8=======>

2021-12-21 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0680
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.2%
in alpha space · 30.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6931+0.38%1.7654+4.67%0.0456✓0.598.7M2021-12-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.441+0.04%2.47+1.23%0.0175✓0.904.8M2021-12-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.357077+0.02%0.357+0.00%0.0044✓0.7354k2021-12-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9468+0.02%4.024+1.98%0.0243✓0.78734k2021-12-22
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.2193+0.01%9.4299+2.29%0.0312✓1.37349k2021-12-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.068804+0.01%0.0712+3.49%0.0428✓1.362.7M2021-12-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.5112-0.01%8.258+9.93%0.1028✗1.27635k2021-12-22
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.278-0.01%15.56+1.83%0.0254✗1.136.2M2021-12-22
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.0564-0.02%16.21+7.64%0.0816✗1.2414.2M2021-12-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0756-0.03%5.151+1.46%0.0186✗0.621.0M2021-12-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.17085-0.03%0.173188+1.34%0.0204✗1.095.5M2021-12-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.4332-0.04%19.92+2.47%0.0322✗1.1969.7M2021-12-22
XEMNEMnative0.1280.127954-0.04%0.1305+1.95%0.0262✗1.04202k2021-12-22
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078793-0.07%0.079046+0.25%0.0091✗0.95787k2021-12-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94437.6156-0.07%438.3+0.08%0.0079✗1.0114.2M2021-12-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0332.0032-0.08%33.76+5.40%0.0624✗1.431.5M2021-12-22
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.4278-0.09%3.4753+1.30%0.0202✗1.02819k2021-12-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4806-0.09%1.569+5.87%0.0662✗1.315.6M2021-12-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.203707-0.09%0.2077+1.86%0.0267✗1.158.6M2021-12-22
SOLSolanaSolana179.75179.5676-0.10%178.45-0.72%0.0006✓0.90275.4M2021-12-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.0857-0.11%23.34+1.00%0.0192✗1.3120.8M2021-12-22
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000109164-0.11%0.00011055+1.16%0.0188✗0.9812.6M2021-12-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.2708-0.11%35.63+0.91%0.0164✗1.0021.2M2021-12-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.782189-0.11%0.824208+5.25%0.0587✗1.014.8M2021-12-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4599-0.12%8.79+3.78%0.0423✗0.641.2M2021-12-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.3532-0.13%5.53+3.17%0.0392✗1.075.5M2021-12-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7941-0.13%3.862+1.66%0.0220✗0.68544k2021-12-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.1376-0.13%27.24+8.22%0.0879✗1.2175.1M2021-12-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1252-0.13%2.227+4.65%0.0537✗1.103.3M2021-12-22
DASHDashDash133.6133.4243-0.13%135.16+1.17%0.0205✗1.212.2M2021-12-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.2808-0.14%35.67+0.96%0.0172✗1.006.5M2021-12-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.26759-0.14%0.267724-0.09%0.0066✗0.9840.4M2021-12-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.7045-0.14%24.51-0.93%0.0036✓0.692.8M2021-12-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6276-0.14%1.6-1.84%0.0067✓1.661.8M2021-12-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,843.74-0.15%48,608.62-0.63%0.0015✓1.00754.4M2021-12-22
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.863738-0.15%0.898+3.82%0.0479✗1.439.9M2021-12-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.9027-0.15%2.973+2.27%0.0292✗0.83104k2021-12-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2192-0.15%1.271+4.10%0.0476✗0.964.4M2021-12-22
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16185.8717-0.15%206.48+10.92%0.1109✗0.9211.0M2021-12-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8154.5519-0.16%155.44+0.41%0.0144✗1.3860.7M2021-12-22
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.278-0.16%1.3279+3.73%0.0445✗1.00131.8M2021-12-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64124.4355-0.16%123.67-0.78%0.0001✓0.962.5M2021-12-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.1026-0.17%1.0889-1.40%0.0029✓1.523.3M2021-12-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.134772-0.17%0.1365+1.11%0.0195✗1.08559k2021-12-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.209528-0.18%0.2078-1.00%0.0029✓0.85756k2021-12-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.8837-0.18%41.33-1.50%0.0070✓1.0125.2M2021-12-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.718667-0.19%0.7367+2.32%0.0323✗1.197.7M2021-12-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.312619-0.19%0.3293+5.14%0.0606✗1.374.9M2021-12-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.114,009.54-0.19%3,981.12-0.90%0.0006✓1.03768.5M2021-12-22
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4194.0329-0.19%206.65+6.30%0.0694✗1.02228k2021-12-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.43-0.19%2.4567+0.90%0.0179✗1.11169k2021-12-22
BANDBandEthereum5.325.3094-0.20%5.36+0.75%0.0166✗1.142.8M2021-12-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.111608-0.21%0.11507+2.89%0.0373✗1.0830k2021-12-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.08592-0.21%0.0865+0.46%0.0134✗1.0624k2021-12-22
QNTQuantEthereum186.26185.866-0.21%182.5-2.02%0.0127✓0.8912.3M2021-12-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1633.0896-0.21%33.08-0.24%0.0037✗0.63744k2021-12-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.279704-0.21%0.2856+1.89%0.0286✗1.247.0M2021-12-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1874-0.22%1.21+1.68%0.0251✗1.002.4M2021-12-22
ZENHorizenBase64.3764.2269-0.22%68+5.64%0.0660✗1.421.9M2021-12-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.2328-0.22%3.31+2.16%0.0295✗0.94807k2021-12-22
XMRMoneroMonero188.96188.5372-0.22%190.53+0.83%0.0160✗0.872.9M2021-12-22
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8368-0.23%6.36+8.72%0.0940✗1.3013.8M2021-12-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.098976-0.23%0.1026+3.43%0.0445✗1.363.3M2021-12-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,336.78-0.23%48,803.20+0.73%0.0157✗0.9815k2021-12-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3546-0.23%1.3641+0.47%0.0133✗1.0035.7M2021-12-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1832-0.23%3.2372+1.46%0.0244✗1.214.7M2021-12-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9331-0.24%3.07+4.42%0.0536✗1.273.1M2021-12-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.061516-0.24%0.060937-1.18%0.0004✓1.4413.0M2021-12-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5923-0.24%3.5995-0.04%0.0014✓-0.09372k2021-12-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2797.0348-0.24%101.56+4.41%0.0516✗0.969.8M2021-12-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.3218-0.25%3.39+1.80%0.0263✗0.961.3M2021-12-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2809-0.26%1.3628+6.12%0.0686✗1.061.6M2021-12-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.5881-0.26%27.39+15.81%0.1549✗0.8741.0M2021-12-22
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.242452-0.27%0.2424-0.29%0.0028✗0.47428k2021-12-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.6665-0.27%8.83+1.61%0.0233✗0.73934k2021-12-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.056046-0.27%0.05685+1.16%0.0209✗1.0622k2021-12-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022688-0.27%0.022989+1.05%0.0209✗1.231.9M2021-12-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9642-0.28%5.0079+0.60%0.0131✗0.6931k2021-12-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.118-0.28%6.5402+6.60%0.0737✗1.12833k2021-12-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0515.0071-0.29%15.79+4.92%0.0550✗0.651.6M2021-12-22
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964183.4178-0.30%181.9072-1.12%0.0022✓0.97853k2021-12-22
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.7603-0.30%10.02+2.35%0.0322✗0.951.9M2021-12-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.5958-0.31%4.53-1.74%0.0081✓1.002.5M2021-12-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.6424-0.31%5.45-3.71%0.0284✓1.007.1M2021-12-22
GTGateEthereum6.04466.0257-0.31%6.125+1.33%0.0210✗0.754.9M2021-12-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.2008-0.32%12.18-0.49%0.0036✓-0.295.7M2021-12-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.048221-0.33%0.05029+3.95%0.0478✗0.9215.8M2021-12-22
KSMKusamaHydration267.01266.1343-0.33%273.22+2.33%0.0329✗1.051.5M2021-12-22
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.8013-0.34%21.435-2.01%0.0065✓1.6622.7M2021-12-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.446963-0.34%0.4511+0.58%0.0181✗1.421.8M2021-12-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7699-0.34%1.801+1.41%0.0254✗1.286.8M2021-12-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9240.7753-0.35%45.03+10.04%0.1109✗1.8513.1M2021-12-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.62179-0.35%0.634+1.60%0.0270✗1.203.2M2021-12-22
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015704-0.35%0.01601+1.59%0.0250✗0.911.6M2021-12-22
XVGVergenative0.017350.017288-0.36%0.01724-0.63%0.0046✗1.173.1M2021-12-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.103936-0.36%0.10602+1.64%0.0233✗0.56143k2021-12-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.101923-0.36%0.0942-7.91%0.0693✓1.516.8M2021-12-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.707114-0.36%0.6944-2.16%0.0108✓1.1715.1M2021-12-22
ZECZcashZcash162.44161.8439-0.37%165.84+2.09%0.0324✗1.2813.6M2021-12-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.331573-0.37%0.3409+2.43%0.0333✗0.89544k2021-12-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.368311-0.38%0.3774+2.08%0.0325✗1.306.6M2021-12-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.4276-0.39%2.579+5.83%0.0662✗0.913.2M2021-12-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.8176-0.40%3.759-1.93%0.0092✓1.003.6M2021-12-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.668429-0.41%0.6893+2.70%0.0385✗1.237.1M2021-12-22
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.2179-0.42%4.5418+7.23%0.0820✗1.284.7M2021-12-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.2146-0.42%10.14-1.15%0.0031✓0.68388k2021-12-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1613-0.44%1.1865+1.72%0.0321✗1.701.5M2021-12-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019622-0.44%0.0194-1.57%0.0084✓0.4761k2021-12-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5336.3658-0.45%41.49+13.58%0.1427✗1.735.5M2021-12-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.5937-0.45%3.59-0.55%0.0052✗1.0012.1M2021-12-22
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4691-0.45%1.5055+2.01%0.0326✗1.2911.9M2021-12-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.9146-0.46%10.37+4.12%0.0496✗0.741.9M2021-12-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.9875-0.47%5.0655+1.09%0.0241✗1.375.2M2021-12-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017973-0.48%0.0179-0.89%0.0036✓1.233.6M2021-12-22
UMAUMAEthereum98.9548-0.50%9.46+5.11%0.0617✗1.094.1M2021-12-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.204949-0.51%0.20351-1.21%0.0030✓1.6034k2021-12-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000032682-0.51%0.000035+6.54%0.0748✗1.001.8M2021-12-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.2691-0.54%3.2895+0.08%0.0116✗0.8610.1M2021-12-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.1257-0.56%1.31+15.72%0.1579✗1.00215k2021-12-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.8676-0.57%11.08+1.37%0.0225✗0.514.1M2021-12-22
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.4068-0.59%10.58+11.80%0.1167✗-0.13119k2021-12-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.9091-0.63%5.04+2.02%0.0326✗1.001.9M2021-12-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.5902-0.64%5.05+9.31%0.1038✗1.3228.7M2021-12-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.6502-0.65%7.93+2.99%0.0399✗0.631.1M2021-12-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.797-0.68%1.9655+8.63%0.0940✗0.711.4M2021-12-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4903-0.69%1.6078+7.14%0.0822✗1.017.8M2021-12-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.472-0.71%10.62+11.32%0.1140✗-0.073.7M2021-12-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.3028-0.90%1.2709-3.33%0.0183✓1.0323.6M2021-12-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27122.0318-1.00%116.66-5.36%0.0382✓1.09164.3M2021-12-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.037904-1.03%0.036887-3.68%0.0208✓1.0215.0M2021-12-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.219911-1.12%0.2119-4.72%0.0299✓1.154.2M2021-12-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.3745-1.13%2.1998-8.40%0.0640✓1.972.4M2021-12-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9934,218.67-1.38%31,630.71-8.84%0.0752✓0.556.8M2021-12-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.022601-1.48%0.02388+4.10%0.0613✗1.0033.0M2021-12-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.09615-1.66%0.0877-10.30%0.0843✓1.2222.6M2021-12-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.591126-1.81%0.6721+11.64%0.1397✗1.8112.4M2021-12-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.