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2022-01-31 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1923
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.5%
in alpha space · 35.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375420.037704+0.43%0.042617+13.52%0.1143✓1.40172k2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.6409+0.14%0.7+9.37%0.0774✓1.861.1M2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.947.9497+0.12%8.13+2.39%0.0147✓1.332.8M2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.081293+0.11%0.0822+1.23%0.0039✓1.24317k2022-02-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43690.437388+0.11%0.4327-0.96%0.0201✗1.602.0M2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.06786.0732+0.09%6.1797+1.84%0.0089✓1.46181k2022-02-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.820.820598+0.07%1.17+42.68%0.3458✓1.53490k2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99850.999154+0.07%0.9652-3.34%0.0453✗1.83929k2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.152.151+0.05%2.1-2.33%0.0331✗1.562.3M2022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007280.007283+0.05%0.00684-6.04%0.0765✗2.3423.2M2022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11360.113645+0.04%0.1161+2.20%0.0136✓1.333.8M2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0591320.059149+0.03%0.059831+1.18%0.0060✓0.93431k2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana99.5299.5404+0.02%110.1+10.63%0.0939✓1.19165.9M2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase2.13152.1317+0.01%2.1518+0.95%0.0021✓1.24888k2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61660.616619+0.00%0.7231+17.27%0.1503✓1.541.2M2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.55261.5525-0.01%1.6048+3.36%0.0266✗1.1182k2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase75.077575.0629-0.02%76.2874+1.61%0.0088✗1.27410k2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.681.6796-0.02%1.7+1.19%0.0045✗1.302.1M2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.23285.1464-0.03%287.95+0.95%0.0037✗1.056.8M2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9150.914678-0.04%0.932+1.86%0.0107✗1.382.3M2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852610.852222-0.05%0.84367-1.05%0.0202✓1.74534k2022-02-01
DASHDashDash94.1894.1346-0.05%97.23+3.24%0.0255✗1.182.9M2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0392780.039259-0.05%0.03834-2.39%0.0310✓1.259.4M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029780.029765-0.05%0.03008+1.01%0.0053✗0.908.7M2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash94.5794.5219-0.05%98.97+4.65%0.0381✗1.356.6M2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.546.5364-0.05%6.66+1.83%0.0174✗0.231.1M2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.10220.102141-0.06%0.104+1.76%0.0121✗1.0241k2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.730531-0.06%0.756+3.42%0.0281✗1.071.7M2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.490676-0.07%0.488-0.61%0.0144✓1.545.0M2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum97.1597.0847-0.07%104.95+8.03%0.0718✗1.057.5M2022-02-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416460.141544-0.07%0.142489+0.60%0.0005✓1.077.1M2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.692.688-0.08%2.88+7.06%0.0599✗1.552.2M2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3614.3491-0.08%14.66+2.09%0.0157✗0.99814k2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1997230.199545-0.09%0.202028+1.15%0.0063✗1.0426.2M2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210240.021005-0.09%0.020954-0.33%0.0084✓1.023.1M2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.408618-0.09%0.4393+7.41%0.0648✗1.3110.0M2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.55109.4476-0.09%115.11+5.08%0.0426✗1.3533.8M2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021420.000021399-0.10%0.00002176+1.59%0.0085✗1.411.6M2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,689.722,687.06-0.10%2,789.66+3.72%0.0310✗1.11557.7M2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.1520.1286-0.11%19.38-3.82%0.0487✓1.853.9M2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5120.4875-0.11%20.94+2.10%0.0126✗1.59556k2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000076330.000076244-0.11%0.00007722+1.17%0.0061✗1.135.8M2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum121.39121.253-0.11%128.16+5.58%0.0478✗1.3165k2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040450.040404-0.11%0.04034-0.27%0.0081✓1.1229k2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1084.1033-0.12%4.228+2.92%0.0252✗0.81367k2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5673350.56667-0.12%0.582133+2.61%0.0198✗1.223.3M2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.317618-0.12%0.328+3.14%0.0242✗1.361.7M2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.065721-0.12%0.0658+0.00%0.0053✓1.1121k2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95040.949215-0.12%0.967+1.75%0.0117✗1.1834.5M2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.387-0.13%2.65+10.88%0.0975✗1.21602k2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009940.009927-0.13%0.01011+1.71%0.0122✗1.04588k2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,491.9338,442.42-0.13%38,716.88+0.58%0.0013✓1.00717.4M2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.16481.1633-0.13%1.1512-1.17%0.0164✓1.02352k2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.24668-0.13%0.255+3.24%0.0276✗0.9563k2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum3.483.4755-0.13%3.49+0.29%0.0032✓1.272.5M2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.18890.188647-0.13%0.1885-0.21%0.0086✓1.343.8M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.035152-0.14%0.0358+1.70%0.0097✗1.47617k2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.635-0.14%26.8+4.40%0.0381✗1.093.3M2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24230.241969-0.14%0.2456+1.36%0.0081✗1.171.9M2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83880.837631-0.14%0.8834+5.32%0.0444✗1.51106k2022-02-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3895.3814-0.14%5.365-0.45%0.0089✓1.001.4M2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2273.2224-0.14%3.337+3.41%0.0300✗0.85819k2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration159.75159.5218-0.14%170.69+6.85%0.0608✗1.181.2M2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.06518.0392-0.14%18.496+2.39%0.0161✗1.5210.6M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.013291-0.15%0.01283-3.61%0.0405✓0.9014k2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative0.96190.960499-0.15%0.9549-0.73%0.0148✓1.542.0M2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase4140.9402-0.15%39.21-4.37%0.0527✓1.63626k2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54920.548373-0.15%0.565+2.88%0.0221✗1.342.7M2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.010220.010204-0.15%0.01018-0.39%0.0102✓1.341.6M2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.256.2404-0.15%6.27+0.32%0.0008✓0.95892k2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.9269.8118-0.15%73.37+4.93%0.0419✗1.3485.3M2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero147.48147.2409-0.16%146.32-0.79%0.0122✓1.021.9M2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4640.463221-0.17%0.4737+2.09%0.0142✗1.402.2M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11643.1111-0.17%3.1868+2.26%0.0175✗1.132.9M2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.234.2224-0.18%4.35+2.84%0.0216✗1.409.3M2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5471.544-0.19%1.525-1.42%0.0195✓1.211.6M2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.05241.0504-0.19%1.0965+4.19%0.0363✗1.14113.2M2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1196.1072-0.19%5.958-2.63%0.0297✓0.86118k2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.955.9385-0.19%5.98+0.50%0.0006✓1.092.1M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009930.00991-0.20%0.00957-3.63%0.0425✓1.302.1M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061778-0.20%0.062+0.16%0.0041✓1.31564k2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2425-0.20%2.247+0.00%0.0044✓1.0923k2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.3852.2752-0.20%53.47+2.08%0.0158✗1.168.0M2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.2393-0.20%5.37+2.29%0.0204✗0.73429k2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.3291.13-0.21%91.69+0.41%0.0006✓0.951.6M2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.045860.045763-0.21%0.0446-2.75%0.0322✓1.119.2M2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6772-0.22%2.683+0.00%0.0067✓1.53986k2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.266.2464-0.22%6.24-0.32%0.0057✓0.80504k2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,589.3038,504.58-0.22%38,691.90+0.27%0.0011✓1.0251k2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.951.9457-0.22%1.98+1.54%0.0099✗1.302.8M2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum157.59157.2417-0.22%164.05+4.10%0.0343✗1.4012.7M2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83380.831936-0.22%0.8391+0.64%0.0020✓1.1316.8M2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4944-0.23%2.53+1.20%0.0083✗1.02754k2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0423.0351-0.23%3.125+2.73%0.0245✗0.81342k2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0580.057867-0.23%0.05811+0.19%0.0041✓1.431.7M2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.162.1549-0.23%2.03-6.02%0.0687✓1.544.2M2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0142680.014235-0.23%0.015173+6.34%0.0570✗1.172.7M2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.7733-0.24%20.15+1.66%0.0114✗1.2834.3M2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.3919.3439-0.24%19.58+0.98%0.0040✗1.4050.2M2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7811.7516-0.24%11.11-5.69%0.0641✓1.3712.5M2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1617.1176-0.25%17-0.93%0.0140✓1.2288.8M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.71993.7106-0.25%4.2589+14.49%0.1379✗-0.02350k2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.321.2461-0.25%20.92-1.78%0.0226✓1.2212.6M2022-02-01
STXStacksnative1.491.4861-0.26%1.5+0.67%0.0035✗1.002.0M2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.09031.0873-0.27%1.1475+5.25%0.0468✗1.232.4M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.18360.183102-0.27%0.1825-0.60%0.0072✓0.68495k2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.629.5939-0.27%9.72+1.04%0.0087✗0.75744k2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2525-0.28%6.28+0.16%0.0007✓0.87529k2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0226.9413-0.29%26.67-1.30%0.0198✓1.662.6M2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.01384.9984-0.31%4.8991-2.29%0.0274✓1.26430k2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 252.1551.9865-0.31%52.21+0.12%0.0056✓1.698.8M2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06653.0567-0.32%3.0959+0.96%0.0066✗1.052.0M2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.413.3991-0.32%3.57+4.69%0.0480✗0.191.4M2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3591.3546-0.32%1.316-3.16%0.0363✓1.263.5M2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087840.087549-0.33%0.08902+1.34%0.0103✗1.0946k2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,852.8524,765.92-0.35%25,472.18+2.49%0.0226✗0.9416.4M2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum43.5843.4247-0.36%45.2+3.72%0.0329✗1.2337.0M2022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54030.538373-0.36%0.5296-1.98%0.0274✓1.8948.9M2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.12150.121065-0.36%0.1189-2.14%0.0268✓1.501.7M2022-02-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.27781.273-0.38%1.2044-5.74%0.0612✓1.003.1M2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.3217-0.38%8.06+9.66%0.0945✗0.271.8M2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8881.8806-0.39%1.837-2.70%0.0307✓1.241.5M2022-02-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.121518-0.40%0.133+9.02%0.0845✗1.00141k2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.8676.8396-0.40%6.9364+1.01%0.0085✗0.954.2M2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.273.2569-0.40%3.46+5.81%0.0520✗1.4524.6M2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.32910.327773-0.40%0.3087-6.20%0.0694✓1.634.2M2022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0727.9544-0.41%28.86+2.81%0.0252✗1.15120.6M2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3187.2857-0.44%8.052+10.03%0.0987✗0.2340k2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.27180.270593-0.44%0.2826+3.97%0.0367✗1.15557k2022-02-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.049850.049618-0.47%0.04829-3.13%0.0330✓1.005.5M2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2514.1771-0.51%14.46+1.47%0.0157✗0.70841k2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.8728-0.53%5.979+1.27%0.0119✗1.04341k2022-02-01
PROPropyEthereum2.312.2973-0.55%2.23-3.46%0.0356✓1.003.4M2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos3.49383.4737-0.58%3.7479+7.27%0.0678✗1.402.4M2022-02-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5490.545737-0.59%0.5575+1.55%0.0145✗1.172.1M2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82232.8052-0.60%2.6803-5.03%0.0512✓0.982.8M2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.2125.0541-0.62%25.47+1.03%0.0119✗0.78447k2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.079276-0.64%0.07836-1.79%0.0159✓0.7384k2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.85.762-0.66%5.6-3.45%0.0347✓1.061.0M2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.190160.18866-0.79%0.20659+8.64%0.0814✗1.6224k2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.735.6828-0.82%5.37-6.28%0.0642✓1.313.2M2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17753.1494-0.89%3.2091+0.99%0.0135✗0.9022k2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13610.134881-0.90%0.1425+4.70%0.0492✗0.98312k2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8871.8668-1.07%1.8742-0.68%0.0003✓0.733.1M2022-02-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09750.095055-2.51%0.0861-11.69%0.1144✓2.6524.9M2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.