8=======>

2022-01-10 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1876
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.7%
in alpha space · 7.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.94910.952972+0.41%0.9389-1.07%0.0347✗0.903.2M2022-01-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07720.077459+0.34%0.077-0.26%0.0279✗1.0033.0M2022-01-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.60170.603008+0.22%0.6826+13.45%0.0852✓1.7638.7M2022-01-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.013950.013971+0.15%0.01458+4.52%0.0095✗2.3726.8M2022-01-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.133.1322+0.07%2.93-6.39%0.0948✗1.283.2M2022-01-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3271.3263-0.05%1.398+5.35%0.0230✗1.355.2M2022-01-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.14090.140791-0.08%0.1471+4.40%0.0167✗1.232.1M2022-01-11
NANOnanopayBase2.88412.8818-0.08%3.0312+5.10%0.0265✗1.09665k2022-01-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,083.513,080.83-0.09%3,240.83+5.10%0.0274✗1.05591.9M2022-01-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum25.3825.3578-0.09%26.75+5.40%0.0133✗1.835.4M2022-01-11
SOLSolanaSolana135.89135.7673-0.09%140.27+3.22%0.0082✗1.11194.0M2022-01-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.1428.1138-0.09%28.89+2.67%0.0042✗1.0518.5M2022-01-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.46.3934-0.10%7.094+10.84%0.0763✗1.26271k2022-01-11
XVSVenusEthereum13.1813.1657-0.11%13.71+4.02%0.0155✗1.143.4M2022-01-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1881.1867-0.11%1.273+7.15%0.0411✗1.332.9M2022-01-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7851.7829-0.12%1.86+4.20%0.0172✗1.152.3M2022-01-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.341.3381-0.14%1.36+1.49%0.0207✓1.68764k2022-01-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.072.0671-0.14%2.15+3.86%0.0157✗1.083.4M2022-01-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3430.342508-0.14%0.361+5.25%0.0368✗0.7238k2022-01-11
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.5646-0.15%3.54-0.84%0.0222✓0.70493k2022-01-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash363.56362.9781-0.16%369.84+1.73%0.0036✓1.018.5M2022-01-11
KSMKusamaHydration242.17241.7774-0.16%260.77+7.68%0.0503✗1.151.3M2022-01-11
ADACardanoCardano1.12351.1216-0.17%1.1879+5.73%0.0334✗1.0995.6M2022-01-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.416.3993-0.17%6.78+5.77%0.0438✗0.63645k2022-01-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2530610.252628-0.17%0.263177+4.00%0.0185✗1.0224.0M2022-01-11
LRCLoopringEthereum1.4681.4655-0.17%1.4915+1.60%0.0246✓1.921.4M2022-01-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1431330.142883-0.18%0.153722+7.40%0.0492✗1.094.8M2022-01-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15820.157922-0.18%0.1605+1.45%0.0110✓1.244.2M2022-01-11
XVGVergenative0.013120.013097-0.18%0.01386+5.64%0.0302✗1.212.1M2022-01-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.468.2776-0.18%72.75+6.36%0.0408✗1.036.4M2022-01-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.577.5561-0.18%8+5.68%0.0437✗0.61714k2022-01-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.13191.1298-0.19%1.2365+9.24%0.0682✗1.003.3M2022-01-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.80770.806171-0.19%0.8921+10.45%0.0793✗1.00129k2022-01-11
AAVEAaveEthereum199.9199.5128-0.19%213.29+6.70%0.0414✗1.1617.6M2022-01-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2990.298417-0.20%0.3101+3.71%0.0108✗1.262.3M2022-01-11
QNTQuantEthereum166.33165.9974-0.20%169.57+1.95%0.0004✓0.957.6M2022-01-11
TRXTRONTron0.0634850.063358-0.20%0.064934+2.28%0.0037✗0.95552k2022-01-11
SUSHISushiEthereum6.566.5467-0.20%6.99+6.55%0.0370✗1.3018.2M2022-01-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0181580.018121-0.20%0.018697+2.97%0.0046✗1.222.5M2022-01-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098340.098133-0.21%0.10496+6.73%0.0426✗1.1223k2022-01-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014010.01398-0.21%0.01475+5.28%0.0251✗1.302.2M2022-01-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot23.7223.6684-0.22%25.55+7.72%0.0479✗1.3070.4M2022-01-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.617.5934-0.22%8.1+6.44%0.0480✗0.76705k2022-01-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5793.5711-0.22%3.818+6.68%0.0520✗0.68514k2022-01-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.2510.250443-0.22%0.2641+5.22%0.0242✗1.324.6M2022-01-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7042.698-0.22%3.766+39.28%0.2993✗1.561.2M2022-01-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.4684.272-0.22%89.66+6.16%0.0367✗1.15115.7M2022-01-11
LUNATerraTerra 269.4669.3042-0.22%73.57+5.92%0.0378✗1.007.2M2022-01-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5134.5029-0.22%4.814+6.67%0.0529✗0.63474k2022-01-11
QTUMQtumQtum7.23567.2193-0.22%7.521+3.95%0.0097✗1.42268k2022-01-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.3627.2982-0.23%28.42+3.87%0.0250✗0.69370k2022-01-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05560.055474-0.23%0.0574+3.24%0.0048✗1.341.5M2022-01-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07940.07922-0.23%0.0824+3.78%0.0092✗1.371.2M2022-01-11
XYMSymbolnative0.18150.181089-0.23%0.2062+13.61%0.1156✗0.65410k2022-01-11
DODODODOEthereum0.7040.70239-0.23%0.747+6.11%0.0301✗1.437.7M2022-01-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin126.52126.2271-0.23%131.67+4.07%0.0127✗1.3435.1M2022-01-11
XTZTezosTezos4.03244.0227-0.24%4.1752+3.54%0.0076✗1.354.6M2022-01-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0311.0285-0.24%1.045+1.36%0.0051✓0.962.2M2022-01-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.732.7233-0.25%2.8+2.56%0.0013✓1.323.2M2022-01-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.884.8678-0.25%5.08+4.10%0.0174✗1.153.3M2022-01-11
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1115.0721-0.25%15.98+5.76%0.0301✗1.2913.1M2022-01-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1080.107727-0.25%0.1102+2.04%0.0016✓1.11296k2022-01-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086020.085802-0.25%0.09134+6.18%0.0475✗0.6852k2022-01-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04670.046581-0.25%0.04765+2.03%0.0020✓1.1217k2022-01-11
COMPCompoundEthereum182.25181.7817-0.26%188.96+3.68%0.0132✗1.16180k2022-01-11
ZENHorizenBase53.3353.1913-0.26%56.11+5.21%0.0207✗1.49736k2022-01-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.710.6721-0.26%11.23+4.95%0.0485✗0.112.8M2022-01-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV105.99105.7122-0.26%110.22+3.99%0.0210✗0.952.6M2022-01-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.7172.7098-0.26%2.765+1.77%0.0003✓0.9031k2022-01-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.0127.9341-0.27%29.43+5.07%0.0188✗1.521.0M2022-01-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.0920.0356-0.27%20.39+1.49%0.0053✓1.041.1M2022-01-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6890860.687218-0.27%0.718632+4.29%0.0197✗1.142.6M2022-01-11
BANDBandEthereum5.045.0263-0.27%5.14+1.98%0.0021✓1.112.2M2022-01-11
XECeCashnative0.000090390.000090143-0.27%0.00009356+3.51%0.0153✗1.006.7M2022-01-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.042070.041954-0.28%0.04184-0.55%0.0228✓0.928.2M2022-01-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07070.070505-0.28%0.076+7.50%0.0517✗1.0619k2022-01-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.31290.312018-0.28%0.3363+7.48%0.0422✗1.494.1M2022-01-11
RADRadworksEthereum7.857.8276-0.29%8.01+2.04%0.0034✗0.891.1M2022-01-11
KCSKuCoinnative19.00718.9523-0.29%19.378+1.95%0.0135✓1.6213.0M2022-01-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01540.015356-0.29%0.01644+6.75%0.0533✗0.6829k2022-01-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.937279-0.29%0.96+2.13%0.0144✓1.751.6M2022-01-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.86833.8571-0.29%4.1768+7.98%0.0519✗1.264.2M2022-01-11
XMRMoneroMonero182.5181.9693-0.29%193.01+5.76%0.0364✗1.022.9M2022-01-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.54250.540919-0.29%0.5691+4.90%0.0223✗1.2912.5M2022-01-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.10215.087-0.30%5.328+4.43%0.0201✗1.19446k2022-01-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.00211.996-0.30%2.1025+5.02%0.0277✗1.1183k2022-01-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.4828.3921-0.31%29.69+4.25%0.0218✗1.043.2M2022-01-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,824.0741,693.81-0.31%42,753.44+2.22%0.0031✓1.00750.1M2022-01-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.550.548255-0.32%0.5799+5.44%0.0265✗1.352.7M2022-01-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.133.12-0.32%3.2+2.24%0.0037✗0.98977k2022-01-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0276450.027556-0.32%0.029265+5.86%0.0378✗1.026.3M2022-01-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.72583.7135-0.33%3.8424+3.13%0.0177✗0.753,3552022-01-11
XEMNEMnative0.11160.111223-0.34%0.1145+2.60%0.0060✗1.0567k2022-01-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.1672.1596-0.34%2.311+6.65%0.0441✗1.081.9M2022-01-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63180.629643-0.34%0.6511+3.05%0.0060✗1.254.4M2022-01-11
MOVRMoonriverBase155.6792155.1466-0.34%165.565+6.35%0.0405✗1.11515k2022-01-11
GITCOINGITCOIN10.64510.6084-0.34%11.203+5.24%0.0534✗0.0556k2022-01-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.59.4671-0.35%9.73+2.42%0.0288✗-0.071.8M2022-01-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17390.173294-0.35%0.1778+2.24%0.0056✗0.91479k2022-01-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11151.1076-0.36%1.141+2.65%0.0082✗0.9822.7M2022-01-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.5077.4803-0.36%8.221+9.51%0.0804✗0.64231k2022-01-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.849.805-0.36%10.19+3.56%0.0223✗0.74994k2022-01-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.079340.079055-0.36%0.07976+0.53%0.0227✓1.442.5M2022-01-11
SCSiacoinnative0.012970.012923-0.36%0.0135+4.09%0.0222✗0.98756k2022-01-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002670.000026603-0.36%0.00002762+3.45%0.0104✗1.241.7M2022-01-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.51561.5101-0.36%1.5924+5.07%0.0344✗0.85647k2022-01-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.324.3043-0.36%4.61+6.71%0.0379✗1.4030.4M2022-01-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.999380.995671-0.37%1.0548+5.54%0.0186✗1.781.0M2022-01-11
IMXImmutableEthereum3.793.7759-0.37%3.61-4.75%0.0765✓1.442.4M2022-01-11
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8182.8075-0.37%2.9312+4.02%0.0211✗1.005.5M2022-01-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84092.8303-0.37%3.1857+12.14%0.0928✗1.162.5M2022-01-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.170810.170156-0.38%0.17303+1.30%0.0177✓1.574,9922022-01-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.068910.068643-0.39%0.07076+2.68%0.0034✓1.2316.9M2022-01-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2034.1867-0.39%4.382+4.26%0.0284✗0.781.1M2022-01-11
FTTFTXEthereum38.1137.9616-0.39%39.78+4.38%0.0229✗1.0920.0M2022-01-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36241.357-0.40%1.4467+6.19%0.0390✗1.1432.1M2022-01-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2614.2026-0.40%14.78+3.65%0.0254✗0.661.1M2022-01-11
GTGateEthereum6.14966.1246-0.41%6.4129+4.28%0.0275✗0.843.7M2022-01-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,010.2431,879.69-0.41%32,768.96+2.37%0.0135✗0.6426.4M2022-01-11
MINAMina Protocolnative3.23.1867-0.42%3.45+7.81%0.0566✗1.04715k2022-01-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.928.8816-0.43%9.67+8.41%0.0705✗0.661.2M2022-01-11
ZECZcashZcash141.24140.6323-0.43%141.38+0.10%0.0240✓1.3310.9M2022-01-11
UMAUMAEthereum8.378.3337-0.43%8.65+3.35%0.0164✗0.954.4M2022-01-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37491.3686-0.46%1.3709-0.29%0.0176✓0.88922k2022-01-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4970.494703-0.46%0.516+3.82%0.0138✗1.292.1M2022-01-11
HIVEHivenative1.26791.262-0.47%1.3102+3.34%0.0069✗1.394.5M2022-01-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.3733.2116-0.47%36.84+10.40%0.0679✗1.632.8M2022-01-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,624.6041,425.41-0.48%42,770.20+2.75%0.0104✗0.9812k2022-01-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.74193.7239-0.48%3.7323-0.26%0.0040✓-0.08364k2022-01-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.02871.0237-0.49%1.025-0.36%0.0296✓1.401.5M2022-01-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.311197-0.51%0.3228+3.20%0.0146✗1.00397k2022-01-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.483.4621-0.51%3.57+2.59%0.0034✓1.249.3M2022-01-11
DASHDashDash148.17147.2923-0.59%141.85-4.27%0.0651✓1.252.1M2022-01-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum34.2934.0625-0.66%34.45+0.47%0.0196✓1.4028.0M2022-01-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum27.9827.7939-0.67%26.6-4.93%0.0706✓1.2169.7M2022-01-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.8337.5586-0.72%38.71+2.33%0.0100✗0.9257.0M2022-01-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.086370.085673-0.81%0.086423+0.06%0.0133✓1.003.0M2022-01-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62490.615641-1.48%0.6261+0.19%0.0155✓1.47650k2022-01-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0810820.079367-2.12%0.064925-19.93%0.2299✓1.327.3M2022-01-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.