8=======>

2021-12-22 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1423
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.7%
in alpha space · 5.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.7681+0.15%2.2356+26.63%0.2081✓0.598.5M2021-12-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.4707+0.03%2.83+14.57%0.0952✓0.904.7M2021-12-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.357042+0.01%0.372+4.20%0.0083✓0.7349k2021-12-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0244.0245+0.01%4.331+7.63%0.0382✓0.78714k2021-12-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.4288-0.01%10.0476+6.55%0.0020✗1.37349k2021-12-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.5567-0.02%16.16+3.86%0.0126✓1.135.7M2021-12-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.1498-0.02%5.4+4.83%0.0198✗0.61936k2021-12-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.173116-0.04%0.184934+6.78%0.0173✗1.085.5M2021-12-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.91-0.05%22.19+11.40%0.0550✗1.1967.0M2021-12-23
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.4731-0.06%3.7505+7.92%0.0310✗1.02819k2021-12-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3437.9917-0.07%455.7+3.97%0.0057✓1.0114.2M2021-12-23
SOLSolanaSolana178.45178.271-0.10%190.07+6.51%0.0235✗0.90265.5M2021-12-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.8581-0.10%4.157+7.64%0.0442✗0.68487k2021-12-23
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2116.1932-0.10%18.18+12.15%0.0601✗1.2414.1M2021-12-23
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.078964-0.10%0.08261+4.51%0.0026✗0.95787k2021-12-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.7803-0.11%9.28+5.57%0.0264✗0.641.1M2021-12-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3423.313-0.12%27.01+15.72%0.0885✗1.3121.2M2021-12-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6248,552.26-0.12%50,842.20+4.60%0.0012✗1.00750.8M2021-12-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.5981-0.12%1.75+9.37%0.0163✗1.661.6M2021-12-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.207454-0.12%0.2297+10.59%0.0500✗1.157.6M2021-12-23
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000110407-0.13%0.00011442+3.50%0.0084✓0.9812.0M2021-12-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0875-0.13%1.1094+1.88%0.0482✓1.523.0M2021-12-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6335.583-0.13%37.35+4.83%0.0034✗1.0022.5M2021-12-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5124.4773-0.13%25.85+5.47%0.0236✗0.692.7M2021-12-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.267362-0.14%0.287776+7.49%0.0297✗0.9839.0M2021-12-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5666-0.15%1.645+4.84%0.0098✓1.305.4M2021-12-23
FTTFTXEthereum41.3341.2662-0.15%43.08+4.23%0.0022✓1.0123.4M2021-12-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6735.6148-0.15%37.56+5.30%0.0085✗1.006.2M2021-12-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44155.1963-0.16%163.74+5.34%0.0082✓1.3760.2M2021-12-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.09405-0.16%0.09675+2.71%0.0395✓1.516.4M2021-12-23
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,974.67-0.16%4,113.08+3.31%0.0122✓1.03768.5M2021-12-23
DASHDashDash135.16134.9391-0.16%146.65+8.50%0.0290✗1.212.2M2021-12-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2588.2444-0.17%8.852+7.19%0.0140✗1.27635k2021-12-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.968-0.17%3.111+4.64%0.0096✗0.83103k2021-12-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.5207-0.17%6.07+9.76%0.0470✗1.075.3M2021-12-23
XEMNEMnative0.13050.130281-0.17%0.1393+6.74%0.0202✗1.04202k2021-12-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.071078-0.17%0.0701-1.54%0.0752✓1.372.7M2021-12-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2048,719.02-0.17%50,984.80+4.47%0.0015✓0.9812k2021-12-23
QNTQuantEthereum182.5182.1847-0.17%195.7+7.23%0.0315✗0.8912.1M2021-12-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.207437-0.17%0.214+2.98%0.0071✓0.85776k2021-12-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7633.7001-0.18%37.11+9.92%0.0324✗1.431.6M2021-12-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.2078-0.18%1.27+4.96%0.0053✗1.002.3M2021-12-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.086341-0.18%0.0898+3.82%0.0082✓1.0622k2021-12-23
XMRMoneroMonero190.53190.1582-0.20%210.04+10.24%0.0603✗0.872.8M2021-12-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0833.0151-0.20%34.18+3.33%0.0063✗0.63711k2021-12-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.4519-0.20%2.5126+2.28%0.0253✓1.11147k2021-12-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.136229-0.20%0.1394+2.12%0.0256✓1.08508k2021-12-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.2225-0.20%2.334+4.80%0.0004✓1.103.4M2021-12-23
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.3252-0.20%1.4743+11.02%0.0619✗0.99128.9M2021-12-23
BANDBandEthereum5.365.3491-0.20%5.73+6.90%0.0177✗1.142.8M2021-12-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.822536-0.20%0.886127+7.51%0.0289✗1.014.7M2021-12-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67123.4159-0.21%129.81+4.96%0.0073✗0.962.8M2021-12-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2427.182-0.21%29.17+7.09%0.0163✗1.2175.5M2021-12-23
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.896075-0.21%0.955+6.35%0.0003✓1.439.7M2021-12-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.060806-0.21%0.06319+3.70%0.0263✓1.4411.0M2021-12-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.2302-0.21%3.5141+8.55%0.0301✗1.214.0M2021-12-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.735047-0.22%0.8173+10.94%0.0526✗1.197.7M2021-12-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2679-0.24%1.301+2.36%0.0172✓0.964.4M2021-12-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.8087-0.24%9.17+3.85%0.0073✗0.73934k2021-12-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.3608-0.24%1.4697+7.74%0.0320✗1.0035.5M2021-12-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.284908-0.24%0.3131+9.63%0.0387✗1.246.6M2021-12-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.114787-0.25%0.12079+4.97%0.0025✗1.0830k2021-12-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5906-0.25%3.6067+0.20%0.0086✗-0.09372k2021-12-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.692623-0.26%0.7336+5.65%0.0049✗1.1714.9M2021-12-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.328448-0.26%0.3861+17.25%0.1001✗1.374.4M2021-12-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.073.062-0.26%3.28+6.84%0.0118✗1.273.2M2021-12-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.747-0.27%16.85+6.71%0.0384✗0.651.5M2021-12-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3808-0.27%3.57+5.31%0.0115✗0.961.3M2021-12-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.9942-0.27%5.1126+2.09%0.0075✓0.6931k2021-12-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.3009-0.28%3.71+12.08%0.0746✗0.94807k2021-12-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022925-0.28%0.024113+4.89%0.0046✓1.232.0M2021-12-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.241723-0.28%0.2518+3.88%0.0196✗0.47428k2021-12-23
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072181.3953-0.28%189.2792+4.05%0.0012✓0.97748k2021-12-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.056683-0.29%0.05928+4.27%0.0029✓1.0620k2021-12-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.4338-0.30%5.92+8.62%0.0408✗1.006.8M2021-12-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.5163-0.30%4.77+5.30%0.0097✗1.002.8M2021-12-23
GTGateEthereum6.1256.1062-0.31%6.259+2.19%0.0090✓0.754.7M2021-12-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1812.1422-0.31%12.52+2.79%0.0438✗-0.295.4M2021-12-23
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65206.0036-0.31%230.55+11.57%0.0669✗1.02236k2021-12-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.3372-0.32%10.97+5.79%0.0260✗0.741.6M2021-12-23
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.3391-0.33%7.3+14.78%0.0830✗1.2913.8M2021-12-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.102256-0.34%0.1116+8.77%0.0263✗1.363.3M2021-12-23
KSMKusamaHydration273.22272.289-0.34%291.44+6.67%0.0209✗1.051.5M2021-12-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.449557-0.34%0.4768+5.70%0.0049✓1.421.6M2021-12-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.5777-0.34%3.94+9.75%0.0515✗1.0011.9M2021-12-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.7461-0.34%3.838+2.10%0.0207✓1.003.6M2021-12-23
XVGVergenative0.017240.017181-0.34%0.01843+6.90%0.0175✗1.172.9M2021-12-23
KCSKuCoinnative21.43521.3607-0.35%23.316+8.78%0.0129✗1.6622.7M2021-12-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.56101.2038-0.35%107.4+5.75%0.0161✗0.969.8M2021-12-23
ZENHorizenBase6867.7599-0.35%72.45+6.54%0.0034✓1.411.7M2021-12-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7946-0.36%1.983+10.11%0.0426✗1.286.8M2021-12-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.9822-0.38%10.52+4.99%0.0100✗0.951.9M2021-12-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.015947-0.39%0.01705+6.50%0.0258✗0.911.5M2021-12-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.105595-0.40%0.11374+7.28%0.0494✗0.56143k2021-12-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.3573-0.40%1.4381+5.53%0.0104✗1.051.5M2021-12-23
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48205.6227-0.42%247.2+19.72%0.1427✗0.9211.4M2021-12-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.019319-0.42%0.02116+9.07%0.0698✗0.4761k2021-12-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06555.0442-0.42%5.2309+3.27%0.0250✓1.375.0M2021-12-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.8964-0.42%8.15+2.77%0.0033✓0.631.1M2021-12-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.017821-0.44%0.01858+3.80%0.0134✓1.233.6M2021-12-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.1410.095-0.44%10.269+1.27%0.0135✓0.68455k2021-12-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.375724-0.44%0.389+3.07%0.0235✓1.296.6M2021-12-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.050066-0.45%0.05048+0.38%0.0331✓0.9216.3M2021-12-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.339357-0.45%0.3628+6.42%0.0269✗0.89401k2021-12-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.686151-0.46%0.7834+13.65%0.0773✗1.236.5M2021-12-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.631058-0.46%0.689+8.68%0.0339✗1.203.2M2021-12-23
API3Api3Ethereum5.045.0165-0.47%5.18+2.78%0.0129✓1.001.8M2021-12-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.5668-0.47%2.972+15.24%0.1059✗0.902.8M2021-12-23
ZECZcashZcash165.84165.0517-0.48%167.41+0.95%0.0431✓1.2813.6M2021-12-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.202528-0.48%0.21713+6.69%0.0023✓1.6034k2021-12-23
HIVEHivenative1.50551.4978-0.51%1.6503+9.62%0.0391✗1.2911.9M2021-12-23
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.518-0.52%4.7731+5.09%0.0026✓1.285.1M2021-12-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.5042-0.55%6.9038+5.56%0.0095✗1.12833k2021-12-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.1797-0.57%1.3425+13.15%0.0529✗1.701.6M2021-12-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28953.2706-0.57%3.6798+11.87%0.0794✗0.869.3M2021-12-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0344.763-0.59%49.54+10.02%0.0182✗1.8510.6M2021-12-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3927.2222-0.61%28.38+3.61%0.0029✓0.8641.0M2021-12-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19982.1862-0.62%2.316+5.28%0.0311✓1.982.3M2021-12-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.0811.0098-0.63%11.75+6.05%0.0424✗0.513.4M2021-12-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.2628-0.63%1.2952+1.91%0.0210✓1.0323.6M2021-12-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.469.3971-0.67%9.83+3.91%0.0040✓1.094.1M2021-12-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.210485-0.67%0.2212+4.39%0.0019✓1.154.2M2021-12-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.3006-0.71%1.37+4.58%0.0070✓1.00196k2021-12-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000034745-0.73%0.00003868+10.51%0.0624✗1.001.9M2021-12-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.036605-0.76%0.039008+5.75%0.0176✗1.0213.9M2021-12-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66115.7545-0.78%121.37+4.04%0.0014✓1.09158.3M2021-12-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.087018-0.78%0.08995+2.57%0.0218✓1.2222.6M2021-12-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.949-0.84%2.0846+6.06%0.0356✗0.711.3M2021-12-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.055.0021-0.95%5.19+2.77%0.0225✓1.3228.7M2021-12-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4941.0852-0.98%44.43+7.09%0.0008✓1.725.2M2021-12-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.5919-0.99%1.6908+5.16%0.0151✗1.017.8M2021-12-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7131,300.95-1.04%31,557.56-0.23%0.0167✓0.556.8M2021-12-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.023551-1.38%0.02368-0.84%0.0394✓1.0034.3M2021-12-23
GITCOINGITCOIN10.5810.4183-1.53%11.764+11.19%0.1272✗-0.13129k2021-12-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.6210.4292-1.80%11.89+11.96%0.1343✗-0.074.2M2021-12-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.656888-2.26%0.6665-0.83%0.0667✓1.8112.6M2021-12-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.