8=======>

2022-01-21 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1878
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.6%
in alpha space · 29.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.526942+1.61%0.4454-14.11%0.1205✗1.222.4M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.042184+1.16%0.0376-9.83%0.0762✗1.0024.3M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.877031+1.06%0.7316-15.69%0.1050✗1.961.1M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009287+0.95%0.00793-13.80%0.0641✗2.4123.2M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.036561+0.72%0.0326-10.19%0.0580✗1.461.1M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8818.0044+0.70%16.11-9.90%0.0407✗1.814.1M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.7111+0.55%5.06-10.92%0.0822✗1.001.0M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.9862+0.53%4.42-10.89%0.0694✗1.3217.0M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative0.9060.910772+0.53%0.7987-11.84%0.0747✗1.463.9M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.678114+0.51%0.5834-13.53%0.0913✗1.521.4M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094375+0.51%0.0799-14.91%0.1142✗1.352.0M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.3957+0.42%83.9941-11.59%0.0782✗1.26489k2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.973991+0.41%0.9-7.22%0.0157✗1.63569k2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7469+0.40%6.06-9.82%0.1003✗0.181.2M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase38.9439.0903+0.39%35.28-9.40%0.0423✗1.55620k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.353229+0.35%0.319-9.37%0.0477✗1.391.8M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.5126+0.35%5.61-13.56%0.1148✗0.881.0M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.08369+0.35%0.0732-12.23%0.0874✗1.20269k2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.732522+0.35%0.64-12.33%0.0619✗1.881.3M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.022157+0.34%0.020108-8.94%0.0542✗1.103.7M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062103+0.33%0.0543-12.28%0.0781✗1.44684k2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37139.7924+0.30%120.3-13.68%0.1030✗1.2188k2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.994+0.30%6.96-12.67%0.1244✗0.363.1M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.8495+0.30%6.944-11.27%0.1102✗0.3238k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9822.0431+0.29%19.01-13.51%0.1025✗1.1714.5M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2965+0.28%2.1-8.30%0.0342✗1.422.7M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.120931+0.27%0.1135-5.89%0.0112✗1.344.3M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.054018+0.26%0.04896-9.13%0.0401✗1.502.1M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.3183+0.25%2.89-12.69%0.0805✗1.4832.4M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030376+0.25%0.02985-1.49%0.0211✓0.998.3M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.949.9643+0.24%7.59-23.64%0.2268✗1.173.0M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.9715+0.24%5.8-2.64%0.0015✓0.79163k2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0766.2278+0.24%59.8-9.49%0.0520✗1.2987.3M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1875+0.23%1.0381-12.38%0.0961✗0.99402k2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.919358+0.22%0.80696-12.03%0.0838✗1.202.4M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.1355+0.21%5.5565-9.24%0.0436✗1.43263k2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.811818+0.21%0.71467-11.78%0.0605✗1.72848k2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4547+0.19%2.08-15.10%0.1105✗1.427.4M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.3308+0.19%2.0461-12.05%0.0826✗1.23699k2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.5344+0.18%94.59-7.58%0.0290✗1.338.4M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.765369+0.18%0.711-6.94%0.0312✗1.092.0M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.985605+0.16%0.87-11.59%0.0711✗1.382.3M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.010020.010036+0.16%0.00935-6.69%0.0189✗1.341.8M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.3972+0.15%3.059-9.82%0.0719✗0.851.1M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.4913+0.15%94.78-15.62%0.1261✗1.16142.2M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.2623+0.15%18.76-11.63%0.0656✗1.53944k2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum114.44114.6115+0.15%98.78-13.68%0.1104✗0.986.9M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,779.20+0.15%22,897.64-11.05%0.0863✗0.8320.9M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.6476+0.14%11.16-11.64%0.0743✗1.3112.7M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09171.3243+0.14%147.18-13.98%0.1041✗1.2317.6M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.225+0.14%2.0434-8.04%0.0409✗1.144.3M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.7135+0.13%2.46-9.23%0.0360✗1.602.2M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061503+0.13%0.054184-11.79%0.0878✗1.00644k2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8422+0.12%1.62-11.96%0.0877✗1.052.7M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.561665+0.12%0.496-11.59%0.0642✗1.558.0M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.27131+0.11%0.244-9.96%0.0708✗0.9160k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,571.95+0.11%2,411.90-6.12%0.0209✗1.12502.4M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.5666+0.11%13.19-15.18%0.1238✗1.08841k2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.013954+0.10%0.01275-8.54%0.0567✗0.8621k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041682+0.10%0.036765-11.71%0.0756✗1.289.3M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3162+0.10%5.63-10.78%0.0866✗0.73652k2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.4464+0.10%50.17-14.08%0.1072✗1.176.3M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.00002228+0.09%0.00002053-7.77%0.0275✗1.401.7M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.061161+0.08%0.05675-7.13%0.0379✗0.95486k2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.23979+0.08%0.2179-9.06%0.0528✗1.10440k2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.0970.097076+0.08%0.0944-2.68%0.0137✓1.0741k2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.6052+0.08%6.11-7.42%0.0374✗1.043.9M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.4533+0.08%15.86-9.06%0.0481✗1.2275.4M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.558877+0.07%0.518861-7.09%0.0276✗1.202.3M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2099+0.07%1.161-3.97%0.0084✓1.284.0M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.7393+0.07%1.506-13.35%0.0960✗1.241.9M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.8203+0.07%15.129-9.99%0.0441✗1.5910.7M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6684+0.07%1.65-1.03%0.0329✓1.1395k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.436888+0.07%0.4163-4.65%0.0026✓1.3110.8M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4459+0.06%1.366-5.47%0.0105✗1.191.8M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.252461+0.06%0.2331-7.61%0.0310✗1.261.9M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04315.2321+0.06%291.88-7.35%0.0365✗1.047.0M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0309+0.06%0.9512-7.68%0.0338✗1.2032.1M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8624.8732+0.05%23.84-4.10%0.0242✓1.712.7M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum22.001+0.05%1.77-11.50%0.0702✗1.353.1M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1696+0.05%2.804-11.49%0.0930✗0.76526k2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.198095+0.05%0.1764-10.91%0.0621✗1.394.3M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.562151+0.04%0.5076-9.66%0.0515✗1.303.2M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.147461+0.04%0.1394-5.43%0.0197✗0.94362k2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.3181+0.03%21.51-7.72%0.0524✗0.73342k2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000079705+0.03%0.00006839-14.17%0.1128✗1.046.5M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.1211+0.03%3.665-11.04%0.0883✗0.75445k2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9611+0.03%3.49-11.87%0.0811✗1.172.4M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.6414+0.03%4.8-14.89%0.1354✗0.67494k2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010443+0.02%0.0094-9.96%0.0637✗1.07641k2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.202911+0.02%0.19237-5.17%0.0118✗1.0724.9M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.6732+0.02%18.26-7.17%0.0210✗1.3858.5M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.857122+0.01%0.78-8.98%0.0521✗1.0922.7M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6895.6923+0.01%89.24-6.73%0.0332✗0.941.8M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash105.73105.7419+0.01%97.07-8.19%0.0385✗1.212.8M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51114.5187+0.01%108.41-5.33%0.0031✗1.3330.5M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.05552-0.00%0.05051-9.02%0.0427✓1.3312.0M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,456.13-0.00%35,066.43-3.81%0.0000✗1.00648.0M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.1698-0.00%3.78-9.35%0.0512✓1.213.2M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.5548-0.01%3.0068-15.42%0.1210✓1.193.9M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9525.9473-0.01%24.23-6.63%0.0262✓1.093.3M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.071961-0.01%0.06237-13.34%0.1122✓0.7956k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063387-0.02%0.0594-6.31%0.0215✓1.1221k2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.1965-0.02%1.979-9.92%0.0627✓1.0724k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011107-0.03%0.00998-10.17%0.0583✓1.252.2M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.016166-0.03%0.014961-7.48%0.0306✓1.202.7M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7171-0.03%4.2394-10.16%0.0608✓1.18443k2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.5579-0.03%5.66-13.72%0.1160✓0.80616k2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.141999-0.04%0.133158-6.26%0.0226✓1.076.7M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8986-0.05%2.34-19.31%0.1703✓1.12737k2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.039749-0.05%0.03631-8.70%0.0471✓1.1125k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4586-0.06%2.33-5.28%0.0141✓1.02869k2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero172.82172.7112-0.06%152.34-11.85%0.0874✓0.982.7M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.083183-0.07%0.07873-5.42%0.0091✓1.1838k2022-01-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.565-0.07%1.4442-7.78%0.0414✓1.004.2M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.636035-0.07%0.5482-13.87%0.0786✓1.8046.2M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 264.9464.8924-0.07%62.89-3.16%0.0397✗1.837.7M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.480713-0.08%0.4385-8.85%0.0373✓1.402.6M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3388-0.09%2.9521-11.66%0.0709✓1.343.1M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.163755-0.09%0.1498-8.60%0.0625✓0.68536k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.291838-0.09%0.2645-9.45%0.0362✓1.604.6M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.1673-0.09%20.54-15.09%0.1121✓1.3034.9M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.890441-0.10%0.7106-20.27%0.1778✓1.23108k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5308-0.10%3.6015+1.90%0.0206✗0.02371k2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.4054-0.11%12.62-5.96%0.0336✓0.69813k2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,560.22-0.13%34,807.70-4.92%0.0102✓1.0018k2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7909-0.15%2.567-8.16%0.0240✓1.531.1M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration213.87213.541-0.15%190.08-11.12%0.0705✓1.181.3M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.3852-0.16%8.68-7.66%0.0497✓0.73800k2022-01-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.6334-0.16%7.392-14.51%0.1163✓1.001.7M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.1192-0.17%1.0713-4.44%0.0003✓1.13104.1M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.4473-0.19%33.44-13.19%0.0943✓1.1625.7M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2274-0.25%5.6708-9.17%0.0584✓0.914.3M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.1002-0.32%2.7227-12.45%0.0911✓0.992.2M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.2158-0.37%2.9642-8.16%0.0482✓0.862,2572022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.4836-0.45%29.27-15.50%0.1261✓0.97104.1M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.532615-0.46%0.5658+5.74%0.1096✗1.271.7M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.166242-0.48%0.15638-6.38%0.0017✓1.536,8492022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4229-0.65%1.5039+5.01%0.0885✗0.851.4M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.2649-1.03%6.424-23.08%0.2129✓1.01301k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.5733-1.65%4.82+3.66%0.0692✗0.43471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.