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2021-12-29 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1408
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.4%
in alpha space · 27.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.98190.96104-2.12%0.9403-4.24%0.0457✓1.7228.8M2021-12-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.5341.9831-1.29%40.32-5.20%0.0640✓1.703.0M2021-12-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.844.7803-1.23%4.72-2.48%0.0266✓1.0018.1M2021-12-30
SUSHISushiEthereum9.269.1563-1.12%10.25+10.69%0.0947✗1.3115.8M2021-12-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.911.7753-1.05%11.98+0.67%0.0093✓0.571.5M2021-12-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021150.020936-1.01%0.02166+2.41%0.0201✗1.0035.6M2021-12-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5413.4067-0.98%12.93-4.51%0.0357✓-0.044.8M2021-12-30
GITCOINGITCOIN13.51213.3802-0.98%12.775-5.45%0.0450✓-0.09129k2021-12-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4821.4695-0.85%1.4266-3.74%0.0428✓0.9523.6M2021-12-30
RADRadworksEthereum10.9610.8727-0.80%10.83-1.19%0.0159✓0.861.3M2021-12-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25371.2438-0.79%1.203-4.04%0.0532✓1.422.3M2021-12-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7964.7616-0.72%4.697-2.06%0.0235✓0.71842k2021-12-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4859.4253-0.63%9.329-1.64%0.0186✓0.60455k2021-12-30
HIVEHivenative1.49181.4825-0.62%1.5179+1.75%0.0041✓1.407.0M2021-12-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.854.8197-0.62%5.11+5.36%0.0401✗1.3228.7M2021-12-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6280.62413-0.62%0.634+0.96%0.0020✓1.272.8M2021-12-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.58281.5734-0.59%1.7299+9.29%0.0796✗1.1031.7M2021-12-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019390.019277-0.58%0.01945+0.31%0.0002✓0.6344k2021-12-30
SCSiacoinnative0.015160.015072-0.58%0.01531+0.99%0.0023✓0.961.1M2021-12-30
UMAUMAEthereum9.39.2466-0.57%9.32+0.22%0.0078✓1.134.1M2021-12-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204230.203075-0.57%0.2-2.07%0.0375✓1.609,9442021-12-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033650.000033461-0.56%0.00003376+0.33%0.0050✓1.002.4M2021-12-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.74113.7203-0.56%3.8078+1.78%0.0250✗-0.13405k2021-12-30
LUNATerraTerra 284.3283.8548-0.55%84.84+0.62%0.0022✓1.006.3M2021-12-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06170.061361-0.55%0.061787+0.14%0.0130✓1.438.2M2021-12-30
IMXImmutableEthereum4.844.8135-0.55%5.14+6.20%0.0517✗1.002.5M2021-12-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68240.678711-0.54%0.6956+1.93%0.0061✗1.333.3M2021-12-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,010.0047,752.57-0.54%47,186.00-1.72%0.0256✓0.9810k2021-12-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6533.6341-0.52%3.579-2.03%0.0292✓1.002.8M2021-12-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.3310.329292-0.52%0.3349+1.18%0.0038✓0.94328k2021-12-30
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25693.2402-0.51%3.2879+0.95%0.0014✓0.957.6M2021-12-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.63981.6316-0.50%1.6911+3.13%0.0245✗0.815.2M2021-12-30
XMRMoneroMonero214.5213.4293-0.50%225.01+4.90%0.0393✗0.972.9M2021-12-30
MOVRMoonriverBase185.3722184.4531-0.50%185.6988+0.18%0.0094✓1.16648k2021-12-30
MINAMina Protocolnative3.343.3235-0.49%3.59+7.49%0.0624✗1.06787k2021-12-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.38032.3686-0.49%2.4417+2.58%0.0145✗1.14152k2021-12-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.033310.033147-0.49%0.033799+1.47%0.0049✗1.059.0M2021-12-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5811.5233-0.49%12.04+3.97%0.0465✗-0.194.0M2021-12-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.71011.7017-0.49%1.755+2.63%0.0199✗0.791.0M2021-12-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.3750.373168-0.49%0.3713-0.99%0.0256✓1.484.7M2021-12-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1246-0.48%1.13+0.00%0.0091✓1.002.4M2021-12-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.18170.180838-0.47%0.1856+2.15%0.0100✗1.153.3M2021-12-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23263.2175-0.47%3.1771-1.72%0.0296✓1.223.3M2021-12-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9827.8496-0.47%30.19+7.90%0.0683✗0.8941.0M2021-12-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.15081.1455-0.46%1.1947+3.81%0.0172✗1.791.5M2021-12-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9610.956563-0.46%0.9199-4.28%0.0530✓1.00149k2021-12-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.049180.048963-0.44%0.04892-0.53%0.0137✓0.929.8M2021-12-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.5138.3404-0.44%39.06+1.43%0.0069✓1.837.0M2021-12-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.53981.5332-0.43%1.4845-3.59%0.0461✓1.005.2M2021-12-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.53214.5125-0.43%4.57+0.84%0.0024✓0.7426k2021-12-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6442.6326-0.43%2.643-0.04%0.0103✓1.032.1M2021-12-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1154.0976-0.42%4.048-1.63%0.0213✓0.66564k2021-12-30
API3Api3Ethereum4.494.471-0.42%4.42-1.56%0.0254✓1.001.2M2021-12-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.5215.4551-0.42%15.45-0.45%0.0099✓0.691.4M2021-12-30
GTGateEthereum6.32736.3014-0.41%6.8152+7.71%0.0670✗0.824.0M2021-12-30
AAVEAaveEthereum236.52235.5547-0.41%262.93+11.17%0.0946✗1.1111.4M2021-12-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,569.8928,454.38-0.40%30,177.90+5.63%0.0508✗0.589.2M2021-12-30
ZECZcashZcash146.64146.0507-0.40%153.9+4.95%0.0335✗1.3511.8M2021-12-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19650.195734-0.39%0.2007+2.14%0.0126✗0.90688k2021-12-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.11102.7145-0.38%101.73-1.34%0.0254✓1.14136.0M2021-12-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.9323.8391-0.38%24.01+0.33%0.0076✓1.061.5M2021-12-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053810.053609-0.37%0.0549+2.03%0.0084✗1.1115k2021-12-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.83414.816-0.37%4.7081-2.61%0.0408✓1.315.2M2021-12-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08170.081395-0.37%0.0828+1.35%0.0020✓1.0918k2021-12-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36980.368429-0.37%0.37+0.05%0.0136✓1.294.4M2021-12-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63290.630578-0.37%0.6466+2.16%0.0070✗1.3012.2M2021-12-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.033.019-0.36%3.09+1.98%0.0051✗1.303.2M2021-12-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.098310.097954-0.36%0.10085+2.58%0.0202✗0.6483k2021-12-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07240.072138-0.36%0.07911+9.27%0.0750✗1.2421.1M2021-12-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.91485.8935-0.36%6.0654+2.55%0.0121✗1.20673k2021-12-30
LRCLoopringEthereum1.96621.9591-0.36%1.9975+1.59%0.0076✓1.941.5M2021-12-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1334.0079-0.36%34.57+1.29%0.0018✓1.054.7M2021-12-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12850.128041-0.36%0.1317+2.49%0.0133✗1.07344k2021-12-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.310.2633-0.36%10.11-1.84%0.0256✓0.761.4M2021-12-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29521.2906-0.35%1.3222+2.08%0.0092✗1.081.0M2021-12-30
XECeCashnative0.000107630.000107261-0.34%0.00010959+1.82%0.0076✗1.009.9M2021-12-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5761.5707-0.34%1.533-2.73%0.0423✓1.304.1M2021-12-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,471.2446,318.71-0.33%47,122.08+1.40%0.0033✗1.00750.8M2021-12-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.4121.0036-0.33%122.49+0.90%0.0012✓0.963.7M2021-12-30
DASHDashDash133.27132.8368-0.33%133.04-0.17%0.0164✓1.292.0M2021-12-30
KCSKuCoinnative20.66620.5989-0.32%21.048+1.85%0.0015✓1.6617.8M2021-12-30
ZENHorizenBase61.8861.6797-0.32%61.58-0.48%0.0227✓1.521.1M2021-12-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.893.4978-0.32%95.03+1.31%0.0027✓0.977.5M2021-12-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.34.2863-0.32%4.33+0.70%0.0038✓1.003.9M2021-12-30
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1317.0759-0.32%17.81+3.97%0.0242✗1.2916.1M2021-12-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6847-0.31%1.69+0.00%0.0209✓1.731.3M2021-12-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70060.698429-0.31%0.7283+3.95%0.0243✗1.276.4M2021-12-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.145.1242-0.31%5.079-1.19%0.0172✓0.60846k2021-12-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2192-0.31%1.267+3.60%0.0253✗0.953.0M2021-12-30
XEMNEMnative0.12440.124019-0.31%0.1255+0.88%0.0035✓1.11160k2021-12-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.028.9931-0.30%8.87-1.66%0.0223✓0.611.1M2021-12-30
XVGVergenative0.016910.016861-0.29%0.01711+1.18%0.0020✓1.202.6M2021-12-30
FTTFTXEthereum38.5438.4292-0.29%38.89+0.91%0.0027✓1.0520.7M2021-12-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087840.087589-0.29%0.08851+0.76%0.0098✓1.464.0M2021-12-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.2208-0.28%3.27+1.24%0.0012✓1.001.1M2021-12-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.648.6154-0.28%8.72+0.93%0.0015✓0.761.1M2021-12-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1679740.167499-0.28%0.171183+1.91%0.0063✗1.115.5M2021-12-30
XTZTezosTezos4.37594.3636-0.28%4.3407-0.80%0.0238✓1.335.2M2021-12-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6731.5815-0.28%32.06+1.23%0.0058✗0.67534k2021-12-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0217260.021665-0.28%0.022142+1.91%0.0049✗1.212.4M2021-12-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7596470.757529-0.28%0.795409+4.71%0.0334✗1.113.0M2021-12-30
COMPCompoundEthereum197196.456-0.28%199.64+1.34%0.0000✓1.16228k2021-12-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.445.4254-0.27%5.55+2.02%0.0067✗1.154.6M2021-12-30
KSMKusamaHydration283.66282.9026-0.27%280.04-1.28%0.0258✓1.121.5M2021-12-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.8126.7386-0.27%27.53+2.69%0.0114✗1.2877.1M2021-12-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06510.064929-0.26%0.0787+20.89%0.1740✗1.321.7M2021-12-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.62145.2369-0.26%147.94+1.59%0.0005✓1.3651.4M2021-12-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.233.113-0.26%33.99+2.38%0.0048✗1.531.3M2021-12-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09880.098546-0.26%0.0981-0.71%0.0238✓1.391.9M2021-12-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.11429.01-0.26%431.58+0.34%0.0082✓1.0210.5M2021-12-30
DODODODOEthereum0.8620.859826-0.25%0.863+0.12%0.0170✓1.498.7M2021-12-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108180.10791-0.25%0.11126+2.85%0.0150✗1.1229k2021-12-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.8622.8549-0.25%2.91+1.68%0.0069✗0.8880k2021-12-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41070.409685-0.25%0.4189+2.00%0.0027✗1.41898k2021-12-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6788.6574-0.24%8.302-4.33%0.0597✓1.28411k2021-12-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20680.206319-0.23%0.208+0.58%0.0091✓1.246.0M2021-12-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4050.404083-0.23%0.403-0.49%0.0132✓0.7646k2021-12-30
BANDBandEthereum5.085.0685-0.23%5.13+0.98%0.0048✓1.212.5M2021-12-30
TRXTRONTron0.0763950.076223-0.22%0.077853+1.91%0.0080✗0.95632k2021-12-30
ADACardanoCardano1.33221.3293-0.22%1.3585+1.97%0.0068✗1.08120.2M2021-12-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.257.2344-0.22%7.13-1.66%0.0235✓0.641.1M2021-12-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015590.015558-0.21%0.01653+6.03%0.0427✗1.282.6M2021-12-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.2870.286428-0.20%0.2896+0.91%0.0072✓1.315.6M2021-12-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.412.4054-0.19%2.46+2.07%0.0079✗1.054.4M2021-12-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5891.586-0.19%1.624+2.20%0.0049✗1.358.3M2021-12-30
NANOnanopayBase3.48273.4762-0.19%3.4868+0.12%0.0118✓1.06819k2021-12-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.78538.769-0.19%8.8384+0.60%0.0122✓1.44280k2021-12-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2668030.26633-0.18%0.268+0.45%0.0080✓1.0330.9M2021-12-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0524.0085-0.17%24.78+3.04%0.0117✗1.4324.1M2021-12-30
QNTQuantEthereum175.55175.2542-0.17%178.71+1.80%0.0060✗0.9710.5M2021-12-30
SOLSolanaSolana170.64170.3548-0.17%172.52+1.10%0.0021✓1.06255.1M2021-12-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.7419.707-0.17%19.94+1.01%0.0069✓1.3469.7M2021-12-30
XYMSymbolnative0.19550.19518-0.16%0.188-3.84%0.0451✓0.55393k2021-12-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,630.593,624.78-0.16%3,710.02+2.19%0.0087✗1.05766.3M2021-12-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2134.1568-0.16%34.96+2.19%0.0089✗1.0322.7M2021-12-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0152.0123-0.13%2.063+2.38%0.0091✗1.133.3M2021-12-30
XVSVenusEthereum15.0114.9915-0.12%15.37+2.40%0.0091✗1.144.7M2021-12-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.