VELODROME

VELODROME · · gru_s4

token id: #270
symbol: VELODROME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-18
predictions: 1,809

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1883

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0210

actual +0.0516

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.03564	0.033372	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-21	oos	0.035535	0.03345	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.03849	0.035905	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-19	oos	0.03473	0.032544	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.034835	0.032716	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-17	oos	0.03699	0.034567	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-16	oos	0.0385	0.03587	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-15	oos	0.04067	0.037686	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-14	oos	0.03909	0.036138	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-13	oos	0.039275	0.036312	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-12	oos	0.038205	0.035262	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.04085	0.037673	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.040715	0.037238	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-09	oos	0.03482	0.032238	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-08	oos	0.03615	0.033323	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-07	oos	0.03435	0.031745	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-06	oos	0.034935	0.03233	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.036645	0.034096	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.03843	0.035759	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-03	oos	0.03736	0.034616	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-02	oos	0.034665	0.032225	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.033825	0.031453	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.035415	0.032652	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.034785	0.032171	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.03516	0.032358	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.03575	0.033002	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-26	oos	0.03688	0.034041	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-25	oos	0.03559	0.032889	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-24	oos	0.030295	0.028634	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-23	oos	0.02897	0.027729	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.029355	0.028256	-3.74%	0.03564	+21.41%	0.2625	✗	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.02995	0.029082	-2.90%	0.035535	+18.65%	0.2387	✗	1.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.028085	0.027092	-3.54%	0.03849	+37.05%	0.3222	✗	1.34
2026-09-19	oos	0.028285	0.0273	-3.48%	0.03473	+22.79%	0.2308	✗	1.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.02747	0.026771	-2.54%	0.034835	+26.81%	0.2447	✗	1.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.02494	0.024216	-2.90%	0.03699	+48.32%	0.3386	✗	1.33
2026-09-16	oos	0.02321	0.022747	-2.00%	0.0385	+65.88%	0.4351	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.022825	0.022367	-2.00%	0.04067	+78.18%	0.4869	✗	1.34
2026-09-14	oos	0.02428	0.023864	-1.71%	0.03909	+61.00%	0.4372	✗	1.33
2026-09-13	oos	0.023735	0.023214	-2.19%	0.039275	+65.47%	0.4251	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.024485	0.023884	-2.45%	0.038205	+56.03%	0.3966	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.0249	0.024181	-2.89%	0.04085	+64.06%	0.4205	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02335	0.02287	-2.05%	0.040715	+74.37%	0.4749	✗	1.27
2026-09-09	oos	0.02491	0.024405	-2.03%	0.03482	+39.78%	0.2895	✗	1.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.026805	0.02603	-2.89%	0.03615	+34.86%	0.2784	✗	1.23
2026-09-07	oos	0.027615	0.026787	-3.00%	0.03435	+24.39%	0.1851	✗	1.23
2026-09-06	oos	0.025295	0.025122	-0.68%	0.034935	+38.11%	0.2510	✗	1.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.0255	0.025591	+0.36%	0.036645	+43.71%	0.2700	✓	1.25
2026-09-04	oos	0.02317	0.023489	+1.38%	0.03843	+65.86%	0.3908	✓	1.23
2026-09-03	oos	0.02477	0.025144	+1.51%	0.03736	+50.83%	0.3452	✓	1.21
2026-09-02	oos	0.02143	0.021498	+0.32%	0.034665	+61.76%	0.3753	✓	1.15
2026-09-01	oos	0.021885	0.022268	+1.75%	0.033825	+54.56%	0.3117	✓	1.16
2026-08-31	oos	0.02158	0.022404	+3.82%	0.035415	+64.11%	0.3904	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.02168	0.022462	+3.61%	0.034785	+60.45%	0.3563	✓	1.09
2026-08-29	oos	0.022295	0.023104	+3.63%	0.03516	+57.70%	0.3503	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.022325	0.023306	+4.39%	0.03575	+60.13%	0.3398	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.022435	0.023993	+6.94%	0.03688	+64.39%	0.3746	✓	1.10
2026-08-26	oos	0.022885	0.024341	+6.36%	0.03559	+55.52%	0.3108	✓	1.11
2026-08-25	oos	0.021185	0.022863	+7.92%	0.030295	+43.00%	0.2017	✓	1.11
2026-08-24	oos	0.021745	0.023798	+9.44%	0.02897	+33.23%	0.1245	✓	1.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.02004	0.021957	+9.56%	0.029355	+46.48%	0.1777	✓	1.09
2026-08-22	oos	0.01919	0.021248	+10.72%	0.02995	+56.07%	0.2165	✓	1.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.020185	0.022472	+11.33%	0.028085	+39.14%	0.1850	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.019855	0.02118	+6.67%	0.028285	+42.46%	0.1615	✓	1.20
2026-08-19	oos	0.017995	0.018666	+3.73%	0.02747	+52.65%	0.2071	✓	1.16
2026-08-18	oos	0.016595	0.016465	-0.78%	0.02494	+50.29%	0.2203	✗	1.18
2026-08-17	oos	0.017065	0.016893	-1.01%	0.02321	+36.01%	0.1207	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.016805	0.016399	-2.41%	0.022825	+35.82%	0.1083	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.016885	0.016499	-2.28%	0.02428	+43.80%	0.1271	✗	1.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.01699	0.016565	-2.50%	0.023735	+39.70%	0.1191	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.017155	0.016818	-1.97%	0.024485	+42.73%	0.1339	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.01694	0.016352	-3.47%	0.0249	+46.99%	0.1756	✗	1.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.017125	0.016479	-3.77%	0.02335	+36.35%	0.1164	✗	1.25
2026-08-10	oos	0.017525	0.016774	-4.28%	0.02491	+42.14%	0.1398	✗	1.26
2026-08-09	oos	0.01738	0.016686	-4.00%	0.026805	+54.23%	0.2289	✗	1.29
2026-08-08	oos	0.01786	0.017086	-4.33%	0.027615	+54.62%	0.2248	✗	1.29
2026-08-07	oos	0.01824	0.017392	-4.65%	0.025295	+38.68%	0.0919	✗	1.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.01783	0.017049	-4.38%	0.0255	+43.02%	0.1150	✗	1.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.01714	0.01648	-3.85%	0.02317	+35.18%	0.0615	✗	1.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.016915	0.016242	-3.98%	0.02477	+46.44%	0.1042	✗	1.34
2026-08-03	oos	0.016445	0.015834	-3.71%	0.02143	+30.31%	0.0399	✗	1.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.016495	0.015854	-3.88%	0.021885	+32.68%	0.0603	✗	1.32
2026-08-01	oos	0.01673	0.016047	-4.08%	0.02158	+28.99%	0.0080	✓	1.36
2026-07-31	oos	0.017325	0.016522	-4.63%	0.02168	+25.14%	0.0157	✓	1.36
2026-07-30	oos	0.01785	0.017233	-3.46%	0.022295	+24.90%	0.0005	✓	1.36
2026-07-29	oos	0.017345	0.016652	-4.00%	0.022325	+28.71%	0.0318	✓	1.32
2026-07-28	oos	0.01795	0.017158	-4.41%	0.022435	+24.99%	0.0343	✓	1.32
2026-07-27	oos	0.01809	0.017323	-4.24%	0.022885	+26.51%	0.0072	✓	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.017405	0.016776	-3.61%	0.021185	+21.72%	0.0149	✓	1.35
2026-07-25	oos	0.017185	0.016487	-4.06%	0.021745	+26.53%	0.0010	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.017255	0.01654	-4.15%	0.02004	+16.14%	0.0681	✓	1.35
2026-07-23	oos	0.01759	0.016902	-3.91%	0.01919	+9.10%	0.1008	✓	1.34
2026-07-22	oos	0.01826	0.017645	-3.37%	0.020185	+10.54%	0.0926	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.0188	0.018186	-3.27%	0.019855	+5.61%	0.0366	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.018165	0.017446	-3.96%	0.017995	-0.94%	0.0494	✓	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.01848	0.017635	-4.57%	0.016595	-10.20%	0.0608	✓	1.33
2026-07-18	oos	0.018725	0.017988	-3.94%	0.017065	-8.87%	0.0462	✓	1.32
2026-07-17	oos	0.019655	0.018814	-4.28%	0.016805	-14.50%	0.0899	✓	1.38
2026-07-16	oos	0.020255	0.019351	-4.46%	0.016885	-16.64%	0.1198	✓	1.40
2026-07-15	oos	0.02121	0.020332	-4.14%	0.01699	-19.90%	0.1413	✓	1.40
2026-07-14	oos	0.02138	0.020485	-4.19%	0.017155	-19.76%	0.1430	✓	1.41
2026-07-13	oos	0.020285	0.019326	-4.73%	0.01694	-16.49%	0.1579	✓	1.43
2026-07-12	oos	0.02128	0.02018	-5.17%	0.017125	-19.53%	0.1595	✓	1.42
2026-07-11	oos	0.02134	0.020266	-5.03%	0.017525	-17.88%	0.1482	✓	1.32
2026-07-10	oos	0.021415	0.020425	-4.62%	0.01738	-18.84%	0.1764	✓	1.33
2026-07-09	oos	0.02136	0.020341	-4.77%	0.01786	-16.39%	0.1665	✓	1.35
2026-07-08	oos	0.02164	0.020517	-5.19%	0.01824	-15.71%	0.1750	✓	1.37
2026-07-07	oos	0.02376	0.022329	-6.02%	0.01783	-24.96%	0.2450	✓	1.35
2026-07-06	oos	0.02378	0.022377	-5.90%	0.01714	-27.92%	0.2793	✓	1.36
2026-07-05	oos	0.023445	0.022034	-6.02%	0.016915	-27.85%	0.2742	✓	1.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.0242	0.022617	-6.54%	0.016445	-32.05%	0.3269	✓	1.36
2026-07-03	oos	0.02472	0.022775	-7.87%	0.016495	-33.27%	0.3432	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.02172	0.020364	-6.24%	0.01673	-22.97%	0.2227	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.01961	0.018552	-5.40%	0.017325	-11.65%	0.1253	✓	1.22
2026-06-30	oos	0.01872	0.017637	-5.78%	0.01785	-4.65%	0.1104	✓	1.22
2026-06-29	oos	0.018235	0.017201	-5.67%	0.017345	-4.88%	0.0675	✓	1.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.019015	0.017672	-7.07%	0.01795	-5.60%	0.0743	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.017985	0.016747	-6.89%	0.01809	+0.58%	0.0002	✓	1.27
2026-06-26	oos	0.01829	0.016852	-7.86%	0.017405	-4.84%	0.0762	✓	1.27
2026-06-25	oos	0.018615	0.017157	-7.83%	0.017185	-7.68%	0.0931	✓	1.28
2026-06-24	oos	0.02005	0.018335	-8.55%	0.017255	-13.94%	0.1219	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.019975	0.018454	-7.61%	0.01759	-11.94%	0.0956	✓	1.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.021495	0.019648	-8.59%	0.01826	-15.05%	0.1139	✓	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.020535	0.018974	-7.60%	0.0188	-8.45%	0.0714	✓	1.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.020745	0.0192	-7.45%	0.018165	-12.44%	0.0744	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.01843	0.017396	-5.61%	0.01848	+0.27%	0.0375	✓	1.22
2026-06-18	oos	0.017325	0.016537	-4.55%	0.018725	+8.08%	0.0882	✗	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.017845	0.017084	-4.27%	0.019655	+10.14%	0.1504	✗	1.19
2026-06-16	oos	0.01847	0.017659	-4.39%	0.020255	+9.66%	0.1710	✗	1.19
2026-06-15	oos	0.016305	0.015947	-2.19%	0.02121	+30.08%	0.3151	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.01413	0.013904	-1.60%	0.02138	+51.31%	0.4437	✗	1.22
2026-06-13	oos	0.013915	0.013737	-1.28%	0.020285	+45.78%	0.4328	✗	1.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.013885	0.013759	-0.91%	0.02128	+53.26%	0.4322	✗	1.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.013975	0.013848	-0.91%	0.02134	+52.70%	0.4284	✗	1.24
2026-06-10	oos	0.013335	0.013167	-1.26%	0.021415	+60.59%	0.4337	✗	1.23
2026-06-09	oos	0.01392	0.013616	-2.18%	0.02136	+53.45%	0.4209	✗	1.23
2026-06-08	oos	0.01358	0.013199	-2.81%	0.02164	+59.35%	0.5110	✗	1.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.0128	0.012529	-2.12%	0.02376	+85.63%	0.6395	✗	1.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.0123	0.012059	-1.96%	0.02378	+93.33%	0.6170	✗	1.23
2026-06-05	oos	0.01296	0.012642	-2.45%	0.023445	+80.90%	0.5677	✗	1.22
2026-06-04	oos	0.01416	0.013656	-3.56%	0.0242	+70.90%	0.5855	✗	1.18
2026-06-03	oos	0.01488	0.014216	-4.46%	0.02472	+66.13%	0.5815	✗	1.17
2026-06-02	oos	0.0146	0.014024	-3.94%	0.02172	+48.77%	0.5361	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.01562	0.01491	-4.55%	0.01961	+25.54%	0.4988	✗	1.30
2026-05-31	oos	0.01585	0.015216	-4.00%	0.01872	+18.11%	0.5108	✗	1.33
2026-05-30	oos	0.015995	0.015301	-4.34%	0.018235	+14.00%	0.4372	✗	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.01583	0.015059	-4.87%	0.019015	+20.12%	0.5019	✗	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.01541	0.01477	-4.15%	0.017985	+16.71%	0.4572	✗	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.015915	0.015216	-4.39%	0.01829	+14.92%	0.4537	✗	1.26
2026-05-26	oos	0.0158	0.015186	-3.89%	0.018615	+17.82%	0.5093	✗	1.28
2026-05-25	oos	0.016855	0.016169	-4.07%	0.02005	+18.96%	0.5036	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	0.016105	0.01545	-4.07%	0.019975	+24.03%	0.5013	✗	1.19
2026-05-23	oos	0.016895	0.016116	-4.61%	0.021495	+27.23%	0.5012	✗	1.18
2026-05-22	oos	0.01617	0.015419	-4.65%	0.020535	+26.99%	0.4932	✗	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.01702	0.01631	-4.17%	0.020745	+21.89%	0.4586	✗	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.01513	0.014658	-3.12%	0.01843	+21.81%	0.4602	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.014805	0.014273	-3.59%	0.017325	+17.02%	0.4252	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.015015	0.01444	-3.83%	0.017845	+18.85%	0.4189	✗	1.17
2026-05-17	oos	0.01499	0.014578	-2.75%	0.01847	+23.22%	0.4292	✗	1.17
2026-05-16	oos	0.01561	0.015218	-2.51%	0.016305	+4.45%	0.2592	✗	1.16
2026-05-15	oos	0.01641	0.016004	-2.47%	0.01413	-13.89%	0.0909	✗	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.017305	0.016974	-1.91%	0.013915	-19.59%	0.0663	✗	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.01674	0.016248	-2.94%	0.013885	-17.05%	0.0955	✗	1.14
2026-05-12	oos	0.01765	0.017218	-2.45%	0.013975	-20.82%	0.0503	✗	1.10
2026-05-11	oos	0.01869	0.018336	-1.89%	0.013335	-28.65%	0.0158	✓	1.06
2026-05-10	oos	0.01927	0.018882	-2.02%	0.01392	-27.76%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-05-09	oos	0.018	0.01758	-2.33%	0.01358	-24.56%	0.0010	✓	1.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.01747	0.017032	-2.51%	0.0128	-26.73%	0.0404	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.01724	0.01691	-1.91%	0.0123	-28.65%	0.0335	✓	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.017715	0.017607	-0.61%	0.01296	-26.84%	0.0032	✓	1.07
2026-05-05	oos	0.017415	0.017251	-0.94%	0.01416	-18.69%	0.0687	✗	1.12
2026-05-04	oos	0.01734	0.016995	-1.99%	0.01488	-14.19%	0.1138	✗	1.12
2026-05-03	oos	0.01649	0.016123	-2.22%	0.0146	-11.46%	0.0826	✗	1.11
2026-05-02	oos	0.01733	0.016898	-2.49%	0.01562	-9.87%	0.0305	✗	1.11
2026-05-01	oos	0.01753	0.016988	-3.09%	0.01585	-9.58%	0.0016	✓	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.017425	0.016696	-4.19%	0.015995	-8.21%	0.0040	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.017585	0.016817	-4.37%	0.01583	-9.98%	0.0235	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.01786	0.017132	-4.08%	0.01541	-13.72%	0.0632	✓	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.01683	0.016427	-2.40%	0.015915	-5.44%	0.0146	✓	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.01658	0.016485	-0.57%	0.0158	-4.70%	0.0001	✓	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.0161	0.015903	-1.22%	0.016855	+4.69%	0.0641	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.01615	0.016113	-0.23%	0.016105	-0.28%	0.0068	✗	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.016405	0.016524	+0.73%	0.016895	+2.99%	0.0467	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.015945	0.015851	-0.59%	0.01617	+1.41%	0.0617	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.01557	0.015459	-0.72%	0.01702	+9.31%	0.0781	✗	1.16
2026-04-20	oos	0.015615	0.015612	-0.02%	0.01513	-3.11%	0.0558	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.015195	0.015046	-0.98%	0.014805	-2.57%	0.0619	✓	1.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.016255	0.016184	-0.43%	0.015015	-7.63%	0.0935	✓	1.17
2026-04-17	oos	0.01692	0.016831	-0.52%	0.01499	-11.41%	0.1205	✓	1.16
2026-04-16	oos	0.01588	0.01564	-1.51%	0.01561	-1.70%	0.0461	✓	1.15
2026-04-15	oos	0.0149	0.014798	-0.68%	0.01641	+10.13%	0.0406	✗	1.14
2026-04-14	oos	0.014715	0.014702	-0.09%	0.017305	+17.60%	0.0607	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.01538	0.015328	-0.34%	0.01674	+8.84%	0.0155	✗	1.15
2026-04-12	oos	0.01508	0.014813	-1.77%	0.01765	+17.04%	0.0233	✗	1.18
2026-04-11	oos	0.015815	0.015619	-1.24%	0.01869	+18.18%	0.0482	✗	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	0.015525	0.015332	-1.24%	0.01927	+24.12%	0.0891	✗	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	0.014885	0.014583	-2.03%	0.018	+20.93%	0.0745	✗	1.17
2026-04-08	oos	0.013965	0.01378	-1.32%	0.01747	+25.10%	0.0974	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.01427	0.014133	-0.96%	0.01724	+20.81%	0.0749	✗	1.16
2026-04-06	oos	0.01348	0.013284	-1.45%	0.017715	+31.42%	0.0958	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.01341	0.013225	-1.38%	0.017415	+29.87%	0.0932	✗	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.01367	0.01336	-2.27%	0.01734	+26.85%	0.0613	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.01394	0.013591	-2.50%	0.01649	+18.29%	0.0066	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.01382	0.013426	-2.85%	0.01733	+25.40%	0.0652	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.01422	0.013857	-2.55%	0.01753	+23.28%	0.0699	✗	1.19
2026-03-31	oos	0.01407	0.013678	-2.78%	0.017425	+23.85%	0.1071	✗	1.21
2026-03-30	oos	0.01393	0.013449	-3.45%	0.017585	+26.24%	0.1140	✗	1.22
2026-03-29	oos	0.01393	0.01338	-3.95%	0.01786	+28.21%	0.1107	✗	1.22
2026-03-28	oos	0.01412	0.013673	-3.16%	0.01683	+19.19%	0.0195	✓	1.22
2026-03-27	oos	0.01401	0.013645	-2.60%	0.01658	+18.34%	0.0132	✓	1.22
2026-03-26	oos	0.01438	0.014131	-1.73%	0.0161	+11.96%	0.0186	✓	1.23
2026-03-25	oos	0.01505	0.014837	-1.42%	0.01615	+7.31%	0.0169	✓	1.23
2026-03-24	oos	0.01458	0.014457	-0.84%	0.016405	+12.52%	0.0013	✓	1.23
2026-03-23	oos	0.01478	0.01458	-1.35%	0.015945	+7.88%	0.0311	✓	1.22
2026-03-22	oos	0.01383	0.013641	-1.37%	0.01557	+12.58%	0.0109	✓	1.21
2026-03-21	oos	0.01451	0.014266	-1.68%	0.015615	+7.62%	0.0257	✓	1.21
2026-03-20	oos	0.01476	0.014535	-1.52%	0.015195	+2.95%	0.0112	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.01513	0.01486	-1.79%	0.016255	+7.44%	0.0071	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.01553	0.01537	-1.03%	0.01692	+8.95%	0.0004	✓	1.22
2026-03-17	oos	0.01685	0.016759	-0.54%	0.01588	-5.76%	0.0739	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.01703	0.016968	-0.36%	0.0149	-12.51%	0.1292	✓	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.01577	0.015746	-0.15%	0.014715	-6.69%	0.0896	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.01575	0.015811	+0.39%	0.01538	-2.35%	0.0809	✗	1.21
2026-03-13	oos	0.01648	0.016527	+0.28%	0.01508	-8.50%	0.0884	✗	1.22
2026-03-12	oos	0.01648	0.016408	-0.44%	0.015815	-4.04%	0.0803	✓	1.22
2026-03-11	oos	0.01646	0.016377	-0.50%	0.015525	-5.68%	0.1010	✓	1.22
2026-03-10	oos	0.01635	0.016222	-0.78%	0.014885	-8.96%	0.1176	✓	1.22
2026-03-09	oos	0.01587	0.015751	-0.75%	0.013965	-12.00%	0.1667	✓	1.22
2026-03-08	oos	0.01591	0.015692	-1.37%	0.01427	-10.31%	0.2025	✓	1.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.01602	0.015885	-0.84%	0.01348	-15.86%	0.1935	✓	1.25
2026-03-06	oos	0.01636	0.016333	-0.16%	0.01341	-18.03%	0.2135	✓	1.24
2026-03-05	oos	0.01715	0.017289	+0.81%	0.01367	-20.29%	0.1700	✗	1.25
2026-03-04	oos	0.01701	0.017192	+1.07%	0.01394	-18.05%	0.1059	✗	1.26
2026-03-03	oos	0.01537	0.015485	+0.75%	0.01382	-10.08%	0.0873	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.01591	0.016022	+0.70%	0.01422	-10.62%	0.1063	✗	1.23
2026-03-01	oos	0.01552	0.015474	-0.29%	0.01407	-9.34%	0.1422	✓	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.01579	0.015732	-0.37%	0.01393	-11.78%	0.1171	✓	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.01576	0.01562	-0.89%	0.01393	-11.61%	0.1165	✓	1.32
2026-02-26	oos	0.016085	0.016005	-0.50%	0.01412	-12.22%	0.1022	✓	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.016135	0.016053	-0.51%	0.01401	-13.17%	0.1039	✓	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.01539	0.015228	-1.05%	0.01438	-6.56%	0.1523	✓	1.34
2026-02-23	oos	0.013815	0.013879	+0.47%	0.01505	+8.94%	0.0508	✗	1.34
2026-02-22	oos	0.01441	0.014473	+0.44%	0.01458	+1.18%	0.0497	✗	1.35
2026-02-21	oos	0.01477	0.014883	+0.77%	0.01478	+0.07%	0.0643	✗	1.36
2026-02-20	oos	0.014385	0.014643	+1.79%	0.01383	-3.86%	0.0544	✗	1.36
2026-02-19	oos	0.01407	0.01445	+2.70%	0.01451	+3.13%	0.0345	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.01378	0.014059	+2.02%	0.01476	+7.11%	0.0321	✗	1.36
2026-02-17	oos	0.01441	0.014663	+1.76%	0.01513	+5.00%	0.0167	✓	1.35
2026-02-16	oos	0.014625	0.014994	+2.52%	0.01553	+6.19%	0.0109	✓	1.35
2026-02-15	oos	0.014415	0.014862	+3.10%	0.01685	+16.89%	0.0278	✓	1.36
2026-02-14	oos	0.015385	0.015632	+1.60%	0.01703	+10.69%	0.0100	✓	1.36
2026-02-13	oos	0.014995	0.015161	+1.11%	0.01577	+5.17%	0.0375	✗	1.36
2026-02-12	oos	0.01449	0.01456	+0.48%	0.01575	+8.70%	0.0214	✗	1.37
2026-02-11	oos	0.013465	0.013615	+1.12%	0.01648	+22.39%	0.1140	✓	1.35
2026-02-10	oos	0.01344	0.013632	+1.43%	0.01648	+22.62%	0.1555	✓	1.38
2026-02-09	oos	0.01414	0.014274	+0.95%	0.01646	+16.41%	0.1404	✓	1.39
2026-02-08	oos	0.014145	0.014289	+1.02%	0.01635	+15.59%	0.1410	✓	1.37
2026-02-07	oos	0.014565	0.014605	+0.27%	0.01587	+8.96%	0.1000	✓	1.43
2026-02-06	oos	0.01496	0.014956	-0.03%	0.01591	+6.35%	0.1574	✗	1.43
2026-02-05	oos	0.01302	0.013211	+1.47%	0.01602	+23.04%	0.0914	✓	1.47
2026-02-04	oos	0.01569	0.015498	-1.22%	0.01636	+4.27%	0.1679	✗	1.64
2026-02-03	oos	0.016185	0.015911	-1.70%	0.01715	+5.96%	0.1821	✗	1.64
2026-02-02	oos	0.016725	0.016353	-2.22%	0.01701	+1.70%	0.1715	✗	1.67
2026-02-01	oos	0.01601	0.015769	-1.50%	0.01537	-4.00%	0.1665	✗	1.63
2026-01-31	oos	0.0159	0.015724	-1.11%	0.01591	+0.06%	0.2384	✗	1.70
2026-01-30	oos	0.01806	0.017633	-2.36%	0.01552	-14.06%	0.2894	✗	1.70
2026-01-29	oos	0.01832	0.017866	-2.48%	0.01579	-13.81%	0.2659	✗	1.67
2026-01-28	oos	0.01907	0.018572	-2.61%	0.01576	-17.36%	0.3842	✗	1.81
2026-01-27	oos	0.01928	0.018795	-2.52%	0.016085	-16.57%	0.3421	✗	1.79
2026-01-26	oos	0.01964	0.01911	-2.70%	0.016135	-17.85%	0.2907	✗	1.76
2026-01-25	oos	0.01888	0.018383	-2.63%	0.01539	-18.49%	0.3540	✗	1.77
2026-01-24	oos	0.02003	0.019376	-3.26%	0.013815	-31.03%	0.2274	✗	1.76
2026-01-23	oos	0.02014	0.019567	-2.85%	0.01441	-28.45%	0.1880	✗	1.76
2026-01-22	oos	0.02101	0.020329	-3.24%	0.01477	-29.70%	0.1669	✗	1.77
2026-01-21	oos	0.02164	0.020914	-3.36%	0.014385	-33.53%	0.1100	✗	1.77
2026-01-20	oos	0.02071	0.020092	-2.98%	0.01407	-32.06%	0.1292	✗	1.76
2026-01-19	oos	0.02198	0.02135	-2.87%	0.01378	-37.31%	0.1561	✗	1.79
2026-01-18	oos	0.0239	0.022962	-3.93%	0.01441	-39.71%	0.1136	✗	1.77
2026-01-17	oos	0.02371	0.022766	-3.98%	0.014625	-38.32%	0.1299	✗	1.77
2026-01-16	oos	0.02383	0.02288	-3.99%	0.014415	-39.51%	0.1187	✗	1.77
2026-01-15	oos	0.02379	0.02277	-4.29%	0.015385	-35.33%	0.1659	✗	1.77
2026-01-14	oos	0.02549	0.024469	-4.00%	0.014995	-41.17%	0.1145	✗	1.76
2026-01-13	oos	0.0248	0.023819	-3.96%	0.01449	-41.57%	0.1478	✗	1.77
2026-01-12	oos	0.0234	0.022394	-4.30%	0.013465	-42.46%	0.0472	✗	1.81
2026-01-11	oos	0.02367	0.02269	-4.14%	0.01344	-43.22%	0.0218	✓	1.80
2026-01-10	oos	0.02337	0.022485	-3.79%	0.01414	-39.50%	0.0048	✓	1.81
2026-01-09	oos	0.02393	0.022949	-4.10%	0.014145	-40.89%	0.0143	✓	1.86
2026-01-08	oos	0.02375	0.022785	-4.06%	0.014565	-38.67%	0.0592	✗	1.85
2026-01-07	oos	0.02381	0.022934	-3.68%	0.01496	-37.17%	0.1221	✗	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.02359	0.02282	-3.27%	0.01302	-44.81%	0.3067	✗	2.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.02409	0.023257	-3.46%	0.01569	-34.87%	0.1511	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.023	0.022203	-3.46%	0.016185	-29.63%	0.0962	✗	2.17
2026-01-03	oos	0.02259	0.021896	-3.07%	0.016725	-25.96%	0.0386	✗	2.18
2026-01-02	oos	0.02206	0.021419	-2.91%	0.01601	-27.43%	0.0497	✗	2.17
2026-01-01	oos	0.01928	0.018925	-1.84%	0.0159	-17.53%	0.0822	✗	2.12
2025-12-31	oos	0.01773	0.017574	-0.88%	0.01806	+1.86%	0.1095	✗	2.08
2025-12-30	oos	0.01924	0.018864	-1.95%	0.01832	-4.78%	0.0636	✗	2.07
2025-12-29	oos	0.01872	0.018424	-1.58%	0.01907	+1.87%	0.0131	✓	2.05
2025-12-28	oos	0.01945	0.019071	-1.95%	0.01928	-0.87%	0.0177	✓	2.04
2025-12-27	oos	0.01971	0.019397	-1.59%	0.01964	-0.36%	0.0023	✓	2.02
2025-12-26	oos	0.0198	0.019549	-1.27%	0.01888	-4.65%	0.0179	✓	2.01
2025-12-25	oos	0.0195	0.019258	-1.24%	0.02003	+2.72%	0.0042	✓	2.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.02012	0.019841	-1.39%	0.02014	+0.10%	0.0274	✓	2.01
2025-12-23	oos	0.0202	0.019931	-1.33%	0.02101	+4.01%	0.0059	✓	2.04
2025-12-22	oos	0.0198	0.019439	-1.82%	0.02164	+9.29%	0.0888	✗	2.04
2025-12-21	oos	0.02019	0.019822	-1.82%	0.02071	+2.58%	0.0514	✗	2.03
2025-12-20	oos	0.02109	0.020691	-1.89%	0.02198	+4.22%	0.0352	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.02114	0.020793	-1.64%	0.0239	+13.06%	0.0147	✓	2.04
2025-12-18	oos	0.01979	0.019553	-1.20%	0.02371	+19.81%	0.0252	✓	2.04
2025-12-17	oos	0.0217	0.021253	-2.06%	0.02383	+9.82%	0.0932	✓	2.03
2025-12-16	oos	0.023	0.022583	-1.81%	0.02379	+3.43%	0.1182	✓	2.02
2025-12-15	oos	0.0236	0.023066	-2.26%	0.02549	+8.01%	0.1351	✓	2.04
2025-12-14	oos	0.02493	0.024216	-2.86%	0.0248	-0.52%	0.1353	✓	2.02
2025-12-13	oos	0.0266	0.025775	-3.10%	0.0234	-12.03%	0.1174	✓	2.01
2025-12-12	oos	0.02689	0.026167	-2.69%	0.02367	-11.97%	0.1135	✓	2.01
2025-12-11	oos	0.02762	0.026994	-2.27%	0.02337	-15.39%	0.0961	✓	2.03
2025-12-10	oos	0.02803	0.027319	-2.54%	0.02393	-14.63%	0.0986	✓	2.03
2025-12-09	oos	0.02973	0.028896	-2.81%	0.02375	-20.11%	0.1597	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0285	0.02756	-3.30%	0.02381	-16.46%	0.1600	✓	2.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02817	0.02726	-3.23%	0.02359	-16.26%	0.2167	✓	2.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02882	0.027913	-3.15%	0.02409	-16.41%	0.2487	✓	2.02
2025-12-05	oos	0.02835	0.027542	-2.85%	0.023	-18.87%	0.2280	✓	2.01
2025-12-04	oos	0.03003	0.02911	-3.06%	0.02259	-24.78%	0.2206	✓	2.01
2025-12-03	oos	0.03015	0.029489	-2.19%	0.02206	-26.83%	0.2132	✓	2.02
2025-12-02	oos	0.02982	0.029129	-2.32%	0.01928	-35.35%	0.3543	✓	2.04
2025-12-01	oos	0.02667	0.026152	-1.94%	0.01773	-33.52%	0.4174	✓	2.05
2025-11-30	oos	0.02959	0.028893	-2.35%	0.01924	-34.98%	0.3618	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.02985	0.029279	-1.91%	0.01872	-37.29%	0.3630	✓	2.02
2025-11-28	oos	0.03113	0.030491	-2.05%	0.01945	-37.52%	0.3813	✓	2.02
2025-11-27	oos	0.03179	0.031166	-1.96%	0.01971	-38.00%	0.3791	✓	2.02
2025-11-26	oos	0.03177	0.031067	-2.21%	0.0198	-37.68%	0.3786	✓	2.01
2025-11-25	oos	0.03093	0.030108	-2.66%	0.0195	-36.95%	0.4308	✓	2.03
2025-11-24	oos	0.03107	0.030303	-2.47%	0.02012	-35.24%	0.3943	✓	2.04
2025-11-23	oos	0.02919	0.028654	-1.84%	0.0202	-30.80%	0.3642	✓	2.05
2025-11-22	oos	0.0289	0.028446	-1.57%	0.0198	-31.49%	0.4551	✓	2.08
2025-11-21	oos	0.029555	0.029075	-1.62%	0.02019	-31.69%	0.4505	✓	2.09
2025-11-20	oos	0.031105	0.030395	-2.28%	0.02109	-32.20%	0.4079	✓	2.07
2025-11-19	oos	0.033345	0.032307	-3.11%	0.02114	-36.60%	0.3391	✓	2.27
2025-11-18	oos	0.03417	0.033323	-2.48%	0.01979	-42.08%	0.3303	✓	2.28
2025-11-17	oos	0.032635	0.031869	-2.35%	0.0217	-33.51%	0.2341	✓	2.27
2025-11-16	oos	0.03483	0.033684	-3.29%	0.023	-33.96%	0.2243	✓	2.26
2025-11-15	oos	0.035895	0.03475	-3.19%	0.0236	-34.25%	0.1598	✓	2.26
2025-11-14	oos	0.03479	0.033934	-2.46%	0.02493	-28.34%	0.1517	✓	2.26
2025-11-13	oos	0.036215	0.035571	-1.78%	0.0266	-26.55%	0.0561	✓	2.38
2025-11-12	oos	0.040335	0.039256	-2.68%	0.02689	-33.33%	0.1008	✓	2.34
2025-11-11	oos	0.04734	0.044992	-4.96%	0.02762	-41.66%	0.2384	✓	2.33
2025-11-10	oos	0.04662	0.044355	-4.86%	0.02803	-39.88%	0.1274	✓	2.35
2025-11-09	oos	0.03727	0.036646	-1.67%	0.02973	-20.23%	0.0679	✗	2.27
2025-11-08	oos	0.03641	0.035464	-2.60%	0.0285	-21.72%	0.0580	✗	2.29
2025-11-07	oos	0.03634	0.035362	-2.69%	0.02817	-22.48%	0.0676	✗	2.21
2025-11-06	oos	0.03331	0.032621	-2.07%	0.02882	-13.48%	0.1522	✗	2.19
2025-11-05	oos	0.033315	0.032681	-1.90%	0.02835	-14.90%	0.1879	✗	2.19
2025-11-04	oos	0.03223	0.031605	-1.94%	0.03003	-6.83%	0.1597	✗	2.17
2025-11-03	oos	0.03387	0.03344	-1.27%	0.03015	-10.98%	0.1953	✗	2.28
2025-11-02	oos	0.03862	0.037987	-1.64%	0.02982	-22.79%	0.1834	✗	2.23
2025-11-01	oos	0.03625	0.036282	+0.09%	0.02667	-26.43%	0.2313	✓	2.22
2025-10-31	oos	0.04048	0.040166	-0.78%	0.02959	-26.90%	0.1296	✗	2.26
2025-10-30	oos	0.03363	0.033804	+0.52%	0.02985	-11.24%	0.2657	✓	2.22
2025-10-29	oos	0.03278	0.033388	+1.86%	0.03113	-5.03%	0.3546	✓	2.22
2025-10-28	oos	0.032295	0.033099	+2.49%	0.03179	-1.56%	0.4469	✓	2.30
2025-10-27	oos	0.03414	0.034963	+2.41%	0.03177	-6.94%	0.4348	✓	2.29
2025-10-26	oos	0.034885	0.035672	+2.26%	0.03093	-11.34%	0.4778	✓	2.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.03336	0.033865	+1.51%	0.03107	-6.86%	0.4665	✓	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0327	0.033005	+0.93%	0.02919	-10.73%	0.4770	✓	2.44
2025-10-23	oos	0.032325	0.03245	+0.39%	0.0289	-10.60%	0.5240	✓	2.44
2025-10-22	oos	0.03135	0.031164	-0.59%	0.029555	-5.73%	0.5222	✗	2.45
2025-10-21	oos	0.032765	0.032314	-1.38%	0.031105	-5.07%	0.5128	✗	2.45
2025-10-20	oos	0.03366	0.033084	-1.71%	0.033345	-0.94%	0.4790	✗	2.48
2025-10-19	oos	0.033295	0.033151	-0.43%	0.03417	+2.63%	0.4207	✗	2.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.03275	0.032259	-1.50%	0.032635	-0.35%	0.3903	✗	2.49
2025-10-17	oos	0.03186	0.031596	-0.83%	0.03483	+9.32%	0.4009	✗	2.48
2025-10-16	oos	0.033135	0.03268	-1.37%	0.035895	+8.33%	0.4021	✗	2.48
2025-10-15	oos	0.03479	0.034157	-1.82%	0.03479	+0.00%	0.4162	✗	2.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.03692	0.036063	-2.32%	0.036215	-1.91%	0.3209	✗	2.50
2025-10-13	oos	0.03789	0.03696	-2.45%	0.040335	+6.45%	0.4059	✗	2.53
2025-10-12	oos	0.036615	0.03572	-2.44%	0.04734	+29.29%	0.5561	✗	2.48
2025-10-11	oos	0.032715	0.032294	-1.29%	0.04662	+42.50%	0.4751	✗	2.44
2025-10-10	oos	0.03358	0.033316	-0.79%	0.03727	+10.99%	0.3014	✗	2.48
2025-10-09	oos	0.045405	0.044321	-2.39%	0.03641	-19.81%	0.1652	✗	2.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.046705	0.045885	-1.76%	0.03634	-22.19%	0.1311	✗	2.05
2025-10-07	oos	0.04531	0.044315	-2.20%	0.03331	-26.48%	0.0934	✗	2.09
2025-10-06	oos	0.047955	0.047692	-0.55%	0.033315	-30.53%	0.0280	✗	2.11
2025-10-05	oos	0.045515	0.045038	-1.05%	0.03223	-29.19%	0.0785	✗	2.10
2025-10-04	oos	0.04573	0.045328	-0.88%	0.03387	-25.93%	0.0009	✓	2.10
2025-10-03	oos	0.0476	0.046893	-1.49%	0.03862	-18.87%	0.0184	✗	2.10
2025-10-02	oos	0.048065	0.047078	-2.05%	0.03625	-24.58%	0.0670	✓	2.12
2025-10-01	oos	0.04733	0.046104	-2.59%	0.04048	-14.47%	0.0408	✗	2.14
2025-09-30	oos	0.04477	0.043516	-2.80%	0.03363	-24.88%	0.1443	✓	2.19
2025-09-29	oos	0.04346	0.042487	-2.24%	0.03278	-24.57%	0.1742	✓	2.21
2025-09-28	oos	0.043605	0.0421	-3.45%	0.032295	-25.94%	0.2793	✓	2.25
2025-09-27	oos	0.04338	0.041505	-4.32%	0.03414	-21.30%	0.2857	✓	2.29
2025-09-26	oos	0.04369	0.041732	-4.48%	0.034885	-20.15%	0.2795	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.04154	0.039791	-4.21%	0.03336	-19.69%	0.2313	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.046435	0.044059	-5.12%	0.0327	-29.58%	0.2516	✓	2.26
2025-09-23	oos	0.04715	0.044783	-5.02%	0.032325	-31.44%	0.2867	✓	2.29
2025-09-22	oos	0.04701	0.045215	-3.82%	0.03135	-33.31%	0.2593	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.049555	0.047794	-3.55%	0.032765	-33.88%	0.2360	✓	2.29
2025-09-20	oos	0.050815	0.048791	-3.98%	0.03366	-33.76%	0.2650	✓	2.32
2025-09-19	oos	0.05104	0.049215	-3.58%	0.033295	-34.77%	0.2441	✓	2.34
2025-09-18	oos	0.052275	0.050258	-3.86%	0.03275	-37.35%	0.2180	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.