2022-01-20 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0296

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-2.50%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

70.0%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.36%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.673286	+0.18%	0.5186	-22.84%	0.1431	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-01-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.052985	+0.16%	0.0417	-21.17%	0.1301	✗	1.00	23.9M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0651	-0.02%	0.8678	-18.54%	0.0079	✗	1.94	1.2M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.114069	-0.03%	0.0939	-17.70%	0.0532	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.1088	-0.10%	0.97	-12.61%	0.0498	✗	1.68	556k	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.3479	-0.11%	9.94	-12.50%	0.0048	✓	1.17	2.9M	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	132.1761	-0.11%	114.44	-13.51%	0.0407	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.096	-0.11%	17.88	-15.34%	0.0390	✗	1.87	4.1M	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	127.3721	-0.12%	112.32	-11.92%	0.0013	✗	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2704	-0.12%	1.209	-4.95%	0.1022	✗	1.39	4.0M	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,996.84	-0.14%	2,569.01	-14.39%	0.0362	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.045125	-0.17%	0.0363	-19.69%	0.0671	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.231105	-0.17%	0.202862	-12.37%	0.0154	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6757	-0.19%	1.445	-13.94%	0.0199	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.7072	-0.21%	3.3417	-10.05%	0.0485	✗	1.39	3.1M	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	26.1351	-0.21%	21.98	-16.07%	0.0514	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.012244	-0.21%	0.01111	-9.45%	0.0474	✗	1.32	2.1M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.7841	-0.21%	2.29	-17.92%	0.0535	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1406	-0.21%	0.984	-13.91%	0.0045	✗	1.39	2.3M	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.073441	-0.22%	0.0619	-15.90%	0.0160	✓	1.42	826k	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.3449	-0.22%	2	-14.89%	0.0133	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	239.0854	-0.22%	213.87	-10.74%	0.0200	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.012313	-0.22%	0.01002	-18.80%	0.0687	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.327276	-0.22%	0.271	-17.38%	0.1015	✓	0.80	51k	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.234078	-0.22%	0.198	-15.60%	0.0187	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	20.1346	-0.22%	17.44	-13.58%	0.0100	✓	1.22	73.6M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	119.6657	-0.22%	95	-20.79%	0.1038	✓	1.16	489k	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.282562	-0.23%	0.2523	-10.91%	0.0278	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.7969	-0.23%	4.96	-14.63%	0.0136	✓	1.30	17.0M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.8137	-0.23%	2.3265	-17.51%	0.0638	✓	1.16	665k	2022-01-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.012041	-0.24%	0.0092	-23.78%	0.0084	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.5329	-0.24%	2.197	-13.47%	0.0322	✓	1.01	24k	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.3686	-0.24%	23.31	-8.34%	0.0056	✓	0.72	342k	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.125	-0.24%	5.64	-8.14%	0.0097	✓	0.67	505k	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.4542	-0.25%	12.63	-12.84%	0.0097	✗	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.936672	-0.25%	0.764	-18.64%	0.0953	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.9501	-0.25%	6.72	-15.68%	0.1674	✓	0.01	1.2M	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.035242	-0.25%	0.0303	-14.24%	0.0494	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	79.1493	-0.25%	66.07	-16.74%	0.0472	✓	1.22	87.3M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	197.8661	-0.25%	171.09	-13.75%	0.0123	✓	1.22	17.6M	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	2.0248	-0.25%	1.84	-9.36%	0.0217	✗	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	47.4776	-0.26%	38.94	-18.19%	0.0330	✓	1.51	620k	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.081358	-0.26%	0.07197	-11.77%	0.0416	✓	0.74	56k	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.3606	-0.26%	6.31	-14.50%	0.0839	✓	0.64	652k	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	356.7974	-0.26%	315.04	-11.94%	0.0123	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.177726	-0.27%	0.1639	-8.02%	0.0057	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.067514	-0.27%	0.061109	-9.73%	0.0046	✗	0.95	486k	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.096143	-0.27%	0.08324	-13.65%	0.0175	✓	1.16	34k	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	7.0379	-0.27%	6.1225	-13.24%	0.0192	✗	1.45	251k	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	161.7298	-0.27%	139.37	-14.06%	0.0189	✓	1.19	95k	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.9371	-0.27%	19.67	-14.48%	0.0038	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.9096	-0.28%	24.19	-3.16%	0.1283	✗	1.44	34.3M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	24.3205	-0.28%	21.23	-12.96%	0.0351	✗	1.56	1.0M	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0668	-0.29%	0.906	-15.32%	0.0068	✓	1.43	3.7M	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.792	-0.29%	2.46	-12.14%	0.0173	✓	1.00	855k	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	9.4047	-0.29%	7.826	-17.03%	0.1708	✓	0.12	38k	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068648	-0.29%	0.05388	-21.74%	0.0921	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.6662	-0.29%	3.96	-15.38%	0.0410	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.018324	-0.30%	0.016171	-12.01%	0.0089	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.1279	-0.30%	0.91734	-18.91%	0.0892	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.025961	-0.30%	0.022082	-15.20%	0.0478	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	9.4914	-0.30%	7.97	-16.28%	0.1550	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.045232	-0.30%	0.03977	-12.34%	0.0083	✓	1.10	24k	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	129.4034	-0.31%	114.51	-11.78%	0.0262	✗	1.36	30.5M	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.109164	-0.31%	0.097	-11.42%	0.0015	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	118.4756	-0.31%	102.35	-13.88%	0.0013	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.679903	-0.31%	0.561	-17.74%	0.0269	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.147938	-0.31%	0.1206	-18.73%	0.0659	✓	1.27	4.2M	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	103.9945	-0.31%	95.68	-8.28%	0.0221	✗	0.96	1.8M	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.072073	-0.31%	0.0634	-12.31%	0.0070	✓	1.11	21k	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2549	-0.31%	1.1211	-10.95%	0.0122	✗	1.14	100.6M	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.3766	-0.32%	6.56	-11.35%	0.0334	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.65342	-0.32%	0.55846	-14.81%	0.0298	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.498447	-0.33%	0.4366	-12.70%	0.0110	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.9567	-0.33%	3.31	-16.62%	0.0183	✓	1.46	32.4M	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	68.8582	-0.34%	58.39	-15.49%	0.0433	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.426563	-0.34%	0.352	-17.76%	0.0459	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	1.0139	-0.34%	0.857	-15.76%	0.0576	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	19.3631	-0.34%	16.808	-13.49%	0.0362	✗	1.62	10.7M	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1575	-0.34%	1.0303	-11.29%	0.0166	✗	1.22	30.5M	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.6294	-0.34%	2.2219	-15.79%	0.0539	✓	1.05	4.3M	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	18.277	-0.34%	15.55	-15.21%	0.0511	✓	1.01	807k	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.3484	-0.34%	2.71	-19.35%	0.0510	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	188.0781	-0.35%	172.82	-8.43%	0.0248	✗	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.886914	-0.35%	0.73	-17.98%	0.0146	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3897	-0.35%	1.1848	-15.04%	0.0603	✓	0.91	402k	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	30.1441	-0.35%	24.86	-17.82%	0.0088	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.050458	-0.35%	0.041641	-17.77%	0.0603	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,526.95	-0.35%	36,456.94	-10.36%	0.0035	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.903368	-0.35%	0.81011	-10.64%	0.0884	✗	1.80	866k	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.154957	-0.35%	0.142057	-8.65%	0.0344	✗	1.11	6.5M	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	120.7179	-0.36%	105.73	-12.73%	0.0008	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.865092	-0.36%	0.6747	-22.29%	0.0946	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.9313	-0.36%	6.49	-18.47%	0.1195	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	3.0489	-0.36%	2.45	-19.93%	0.0763	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.281477	-0.36%	0.2396	-15.19%	0.0471	✓	1.04	397k	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8639	-0.36%	1.6672	-10.88%	0.0135	✗	1.14	89k	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.012125	-0.37%	0.01044	-14.22%	0.0384	✓	1.02	641k	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.8643	-0.37%	5.68	-17.56%	0.0924	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	10.0518	-0.38%	9.4	-6.84%	0.0147	✗	0.75	800k	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.9682	-0.39%	3.555	-10.76%	0.0193	✗	1.18	3.9M	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000026376	-0.39%	0.00002226	-15.94%	0.0218	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.558392	-0.39%	0.4811	-14.18%	0.0031	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.641647	-0.40%	0.5619	-12.78%	0.0096	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	2.1026	-0.40%	1.738	-17.67%	0.0649	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000090169	-0.40%	0.00007968	-11.98%	0.0118	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.1904	-0.40%	4.7186	-9.45%	0.0390	✗	1.23	443k	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.165929	-0.40%	0.1474	-11.52%	0.0184	✓	0.91	362k	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.8453	-0.41%	3.392	-12.15%	0.0378	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.7605	-0.41%	4.17	-12.76%	0.0004	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.7116	-0.41%	4.12	-12.91%	0.0601	✓	0.68	445k	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.8915	-0.41%	5.957	-13.92%	0.0683	✓	0.71	163k	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.015445	-0.42%	0.01394	-10.12%	0.0128	✓	0.82	21k	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.099772	-0.43%	0.0834	-16.77%	0.0565	✓	1.12	244k	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.234	-0.46%	25.95	-11.64%	0.0002	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.6916	-0.46%	3.5345	-4.70%	0.0491	✓	-0.05	371k	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	31,265.14	-0.47%	25,741.64	-18.06%	0.1189	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.713	-0.48%	6.6	-14.84%	0.0488	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	14.52	-0.48%	13.42	-8.02%	0.0043	✓	0.68	813k	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	3.0797	-0.50%	2.795	-9.69%	0.0918	✗	1.73	1.1M	2022-01-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	77.0198	-0.50%	64.94	-16.11%	0.0352	✗	1.88	7.7M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	4.1687	-0.51%	4.65	+10.98%	0.2173	✗	0.99	471k	2022-01-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.070573	-0.52%	0.061424	-13.41%	0.0295	✓	1.00	682k	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.188161	-0.52%	0.16704	-11.68%	0.0537	✗	1.58	6,611	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.9956	-0.52%	6.243	-11.22%	0.0194	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.3323	-0.53%	2.9	-13.43%	0.0196	✓	1.09	752k	2022-01-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	9.7165	-0.55%	8.647	-11.49%	0.0072	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	3.142	-0.56%	3.11	-1.58%	0.1172	✗	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	44.9128	-0.57%	38.52	-14.72%	0.0310	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.067458	-0.58%	0.05552	-18.17%	0.0566	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.367153	-0.58%	0.2921	-20.90%	0.0636	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.752383	-0.61%	0.6365	-15.92%	0.0293	✗	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	41,163.58	-0.61%	36,607.80	-11.61%	0.0098	✓	0.98	16k	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.5598	-0.65%	3.168	-11.58%	0.0386	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.573832	-0.65%	0.5351	-7.36%	0.0808	✗	1.38	1.7M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.7854	-0.68%	3.2277	-15.31%	0.0763	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.4282	-0.71%	8.351	+11.63%	0.2579	✗	1.29	301k	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	38.6867	-0.73%	34.64	-11.11%	0.0059	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.076	-0.73%	0.8913	-17.77%	0.0775	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.5686	-0.82%	1.4321	-9.45%	0.0007	✓	0.84	1.3M	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.