2022-02-06 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2278

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.32%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.4%

in alpha space · 7.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.43%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5826	0.573712	-1.53%	0.6483	+11.28%	0.0610	✗	1.82	1.8M	2022-02-07
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.143	6.0668	-1.24%	6.287	+2.34%	0.0020	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0929	0.091921	-1.05%	0.0901	-3.01%	0.0788	✓	1.75	26.7M	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000285	0.000028224	-0.97%	0.00003255	+14.21%	0.0970	✗	1.35	1.3M	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.32	67.6634	-0.96%	68.32	+0.00%	0.0321	✓	1.24	7.8M	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4668	3.4348	-0.92%	3.7993	+9.59%	0.0718	✗	0.86	26k	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.86	27.6046	-0.92%	28.02	+0.57%	0.0181	✓	0.98	513k	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.58	8.5071	-0.85%	9.06	+5.59%	0.0512	✗	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.076	2.0587	-0.83%	1.9987	-3.72%	0.0518	✓	0.66	3.2M	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.81	4.7727	-0.78%	4.96	+3.12%	0.0081	✓	1.38	8.3M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.0878	5.0496	-0.75%	4.8233	-5.20%	0.0553	✓	0.28	376k	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23556	0.233863	-0.72%	0.22724	-3.53%	0.0835	✓	1.63	34k	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3003	3.2773	-0.70%	3.2878	-0.38%	0.0302	✓	0.99	2.8M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.22	1.2118	-0.67%	1.24	+1.64%	0.0224	✓	1.35	490k	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0126	0.012516	-0.67%	0.01584	+25.71%	0.1878	✗	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.154	0.152993	-0.65%	0.1593	+3.44%	0.0057	✓	1.03	337k	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2177	1.2098	-0.65%	1.2317	+1.15%	0.0320	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1073	1.1002	-0.64%	1.2268	+10.79%	0.0585	✗	1.50	103k	2022-02-07
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04888	0.048568	-0.64%	0.04778	-2.25%	0.0500	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-07
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.13	2.1165	-0.63%	2.2	+3.29%	0.0050	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6191	0.615215	-0.63%	0.6257	+1.07%	0.0196	✓	1.08	1.4M	2022-02-07
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3266	1.3188	-0.59%	1.299	-2.08%	0.0488	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.65	24.5068	-0.58%	25.54	+3.61%	0.0117	✓	1.57	411k	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9256	3.9031	-0.57%	4.1408	+5.48%	0.0147	✗	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.28	16.1883	-0.56%	16.23	-0.31%	0.0210	✓	0.70	908k	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.466	8.4193	-0.55%	8.971	+5.97%	0.0523	✗	0.33	39k	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	140.8	140.0732	-0.52%	145.96	+3.66%	0.0022	✓	1.29	59k	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7752	0.771222	-0.51%	0.7902	+1.93%	0.0280	✓	1.55	1.1M	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,634.41	24,508.86	-0.51%	26,559.72	+7.82%	0.0488	✗	0.94	12.3M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.31	31.1535	-0.50%	31.63	+1.02%	0.0235	✓	1.15	103.8M	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016835	0.016752	-0.49%	0.01721	+2.23%	0.0132	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.81	5.7818	-0.49%	5.9	+1.55%	0.0218	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.17	2.1597	-0.48%	2.26	+4.15%	0.0006	✓	1.36	3.4M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.292	7.2574	-0.47%	7.753	+6.32%	0.0319	✗	1.01	341k	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0712	0.070864	-0.47%	0.0915	+28.51%	0.2116	✗	1.30	540k	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08812	0.087704	-0.47%	0.08985	+1.96%	0.0022	✓	0.78	86k	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5305	0.528063	-0.46%	0.602	+13.48%	0.0709	✗	1.79	42.5M	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.91	6.8783	-0.46%	7.38	+6.80%	0.0361	✗	1.02	818k	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.556	0.553488	-0.45%	0.583	+4.86%	0.0033	✓	1.45	4.6M	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3194	0.317968	-0.45%	0.3267	+2.29%	0.0109	✓	1.13	533k	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.063	2.0539	-0.44%	2.094	+1.50%	0.0245	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.36	23.2586	-0.43%	24.04	+2.91%	0.0064	✓	1.17	26.9M	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.44	6.4121	-0.43%	6.61	+2.64%	0.0034	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.778	1.7704	-0.43%	1.868	+5.06%	0.0147	✗	1.16	1.5M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.39	3.3755	-0.43%	3.56	+5.01%	0.0057	✗	1.41	20.8M	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.10064	-0.43%	0.10441	+3.30%	0.0013	✓	1.05	47k	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9592	0.955124	-0.42%	0.9985	+4.10%	0.0089	✗	1.05	13.5M	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0353	0.035151	-0.42%	0.0369	+4.53%	0.0030	✓	1.53	490k	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.232	0.231034	-0.42%	0.2345	+1.08%	0.0319	✓	1.39	3.6M	2022-02-07
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.241	2.2317	-0.42%	2.308	+2.99%	0.0001	✓	1.00	66k	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.489	1.4829	-0.41%	1.495	+0.40%	0.0350	✓	1.28	3.4M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.583	2.5727	-0.40%	2.656	+2.83%	0.0042	✓	1.07	22k	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.038392	0.03824	-0.39%	0.038389	-0.01%	0.0388	✓	1.27	117k	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.8	173.117	-0.39%	185.08	+6.49%	0.0318	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	173.57	172.8905	-0.39%	182.29	+5.02%	0.0058	✗	1.40	10.2M	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.1624	7.1358	-0.37%	7.3085	+2.04%	0.0061	✓	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	195.98	195.2531	-0.37%	198.23	+1.15%	0.0262	✓	1.23	1.0M	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	31.33	31.2162	-0.36%	32.06	+2.33%	0.0227	✓	1.47	2.0M	2022-02-07
STX	Stacks	native	1.68	1.6739	-0.36%	1.72	+2.38%	0.0065	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.2495	-0.35%	3.306	+1.38%	0.0100	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02203	0.021953	-0.35%	0.023054	+4.65%	0.0082	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.04	3.0295	-0.35%	3.09	+1.64%	0.0219	✓	1.24	407k	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.367	0.365733	-0.35%	0.384	+4.63%	0.0040	✗	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1636	5.1459	-0.34%	5.4029	+4.63%	0.0072	✗	1.23	406k	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040661	-0.34%	0.04107	+0.66%	0.0273	✓	1.11	9.0M	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	22.46	22.3849	-0.33%	24.52	+9.17%	0.0517	✗	1.17	10.4M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	91.4575	91.1535	-0.33%	105.8832	+15.77%	0.1028	✗	1.39	319k	2022-02-07
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.126584	-0.33%	0.133	+4.72%	0.0158	✗	1.00	96k	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.65	46.4975	-0.33%	47.22	+1.22%	0.0246	✓	1.19	33.0M	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.816	0.813336	-0.33%	0.854	+4.66%	0.0119	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.197	1.1931	-0.32%	1.3002	+8.62%	0.0461	✗	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.63	3.6183	-0.32%	3.79	+4.41%	0.0364	✗	0.30	1.5M	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3479	1.3436	-0.32%	1.3981	+3.73%	0.0045	✗	1.05	326k	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.637	3.6255	-0.32%	3.76	+3.38%	0.0076	✗	0.86	649k	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	124.6	124.2076	-0.31%	128.86	+3.42%	0.0065	✓	1.28	6.6M	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0768	0.076569	-0.30%	0.079	+2.86%	0.0057	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.82	2.8115	-0.30%	2.86	+1.42%	0.0142	✓	0.93	2.3M	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.95	135.5448	-0.30%	154.1	+13.35%	0.0957	✗	0.97	7.5M	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.269216	-0.29%	0.285	+5.56%	0.0249	✗	0.95	67k	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5074	0.505944	-0.29%	0.535	+5.44%	0.0075	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2472	3.238	-0.28%	3.4602	+6.56%	0.0349	✗	0.93	2.0M	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,902.90	41,786.66	-0.28%	43,893.50	+4.75%	0.0169	✗	0.96	36k	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.26	10.2316	-0.28%	10.4	+1.36%	0.0073	✓	0.70	627k	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.311	0.310142	-0.28%	0.3247	+4.41%	0.0069	✓	1.57	4.1M	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.91	21.8507	-0.27%	22.37	+2.10%	0.0227	✓	1.37	41.9M	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01152	0.011489	-0.27%	0.01222	+6.08%	0.0176	✗	1.31	1.3M	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0116	0.011569	-0.27%	0.01211	+4.40%	0.0116	✗	1.01	550k	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.18	2.1743	-0.26%	2.27	+4.13%	0.0011	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.129	0.128664	-0.26%	0.1248	-3.26%	0.0843	✓	1.60	1.6M	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.83	0.827837	-0.26%	0.95	+14.46%	0.0743	✗	1.88	996k	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.89	29.8151	-0.25%	32.66	+9.27%	0.0561	✗	1.04	3.5M	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.73	2.7232	-0.25%	2.82	+3.30%	0.0009	✓	1.01	542k	2022-02-07
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000228	0.000002274	-0.25%	0.00000235	+3.07%	0.0010	✓	1.00	14.9M	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1904	0.189931	-0.25%	0.1916	+0.63%	0.0156	✓	0.72	423k	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.279	6.2636	-0.24%	6.962	+10.88%	0.0760	✗	0.88	81k	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	56.13	55.9933	-0.24%	59.48	+5.97%	0.0131	✗	1.40	8.4M	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		98.65	98.4164	-0.24%	101.78	+3.17%	0.0029	✗	0.91	1.5M	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.05	78.8646	-0.23%	83.23	+5.29%	0.0086	✗	1.34	85.1M	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.79	5.7766	-0.23%	6	+3.63%	0.0026	✗	1.05	802k	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.49	47.3804	-0.23%	48.2	+1.50%	0.0356	✓	1.57	531k	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2607	0.260107	-0.23%	0.2714	+4.10%	0.0079	✗	1.03	1.7M	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.97	3.961	-0.23%	4.06	+2.27%	0.0183	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8521	1.8479	-0.22%	1.9231	+3.84%	0.0025	✗	1.11	72k	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.64	6.6252	-0.22%	6.79	+2.26%	0.0049	✓	0.88	444k	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4089	3.4014	-0.22%	3.5646	+4.57%	0.0097	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.46	5.4481	-0.22%	5.62	+2.93%	0.0052	✗	0.77	356k	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.5	6.4861	-0.21%	6.65	+2.31%	0.0019	✓	0.80	441k	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.473	0.472018	-0.21%	0.5065	+7.08%	0.0259	✗	1.32	9.3M	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0259	1.0239	-0.20%	1.0706	+4.36%	0.0078	✗	1.09	29.2M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008613	0.00008596	-0.20%	0.00009007	+4.57%	0.0083	✗	1.14	5.4M	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.533	4.524	-0.20%	4.576	+0.95%	0.0168	✓	0.84	351k	2022-02-07
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.008	-0.20%	1.07	+5.94%	0.0260	✗	1.00	298k	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.659906	0.658619	-0.20%	0.67955	+2.98%	0.0078	✓	1.16	3.3M	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.06	18.0251	-0.19%	18.88	+4.54%	0.0067	✗	1.18	76.9M	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01348	0.013454	-0.19%	0.01354	+0.45%	0.0213	✓	0.82	13k	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5976	0.596472	-0.19%	0.6374	+6.66%	0.0224	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.784	2.7788	-0.19%	2.945	+5.78%	0.0134	✗	1.33	911k	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.7	11.6788	-0.18%	12.38	+5.81%	0.0141	✗	1.31	12.2M	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.25	7.237	-0.18%	7.41	+2.21%	0.0128	✗	0.32	1.1M	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05974	0.059635	-0.18%	0.06292	+5.32%	0.0055	✗	1.43	1.5M	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.016	1.0142	-0.17%	1.073	+5.61%	0.0098	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	127.68	127.4584	-0.17%	137.43	+7.64%	0.0324	✗	1.27	30.6M	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04503	0.044954	-0.17%	0.04657	+3.42%	0.0026	✓	1.13	29k	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1436	1.1418	-0.16%	1.1991	+4.85%	0.0114	✗	1.11	108.7M	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.33	2.3264	-0.16%	2.38	+2.15%	0.0173	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.131	0.130801	-0.15%	0.1382	+5.50%	0.0087	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1222	1.1206	-0.14%	1.1664	+3.94%	0.0110	✓	1.52	672k	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.8574	-0.14%	1.93	+3.76%	0.0043	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94262	0.94137	-0.13%	0.96686	+2.57%	0.0241	✓	1.51	334k	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	324.8	324.3737	-0.13%	343.12	+5.64%	0.0220	✗	1.02	6.8M	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.001	19.9753	-0.13%	20.309	+1.54%	0.0290	✓	1.35	10.4M	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.86	20.8334	-0.13%	21.81	+4.55%	0.0125	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,058.22	3,054.52	-0.12%	3,141.89	+2.74%	0.0092	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,415.16	42,364.29	-0.12%	43,868.07	+3.43%	0.0012	✓	1.00	638.9M	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.223926	0.223661	-0.12%	0.239623	+7.01%	0.0346	✗	1.02	24.4M	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	108.83	108.7022	-0.12%	115.9	+6.50%	0.0260	✗	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03208	0.032042	-0.12%	0.03323	+3.58%	0.0063	✗	0.89	7.4M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1121	0.111972	-0.11%	0.1175	+4.82%	0.0129	✗	1.05	35k	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.1257	7.1184	-0.10%	7.4703	+4.84%	0.0009	✓	1.46	156k	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.56	15.5483	-0.08%	16.8	+7.97%	0.0428	✗	1.03	616k	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1538	0.153701	-0.06%	0.165291	+7.47%	0.0381	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039748	0.039727	-0.05%	0.042745	+7.54%	0.0343	✗	1.15	8.4M	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066256	0.066224	-0.05%	0.068517	+3.41%	0.0036	✗	0.90	362k	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0894	0.089375	-0.03%	0.0948	+6.04%	0.0179	✗	1.22	244k	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2381	2.2377	-0.02%	2.3627	+5.57%	0.0150	✗	1.17	845k	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	115.32	115.3087	-0.01%	117.62	+1.99%	0.0221	✓	1.25	181.0M	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.007	0.007	-0.00%	0.00701	+0.14%	0.0667	✓	2.02	20.0M	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.91	8.9115	+0.02%	10.33	+15.94%	0.1051	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.