8=======>

2022-01-16 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1601
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.4%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.91990.920766+0.09%0.8095-12.00%0.1080✗1.002.8M2022-01-17
LRCLoopringEthereum1.36431.3643+0.00%1.2289-9.92%0.0649✗1.911.3M2022-01-17
NANOnanopayBase3.12013.1191-0.03%3.0126-3.45%0.0110✓1.14699k2022-01-17
TRXTRONTron0.0698980.069862-0.05%0.070851+1.36%0.0340✗0.96525k2022-01-17
SOLSolanaSolana147.98147.8799-0.07%139.85-5.49%0.0324✓1.13152.8M2022-01-17
XVSVenusEthereum14.0514.0378-0.09%13.59-3.27%0.0086✓1.142.9M2022-01-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,104.3443,062.38-0.10%42,218.01-2.06%0.0010✗1.00636.6M2022-01-17
QTUMQtumQtum8.03718.0284-0.11%7.6879-4.35%0.0135✓1.44263k2022-01-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.9612-0.11%7.77-2.51%0.0112✓0.63680k2022-01-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash388.33387.8843-0.11%380.79-1.94%0.0026✗1.026.6M2022-01-17
XEMNEMnative0.11980.119659-0.12%0.1148-4.17%0.0196✓1.0553k2022-01-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4371-0.12%2.25-7.79%0.0578✓1.062.7M2022-01-17
ZECZcashZcash141.5141.3292-0.12%138.84-1.88%0.0092✗1.3010.9M2022-01-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.6527.6145-0.13%24.33-12.01%0.0882✓1.853.9M2022-01-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,349.463,345.13-0.13%3,210.98-4.13%0.0187✓1.07481.6M2022-01-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0885-0.14%1.02-6.42%0.0254✓1.911.5M2022-01-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9284.9209-0.14%4.984+1.14%0.0268✗0.68453k2022-01-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.9072-0.15%1.829-4.24%0.0179✓1.152.0M2022-01-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.13830.138096-0.15%0.1315-4.92%0.0223✓1.282.4M2022-01-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.3930.3431-0.15%28.99-4.61%0.0230✓1.0915.1M2022-01-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.7220.6876-0.16%19.46-6.08%0.0393✓1.05841k2022-01-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1614.1544-0.16%4.188+0.65%0.0247✗0.801.1M2022-01-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6689-0.17%6.55-1.95%0.0042✓0.66524k2022-01-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.72.6955-0.17%2.6-3.70%0.0086✓1.323.1M2022-01-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2591240.258687-0.17%0.256133-1.15%0.0116✗1.0424.2M2022-01-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0561.0542-0.17%1.016-3.79%0.0167✓0.972.2M2022-01-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58920.588186-0.17%0.5478-7.03%0.0440✓1.3012.2M2022-01-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11240.1122-0.18%0.1064-5.34%0.0298✓1.12269k2022-01-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3775-0.18%1.35-2.17%0.0145✗1.67538k2022-01-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7664990.765119-0.18%0.727776-5.05%0.0263✓1.142.4M2022-01-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18040.180069-0.18%0.1755-2.72%0.0068✓0.91410k2022-01-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08570.085541-0.19%0.0824-3.85%0.0084✓1.40990k2022-01-17
DASHDashDash137.39137.1324-0.19%135.73-1.21%0.0147✗1.202.8M2022-01-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05581.0538-0.19%1.0163-3.74%0.0008✓1.78896k2022-01-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.041140.041061-0.19%0.04011-2.50%0.0045✓0.918.4M2022-01-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78533.7781-0.19%3.7699-0.41%0.0035✓-0.06371k2022-01-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.367288-0.19%0.35-4.89%0.0324✓0.7644k2022-01-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4328.3745-0.20%27.95-1.69%0.0003✓0.71353k2022-01-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8822-0.20%3.798-2.37%0.0072✓0.71526k2022-01-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.49146.1954-0.20%151.19+3.21%0.0620✗1.3730.1M2022-01-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3461.3433-0.20%1.246-7.43%0.0470✓1.352.5M2022-01-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,225.3043,134.45-0.21%41,814.50-3.26%0.0106✓0.9814k2022-01-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.64112.3988-0.21%109.78-2.54%0.0037✓0.962.1M2022-01-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.082840.082663-0.21%0.07748-6.47%0.0352✓1.422.4M2022-01-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.08342.0789-0.22%2.0079-3.62%0.0117✓1.1189k2022-01-17
QNTQuantEthereum167.7167.339-0.22%159.74-4.75%0.0271✓0.936.4M2022-01-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0560.055879-0.22%0.0533-4.82%0.0187✓1.371.5M2022-01-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.05431.052-0.22%1.0077-4.42%0.0139✓1.401.5M2022-01-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.068.0424-0.22%7.96-1.24%0.0057✗0.77682k2022-01-17
RADRadworksEthereum8.28.1821-0.22%7.89-3.78%0.0180✓0.881.1M2022-01-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6827.6193-0.22%25.68-7.23%0.0449✓1.3460.5M2022-01-17
ZENHorizenBase55.1355.007-0.22%53.27-3.37%0.0011✓1.49642k2022-01-17
COMPCompoundEthereum192.07191.6368-0.23%181.47-5.52%0.0303✓1.17142k2022-01-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1815.1457-0.23%15.03-0.99%0.0066✗0.69916k2022-01-17
XYMSymbolnative0.19510.194654-0.23%0.1906-2.31%0.0070✓0.68489k2022-01-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2732.1958-0.23%31-3.94%0.0157✓1.062.9M2022-01-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.1831.1074-0.23%29.62-5.00%0.0197✓1.4134.3M2022-01-17
DODODODOEthereum0.8070.805118-0.23%0.768-4.83%0.0163✓1.498.0M2022-01-17
KCSKuCoinnative21.15621.105-0.24%20.851-1.44%0.0214✗1.6110.6M2022-01-17
XVGVergenative0.013960.013926-0.24%0.01314-5.87%0.0324✓1.242.0M2022-01-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.8730.7948-0.24%28.92-6.32%0.0307✓1.551.0M2022-01-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.8267.8069-0.24%7.359-5.97%0.0448✓0.69178k2022-01-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32320.322403-0.25%0.312-3.47%0.0062✓1.282.1M2022-01-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7140.712233-0.25%0.6916-3.14%0.0027✓1.283.5M2022-01-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.395.3763-0.25%4.98-7.61%0.0520✓1.183.3M2022-01-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0576850.057535-0.26%0.054069-6.27%0.0372✓1.207.5M2022-01-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1767160.176244-0.27%0.170944-3.27%0.0077✓1.105.4M2022-01-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.4918-0.27%10.47-0.48%0.0136✗0.75808k2022-01-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16840.167947-0.27%0.1595-5.29%0.0254✓1.264.2M2022-01-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0288480.02877-0.27%0.02786-3.42%0.0108✓1.035.7M2022-01-17
XECeCashnative0.00010310.000102818-0.27%0.00009954-3.45%0.0113✓1.026.4M2022-01-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.493.4801-0.28%3.41-2.29%0.0022✓1.09808k2022-01-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.079671-0.29%0.0676-15.39%0.1435✓1.0026.3M2022-01-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.3492.0742-0.29%86.68-6.13%0.0358✓1.18106.0M2022-01-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4846-0.30%1.391-6.58%0.0368✓1.364.1M2022-01-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.26980.269-0.30%0.2569-4.78%0.0184✓1.333.9M2022-01-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.34120.340141-0.31%0.3888+13.95%0.1652✗1.523.8M2022-01-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.719.6798-0.31%9.38-3.40%0.0318✓-0.021.4M2022-01-17
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8317.7745-0.31%16.64-6.67%0.0388✓1.3112.6M2022-01-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6597.6343-0.32%7.405-3.32%0.0034✓1.30260k2022-01-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07060.07037-0.33%0.06638-5.98%0.0329✓1.2213.3M2022-01-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052060.05189-0.33%0.04979-4.36%0.0186✓1.0919k2022-01-17
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.3625-0.33%8.13-3.10%0.0081✓0.974.1M2022-01-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.1895-0.33%3.07-4.06%0.0177✓0.99918k2022-01-17
XMRMoneroMonero224.12223.3845-0.33%214.7-4.20%0.0191✓0.993.1M2022-01-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.080234-0.33%0.0826+2.61%0.0521✗1.1119k2022-01-17
SCSiacoinnative0.014130.014083-0.33%0.01352-4.32%0.0202✓0.99641k2022-01-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0210660.020996-0.33%0.020723-1.63%0.0126✗1.232.6M2022-01-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017450.017392-0.33%0.01652-5.33%0.0363✓0.7325k2022-01-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.3056-0.34%1.2267-6.36%0.0406✓1.042.8M2022-01-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.2980.0106-0.35%76.55-4.66%0.0218✓1.086.3M2022-01-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030530.000030423-0.35%0.00002883-5.57%0.0257✓1.351.8M2022-01-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.5125.4208-0.35%23.8-6.70%0.0412✓1.1974.2M2022-01-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.092356-0.35%0.08878-4.21%0.0244✓0.7246k2022-01-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.8492.839-0.35%2.735-4.00%0.0186✓0.9025k2022-01-17
HIVEHivenative1.31931.3146-0.35%1.2561-4.79%0.0165✓1.403.8M2022-01-17
MOVRMoonriverBase149.9189149.3861-0.36%137.7719-8.10%0.0576✓1.12489k2022-01-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.6631.6568-0.37%1.6018-3.68%0.0154✓0.88462k2022-01-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.541956-0.38%0.51-6.25%0.0337✓1.301.8M2022-01-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110250.109828-0.38%0.10718-2.78%0.0007✓1.1425k2022-01-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.01590.015839-0.39%0.01358-14.59%0.1044✓2.3825.3M2022-01-17
LUNATerraTerra 287.1686.8236-0.39%77.06-11.59%0.0823✓1.787.4M2022-01-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32953.3166-0.39%3.3409+0.34%0.0321✗1.191.9M2022-01-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.32164.3048-0.39%4.1906-3.03%0.0006✓1.264.0M2022-01-17
KSMKusamaHydration277.6276.5191-0.39%259.34-6.58%0.0395✓1.181.4M2022-01-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.13731.1328-0.40%1.1616+2.14%0.0459✗1.0023.2M2022-01-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.42991.4242-0.40%1.3415-6.18%0.0354✓1.1730.5M2022-01-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.512.4998-0.40%2.325-7.37%0.0493✓1.122.0M2022-01-17
XTZTezosTezos4.29144.274-0.41%4.0538-5.54%0.0245✓1.373.4M2022-01-17
SUSHISushiEthereum6.976.9416-0.41%6.44-7.60%0.0482✓1.2917.7M2022-01-17
FTTFTXEthereum46.4346.2392-0.41%44.38-4.42%0.0180✓1.1122.3M2022-01-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.479.4308-0.41%8.77-7.39%0.0579✓0.71995k2022-01-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.33740.335988-0.42%0.3204-5.04%0.0262✓1.03397k2022-01-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015060.014996-0.42%0.0145-3.72%0.0064✓1.312.2M2022-01-17
AAVEAaveEthereum242.5241.4719-0.42%226.66-6.53%0.0387✓1.1817.6M2022-01-17
BANDBandEthereum5.685.6559-0.42%5.3-6.69%0.0421✓1.102.2M2022-01-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.12033.107-0.43%2.9053-6.89%0.0459✓1.025.1M2022-01-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2736.1117-0.44%34.44-5.05%0.0129✓1.662.7M2022-01-17
GTGateEthereum7.06217.0304-0.45%6.9968-0.92%0.0131✗0.863.8M2022-01-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,593.6933,436.62-0.47%31,588.07-5.97%0.0430✓0.6724.4M2022-01-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3033.2873-0.47%3.294-0.27%0.0381✗1.74980k2022-01-17
ADACardanoCardano1.41181.4051-0.48%1.6027+13.52%0.1556✗1.1695.6M2022-01-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.66130.658139-0.48%0.6191-6.38%0.0325✓1.382.6M2022-01-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.323.3032-0.50%3.36+1.20%0.0435✗1.273.1M2022-01-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.823.8003-0.51%3.53-7.59%0.0475✓1.278.5M2022-01-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0845150.08407-0.53%0.078972-6.56%0.0418✓1.001.9M2022-01-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08481.0791-0.53%0.9802-9.64%0.0749✓1.02108k2022-01-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.57776.5414-0.55%6.2731-4.63%0.0166✓1.22457k2022-01-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.135.0985-0.61%4.78-6.82%0.0355✓1.4032.4M2022-01-17
GITCOINGITCOIN11.31411.238-0.67%12.477+10.28%0.1069✗0.1140k2022-01-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3411.2564-0.74%12.58+10.93%0.1149✗0.182.5M2022-01-17
IMXImmutableEthereum4.174.1366-0.80%3.76-9.83%0.0663✓1.402.2M2022-01-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53811.5242-0.90%1.6076+4.52%0.0714✗0.87988k2022-01-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos43.7143.2926-0.95%39.15-10.43%0.0808✓0.9596.8M2022-01-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.201110.198812-1.14%0.20625+2.56%0.0697✗1.595,3602022-01-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.724-1.38%4-16.49%0.1494✓0.82471k2022-01-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65360.644248-1.43%0.6214-4.93%0.0073✓1.391.0M2022-01-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.15074.0891-1.48%4.195+1.07%0.0413✗0.762,2572022-01-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.03151.0144-1.66%0.9432-8.56%0.0363✓1.7643.6M2022-01-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.