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2021-12-31 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0093
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.4%
in alpha space · 8.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122783+0.07%0.126+2.69%0.0100✗1.11153k2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3914+0.06%2.53+5.86%0.0223✓1.054.1M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.4027+0.03%3.58+5.25%0.0164✓1.06798k2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7386+0.03%8.9613+2.58%0.0213✗1.43280k2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.17021-0.01%0.173118+1.70%0.0191✓1.115.5M2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075462-0.02%0.076625+1.52%0.0155✓0.95607k2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5026-0.04%20.75+6.36%0.0186✗1.3469.7M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1339-0.04%16.08+6.21%0.0237✗1.144.3M2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0207-0.05%5.211+3.74%0.0179✗0.59773k2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana169.88169.772-0.06%179.21+5.49%0.0199✗1.05236.5M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.7939-0.07%8.94+1.59%0.0032✓0.61999k2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.202129-0.08%0.2128+5.19%0.0115✗1.235.4M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0561-0.09%2.133+3.64%0.0000✓1.133.1M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02120.9036-0.10%123.03+1.66%0.0137✓0.963.7M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15429.7359-0.10%445.07+3.47%0.0023✗1.019.8M2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,165.15-0.10%47,733.43+3.29%0.0010✗1.00750.8M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15145.9989-0.10%150.83+3.20%0.0114✓1.3646.1M2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.0913-0.11%8.39+3.58%0.0047✓1.26391k2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5403-0.11%1.651+7.07%0.0280✗1.283.6M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1287-0.11%1.17+3.54%0.0035✗1.002.2M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.128153-0.11%0.1339+4.36%0.0092✗1.07324k2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0519-0.12%7.24+2.55%0.0057✗0.641.1M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,671.44-0.12%3,765.72+2.45%0.0085✓1.05716.9M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.3909-0.12%25.61+4.87%0.0024✗1.4324.2M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.9597-0.12%17.47+2.89%0.0125✓1.3015.5M2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.266154-0.12%0.276802+3.87%0.0061✗1.0227.7M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1426-0.12%3.2078+1.95%0.0186✓1.213.3M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087563-0.12%0.093+6.08%0.0133✗1.453.9M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.1972-0.13%35.88+4.79%0.0145✗1.0323.7M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.051-0.13%15.4+2.19%0.0007✓0.691.4M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000108051-0.13%0.00011077+2.38%0.0074✓1.008.0M2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.1999-0.13%40.2+5.10%0.0170✗1.0520.7M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.706862-0.13%0.7302+3.16%0.0088✓1.276.1M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0634.014-0.14%34.87+2.38%0.0090✓1.054.7M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198132-0.14%0.2061+3.88%0.0103✗0.90622k2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0032-0.14%5.18+3.39%0.0045✓1.212.4M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6316-0.14%28.61+7.27%0.0300✗1.2875.1M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9257-0.15%3.1+5.80%0.0154✗1.313.2M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.4798-0.15%63.94+5.56%0.0068✗1.511.0M2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.3972-0.15%8.65+2.85%0.0049✗0.761.1M2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.6175-0.15%1.6281+0.50%0.0202✓0.824.6M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58199.2707-0.15%210.69+5.57%0.0184✗1.15210k2022-01-01
DASHDashDash133.78133.5717-0.16%138.03+3.18%0.0085✓1.282.1M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.3062-0.16%1.3797+5.47%0.0197✗1.08106.2M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.84168-0.16%0.875+3.80%0.0092✓1.488.5M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.3492-0.16%32.46+3.38%0.0131✗0.67503k2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8773-0.16%2.914+1.11%0.0157✓0.8853k2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum179.22178.9216-0.17%179.87+0.36%0.0261✓0.979.4M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.0113-0.17%4.221+5.05%0.0299✗0.65502k2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.093-0.17%10.37+2.57%0.0028✗0.751.3M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0633.0029-0.17%35.27+6.68%0.0168✗1.531.3M2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.801212-0.17%0.875736+9.11%0.0530✗1.112.8M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.640953-0.18%0.6647+3.52%0.0057✓1.3011.8M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4697-0.19%5.98+9.12%0.0520✗1.154.3M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2193.0297-0.19%94.1+0.95%0.0201✓0.977.0M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.096911-0.19%0.1001+3.09%0.0122✓1.381.8M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2565-0.20%1.276+1.35%0.0153✓0.952.7M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6167-0.20%1.7+4.94%0.0056✓1.721.1M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.413046-0.21%0.4264+3.02%0.0137✓1.40722k2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.3589-0.21%24.52+0.45%0.0274✓1.051.5M2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3919-0.21%2.3965-0.02%0.0351✓1.14128k2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021775-0.22%0.022463+2.94%0.0082✓1.212.4M2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.2108-0.22%4.36+3.32%0.0024✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.873-0.22%6.1094+3.79%0.0004✓1.20649k2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.082115-0.22%0.0839+1.94%0.0136✓1.0820k2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.282661-0.23%0.2952+4.20%0.0010✓1.315.5M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6303-0.23%1.748+6.98%0.0261✗1.357.6M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.174798-0.23%0.1885+7.59%0.0379✗1.162.8M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.906712-0.23%0.9793+7.76%0.0446✗1.00146k2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8526-0.23%9.193+3.61%0.0183✗0.60338k2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash146.46146.1174-0.23%150.36+2.66%0.0156✓1.3611.8M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4877-0.24%3.609+3.23%0.0177✓1.602.5M2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2765-0.24%1.3805+7.89%0.0432✗1.08987k2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.5952-0.24%4.7558+3.24%0.0076✓1.305.0M2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.194008-0.25%0.2245+15.42%0.1289✗0.53410k2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.3218-0.25%22.386+4.72%0.0046✓1.6516.6M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.329-0.25%4.37+0.69%0.0230✓1.003.4M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.36455-0.26%0.3775+3.28%0.0066✓1.284.2M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2015-0.26%3.35+4.36%0.0129✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.8139-0.27%40.17+3.21%0.0246✓1.826.6M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7509-0.28%3.7989+1.00%0.0165✗-0.12409k2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.048147-0.28%0.04964+2.82%0.0009✓0.918.6M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.019027-0.28%0.0202+5.87%0.0395✗0.6342k2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.4953-0.28%5.069+12.44%0.0972✗0.711.0M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.7465-0.28%11.76-0.17%0.0068✗-0.173.4M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.353692-0.28%0.3879+9.36%0.0445✗1.484.3M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.2005-0.29%1.2582+4.51%0.0108✓1.781.4M2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.017030.016981-0.29%0.01775+4.23%0.0056✗1.192.4M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.196296-0.30%0.20032+1.75%0.0312✓1.598,4562022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112371-0.30%0.11476+1.82%0.0152✓1.1229k2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.063336-0.30%0.064208+1.07%0.0321✓1.417.9M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8946-0.31%4.83-1.63%0.0457✓1.003.0M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.015132-0.32%0.01554+2.37%0.0045✓0.96868k2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration276.22275.3397-0.32%289.04+4.64%0.0125✗1.111.4M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,913.16-0.32%47,429.60+2.97%0.0008✓0.989,2042022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.100571-0.33%0.10295+2.03%0.0025✓0.6564k2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033714-0.33%0.033863+0.11%0.0294✓1.048.5M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5281-0.34%3.73+5.37%0.0210✗1.07723k2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 285.5685.2718-0.34%91.66+7.13%0.0398✗1.006.3M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015737-0.34%0.01654+4.75%0.0077✗1.302.3M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7369-0.34%1.835+5.29%0.0293✗0.79889k2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5649-0.36%2.681+4.16%0.0111✗1.032.1M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.076023-0.36%0.0797+4.46%0.0023✓1.391.7M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3245-0.37%4.7494+9.42%0.0509✗1.324.9M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.48961.484-0.38%1.5238+2.30%0.0188✓1.405.8M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528181.1623-0.38%189.4715+4.19%0.0073✗1.16622k2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.424379-0.38%0.43+0.94%0.0107✓0.7446k2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.7243-0.38%4.5517-4.02%0.0608✓0.7322k2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero228.93228.04-0.39%250.04+9.22%0.0606✗0.973.0M2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.55556.53-0.39%6.7635+3.17%0.0080✗0.844.0M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0822-0.41%2.08-0.52%0.0633✓1.921.5M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.609469-0.41%0.633+3.43%0.0033✓1.272.5M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.223-0.42%1.2912+5.13%0.0090✗1.402.1M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.8024-0.44%11+1.38%0.0095✓0.851.2M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.683362-0.44%0.715+4.17%0.0023✓1.333.1M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.00003327-0.45%0.00003416+2.21%0.0146✓1.262.0M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92252.7354-0.47%266.48+4.95%0.0163✗1.1311.5M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.119.0673-0.47%9.33+2.41%0.0078✓1.124.1M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.053051-0.49%0.05488+2.95%0.0020✓1.1115k2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5584-0.52%1.5787+0.77%0.0184✓0.974.3M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4108.8118-0.54%114.26+4.44%0.0129✗1.11127.7M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.3261-0.55%0.3671+11.95%0.0878✗0.94293k2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.249-0.57%3.3501+2.52%0.0001✓0.956.9M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6494-0.57%1.7433+5.09%0.0191✗1.1231.7M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3577-0.60%1.411+3.31%0.0081✗0.9423.6M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.08461-0.61%0.08625+1.32%0.0209✓1.2421.7M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6939.4407-0.63%41.07+3.48%0.0138✓1.672.9M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4332.2099-0.68%36.33+12.03%0.0916✗0.8942.6M2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.5178-0.71%4.49-1.32%0.0498✓1.3412.3M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,796.02-0.73%36,545.69+10.62%0.0898✗0.5713.3M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.3508-0.73%9.14-2.97%0.0662✓1.3417.1M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.023287-0.74%0.02333-0.55%0.0306✓1.0033.0M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2212.1287-0.75%13.2+8.02%0.0664✗0.561.3M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.6358-0.77%13.69+7.51%0.0835✗-0.10111k2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.279-0.77%6.21+16.73%0.1197✗1.3228.7M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.5755-0.98%13.58+6.93%0.0782✗-0.044.2M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.92322-1.32%1.0026+7.16%0.0275✗1.7030.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.