2022-02-03 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1006

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.03%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.3%

in alpha space · 11.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+11.48%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006137	+0.28%	0.00663	+8.33%	0.1755	✗	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-04
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.372477	+0.24%	0.41	+10.33%	0.0855	✗	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-04
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.038367	+0.23%	0.039645	+3.57%	0.1362	✗	1.55	131k	2022-02-04
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.7563	+0.18%	5.748	+21.06%	0.0807	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-04
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.080798	+0.12%	0.0871	+7.93%	0.0576	✗	1.22	299k	2022-02-04
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.198	+0.10%	8.72	+6.47%	0.0819	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-04
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.660611	+0.09%	0.8	+21.21%	0.0125	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-04
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.851233	+0.09%	0.9113	+7.15%	0.1304	✗	1.83	852k	2022-02-04
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0785	+0.07%	2.207	+6.25%	0.0722	✗	1.22	888k	2022-02-04
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.1011	+0.05%	6.8761	+12.76%	0.0372	✗	1.44	174k	2022-02-04
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.113817	+0.02%	0.1262	+10.90%	0.0420	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-04
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.4224	+0.01%	20.65	+12.11%	0.0852	✗	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-04
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.059858	+0.01%	0.06445	+7.69%	0.0263	✗	0.92	396k	2022-02-04
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	101.9428	+0.01%	112.69	+10.56%	0.0315	✗	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-04
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.036105	+0.01%	0.0408	+13.01%	0.0130	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-04
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.137862	-0.01%	0.147947	+7.31%	0.0445	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-04
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.873935	-0.01%	0.978	+11.90%	0.0366	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-04
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.617023	-0.01%	0.6793	+10.08%	0.0710	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-04
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6598	-0.01%	1.77	+6.63%	0.0769	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-04
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	281.414	-0.02%	306.37	+8.85%	0.0280	✓	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-04
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.3882	-0.02%	11.18	+7.60%	0.0726	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-04
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.029174	-0.02%	0.03121	+6.96%	0.0269	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-04
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.826104	-0.02%	0.89908	+8.81%	0.1026	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-04
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	95.2063	-0.02%	103.07	+8.23%	0.0490	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-04
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.9463	-0.03%	15.13	+8.46%	0.0270	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-04
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.6796	-0.03%	43.19	+11.63%	0.0639	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-04
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.102667	-0.03%	0.1096	+6.72%	0.0439	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-04
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012355	-0.04%	0.01363	+10.28%	0.0031	✗	0.87	13k	2022-02-04
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	48.48	-0.04%	51.33	+5.84%	0.0717	✓	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-04
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.1175	-0.05%	5.44	+6.25%	0.0527	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-04
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.106345	-0.05%	0.1207	+13.44%	0.0352	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-04
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.194954	-0.05%	0.209216	+7.26%	0.0416	✓	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-04
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020739	-0.05%	0.0000222	+6.99%	0.0840	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-04
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6269	-0.06%	1.7925	+10.12%	0.0218	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-04
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2485	-0.07%	2.29	+1.78%	0.1389	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-04
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.2674	-0.07%	21.99	+14.06%	0.0378	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-04
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.476186	-0.07%	0.5318	+11.61%	0.0986	✓	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-04
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	100.9524	-0.07%	107.21	+6.13%	0.0846	✓	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-04
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.40642	-0.07%	0.4406	+8.34%	0.0653	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-04
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.9146	-0.07%	19.447	+8.48%	0.0815	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-04
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.717485	-0.07%	0.772	+7.52%	0.0430	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-04
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.6458	-0.07%	6.47	+14.51%	0.0337	✗	0.94	832k	2022-02-04
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	37,301.59	-0.08%	41,614.64	+11.48%	0.0008	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-04
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	110.9307	-0.08%	121.42	+9.37%	0.0570	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-04
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3773	-0.08%	3.84	+13.61%	0.0075	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-04
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,695.39	-0.08%	2,998.19	+11.14%	0.0135	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-04
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.1326	-0.08%	4.373	+5.73%	0.0333	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-04
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	74.4533	-0.08%	88.7362	+19.09%	0.0354	✗	1.29	351k	2022-02-04
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.183748	-0.08%	0.2023	+10.01%	0.0488	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-04
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.543124	-0.09%	0.5902	+8.57%	0.0600	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-04
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.053571	-0.09%	0.05692	+6.15%	0.0938	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-04
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.935119	-0.09%	0.9987	+6.70%	0.0615	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-04
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	37,175.41	-0.09%	40,457.70	+8.73%	0.0241	✓	1.00	51k	2022-02-04
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	68.4249	-0.10%	77.91	+13.75%	0.0187	✓	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-04
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.020326	-0.10%	0.0224	+10.10%	0.0153	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-04
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.00007632	-0.11%	0.00008267	+8.21%	0.0437	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-04
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.032065	-0.11%	0.0408	+27.10%	0.0840	✗	1.44	490k	2022-02-04
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.039446	-0.11%	0.04226	+7.01%	0.0511	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-04
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.065625	-0.11%	0.0704	+7.15%	0.0493	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-04
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009929	-0.11%	0.01084	+9.05%	0.0559	✓	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-04
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040582	-0.12%	0.04407	+8.47%	0.0387	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-04
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.7662	-0.12%	6.123	+6.06%	0.0322	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-04
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.829783	-0.12%	0.964	+16.03%	0.0067	✓	1.44	99k	2022-02-04
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1527	-0.12%	1.2494	+8.25%	0.0295	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-04
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	89.6888	-0.12%	95.61	+6.47%	0.0382	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-04
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.235799	-0.13%	0.2513	+6.44%	0.0633	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-04
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.2886	-0.13%	17.51	+7.36%	0.0611	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-04
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	152.6555	-0.13%	166.87	+9.17%	0.0650	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-04
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4867	-0.13%	2.71	+8.84%	0.0471	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-04
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	20.3421	-0.14%	21.63	+6.19%	0.0694	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-04
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.44283	-0.15%	0.4872	+9.85%	0.0601	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-04
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.061507	-0.15%	0.0663	+7.63%	0.0650	✓	1.29	548k	2022-02-04
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0838	-0.15%	4.47	+9.29%	0.0611	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-04
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.1606	-0.15%	6.43	+4.21%	0.0441	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-04
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.7012	-0.15%	6.19	+8.41%	0.0381	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-04
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	124.8049	-0.16%	132.7	+6.16%	0.0813	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-04
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1619	-0.16%	5.39	+4.26%	0.0392	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-04
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	162.5031	-0.16%	180.53	+10.92%	0.0232	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-04
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009335	-0.16%	0.0106	+13.37%	0.0127	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-04
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.6138	-0.16%	2.734	+4.43%	0.1179	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-04
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6923	-0.16%	1.823	+7.55%	0.0627	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-04
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.327465	-0.16%	0.352	+7.32%	0.0759	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-04
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.8869	-0.16%	2.1	+11.11%	0.0348	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-04
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	146.6472	-0.17%	165.31	+12.54%	0.0110	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-04
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.8987	-0.17%	20.51	+8.35%	0.0697	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-04
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.7178	-0.17%	4.9837	+5.46%	0.0866	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-04
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.1094	-0.17%	6.46	+5.56%	0.0389	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-04
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010242	-0.17%	0.01119	+9.06%	0.0239	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-04
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0591	-0.18%	1.1398	+7.43%	0.0521	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-04
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.253525	-0.19%	0.27	+6.30%	0.0395	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-04
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	51.134	-0.19%	54.06	+5.52%	0.1324	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-04
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2915	-0.19%	1.458	+12.67%	0.0142	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-04
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4352	-0.20%	2.65	+8.61%	0.0262	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-04
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.284734	-0.20%	0.3098	+8.59%	0.0933	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-04
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.3194	-0.20%	29.67	+16.95%	0.0207	✓	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-04
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8659	-0.20%	7.38	+7.27%	0.0454	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-04
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.8214	-0.21%	29.7	+6.53%	0.0526	✓	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-04
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.2036	-0.21%	3.373	+5.06%	0.0684	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-04
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002066	-0.21%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0321	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-04
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.1032	-0.22%	3.43	+10.29%	0.0595	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-04
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0832	-0.22%	3.234	+4.66%	0.0408	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-04
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.947886	-0.22%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0452	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-04
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.548	-0.23%	9.89	+3.34%	0.0473	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-04
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0873	-0.24%	1.172	+7.54%	0.0630	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-04
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	23,563.47	-0.24%	24,905.44	+5.44%	0.0506	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-04
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	6.0702	-0.24%	6.454	+6.06%	0.0508	✓	1.03	341k	2022-02-04
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.4265	-0.24%	1.55	+8.39%	0.0256	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-04
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.177065	-0.24%	0.1886	+6.25%	0.0115	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-04
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3912	-0.26%	3.57	+5.00%	0.0261	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-04
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.7543	-0.27%	22.27	+7.02%	0.0612	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-04
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.611894	-0.27%	0.647332	+5.50%	0.0755	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-04
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0831	-0.27%	3.186	+3.05%	0.0792	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-04
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	42.6508	-0.28%	46.03	+7.62%	0.0571	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-04
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	2.0343	-0.28%	2.14	+4.90%	0.1160	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-04
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014619	-0.29%	0.016562	+12.96%	0.0009	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-04
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.075807	-0.29%	0.08239	+8.37%	0.0026	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-04
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.11865	-0.29%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0646	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-04
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.138569	-0.31%	0.1601	+15.18%	0.0359	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-04
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.202	-0.31%	1.2609	+4.57%	0.0608	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-04
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6728	-0.32%	2.8185	+5.12%	0.0511	✓	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-04
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.4035	-0.32%	14.97	+3.60%	0.0377	✓	0.70	879k	2022-02-04
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.524266	-0.33%	0.543	+3.23%	0.1320	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-04
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.7104	-0.33%	7.0386	+4.54%	0.0544	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-04
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	2.0032	-0.34%	2.1	+4.48%	0.0615	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-04
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.3796	-0.34%	29.4	+25.32%	0.1425	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-04
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.0973	-0.35%	5.1583	+25.46%	0.2298	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-04
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0724	-0.35%	5.53	+8.64%	0.0499	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-04
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.1013	-0.37%	7.996	+12.18%	0.0921	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-04
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.2425	-0.38%	8.01	+10.18%	0.0693	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-04
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.092844	-0.39%	0.09859	+5.77%	0.0527	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-04
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.923992	-0.42%	0.9567	+3.10%	0.0870	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-04
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.4408	-0.44%	3.56	+3.01%	0.0620	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-04
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3541	-0.50%	2.495	+5.45%	0.0590	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-04
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.6205	-0.52%	1.721	+5.65%	0.0673	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-04
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.193792	-0.53%	0.20472	+5.08%	0.1224	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-04
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	29.5549	-0.56%	31.13	+4.74%	0.0777	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-04
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.047776	-0.57%	0.05094	+6.01%	0.0445	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-04
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.557948	-0.58%	0.5994	+6.81%	0.0554	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-04
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.29107	-0.62%	0.3064	+4.61%	0.0735	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-04
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1544	-0.63%	3.4217	+7.79%	0.0124	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-04
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.8069	-0.75%	4.0141	+4.65%	0.0974	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-04
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	134.0502	-0.82%	134.25	-0.67%	0.1108	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-04
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.07725	-0.83%	0.0798	+2.44%	0.2421	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-04
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0511	-0.86%	1.1073	+4.44%	0.1155	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-04
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	2.0111	-0.99%	2.0881	+2.80%	0.0406	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-04
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.3479	-1.24%	3	-11.50%	0.2705	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-04
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2227	-1.39%	1.24	+0.00%	0.1430	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-04

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.