.00008362-0.35%0.0000823-1.92%0.0120✓1.175.6M2022-02-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.9433-0.34%1.91-2.05%0.0127✓1.393.0M2022-02-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.071757-0.34%0.0717-0.42%0.0029✓1.1019k2022-02-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.9123-0.34%2.9115-0.36%0.0031✓1.003.0M2022-02-12
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.000002153-0.34%0.00000217+0.46%0.0113✗1.0014.6M2022-02-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3622.2851-0.34%22.54+0.81%0.0166✗1.57387k2022-02-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.110.0663-0.33%11.03+9.21%0.0938✗0.71660k2022-02-12
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0704-0.33%1.052-2.05%0.0125✓1.461.9M2022-02-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.8805-0.33%2.87-0.69%0.0011✓1.4120.0M2022-02-12
GTGateEthereum6.73996.7179-0.33%6.758+0.27%0.0090✗0.904.0M2022-02-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.745-0.33%2.76+0.22%0.0100✗1.351.1M2022-02-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.188455-0.33%0.18496-2.17%0.0133✓1.6240k2022-02-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1543.1437-0.33%3.162+0.25%0.0085✗0.81206k2022-02-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.6317-0.32%1.618-1.16%0.0046✓1.161.6M2022-02-12
XEMNEMnative0.10860.10825-0.32%0.1086+0.00%0.0068✗1.0635k2022-02-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.3943-0.32%3.5079+3.02%0.0366✗1.112.5M2022-02-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.65164-0.32%0.6501-0.55%0.0028✓1.54743k2022-02-12
ORCAOrcaSolana3.113.1002-0.31%3.03-2.57%0.0196✓1.002.0M2022-02-12
FTTFTXEthereum43.4643.3233-0.31%44.18+1.66%0.0235✗1.1832.3M2022-02-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.439-0.31%4.786+7.48%0.0781✗0.84346k2022-02-12
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54124.1516-0.31%127.26+2.18%0.0290✗1.2865k2022-02-12
ZECZcashZcash116.54116.1799-0.31%117.83+1.11%0.0183✗1.277.3M2022-02-12
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832184.5713-0.31%85.8439+1.19%0.0198✗1.44319k2022-02-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6494.3497-0.31%94.11-0.56%0.0005✓0.911.3M2022-02-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.012403-0.30%0.01276+2.57%0.0335✗1.521.7M2022-02-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9629.8714-0.30%28.49-4.91%0.0423✓1.502.0M2022-02-12
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.384-0.30%5.34-1.11%0.0047✓1.04701k2022-02-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3471-0.29%2.354+0.00%0.0065✗1.0622k2022-02-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.064-0.29%2.02-2.42%0.0172✓1.302.3M2022-02-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2197.1983-0.29%6.939-3.88%0.0333✓1.02407k2022-02-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69125.3316-0.29%126.78+0.87%0.0159✗1.3135.7M2022-02-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.567993-0.28%0.562-1.33%0.0062✓1.312.6M2022-02-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.097245-0.28%0.09377-3.85%0.0328✓1.0750k2022-02-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0758.9054-0.28%59.18+0.19%0.0088✗1.238.8M2022-02-12
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.533-0.28%2.5-1.57%0.0088✓1.29401k2022-02-12
LUNATerraTerra 250.3550.2138-0.27%51.96+3.20%0.0390✗1.437.8M2022-02-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.036431-0.27%0.03381-7.45%0.0709✓1.129.5M2022-02-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.144465-0.27%0.144281-0.39%0.0022✓1.037.1M2022-02-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.1592-0.27%1.1541-0.70%0.0009✓1.05239k2022-02-12
DASHDashDash103.99103.7143-0.27%104.19+0.19%0.0084✗1.142.2M2022-02-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8181.5939-0.26%81.34-0.57%0.0014✓1.3592.3M2022-02-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0921.0344-0.26%20.86-1.09%0.0043✓1.2110.8M2022-02-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.7709-0.26%1.7725-0.17%0.0046✗1.1178k2022-02-12
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.173046-0.26%0.1736+0.06%0.0056✗0.72406k2022-02-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.921-0.26%15.16+1.34%0.0194✗1.05576k2022-02-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.077275-0.25%0.07609-1.78%0.0129✓0.7789k2022-02-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.2243-0.25%6.4+2.56%0.0306✗0.83441k2022-02-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.417069-0.25%0.4191+0.24%0.0093✗1.338.9M2022-02-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.288093-0.24%0.2838-1.73%0.0098✓1.554.2M2022-02-12
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71163.3101-0.24%162.52-0.73%0.0001✓1.419.5M2022-02-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.615399-0.24%0.617618+0.12%0.0075✗1.173.5M2022-02-12
DODODODOEthereum0.520.518735-0.24%0.514-1.15%0.0043✓1.454.9M2022-02-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4568-0.24%5.48+0.18%0.0069✗0.79377k2022-02-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.25878-0.24%0.2514-3.08%0.0253✓1.091.6M2022-02-12
KCSKuCoinnative19.08719.0415-0.24%19.111+0.13%0.0081✗1.3410.4M2022-02-12
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.010535-0.24%0.01068+1.14%0.0171✗1.02550k2022-02-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.821348-0.24%0.80694-1.99%0.0127✓1.50311k2022-02-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.095-0.23%1.0443-4.85%0.0434✓1.202.3M2022-02-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.4551-0.23%6.67+3.09%0.0357✗0.89406k2022-02-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01320.2759-0.23%330.64+3.00%0.0353✗1.028.9M2022-02-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.873407-0.23%0.8744-0.11%0.0047✗1.0613.0M2022-02-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.283563-0.22%0.2852+0.35%0.0095✗1.12538k2022-02-12
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.5457-0.22%6.7389+2.72%0.0339✗1.45145k2022-02-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.7062-0.22%1.69-1.17%0.0053✓1.261.4M2022-02-12
XVGVergenative0.011510.011485-0.22%0.01149-0.17%0.0051✗1.381.3M2022-02-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.829-0.22%1.812-1.15%0.0050✓1.311.2M2022-02-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.9487-0.22%18.82-0.90%0.0023✓1.3636.1M2022-02-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2216.1857-0.21%15.97-1.54%0.0094✓1.2173.6M2022-02-12
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.063827-0.21%0.063473-0.76%0.0025✓0.90357k2022-02-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.5747-0.20%2.56-0.78%0.0023✓1.02457k2022-02-12
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.3053-0.20%2.3-0.43%0.0009✓0.972.9M2022-02-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041796-0.20%0.04235+1.12%0.0169✗1.1230k2022-02-12
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0782-0.20%1.0596-1.92%0.0136✓1.12115.7M2022-02-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.9785-0.19%5.98-0.17%0.0040✗1.12689k2022-02-12
QNTQuantEthereum129.51129.2618-0.19%133.7+3.24%0.0372✗1.027.8M2022-02-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.958248-0.18%0.942-1.88%0.0125✓1.382.4M2022-02-12
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.631-0.18%10.64-0.09%0.0053✗1.3312.5M2022-02-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.769632-0.18%0.745-3.37%0.0289✓1.101.7M2022-02-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.006189-0.17%0.00616-0.65%0.0020✗2.0218.8M2022-02-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.915391-0.16%0.9188+0.21%0.0075✗1.1228.1M2022-02-12
ZENHorizenBase40.3640.2969-0.16%40.89+1.31%0.0198✗1.56461k2022-02-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.933066-0.15%0.9401+0.60%0.0128✗1.57672k2022-02-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.4576-0.15%0.4604+0.46%0.0111✗1.502.2M2022-02-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2417.214-0.15%17.04-1.16%0.0043✓1.753.8M2022-02-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.086678-0.14%0.0857-1.27%0.0072✓1.23209k2022-02-12
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1789-0.14%2.1781-0.18%0.0036✗1.20675k2022-02-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2553-0.14%1.267+0.80%0.0135✗1.253.2M2022-02-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,925.13-0.13%2,919.99-0.31%0.0020✗1.12572.6M2022-02-12
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.21511-0.13%0.218218+1.31%0.0178✗1.0324.3M2022-02-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9878-0.11%1.92-3.52%0.0307✓1.191.5M2022-02-12
XVSVenusEthereum8.928.9101-0.11%8.98+0.67%0.0122✗1.302.8M2022-02-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.205387-0.10%0.2064+0.39%0.0097✗1.423.7M2022-02-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.108493-0.10%0.1035-4.70%0.0419✓1.571.3M2022-02-12
KSMKusamaHydration165.1164.9902-0.07%166.09+0.60%0.0107✗1.22973k2022-02-12
SOLSolanaSolana96.596.4396-0.06%95.95-0.57%0.0009✓1.25179.7M2022-02-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.