2022-02-09 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2636

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.86%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.4%

in alpha space · 91.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.00%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.2066	-0.15%	2.07	-6.33%	0.0401	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	113.865	-0.15%	106.25	-6.83%	0.0442	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	191.873	-0.18%	179.15	-6.80%	0.0443	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031139	-0.20%	0.03045	-2.40%	0.0044	✓	0.89	6.6M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3952	-0.20%	2.3689	-1.29%	0.0129	✗	1.19	845k	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.123444	-0.21%	0.1163	-5.98%	0.0282	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.094088	-0.22%	0.0919	-2.55%	0.0014	✓	1.23	219k	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4266	-0.24%	1.323	-7.48%	0.0504	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,238.35	-0.24%	3,074.85	-5.28%	0.0294	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.238271	-0.24%	0.23172	-2.99%	0.0072	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.824908	-0.25%	0.845	+2.18%	0.0461	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.0335	-0.26%	9.7	-3.58%	0.0077	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.2109	-0.28%	18.94	-10.95%	0.0784	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0342	-0.28%	0.9822	-5.29%	0.0294	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.186273	-0.28%	0.1806	-3.32%	0.0165	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1913	-0.29%	1.1515	-3.62%	0.0115	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.069742	-0.29%	0.068608	-1.91%	0.0017	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.8219	-0.29%	2.7	-4.59%	0.0236	✓	1.02	489k	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0944	-0.29%	1.0404	-5.21%	0.0195	✓	1.54	672k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1571	-0.31%	3.9	-6.47%	0.0383	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.642	-0.31%	17.51	-6.36%	0.0386	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.287098	-0.31%	0.281	-2.43%	0.0022	✓	0.95	70k	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1813	-0.32%	7.1425	-0.86%	0.0238	✗	1.45	156k	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.046651	-0.32%	0.04451	-4.89%	0.0244	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.2902	-0.32%	11.41	-7.46%	0.0477	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.538835	-0.33%	0.5118	-5.33%	0.0215	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.6352	-0.34%	20.473	-1.12%	0.0192	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.6685	-0.34%	45.02	-5.87%	0.0261	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.4546	-0.34%	7.67	+2.54%	0.0350	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.240378	-0.34%	0.2242	-7.05%	0.0415	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0823	-0.34%	1.029	-5.25%	0.0228	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.317384	-0.35%	0.3045	-4.40%	0.0190	✓	1.11	518k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.588916	-0.35%	0.562	-4.91%	0.0178	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	7.0351	-0.35%	6.43	-8.92%	0.0677	✓	1.10	733k	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012485	-0.36%	0.01219	-2.71%	0.0036	✗	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007414	-0.36%	0.00696	-6.45%	0.0227	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.8	-0.36%	2.59	-7.83%	0.0593	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	344.966	-0.36%	341.1	-1.48%	0.0093	✗	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.320618	-0.37%	0.3093	-3.88%	0.0046	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	101.1234	-0.37%	98.35	-3.10%	0.0096	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.059189	-0.37%	0.05799	-2.39%	0.0084	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002311	-0.37%	0.00000223	-3.88%	0.0156	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	7.016	-0.37%	6.9043	-1.96%	0.0020	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	114.5206	-0.37%	111.66	-2.86%	0.0024	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.142366	-0.37%	0.1482	+3.71%	0.0680	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.158453	-0.37%	0.151631	-4.66%	0.0233	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.8876	-0.38%	20.51	-6.65%	0.0377	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.448	-0.38%	16.26	-1.51%	0.0097	✗	1.05	590k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.9226	-0.38%	1.8	-6.74%	0.0406	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.620912	-0.38%	0.6038	-3.13%	0.0015	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	149.6003	-0.39%	140.08	-6.73%	0.0455	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.485815	-0.39%	0.4615	-5.37%	0.0248	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.012003	-0.39%	0.01138	-5.56%	0.0330	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013188	-0.39%	0.01369	+3.40%	0.0534	✗	0.79	12k	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.937435	-0.40%	0.88264	-6.22%	0.0304	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040836	-0.40%	0.0397	-3.17%	0.0056	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	57.3284	-0.40%	52.32	-9.10%	0.0630	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.599244	-0.41%	0.5753	-4.39%	0.0192	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.703828	-0.41%	0.677039	-4.20%	0.0156	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	24.2195	-0.41%	23.14	-4.85%	0.0215	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.085375	-0.41%	0.0828	-3.42%	0.0153	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	125.5266	-0.42%	124.85	-0.95%	0.0201	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.5982	-0.42%	2.505	-3.99%	0.0152	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.9277	-0.42%	2.76	-6.12%	0.0332	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8242	-0.42%	1.719	-6.17%	0.0362	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2703	-0.42%	2.16	-5.26%	0.0235	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	6.0539	-0.43%	5.69	-6.41%	0.0411	✓	1.04	773k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	89.7913	-0.43%	91.18	+1.11%	0.0426	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	187.3834	-0.43%	175.4	-6.80%	0.0379	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	139.6015	-0.43%	134.59	-4.01%	0.0102	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	47.7612	-0.44%	44.55	-7.13%	0.0460	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	44,222.22	-0.44%	43,527.71	-2.00%	0.0044	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.107374	-0.44%	0.10255	-4.91%	0.0246	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	26,177.93	-0.44%	24,454.91	-6.99%	0.0490	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-02-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0652	-0.45%	1.01	-5.61%	0.0330	✓	1.00	286k	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.1503	-0.45%	1.987	-8.01%	0.0530	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1675	-0.45%	1.1096	-5.39%	0.0214	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2848	-0.46%	1.2095	-6.29%	0.0365	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.9938	-0.46%	21.59	-6.54%	0.0398	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3457	-0.46%	1.2595	-6.83%	0.0454	✓	1.03	279k	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.1467	-0.46%	6.84	-4.74%	0.0261	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.7118	-0.48%	1.62	-5.81%	0.0349	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	67.2977	-0.48%	63.35	-6.31%	0.0359	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.294848	-0.49%	0.2774	-6.38%	0.0391	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.3305	-0.49%	3.241	-3.17%	0.0109	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.046756	-0.50%	0.04637	-1.32%	0.0119	✗	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079004	-0.50%	0.076	-4.28%	0.0168	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9881	-0.50%	1.8836	-5.74%	0.0318	✓	1.10	79k	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	30.7833	-0.51%	29.1	-5.95%	0.0338	✓	1.11	96.8M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2683	-0.51%	2.07	-9.21%	0.0636	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	1.0163	-0.51%	0.9488	-7.13%	0.0477	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.120568	-0.52%	0.1139	-6.02%	0.0357	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	143.4743	-0.52%	132.68	-8.01%	0.0525	✓	1.27	65k	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	4.0188	-0.52%	4.48	+10.89%	0.1152	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.024106	-0.53%	0.023319	-3.77%	0.0086	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.4816	-0.53%	3.2	-8.57%	0.0563	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016917	-0.53%	0.017169	+0.95%	0.0385	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0667	-0.53%	2.821	-8.50%	0.0562	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7755	-0.53%	4.61	-3.98%	0.0184	✓	0.83	346k	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.033521	-0.53%	0.035	+3.86%	0.0735	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.3345	-0.54%	5.0692	-5.48%	0.0263	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.563452	-0.54%	0.5138	-9.30%	0.0560	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.6609	-0.54%	23.69	-8.18%	0.0483	✓	1.57	398k	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.3234	-0.54%	3.1401	-6.03%	0.0372	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.75677	-0.54%	0.7205	-5.31%	0.0182	✓	1.53	938k	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.8503	-0.55%	10.6	-2.84%	0.0091	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.1008	-0.55%	6.86	-3.92%	0.0182	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.967	-0.55%	5.75	-4.17%	0.0212	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.775	-0.55%	3.584	-5.58%	0.0343	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.229293	-0.56%	0.2098	-9.01%	0.0567	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	184.7888	-0.56%	179.36	-3.48%	0.0088	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.9568	-0.56%	1.874	-4.77%	0.0308	✓	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.216	-0.57%	7.756	-6.14%	0.0372	✓	1.01	460k	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.3174	-0.57%	28.06	-1.47%	0.0104	✗	0.97	566k	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.6215	-0.58%	6.28	-5.71%	0.0332	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.3431	-0.59%	1.3101	-3.03%	0.0046	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.403587	-0.59%	0.408	+0.49%	0.0383	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.856	-0.59%	6.466	-6.25%	0.0403	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.4161	-0.60%	4.1273	-7.10%	0.0411	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.127215	-0.61%	0.124	-3.12%	0.0054	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.7083	-0.62%	33.86	-0.18%	0.0349	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.4443	-0.64%	2.64	+7.32%	0.0972	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.8027	-0.64%	5.23	-10.45%	0.0793	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014993	-0.64%	0.01337	-11.40%	0.0845	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	44,204.26	-0.65%	43,566.60	-2.08%	0.0050	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.00009658	-0.65%	0.0000925	-4.85%	0.0201	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.166691	-0.66%	0.1649	-1.73%	0.0103	✗	1.04	412k	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8693	-0.71%	3.5527	-8.83%	0.0631	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.263	-0.71%	8.495	-8.94%	0.0799	✓	0.33	38k	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.6	-0.71%	34.39	+1.63%	0.0447	✗	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	106.3068	-0.71%	94.3677	-11.86%	0.0904	✓	1.42	320k	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	9.2404	-0.75%	8.52	-8.49%	0.0741	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.7219	-0.80%	4.41	-7.35%	0.0407	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.8379	-0.81%	3.5386	-8.55%	0.0634	✓	0.88	28k	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.085966	-0.85%	0.1041	+20.07%	0.2193	✗	1.38	548k	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.8576	-0.85%	5.533	-6.35%	0.0368	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.085224	-0.90%	0.0744	-13.49%	0.1020	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.8478	-0.96%	3.654	-5.95%	0.0322	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.037101	-0.98%	0.035501	-5.25%	0.0182	✓	1.28	114k	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.9433	-1.19%	18.01	-0.83%	0.0179	✗	0.70	919k	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000032586	-1.19%	0.00003081	-6.58%	0.0278	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0766	-1.23%	1	-8.26%	0.0346	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3681	-1.23%	1.3202	-4.69%	0.0044	✓	1.55	107k	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.057368	-1.41%	0.050395	-13.40%	0.1055	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.4087	-1.49%	1.22	-14.69%	0.1166	✓	1.35	523k	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.6805	-1.83%	6.1336	-9.87%	0.0795	✓	0.29	407k	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.803528	-2.03%	0.6635	-19.11%	0.1544	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-02-10
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.1896	-2.43%	2.908	-11.04%	0.0722	✓	1.00	67k	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.