2021-12-20 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0112

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.06%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.1%

in alpha space · 5.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5372	0.525212	-2.23%	0.602	+12.06%	0.0603	✗	1.83	10.2M	2021-12-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,818.43	36,068.35	-2.04%	34,696.99	-5.76%	0.0635	✓	0.60	6.2M	2021-12-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.219	0.215309	-1.69%	0.2224	+1.55%	0.0160	✓	1.17	3.9M	2021-12-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01809	0.01787	-1.22%	0.02294	+26.81%	0.2083	✗	1.00	30.7M	2021-12-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.035847	0.035492	-0.99%	0.038297	+6.83%	0.0343	✗	1.01	15.0M	2021-12-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.8726	-0.85%	7.7	-3.02%	0.0500	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.241	10.1639	-0.75%	10.258	+0.17%	0.0183	✓	0.66	388k	2021-12-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01925	0.019105	-0.75%	0.01971	+2.39%	0.0083	✗	0.55	67k	2021-12-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.55	112.6991	-0.75%	123.27	+8.56%	0.0424	✗	1.14	164.3M	2021-12-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.45	10.3731	-0.74%	10.93	+4.59%	0.0317	✗	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.3	15.1877	-0.73%	15.05	-1.63%	0.0379	✓	0.69	1.6M	2021-12-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1817	-0.69%	1.19	+0.00%	0.0345	✓	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000031008	-0.68%	0.00003285	+5.22%	0.0162	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.7585	-0.66%	4.94	+3.13%	0.0041	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1667	3.146	-0.65%	3.1906	+0.75%	0.0370	✓	1.23	4.7M	2021-12-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.11	4.0835	-0.65%	4.62	+12.41%	0.0686	✗	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6264	1.6169	-0.58%	1.8094	+11.25%	0.0857	✗	0.65	1.4M	2021-12-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.14	12.0706	-0.57%	12.24	+0.82%	0.0276	✗	-0.33	5.9M	2021-12-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.801	3.7793	-0.57%	3.833	+0.84%	0.0274	✓	1.00	3.7M	2021-12-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.65	9.5959	-0.56%	9.96	+3.21%	0.0067	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1076	1.1016	-0.54%	1.1664	+5.32%	0.0163	✓	1.77	1.5M	2021-12-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01493	0.014851	-0.53%	0.01576	+5.56%	0.0215	✗	0.91	1.9M	2021-12-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.607	0.603791	-0.53%	0.624	+2.80%	0.0186	✓	1.24	3.4M	2021-12-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.888	4.8622	-0.53%	5.0109	+2.51%	0.0270	✓	1.38	5.2M	2021-12-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5742	3.5553	-0.53%	3.601	+0.75%	0.0168	✗	-0.10	372k	2021-12-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.53	9.4809	-0.52%	9.79	+2.73%	0.0077	✓	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.76	5.7306	-0.51%	5.66	-1.74%	0.0539	✓	1.00	9.3M	2021-12-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.01	8.9649	-0.50%	9.54	+5.88%	0.0689	✗	-0.16	3.7M	2021-12-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1901	3.1747	-0.48%	3.2869	+3.04%	0.0015	✓	0.87	10.9M	2021-12-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.28	4.2593	-0.48%	4.61	+7.71%	0.0376	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4	1.3933	-0.48%	1.4758	+5.41%	0.0026	✓	1.32	12.4M	2021-12-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19466	0.193733	-0.48%	0.206	+5.83%	0.0066	✓	1.64	34k	2021-12-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.955	8.913	-0.47%	9.463	+5.67%	0.0690	✗	-0.22	119k	2021-12-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3895	1.383	-0.47%	1.5007	+8.00%	0.0404	✗	0.99	7.8M	2021-12-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	33.9314	-0.47%	36.53	+7.16%	0.0012	✓	1.75	6.0M	2021-12-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.02	156.2938	-0.46%	162.44	+3.45%	0.0189	✓	1.38	13.6M	2021-12-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.75	8.7099	-0.46%	9	+2.86%	0.0130	✓	1.10	3.9M	2021-12-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09914	0.098687	-0.46%	0.10431	+5.21%	0.0335	✗	0.53	143k	2021-12-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2037	0.202781	-0.45%	0.2099	+3.04%	0.0019	✓	0.88	756k	2021-12-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0836	0.083225	-0.45%	0.0861	+2.99%	0.0122	✓	1.11	24k	2021-12-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0189	2.0099	-0.45%	2.4015	+18.95%	0.0967	✗	1.96	2.3M	2021-12-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.37	40.1931	-0.44%	40.92	+1.36%	0.0623	✓	1.93	13.8M	2021-12-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.103	21.0125	-0.43%	21.875	+3.66%	0.0313	✓	1.72	23.4M	2021-12-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.16	3.1467	-0.42%	3.24	+2.53%	0.0115	✓	0.98	821k	2021-12-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0483	1.044	-0.41%	1.1044	+5.35%	0.0068	✓	1.52	3.4M	2021-12-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04664	0.04645	-0.41%	0.04838	+3.73%	0.0012	✓	0.95	15.8M	2021-12-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.8354	5.8118	-0.41%	6.0446	+3.59%	0.0054	✗	0.82	5.1M	2021-12-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.6548	-0.41%	8.69	+0.00%	0.0288	✓	0.79	838k	2021-12-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05406	0.053841	-0.40%	0.0562	+3.96%	0.0040	✓	1.13	22k	2021-12-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.84	188.085	-0.40%	188.96	+0.06%	0.0360	✓	0.98	2.9M	2021-12-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.54	34.402	-0.40%	35.33	+2.29%	0.0173	✓	1.06	6.5M	2021-12-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.75	23.6556	-0.40%	24.74	+4.17%	0.0008	✓	1.06	2.9M	2021-12-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,926.07	46,740.80	-0.39%	48,914.70	+4.24%	0.0040	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,868.20	46,685.21	-0.39%	48,448.30	+3.37%	0.0040	✓	0.99	15k	2021-12-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01728	0.017213	-0.39%	0.01806	+4.51%	0.0041	✓	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6286	0.626198	-0.38%	0.6712	+6.78%	0.0186	✗	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0799	1.0758	-0.38%	1.3147	+21.74%	0.1609	✗	0.96	23.6M	2021-12-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.901	4.8824	-0.38%	4.9779	+1.57%	0.0127	✓	0.77	31k	2021-12-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.57	40.4171	-0.38%	41.96	+3.43%	0.0069	✓	1.07	25.2M	2021-12-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.71	121.2546	-0.37%	124.64	+2.41%	0.0138	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6222	0.619928	-0.37%	0.7097	+14.06%	0.0843	✗	1.23	14.9M	2021-12-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1249	0.124453	-0.36%	0.128	+2.48%	0.0176	✓	1.10	202k	2021-12-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.2563	2.2484	-0.35%	2.4347	+7.91%	0.0305	✗	1.18	169k	2021-12-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167179	0.166594	-0.35%	0.170906	+2.23%	0.0207	✓	1.12	5.3M	2021-12-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8629	5.8425	-0.35%	6.1354	+4.65%	0.0003	✓	1.18	833k	2021-12-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3532	0.351978	-0.35%	0.3697	+4.67%	0.0050	✓	1.30	6.8M	2021-12-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2405	0.23967	-0.35%	0.2431	+1.08%	0.0049	✓	0.46	434k	2021-12-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	152.71	152.1828	-0.35%	154.8	+1.37%	0.0424	✓	1.43	60.7M	2021-12-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1303	0.129852	-0.34%	0.135	+3.61%	0.0063	✓	1.09	603k	2021-12-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.99	31.8806	-0.34%	33.16	+3.66%	0.0119	✗	0.66	754k	2021-12-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010638	0.000106017	-0.34%	0.00010928	+2.73%	0.0112	✓	1.00	13.4M	2021-12-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.63	92.3171	-0.34%	97.27	+5.01%	0.0128	✗	0.95	10.6M	2021-12-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3175	0.316446	-0.33%	0.3328	+4.82%	0.0140	✗	0.88	693k	2021-12-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.939	3.926	-0.33%	3.946	+0.18%	0.0291	✓	0.82	780k	2021-12-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.2195	-0.33%	3.33	+3.10%	0.0074	✓	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.312	2.3046	-0.32%	2.437	+5.41%	0.0179	✗	0.92	3.3M	2021-12-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.6992	-0.32%	3.799	+2.37%	0.0016	✓	0.68	544k	2021-12-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1064	4.0934	-0.32%	4.2356	+3.15%	0.0205	✓	1.32	4.7M	2021-12-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.033	5.017	-0.32%	5.077	+0.87%	0.0147	✓	0.64	1.0M	2021-12-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08901	0.088729	-0.32%	0.10229	+14.92%	0.0819	✗	1.45	6.7M	2021-12-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.46	8.4336	-0.31%	8.47	+0.12%	0.0235	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	127.33	126.9394	-0.31%	133.6	+4.92%	0.0007	✓	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3017	0.300775	-0.31%	0.3132	+3.81%	0.0205	✓	1.47	4.9M	2021-12-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.671	1.6659	-0.31%	1.776	+6.28%	0.0106	✗	1.29	7.6M	2021-12-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022282	0.022215	-0.30%	0.02275	+2.10%	0.0273	✓	1.23	1.9M	2021-12-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7618	-0.30%	2.94	+6.14%	0.0093	✗	1.28	3.0M	2021-12-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057981	0.05781	-0.29%	0.061664	+6.35%	0.0024	✓	1.50	13.8M	2021-12-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.239	1.2354	-0.29%	1.2842	+3.65%	0.0062	✓	1.08	1.6M	2021-12-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2978	1.294	-0.29%	1.3577	+4.62%	0.0045	✗	1.05	35.8M	2021-12-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.28	429.0392	-0.29%	437.94	+1.78%	0.0230	✓	1.05	14.2M	2021-12-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.755084	0.752911	-0.29%	0.783071	+3.71%	0.0053	✓	1.07	4.8M	2021-12-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10877	0.10846	-0.28%	0.11184	+2.82%	0.0156	✓	1.12	31k	2021-12-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,946.16	3,934.94	-0.28%	4,017.11	+1.80%	0.0243	✓	1.08	768.5M	2021-12-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4213	0.420157	-0.27%	0.4485	+6.46%	0.0075	✗	1.39	1.8M	2021-12-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.195	1.1918	-0.27%	1.221	+2.18%	0.0170	✓	0.99	4.6M	2021-12-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01664	0.016596	-0.26%	0.01735	+4.27%	0.0047	✓	1.18	3.1M	2021-12-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.49	61.3301	-0.26%	64.37	+4.68%	0.0153	✓	1.53	2.2M	2021-12-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.43	187.9417	-0.26%	194.4	+3.17%	0.0102	✓	1.06	236k	2021-12-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	181.01	180.541	-0.26%	186.16	+2.85%	0.0098	✓	0.98	11.0M	2021-12-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07761	0.077418	-0.25%	0.07885	+1.60%	0.0224	✓	0.98	798k	2021-12-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.06	5.0475	-0.25%	5.32	+5.14%	0.0036	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	21.53	21.4772	-0.25%	23.65	+9.85%	0.0620	✗	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.095	0.094771	-0.24%	0.0992	+4.42%	0.0108	✓	1.36	3.4M	2021-12-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	263.85	263.216	-0.24%	267.01	+1.20%	0.0315	✓	1.10	1.5M	2021-12-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	174.06	173.6476	-0.24%	179.75	+3.27%	0.0077	✓	1.02	281.0M	2021-12-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.48	5.4673	-0.23%	5.85	+6.75%	0.0134	✗	1.31	12.7M	2021-12-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	174.01	173.6164	-0.23%	186.26	+7.04%	0.0334	✗	0.89	12.3M	2021-12-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.51	1.5066	-0.22%	1.63	+7.95%	0.0086	✗	1.69	2.0M	2021-12-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.11	5.0988	-0.22%	5.36	+4.89%	0.0053	✗	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.409	1.4059	-0.22%	1.482	+5.18%	0.0021	✓	1.32	5.6M	2021-12-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.25839	0.257835	-0.21%	0.267972	+3.71%	0.0025	✓	0.99	40.4M	2021-12-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6692	0.667763	-0.21%	0.72	+7.59%	0.0255	✗	1.20	7.8M	2021-12-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.838	2.8319	-0.21%	2.907	+2.43%	0.0091	✓	0.85	104k	2021-12-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.52	14.4893	-0.21%	15.06	+3.72%	0.0146	✓	1.28	14.2M	2021-12-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2381	1.2355	-0.21%	1.2801	+3.39%	0.0074	✓	1.03	131.8M	2021-12-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	176.9138	176.5471	-0.21%	183.964	+3.99%	0.0063	✓	1.14	1.1M	2021-12-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1991	0.198691	-0.21%	0.2039	+2.41%	0.0244	✓	1.21	8.9M	2021-12-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3851	-0.21%	2.44	+2.09%	0.0170	✓	0.96	4.9M	2021-12-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9718	8.9543	-0.20%	9.2185	+2.75%	0.0320	✓	1.47	356k	2021-12-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.08	24.0331	-0.19%	25.17	+4.53%	0.0055	✓	1.25	75.1M	2021-12-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.78	18.7452	-0.19%	19.44	+3.51%	0.0170	✓	1.29	69.7M	2021-12-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.86	34.7964	-0.18%	35.31	+1.29%	0.0281	✓	1.03	21.2M	2021-12-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.04	2.0363	-0.18%	2.128	+4.31%	0.0022	✓	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.38	30.3292	-0.17%	32.03	+5.43%	0.0081	✓	1.51	1.6M	2021-12-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2888	3.2835	-0.16%	3.4308	+4.32%	0.0007	✓	1.04	798k	2021-12-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.811	0.809697	-0.16%	0.865	+6.66%	0.0052	✗	1.47	10.9M	2021-12-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.84	14.8208	-0.13%	15.28	+2.96%	0.0173	✓	1.15	6.6M	2021-12-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2674	0.26714	-0.10%	0.2803	+4.82%	0.0045	✓	1.27	7.0M	2021-12-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.348806	-0.06%	0.357	+2.29%	0.0076	✓	0.74	54k	2021-12-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.411	7.4074	-0.05%	7.512	+1.36%	0.0419	✓	1.35	635k	2021-12-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.75	21.7408	-0.04%	23.11	+6.25%	0.0059	✗	1.33	20.8M	2021-12-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0652	0.065178	-0.03%	0.0688	+5.52%	0.0023	✓	1.36	2.9M	2021-12-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.2	3.2078	+0.24%	3.61	+12.81%	0.0766	✓	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06558	0.065773	+0.29%	0.09777	+49.09%	0.3553	✓	0.99	22.6M	2021-12-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5221	1.5272	+0.33%	1.6866	+10.81%	0.0798	✓	0.47	8.8M	2021-12-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.