8=======>

2022-01-21 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1742
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.5%
in alpha space · 74.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.523858+1.01%0.4454-14.11%0.1146✗1.222.4M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.042026+0.78%0.0376-9.83%0.0724✗1.0024.3M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.871714+0.45%0.7316-15.69%0.0989✗1.961.1M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.036446+0.40%0.0326-10.19%0.0548✗1.461.1M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094173+0.29%0.0799-14.91%0.1120✗1.352.0M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.2401+0.25%83.9941-11.59%0.0766✗1.26489k2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.9693+0.19%4.42-10.89%0.0660✗1.3217.0M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.4718+0.18%15.86-9.06%0.0492✗1.2275.4M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009211+0.12%0.00793-13.80%0.0558✗2.4123.2M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.971118+0.12%0.9-7.22%0.0128✗1.63569k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.053941+0.11%0.04896-9.13%0.0387✗1.502.1M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8817.8984+0.10%16.11-9.90%0.0348✗1.814.1M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041682+0.10%0.036765-11.71%0.0756✗1.289.3M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8624.8834+0.09%23.84-4.10%0.0238✓1.712.7M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.8333+0.09%6.944-11.27%0.1081✗0.3238k2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.6845+0.08%5.06-10.92%0.0776✗1.001.0M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4517+0.07%2.08-15.10%0.1093✗1.427.4M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative0.9060.906619+0.07%0.7987-11.84%0.0701✗1.463.9M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061941+0.07%0.0543-12.28%0.0755✗1.44684k2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.675141+0.07%0.5834-13.53%0.0869✗1.521.4M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.010020.010026+0.06%0.00935-6.69%0.0179✗1.341.8M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.3119+0.06%2.89-12.69%0.0785✗1.4832.4M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9821.991+0.05%19.01-13.51%0.1001✗1.1714.5M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.9735+0.04%6.96-12.67%0.1218✗0.363.1M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7226+0.04%6.06-9.82%0.0967✗0.181.2M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.949.9437+0.04%7.59-23.64%0.2248✗1.173.0M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.352118+0.03%0.319-9.37%0.0446✗1.391.8M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.764249+0.03%0.711-6.94%0.0297✗1.092.0M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.4917+0.03%5.61-13.56%0.1116✗0.881.0M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2906+0.03%2.1-8.30%0.0316✗1.422.7M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37139.3991+0.02%120.3-13.68%0.1001✗1.2188k2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum114.44114.4553+0.01%98.78-13.68%0.1091✗0.986.9M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase38.9438.9385-0.00%35.28-9.40%0.0384✓1.55620k2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.120594-0.01%0.1135-5.89%0.0084✓1.344.3M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.3263-0.01%2.0461-12.05%0.0806✓1.23699k2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.917274-0.01%0.80696-12.03%0.0815✓1.202.4M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.02208-0.01%0.020108-8.94%0.0508✓1.103.7M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.197969-0.02%0.1764-10.91%0.0614✓1.394.3M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.983834-0.02%0.87-11.59%0.0693✓1.382.3M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum21.9996-0.02%1.77-11.50%0.0695✓1.353.1M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,568.48-0.02%2,411.90-6.12%0.0195✓1.12502.4M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030294-0.02%0.02985-1.49%0.0238✗0.998.3M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4447-0.02%1.366-5.47%0.0096✓1.191.8M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2087-0.03%1.161-3.97%0.0094✗1.284.0M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.2884-0.03%94.78-15.62%0.1243✓1.16142.2M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.270872-0.05%0.244-9.96%0.0692✓0.9160k2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.5966-0.05%6.11-7.42%0.0361✓1.043.9M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.202756-0.05%0.19237-5.17%0.0110✓1.0724.9M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.2187-0.05%18.76-11.63%0.0636✓1.53944k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011104-0.05%0.00998-10.17%0.0581✓1.252.2M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,727.48-0.06%22,897.64-11.05%0.0843✓0.8320.9M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.560671-0.06%0.496-11.59%0.0625✓1.558.0M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9576-0.06%3.49-11.87%0.0803✓1.172.4M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3061-0.06%5.63-10.78%0.0850✓0.73652k2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0766.0288-0.06%59.8-9.49%0.0490✓1.2987.3M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.083347-0.06%0.0732-12.23%0.0833✓1.20269k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.252137-0.06%0.2331-7.61%0.0297✓1.261.9M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.2762-0.07%94.59-7.58%0.0265✓1.338.4M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.856353-0.08%0.78-8.98%0.0512✓1.0922.7M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.071913-0.08%0.06237-13.34%0.1115✓0.7956k2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.1952-0.08%1.979-9.92%0.0622✓1.0724k2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.7077-0.09%2.46-9.23%0.0338✓1.602.2M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.22-0.09%2.0434-8.04%0.0387✓1.144.3M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3388-0.09%2.9521-11.66%0.0709✓1.343.1M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.3367-0.09%50.17-14.08%0.1053✓1.176.3M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.652-0.09%18.26-7.17%0.0199✓1.3858.5M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09170.9264-0.10%147.18-13.98%0.1018✓1.2317.6M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.23936-0.10%0.2179-9.06%0.0510✓1.10440k2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.7362-0.10%1.506-13.35%0.0942✓1.241.9M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.6166-0.11%11.16-11.64%0.0718✓1.3112.7M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.1655-0.11%3.78-9.35%0.0502✓1.213.2M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.1621-0.12%20.54-15.09%0.1119✓1.3034.9M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.557807-0.12%0.518861-7.09%0.0257✓1.202.3M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.1153-0.12%5.5565-9.24%0.0403✓1.43263k2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1833-0.12%1.0381-12.38%0.0926✓0.99402k2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.055453-0.12%0.05051-9.02%0.0415✓1.3312.0M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.436066-0.12%0.4163-4.65%0.0045✗1.3110.8M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.029-0.12%0.9512-7.68%0.0321✓1.2032.1M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.016151-0.12%0.014961-7.48%0.0297✓1.202.7M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.633-0.12%4.8-14.89%0.1339✓0.67494k2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.083137-0.12%0.07873-5.42%0.0085✓1.1838k2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.729061-0.13%0.64-12.33%0.0572✓1.881.3M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04314.6335-0.13%291.88-7.35%0.0346✓1.047.0M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.9491-0.13%5.8-2.64%0.0053✗0.79163k2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.529-0.13%13.19-15.18%0.1214✓1.08841k2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.039716-0.14%0.03631-8.70%0.0463✓1.1125k2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration213.87213.5786-0.14%190.08-11.12%0.0706✓1.181.3M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010425-0.14%0.0094-9.96%0.0620✓1.07641k2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.480393-0.15%0.4385-8.85%0.0366✓1.402.6M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8373-0.15%1.62-11.96%0.0850✓1.052.7M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.2751-0.15%21.51-7.72%0.0505✓0.73342k2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.55-0.15%5.66-13.72%0.1148✓0.80616k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4562-0.15%2.33-5.28%0.0131✓1.02869k2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.163647-0.15%0.1498-8.60%0.0618✓0.68536k2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061321-0.17%0.054184-11.79%0.0849✓1.00644k2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.808725-0.17%0.71467-11.78%0.0567✓1.72848k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063289-0.17%0.0594-6.31%0.0199✓1.1221k2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.000022217-0.19%0.00002053-7.77%0.0247✓1.401.7M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.664-0.19%1.65-1.03%0.0355✗1.1395k2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.7747-0.20%15.129-9.99%0.0413✓1.5910.7M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51114.2821-0.20%108.41-5.33%0.0010✓1.3330.5M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.3852-0.20%3.059-9.82%0.0684✓0.851.1M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.1117-0.20%3.665-11.04%0.0860✓0.75445k2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.1188-0.20%1.0713-4.44%0.0006✓1.13104.1M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.060983-0.21%0.05675-7.13%0.0350✓0.95486k2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.560676-0.22%0.5076-9.66%0.0489✓1.303.2M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.147077-0.22%0.1394-5.43%0.0170✓0.94362k2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,376.28-0.22%35,066.43-3.81%0.0022✗1.00648.0M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash105.73105.4958-0.22%97.07-8.19%0.0362✓1.212.8M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.2204-0.23%2.9642-8.16%0.0496✓0.862,2572022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.5469-0.23%3.0068-15.42%0.1188✓1.193.9M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000079499-0.23%0.00006839-14.17%0.1102✓1.046.5M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero172.82172.4222-0.23%152.34-11.85%0.0858✓0.982.7M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6895.457-0.23%89.24-6.73%0.0308✓0.941.8M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.291416-0.23%0.2645-9.45%0.0348✓1.604.6M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 264.9464.7853-0.24%62.89-3.16%0.0413✗1.837.7M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1604-0.24%2.804-11.49%0.0901✓0.76526k2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.013906-0.25%0.01275-8.54%0.0532✓0.8621k2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.634925-0.25%0.5482-13.87%0.0768✓1.8046.2M2022-01-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.562-0.26%1.4442-7.78%0.0395✓1.004.2M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8919-0.28%2.34-19.31%0.1680✓1.12737k2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7053-0.28%4.2394-10.16%0.0583✓1.18443k2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.0970.096726-0.28%0.0944-2.68%0.0173✗1.0741k2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.141644-0.29%0.133158-6.26%0.0201✓1.076.7M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9525.8733-0.30%24.23-6.63%0.0233✓1.093.3M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7861-0.32%2.567-8.16%0.0223✓1.531.1M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.166499-0.32%0.15638-6.38%0.0032✓1.536,8492022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.3688-0.33%8.68-7.66%0.0480✓0.73800k2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.3901-0.34%33.44-13.19%0.0928✓1.1625.7M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.888161-0.35%0.7106-20.27%0.1752✓1.23108k2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.533105-0.37%0.5658+5.74%0.1087✗1.271.7M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.5106-0.37%29.27-15.50%0.1269✓0.97104.1M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2189-0.39%5.6708-9.17%0.0570✓0.914.3M2022-01-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.6135-0.39%7.392-14.51%0.1141✓1.001.7M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.3664-0.40%12.62-5.96%0.0307✓0.69813k2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,455.35-0.42%34,807.70-4.92%0.0073✓1.0018k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5169-0.50%3.6015+1.90%0.0246✗0.02371k2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4247-0.52%1.5039+5.01%0.0872✗0.851.4M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.0897-0.65%2.7227-12.45%0.0878✓0.992.2M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.2526-1.18%6.424-23.08%0.2114✓1.01301k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.5899-1.29%4.82+3.66%0.0656✗0.43471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.