8=======>

2021-12-28 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0128
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.6%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum15.5415.515-0.16%15.01-3.41%0.0071✓1.144.8M2021-12-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1082.1044-0.17%2.015-4.41%0.0176✓1.133.3M2021-12-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.3620.321-0.19%19.74-3.05%0.0016✓1.3469.7M2021-12-29
SOLSolanaSolana177.27176.9245-0.19%170.64-3.74%0.0122✓1.05257.1M2021-12-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,793.673,786.09-0.20%3,630.59-4.30%0.0182✓1.04766.3M2021-12-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2741010.273537-0.21%0.266803-2.66%0.0015✓1.0332.3M2021-12-29
QTUMQtumQtum9.09239.073-0.21%8.7853-3.38%0.0006✓1.44285k2021-12-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7124.6572-0.21%24.05-2.67%0.0077✗1.4322.9M2021-12-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6641.6603-0.22%1.589-4.51%0.0132✓1.358.3M2021-12-29
QNTQuantEthereum188.78188.3544-0.23%175.55-7.01%0.0485✓0.9611.5M2021-12-29
TRXTRONTron0.0772180.07704-0.23%0.076395-1.07%0.0132✗0.95648k2021-12-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.2536.1604-0.25%34.21-5.63%0.0321✓1.0222.1M2021-12-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.542.5336-0.25%2.41-5.12%0.0263✓1.044.4M2021-12-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016510.016468-0.26%0.01559-5.57%0.0256✓1.282.7M2021-12-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06590.065729-0.26%0.0651-1.21%0.0207✗1.331.9M2021-12-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.67145.2838-0.27%145.62-0.03%0.0335✗1.3753.2M2021-12-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.982.9718-0.27%2.862-3.96%0.0178✓0.8792k2021-12-29
ADACardanoCardano1.39981.396-0.27%1.3322-4.83%0.0223✓1.07120.2M2021-12-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.577.5492-0.28%7.25-4.23%0.0259✓0.641.1M2021-12-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.74437.5326-0.28%430.11-1.97%0.0061✗1.0210.8M2021-12-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0219780.021917-0.28%0.021726-1.15%0.0190✗1.222.4M2021-12-29
BANDBandEthereum5.345.325-0.28%5.08-4.87%0.0196✓1.212.5M2021-12-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.30330.302443-0.28%0.287-5.37%0.0227✓1.305.8M2021-12-29
NANOnanopayBase3.74653.7359-0.28%3.4827-7.04%0.0462✓1.05819k2021-12-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43010.428861-0.29%0.4107-4.51%0.0112✓1.411.0M2021-12-29
XYMSymbolnative0.21580.21517-0.29%0.1955-9.41%0.0839✓0.53392k2021-12-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.114460.114126-0.29%0.10818-5.49%0.0281✓1.1129k2021-12-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5371.5325-0.29%1.576+2.54%0.0579✗1.314.1M2021-12-29
XTZTezosTezos4.49094.4771-0.31%4.3759-2.56%0.0076✗1.335.4M2021-12-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089770.089493-0.31%0.08784-2.15%0.0146✗1.464.1M2021-12-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.343.3297-0.31%3.23-3.29%0.0076✓1.001.2M2021-12-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.8427.7513-0.32%26.81-3.70%0.0053✓1.2877.1M2021-12-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1737450.173186-0.32%0.167974-3.32%0.0052✓1.116.0M2021-12-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71650.714176-0.32%0.7006-2.22%0.0097✗1.276.6M2021-12-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.77121.3746-0.32%121.4-0.30%0.0223✗0.973.7M2021-12-29
COMPCompoundEthereum209208.3184-0.33%197-5.74%0.0297✓1.15236k2021-12-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21990.21917-0.33%0.2068-5.96%0.0301✓1.236.1M2021-12-29
KSMKusamaHydration294.8293.8189-0.33%283.66-3.78%0.0097✓1.121.5M2021-12-29
DASHDashDash134.75134.2971-0.34%133.27-1.10%0.0218✗1.292.0M2021-12-29
DODODODOEthereum0.9110.907933-0.34%0.862-5.38%0.0181✓1.489.2M2021-12-29
FTTFTXEthereum40.0139.8752-0.34%38.54-3.67%0.0101✓1.0520.7M2021-12-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10450.104144-0.34%0.0988-5.45%0.0212✓1.382.0M2021-12-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7986870.795965-0.34%0.759647-4.89%0.0216✓1.103.0M2021-12-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4230.421546-0.34%0.405-4.26%0.0229✓0.7546k2021-12-29
XVGVergenative0.01760.017539-0.35%0.01691-3.92%0.0093✓1.192.8M2021-12-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.0234.8988-0.35%33.2-5.20%0.0151✓1.531.3M2021-12-29
XECeCashnative0.000109510.000109126-0.35%0.00010763-1.72%0.0090✗1.009.9M2021-12-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08380.083499-0.36%0.0817-2.51%0.0030✓1.0916k2021-12-29
XEMNEMnative0.12840.127938-0.36%0.1244-3.12%0.0028✓1.11175k2021-12-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.54.4835-0.37%4.3-4.44%0.0190✓1.004.4M2021-12-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,543.0947,369.02-0.37%46,471.24-2.25%0.0037✓1.00750.8M2021-12-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.059230.059013-0.37%0.0617+4.17%0.0775✗1.458.2M2021-12-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.089.0465-0.37%8.64-4.85%0.0288✓0.751.1M2021-12-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054270.054069-0.37%0.05381-0.85%0.0205✗1.1116k2021-12-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30111.2963-0.37%1.2952-0.45%0.0239✗1.081.1M2021-12-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.033.0187-0.37%3.03+0.00%0.0336✗1.313.0M2021-12-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.50621.4249-0.38%20.666-3.91%0.0016✓1.6518.6M2021-12-29
ZENHorizenBase63.3263.0806-0.38%61.88-2.27%0.0154✗1.521.2M2021-12-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.5133.3829-0.38%31.67-5.49%0.0377✓0.66572k2021-12-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19980.199022-0.39%0.1965-1.65%0.0077✗0.90701k2021-12-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9634.8232-0.39%34.13-2.37%0.0038✓1.055.1M2021-12-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.855.827-0.39%5.44-7.01%0.0428✓1.145.1M2021-12-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46671.4609-0.39%1.5828+7.92%0.1058✗1.1231.7M2021-12-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.771.763-0.40%1.69-4.52%0.0029✓1.731.5M2021-12-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5726.4645-0.40%27.98+5.31%0.0764✗0.9140.2M2021-12-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum99.7499.3386-0.40%93.8-5.96%0.0354✓0.967.6M2021-12-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38420.382626-0.41%0.3698-3.75%0.0048✓1.284.4M2021-12-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13580.135242-0.41%0.1285-5.38%0.0270✓1.06344k2021-12-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.075380.075069-0.41%0.0724-3.95%0.0080✓1.2421.1M2021-12-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7610.7151-0.42%10.3-4.28%0.0223✓0.761.4M2021-12-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.281.2747-0.42%1.223-4.45%0.0199✓0.943.1M2021-12-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.564.5407-0.42%4.49-1.54%0.0116✗1.001.2M2021-12-29
XMRMoneroMonero208.62207.7359-0.42%214.5+2.82%0.0545✗0.982.8M2021-12-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,691.2228,568.44-0.43%28,569.89-0.42%0.0133✗0.589.0M2021-12-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.02925.0076-0.43%4.8341-3.88%0.0054✓1.315.2M2021-12-29
LRCLoopringEthereum2.07522.0663-0.43%1.9662-5.25%0.0056✓1.931.5M2021-12-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.66590.663021-0.43%0.6329-4.96%0.0169✓1.3012.5M2021-12-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.26836.2409-0.44%5.9148-5.64%0.0264✓1.19724k2021-12-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.80474.7831-0.45%4.5321-5.67%0.0373✓0.7326k2021-12-29
GTGateEthereum6.4596.4299-0.45%6.3273-2.04%0.0025✓0.824.3M2021-12-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.05106.5669-0.45%103.11-3.68%0.0072✓1.13136.0M2021-12-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.103160.102694-0.45%0.09831-4.70%0.0292✓0.6392k2021-12-29
UNIUniswapEthereum18.418.3153-0.46%17.13-6.90%0.0378✓1.2815.5M2021-12-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.79.6539-0.48%9.02-7.01%0.0542✓0.601.1M2021-12-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.4225.2977-0.48%23.93-5.86%0.0316✓1.051.6M2021-12-29
ZECZcashZcash149.45148.7307-0.48%146.64-1.88%0.0167✗1.3511.8M2021-12-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1716.0892-0.50%15.52-4.02%0.0205✓0.681.4M2021-12-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.739.4995-0.51%38.51-3.00%0.0165✗1.837.2M2021-12-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.37810.37617-0.51%0.375-0.82%0.0308✗1.494.7M2021-12-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.050630.050371-0.51%0.04918-2.86%0.0030✓0.9210.4M2021-12-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36613.3488-0.51%3.2326-3.97%0.0074✓1.223.3M2021-12-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.63.5815-0.51%3.7411+3.92%0.0409✗-0.12405k2021-12-29
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0271.0217-0.52%0.961-6.43%0.0385✓1.00151k2021-12-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0339670.033792-0.52%0.03331-1.93%0.0095✗1.059.3M2021-12-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0511.9859-0.53%11.58-3.90%0.0390✓-0.204.3M2021-12-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.19230.191247-0.55%0.1817-5.51%0.0252✓1.143.6M2021-12-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.22031.2136-0.55%1.1508-5.69%0.0125✓1.781.5M2021-12-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.181.1735-0.55%1.13-4.24%0.0149✓1.002.4M2021-12-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7542.7387-0.55%2.644-3.99%0.0119✓1.022.2M2021-12-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.711.7004-0.56%1.6398-4.11%0.0180✓0.805.9M2021-12-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.33993.3207-0.57%3.2569-2.48%0.0021✓0.958.0M2021-12-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000034920.000034719-0.58%0.00003365-3.64%0.0085✓1.002.2M2021-12-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.81351.803-0.58%1.7101-5.70%0.0352✓0.781.1M2021-12-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.68261.6729-0.58%1.5398-8.49%0.0607✓0.975.3M2021-12-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71060.706444-0.58%0.6824-3.97%0.0044✓1.333.4M2021-12-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.523.4992-0.59%3.34-5.11%0.0227✓1.05787k2021-12-29
LUNATerraTerra 285.1784.6615-0.60%84.32-1.00%0.0188✗1.007.4M2021-12-29
IMXImmutableEthereum4.874.8409-0.60%4.84-0.62%0.0226✗1.002.5M2021-12-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8913.8677-0.60%3.653-6.12%0.0343✓1.003.0M2021-12-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.724.6917-0.60%4.85+2.75%0.0636✗1.3426.8M2021-12-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20850.207232-0.61%0.20423-2.05%0.0220✗1.6113k2021-12-29
AAVEAaveEthereum252.64251.0904-0.61%236.52-6.38%0.0348✓1.0911.4M2021-12-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.12810.0657-0.61%8.678-14.32%0.1199✓1.25411k2021-12-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.3420.339847-0.63%0.331-3.22%0.0049✓0.94328k2021-12-29
MOVRMoonriverBase190.178188.9697-0.64%185.3722-2.53%0.0073✗1.16674k2021-12-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.48462.4686-0.64%2.3803-4.20%0.0105✓1.14147k2021-12-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019930.019801-0.65%0.01939-2.71%0.0068✓0.6245k2021-12-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.599.5272-0.66%9.3-3.02%0.0015✓1.124.1M2021-12-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7989.7326-0.67%9.485-3.19%0.0123✓0.59455k2021-12-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.635719-0.67%0.628-1.88%0.0168✗1.272.9M2021-12-29
SCSiacoinnative0.015630.015525-0.67%0.01516-3.01%0.0019✓0.961.2M2021-12-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.6955.6546-0.71%5.14-9.75%0.0823✓0.58798k2021-12-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum38.4538.177-0.71%42.53+10.61%0.1474✗1.733.0M2021-12-29
HIVEHivenative1.61151.5994-0.75%1.4918-7.43%0.0381✓1.387.1M2021-12-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,383.6047,023.79-0.76%48,010.00+1.32%0.0434✗0.9910k2021-12-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42911.4163-0.89%1.482+3.70%0.0672✗0.9623.6M2021-12-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.384.3367-0.99%4.84+10.50%0.1326✗1.0015.2M2021-12-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.5711.455-0.99%11.9+2.85%0.0514✗0.581.5M2021-12-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5644.5142-1.09%4.115-9.84%0.0781✓0.63502k2021-12-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25691.2431-1.09%1.2537-0.25%0.0412✗1.432.3M2021-12-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021870.021622-1.13%0.02115-3.29%0.0007✓1.0039.8M2021-12-29
RADRadworksEthereum11.6611.526-1.15%10.96-6.00%0.0309✓0.851.3M2021-12-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.6414.4604-1.23%13.54-7.51%0.0671✓-0.064.8M2021-12-29
GITCOINGITCOIN14.5914.3993-1.31%13.512-7.39%0.0662✓-0.11129k2021-12-29
SUSHISushiEthereum9.068.9413-1.31%9.26+2.21%0.0651✗1.3215.8M2021-12-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.78960.778707-1.38%0.9819+24.35%0.2724✗1.7828.3M2021-12-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3495.2641-1.59%4.796-10.34%0.0775✓0.68734k2021-12-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.