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2021-12-19 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0374
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.8%
in alpha space · 71.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.6564+0.28%1.5221-7.85%0.0870✗0.489.0M2021-12-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.071064+0.23%0.06558-7.50%0.0854✗1.0123.2M2021-12-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.5335+0.10%3.2-9.35%0.1042✗1.0012.1M2021-12-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.262996-0.04%0.2674+1.63%0.0101✗1.277.4M2021-12-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.6587-0.05%21.75-4.06%0.0477✓1.3320.5M2021-12-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.362719-0.08%0.349-3.86%0.0424✓0.7554k2021-12-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.070642-0.08%0.0652-7.78%0.0872✓1.383.5M2021-12-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.191993-0.11%0.1991+3.59%0.0302✗1.218.9M2021-12-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.8992-0.11%7.411-6.28%0.0707✓1.36640k2021-12-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6311-0.13%7.94+19.58%0.1769✗0.641.1M2021-12-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.7147-0.15%5.033+6.59%0.0621✗0.63961k2021-12-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.824706-0.16%0.811-1.82%0.0243✓1.4712.1M2021-12-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.253457-0.17%0.25839+1.77%0.0142✗0.9939.3M2021-12-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.544-0.17%3.711+4.54%0.0426✗0.67532k2021-12-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.4536-0.17%14.84-4.13%0.0464✓1.166.6M2021-12-20
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3497-0.18%3.2888-1.99%0.0237✓1.04781k2021-12-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.08399.0676-0.18%8.9718-1.23%0.0182✓1.48356k2021-12-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.3202-0.18%5.48+2.81%0.0229✗1.3012.7M2021-12-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.8444-0.19%18.78-0.53%0.0100✓1.2969.7M2021-12-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.835.7317-0.19%34.86-2.63%0.0300✓1.0320.8M2021-12-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.094519-0.19%0.095+0.32%0.0019✓1.363.6M2021-12-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.7309-0.20%24.08-2.82%0.0331✓1.2575.1M2021-12-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.4152-0.20%2.39-1.24%0.0154✓0.964.9M2021-12-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.7759-0.20%30.38-4.59%0.0527✓1.521.6M2021-12-20
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2417-0.21%1.2381-0.50%0.0082✓1.03131.8M2021-12-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.9435-0.21%8.46+6.28%0.0596✗0.661.1M2021-12-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.1264-0.21%2.04-4.27%0.0472✓1.123.4M2021-12-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809182.9798-0.22%176.9138-3.53%0.0396✓1.151.2M2021-12-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.689348-0.22%0.6692-3.14%0.0358✓1.218.2M2021-12-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.1977-0.24%5.11-1.92%0.0225✓1.085.5M2021-12-20
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.9346-0.24%14.52-3.01%0.0347✓1.2914.2M2021-12-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.7035-0.24%2.77+2.21%0.0178✗1.282.9M2021-12-20
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.079312-0.24%0.07761-2.38%0.0267✓0.99735k2021-12-20
XVGVergenative0.016740.016699-0.24%0.01664-0.60%0.0096✓1.183.6M2021-12-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5462-0.24%1.51-2.58%0.0324✓1.692.1M2021-12-20
BANDBandEthereum5.125.1073-0.25%5.06-1.17%0.0153✓1.182.8M2021-12-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.8792-0.25%3.939+1.29%0.0111✗0.82780k2021-12-20
QNTQuantEthereum182.22181.75-0.26%174.01-4.51%0.0481✓0.9012.3M2021-12-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4492-0.26%1.409-3.03%0.0349✓1.335.6M2021-12-20
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,915.56-0.26%3,946.16+0.52%0.0023✓1.08768.5M2021-12-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.95179.4785-0.26%174.06-3.27%0.0359✓1.02281.0M2021-12-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.5571-0.27%9.65+12.47%0.1166✗0.701.9M2021-12-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.976-0.27%2.838-4.89%0.0519✓0.86105k2021-12-20
KSMKusamaHydration274.31273.5664-0.27%263.85-3.81%0.0418✓1.111.5M2021-12-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1822.1198-0.27%21.53-2.93%0.0313✓0.8342.5M2021-12-20
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44182.9248-0.28%181.01-1.32%0.0155✓0.9810.9M2021-12-20
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.1266-0.28%4.1064-0.77%0.0116✓1.324.2M2021-12-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94431.7067-0.28%430.28-0.61%0.0087✓1.0514.2M2021-12-20
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44194.8805-0.29%188.43-3.59%0.0391✓1.07228k2021-12-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.768131-0.29%0.755084-1.98%0.0226✓1.084.8M2021-12-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.433827-0.29%0.4213-3.17%0.0344✓1.001.8M2021-12-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.3152-0.30%8.69+4.20%0.0401✗0.79824k2021-12-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.328-0.30%2.312-0.99%0.0116✓0.923.4M2021-12-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.305374-0.30%0.3017-1.50%0.0196✓1.474.9M2021-12-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.4093-0.30%15.3+13.75%0.1285✗0.671.6M2021-12-20
XMRMoneroMonero183.97183.4046-0.31%188.84+2.65%0.0242✗0.982.9M2021-12-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.2101-0.31%3.23+0.31%0.0011✓0.991.3M2021-12-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.110695-0.31%0.10877-2.04%0.0233✓1.1231k2021-12-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.324188-0.31%0.3175-2.37%0.0253✓0.88775k2021-12-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.2152-0.31%1.195-1.97%0.0218✓1.005.1M2021-12-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2745-0.32%1.239-3.09%0.0338✓1.091.6M2021-12-20
DASHDashDash129.18128.7708-0.32%127.33-1.43%0.0176✓1.252.2M2021-12-20
ZENHorizenBase65.5265.3124-0.32%61.49-6.15%0.0682✓1.552.2M2021-12-20
FTTFTXEthereum39.7439.613-0.32%40.57+2.09%0.0184✗1.0726.1M2021-12-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3519-0.33%1.2978-4.32%0.0462✓1.0638.2M2021-12-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.023095-0.33%0.022282-3.84%0.0422✓1.241.9M2021-12-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.9361-0.33%5.8629-1.56%0.0185✓1.19876k2021-12-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0605-0.33%1.0799+1.48%0.0132✗0.9523.6M2021-12-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02122.6074-0.34%121.71-1.06%0.0124✓1.002.3M2021-12-20
XEMNEMnative0.12880.128352-0.35%0.1249-3.03%0.0329✓1.11191k2021-12-20
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000108292-0.35%0.00010638-2.11%0.0229✓1.0014.3M2021-12-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.1688-0.35%3.16-0.63%0.0078✓0.98821k2021-12-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.168934-0.35%0.167179-1.39%0.0162✓1.125.3M2021-12-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.06068-0.35%0.057981-4.79%0.0532✓1.5113.9M2021-12-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.3234-0.36%2.2563-3.23%0.0353✓1.19191k2021-12-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2532.1344-0.36%31.99-0.81%0.0079✓0.66754k2021-12-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31152.7604-0.36%152.71-0.39%0.0077✓1.4463.2M2021-12-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,519.07-0.36%46,926.07+0.51%0.0036✓1.00744.5M2021-12-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2994.9461-0.36%92.63-2.79%0.0296✓0.9610.9M2021-12-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.091725-0.36%0.08901-3.31%0.0375✓1.467.0M2021-12-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.7189-0.36%4.888+3.21%0.0282✗1.375.2M2021-12-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.7484-0.38%1.671-4.79%0.0519✓1.307.6M2021-12-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.643319-0.38%0.6286-2.66%0.0294✓1.238.7M2021-12-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.055425-0.39%0.05406-2.84%0.0307✓1.1422k2021-12-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.9141-0.39%4.901-0.66%0.0066✓0.7831k2021-12-20
GTGateEthereum5.79835.7755-0.39%5.8354+0.64%0.0061✗0.825.2M2021-12-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.601615-0.39%0.607+0.50%0.0026✓1.243.4M2021-12-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8340.6683-0.40%40.37-1.13%0.0173✓1.9413.8M2021-12-20
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.256678-0.40%0.2405-6.67%0.0675✓0.47434k2021-12-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.7504-0.40%34.54-1.00%0.0115✓1.066.9M2021-12-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.6132-0.41%3.801+4.77%0.0456✗1.003.8M2021-12-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.084255-0.41%0.0836-1.18%0.0135✓1.1124k2021-12-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0046,966.05-0.41%46,868.20-0.62%0.0071✓0.9915k2021-12-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.135938-0.41%0.1303-4.54%0.0480✓1.10648k2021-12-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.645473-0.42%0.6222-4.01%0.0430✓1.2414.9M2021-12-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.2321.1406-0.42%21.103-0.60%0.0106✓1.7324.3M2021-12-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02333.0103-0.43%3.1667+4.74%0.0444✗1.214.7M2021-12-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0722-0.44%1.0483-2.66%0.0303✓1.523.6M2021-12-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.047791-0.44%0.04664-2.83%0.0293✓0.9615.8M2021-12-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.017533-0.44%0.01728-1.87%0.0209✓1.263.6M2021-12-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05192.0428-0.44%2.0189-1.61%0.0218✓1.972.3M2021-12-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.6205-0.44%23.75-3.96%0.0414✓1.073.0M2021-12-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.100034-0.44%0.09914-1.33%0.0117✓0.53143k2021-12-20
ZECZcashZcash157.78157.0781-0.44%157.02-0.48%0.0074✓1.3915.2M2021-12-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.20027-0.46%0.2037+1.24%0.0125✗0.88776k2021-12-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.364073-0.47%0.3532-3.44%0.0370✓1.317.0M2021-12-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1434.9739-0.47%34.09-2.99%0.0346✓1.766.8M2021-12-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.6926-0.48%5.76+0.70%0.0067✗1.0011.5M2021-12-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25673.241-0.48%3.1901-2.04%0.0203✓0.8812.2M2021-12-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.24.1797-0.48%4.79+14.05%0.1312✗1.001.7M2021-12-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.29.1552-0.49%9.01-2.07%0.0152✓-0.163.7M2021-12-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.4603-0.49%3.5742+2.78%0.0329✗-0.10372k2021-12-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2799.2329-0.50%8.955-3.49%0.0295✓-0.21119k2021-12-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.8208-0.50%12.14+2.19%0.0284✗-0.335.9M2021-12-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.4774-0.50%4.28-4.89%0.0502✓1.003.1M2021-12-20
UMAUMAEthereum9.099.0441-0.50%8.75-3.74%0.0387✓1.114.1M2021-12-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.202634-0.51%0.19466-4.42%0.0486✓1.6537k2021-12-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.4625-0.52%1.3895-5.48%0.0563✓1.017.8M2021-12-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000030598-0.53%0.00003122+1.50%0.0150✗1.001.8M2021-12-20
HIVEHivenative1.46421.4565-0.53%1.4-4.38%0.0464✓1.3312.4M2021-12-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.015288-0.53%0.01493-2.86%0.0284✓0.922.1M2021-12-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.8466-0.54%9.53-3.74%0.0376✓0.971.9M2021-12-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.125-0.55%1.1076-2.09%0.0247✓1.781.6M2021-12-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.6106.9518-0.60%113.55+5.53%0.0541✗1.13164.3M2021-12-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.6743-0.62%1.6264-3.46%0.0324✓0.651.4M2021-12-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1626-0.63%1.19+1.71%0.0182✗1.002.4M2021-12-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.174.1425-0.66%4.11-1.44%0.0146✓1.3328.7M2021-12-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.610.5261-0.70%10.45-1.42%0.0098✓0.504.2M2021-12-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.32210.2447-0.75%10.241-0.78%0.0038✓0.67374k2021-12-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.42535-0.85%0.5372+25.22%0.2242✗1.8010.2M2021-12-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5131,636.34-1.13%36,818.43+15.07%0.1488✗0.575.5M2021-12-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.016682-1.23%0.01809+7.10%0.0759✗1.0033.0M2021-12-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.020092-1.27%0.01925-5.41%0.0456✓0.5661k2021-12-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.037809-1.78%0.035847-6.88%0.0585✓1.0215.0M2021-12-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.267853-3.23%0.219-20.88%0.2076✓1.223.7M2021-12-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.