UNION

UNION · · gru_s4

token id: #925
symbol: UNION
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-13
predictions: 819

Track record at +1d

assessed

272

of 273 predictions shown

direction hit

48.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0508

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0002

actual -0.0097

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.000132	0.000132682	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.00013755	0.000138223	+0.49%	0.000132	-4.03%	0.0438	✗	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.00014485	0.000145513	+0.46%	0.00013755	-5.04%	0.0671	✗	0.81
2026-10-18	oos	0.00014775	0.00014845	+0.47%	0.00014485	-1.96%	0.0228	✗	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.0001601	0.000160685	+0.37%	0.00014775	-7.71%	0.0906	✗	0.87
2026-10-16	oos	0.00019345	0.000193653	+0.11%	0.0001601	-17.24%	0.1890	✗	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.00021225	0.000212266	+0.01%	0.00019345	-8.86%	0.0866	✗	0.81
2026-10-14	oos	0.0002144	0.000214414	+0.01%	0.00021225	-1.00%	0.0157	✗	0.81
2026-10-13	oos	0.00023545	0.000234862	-0.25%	0.0002144	-8.94%	0.0768	✓	0.77
2026-10-12	oos	0.00019	0.000190441	+0.23%	0.00023545	+23.92%	0.2008	✓	0.69
2026-10-11	oos	0.0002488	0.000249026	+0.09%	0.00019	-23.63%	0.2607	✗	0.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.0002485	0.000248699	+0.08%	0.0002488	+0.12%	0.0028	✗	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.0002502	0.000250478	+0.11%	0.0002485	-0.68%	0.0095	✗	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.0002485	0.000248753	+0.10%	0.0002502	+0.68%	0.0023	✓	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.0002536	0.000253782	+0.07%	0.0002485	-2.01%	0.0151	✗	0.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.00025615	0.000256592	+0.17%	0.0002536	-1.00%	0.0036	✗	0.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.0002497	0.000250143	+0.18%	0.00025615	+2.58%	0.0246	✓	0.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.00026125	0.000261635	+0.15%	0.0002497	-4.42%	0.0435	✗	0.36
2026-10-03	oos	0.0002568	0.000257019	+0.09%	0.00026125	+1.73%	0.0090	✓	0.35
2026-10-02	oos	0.000258	0.000258138	+0.05%	0.0002568	-0.47%	0.0062	✗	0.35
2026-10-01	oos	0.00025745	0.000257559	+0.04%	0.000258	+0.21%	0.0031	✓	0.35
2026-09-30	oos	0.0002593	0.00025928	-0.01%	0.00025745	-0.71%	0.0127	✓	0.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.00026385	0.000263975	+0.05%	0.0002593	-1.72%	0.0175	✗	0.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.00026275	0.000262939	+0.07%	0.00026385	+0.42%	0.0027	✓	0.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.0002808	0.000280642	-0.06%	0.00026275	-6.43%	0.0619	✓	0.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.00026415	0.00026444	+0.11%	0.0002808	+6.30%	0.0598	✓	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.00026715	0.000267411	+0.10%	0.00026415	-1.12%	0.0135	✗	0.33
2026-09-24	oos	0.0002802	0.000279734	-0.17%	0.00026715	-4.66%	0.0449	✓	0.32
2026-09-23	oos	0.000251	0.000251673	+0.27%	0.0002802	+11.63%	0.1073	✓	0.33
2026-09-22	oos	0.00025205	0.000252811	+0.30%	0.000251	-0.42%	0.0010	✓	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.0002467	0.000247866	+0.47%	0.00025205	+2.17%	0.0190	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.0002636	0.000263957	+0.14%	0.0002467	-6.41%	0.1069	✗	0.61
2026-09-19	oos	0.0002404	0.000241517	+0.46%	0.0002636	+9.65%	0.0881	✓	0.62
2026-09-18	oos	0.0002521	0.000253295	+0.47%	0.0002404	-4.64%	0.0555	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.0002492	0.000250216	+0.41%	0.0002521	+1.16%	0.0383	✗	0.80
2026-09-16	oos	0.00024635	0.000247421	+0.43%	0.0002492	+1.16%	0.0052	✓	0.75
2026-09-15	oos	0.00023975	0.000240965	+0.51%	0.00024635	+2.75%	0.0175	✓	0.62
2026-09-14	oos	0.00026425	0.000265682	+0.54%	0.00023975	-9.27%	0.0962	✗	0.19
2026-09-13	oos	0.00026755	0.000268868	+0.49%	0.00026425	-1.23%	0.0206	✗	0.19
2026-09-12	oos	0.0002721	0.000273472	+0.50%	0.00026755	-1.67%	0.0208	✗	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.00026975	0.000271221	+0.55%	0.0002721	+0.87%	0.0031	✓	0.15
2026-09-10	oos	0.00028005	0.000281073	+0.37%	0.00026975	-3.68%	0.0426	✗	0.16
2026-09-09	oos	0.0002891	0.000290281	+0.41%	0.00028005	-3.13%	0.0324	✗	0.15
2026-09-08	oos	0.0002783	0.000279575	+0.46%	0.0002891	+3.88%	0.0339	✓	0.18
2026-09-07	oos	0.0002835	0.000284974	+0.52%	0.0002783	-1.83%	0.0223	✗	0.18
2026-09-06	oos	0.00028735	0.000289062	+0.60%	0.0002835	-1.34%	0.0155	✗	0.25
2026-09-05	oos	0.00029265	0.000294465	+0.62%	0.00028735	-1.81%	0.0261	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.00028345	0.000285243	+0.63%	0.00029265	+3.25%	0.0251	✓	0.28
2026-09-03	oos	0.0002924	0.000294683	+0.78%	0.00028345	-3.06%	0.0335	✗	0.27
2026-09-02	oos	0.00029925	0.000300246	+0.33%	0.0002924	-2.29%	0.0471	✗	0.41
2026-09-01	oos	0.0002837	0.00028471	+0.36%	0.00029925	+5.48%	0.0503	✓	0.42
2026-08-31	oos	0.00029505	0.000296485	+0.49%	0.0002837	-3.85%	0.0403	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.00030415	0.000305221	+0.35%	0.00029505	-2.99%	0.0376	✗	0.32
2026-08-29	oos	0.00030385	0.000305093	+0.41%	0.00030415	+0.10%	0.0007	✓	0.33
2026-08-28	oos	0.0002997	0.000300997	+0.43%	0.00030385	+1.38%	0.0078	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.0003054	0.000306645	+0.41%	0.0002997	-1.87%	0.0126	✗	0.33
2026-08-26	oos	0.0002961	0.000297102	+0.34%	0.0003054	+3.14%	0.0224	✓	0.33
2026-08-25	oos	0.0002981	0.000298788	+0.23%	0.0002961	-0.67%	0.0109	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.00029095	0.000291636	+0.24%	0.0002981	+2.46%	0.0240	✓	0.36
2026-08-23	oos	0.0003022	0.000302539	+0.11%	0.00029095	-3.72%	0.0452	✗	0.38
2026-08-22	oos	0.0003231	0.00032247	-0.20%	0.0003022	-6.47%	0.0684	✓	0.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.00032075	0.000319494	-0.39%	0.0003231	+0.73%	0.0178	✗	0.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.0002986	0.000298274	-0.11%	0.00032075	+7.42%	0.0512	✗	0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.00029885	0.000298264	-0.20%	0.0002986	-0.08%	0.0151	✓	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.000285	0.000284939	-0.02%	0.00029885	+4.86%	0.0319	✗	0.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.00029165	0.000291521	-0.04%	0.000285	-2.28%	0.0234	✓	0.23
2026-08-16	oos	0.0002988	0.000298524	-0.09%	0.00029165	-2.39%	0.0298	✓	0.25
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003234	0.000321903	-0.46%	0.0002988	-7.61%	0.0738	✓	0.25
2026-08-14	oos	0.0002817	0.000281758	+0.02%	0.0003234	+14.80%	0.1377	✓	0.23
2026-08-13	oos	0.00031165	0.000311196	-0.15%	0.0002817	-9.61%	0.0978	✓	0.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003097	0.000309226	-0.15%	0.00031165	+0.63%	0.0078	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003284	0.0003275	-0.27%	0.0003097	-5.69%	0.0556	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.0003302	0.000329073	-0.34%	0.0003284	-0.55%	0.0011	✓	0.16
2026-08-09	oos	0.00032805	0.000326986	-0.32%	0.0003302	+0.66%	0.0130	✗	0.22
2026-08-08	oos	0.0003274	0.00032616	-0.38%	0.00032805	+0.20%	0.0060	✗	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003154	0.000314762	-0.20%	0.0003274	+3.80%	0.0393	✗	0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003193	0.000318722	-0.18%	0.0003154	-1.22%	0.0128	✓	0.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.00032445	0.000324214	-0.07%	0.0003193	-1.59%	0.0141	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.00032765	0.000327607	-0.01%	0.00032445	-0.98%	0.0118	✓	0.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.0003328	0.000332692	-0.03%	0.00032765	-1.55%	0.0175	✓	0.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.0003671	0.00036611	-0.27%	0.0003328	-9.34%	0.0953	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000309068	+0.05%	0.0003671	+18.84%	0.1700	✓	0.18
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003216	0.000321749	+0.05%	0.0003089	-3.95%	0.0406	✗	0.18
2026-07-30	oos	0.00033825	0.000338119	-0.04%	0.0003216	-4.92%	0.0458	✓	0.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003314	0.000331261	-0.04%	0.00033825	+2.07%	0.0194	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.0003409	0.000340622	-0.08%	0.0003314	-2.79%	0.0275	✓	0.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.00034305	0.000342679	-0.11%	0.0003409	-0.63%	0.0055	✓	0.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0003416	0.000341182	-0.12%	0.00034305	+0.42%	0.0106	✗	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003487	0.000348133	-0.16%	0.0003416	-2.04%	0.0206	✓	0.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003463	0.000345554	-0.22%	0.0003487	+0.69%	0.0088	✗	0.08
2026-07-23	oos	0.00038195	0.000380287	-0.44%	0.0003463	-9.33%	0.0931	✓	0.04
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003606	0.00035951	-0.30%	0.00038195	+5.92%	0.0615	✗	0.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.000374	0.000371113	-0.77%	0.0003606	-3.58%	0.0284	✓	0.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.0003359	0.000335982	+0.02%	0.000374	+11.34%	0.1078	✓	-0.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.00032715	0.000327388	+0.07%	0.0003359	+2.67%	0.0260	✓	-0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003441	0.00034427	+0.05%	0.00032715	-4.93%	0.0511	✗	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.00036585	0.000365963	+0.03%	0.0003441	-5.95%	0.0605	✗	-0.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003579	0.000358214	+0.09%	0.00036585	+2.22%	0.0212	✓	-0.03
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003639	0.000364338	+0.12%	0.0003579	-1.65%	0.0190	✗	-0.08
2026-07-14	oos	0.0003671	0.00036752	+0.11%	0.0003639	-0.87%	0.0102	✗	-0.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003881	0.000388097	-0.00%	0.0003671	-5.41%	0.0556	✓	-0.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.0003582	0.000358546	+0.10%	0.0003881	+8.35%	0.0806	✓	0.06
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003537	0.000354046	+0.10%	0.0003582	+1.27%	0.0117	✓	0.04
2026-07-10	oos	0.00033625	0.00033684	+0.18%	0.0003537	+5.19%	0.0491	✓	0.05
2026-07-09	oos	0.0003604	0.000361081	+0.19%	0.00033625	-6.70%	0.0724	✗	0.08
2026-07-08	oos	0.00037	0.000370839	+0.23%	0.0003604	-2.59%	0.0304	✗	0.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.000405	0.000405647	+0.16%	0.00037	-8.64%	0.0909	✗	0.06
2026-07-06	oos	0.00042735	0.000427887	+0.13%	0.000405	-5.23%	0.0545	✗	0.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0004051	0.000405812	+0.18%	0.00042735	+5.49%	0.0508	✓	0.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.0004127	0.000413542	+0.20%	0.0004051	-1.84%	0.0217	✗	0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.000419	0.00041969	+0.16%	0.0004127	-1.50%	0.0184	✗	0.18
2026-07-02	oos	0.0004073	0.000407888	+0.14%	0.000419	+2.87%	0.0238	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.0003873	0.000388111	+0.21%	0.0004073	+5.16%	0.0446	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.0004007	0.000401243	+0.14%	0.0003873	-3.34%	0.0417	✗	0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.00040025	0.000400881	+0.16%	0.0004007	+0.11%	0.0071	✓	0.27
2026-06-28	oos	0.0004086	0.00040911	+0.12%	0.00040025	-2.04%	0.0251	✗	0.28
2026-06-27	oos	0.000399	0.000399666	+0.17%	0.0004086	+2.41%	0.0245	✓	0.31
2026-06-26	oos	0.00041255	0.000413095	+0.13%	0.000399	-3.28%	0.0344	✗	0.30
2026-06-25	oos	0.00041245	0.000413098	+0.16%	0.00041255	+0.02%	0.0028	✗	0.30
2026-06-24	oos	0.0004483	0.000448523	+0.05%	0.00041245	-8.00%	0.0772	✗	0.32
2026-06-23	oos	0.0005133	0.000512434	-0.17%	0.0004483	-12.66%	0.1280	✓	0.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.00049685	0.000496475	-0.08%	0.0005133	+3.31%	0.0373	✗	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.0004866	0.000486537	-0.01%	0.00049685	+2.11%	0.0188	✗	0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.0006188	0.000614431	-0.71%	0.0004866	-21.36%	0.2265	✓	0.44
2026-06-19	oos	0.0005677	0.00056435	-0.59%	0.0006188	+9.00%	0.0874	✗	0.40
2026-06-18	oos	0.0006888	0.000670088	-2.72%	0.0005677	-17.58%	0.1699	✓	0.43
2026-06-17	oos	0.0006045	0.000582833	-3.58%	0.0006888	+13.95%	0.1797	✗	0.51
2026-06-16	oos	0.0003484	0.000350045	+0.47%	0.0006045	+73.51%	0.5604	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.00033705	0.00033881	+0.52%	0.0003484	+3.37%	0.0356	✓	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.0003429	0.00034468	+0.52%	0.00033705	-1.71%	0.0290	✗	0.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.0003593	0.000361019	+0.48%	0.0003429	-4.56%	0.0671	✗	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003568	0.000358645	+0.52%	0.0003593	+0.70%	0.0093	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0004005	0.000402003	+0.38%	0.0003568	-10.91%	0.1190	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003938	0.000395553	+0.45%	0.0004005	+1.70%	0.0148	✗	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.0004071	0.00040881	+0.42%	0.0003938	-3.27%	0.0343	✗	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0004564	0.000457464	+0.23%	0.0004071	-10.80%	0.1004	✗	0.74
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004662	0.000467188	+0.21%	0.0004564	-2.10%	0.0205	✗	0.75
2026-06-06	oos	0.0004529	0.000454361	+0.32%	0.0004662	+2.94%	0.0005	✓	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004608	0.000462303	+0.33%	0.0004529	-1.71%	0.0187	✗	0.62
2026-06-04	oos	0.0005039	0.000504397	+0.10%	0.0004608	-8.55%	0.0649	✗	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.0005097	0.00050985	+0.03%	0.0005039	-1.14%	0.0097	✗	0.56
2026-06-02	oos	0.0004586	0.000459362	+0.17%	0.0005097	+11.14%	0.1318	✓	0.69
2026-06-01	oos	0.0004863	0.000486135	-0.03%	0.0004586	-5.70%	0.0022	✓	0.83
2026-05-31	oos	0.000496	0.000495656	-0.07%	0.0004863	-1.96%	0.0074	✗	0.85
2026-05-30	oos	0.0005138	0.000513037	-0.15%	0.000496	-3.46%	0.0319	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0004875	0.000487078	-0.09%	0.0005138	+5.39%	0.0492	✗	0.76
2026-05-28	oos	0.0005483	0.000545496	-0.51%	0.0004875	-11.09%	0.1110	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.000479	0.000478473	-0.11%	0.0005483	+14.47%	0.1435	✗	0.67
2026-05-26	oos	0.0005493	0.000547695	-0.29%	0.000479	-12.80%	0.1237	✓	0.51
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005725	0.000571034	-0.26%	0.0005493	-4.05%	0.0288	✓	0.54
2026-05-24	oos	0.00058805	0.000586407	-0.28%	0.0005725	-2.64%	0.0260	✓	0.55
2026-05-23	oos	0.00058485	0.00058347	-0.24%	0.00058805	+0.55%	0.0055	✗	0.56
2026-05-22	oos	0.0005853	0.000584191	-0.19%	0.00058485	-0.08%	0.0078	✓	0.56
2026-05-21	oos	0.000587	0.000586275	-0.12%	0.0005853	-0.29%	0.0143	✗	0.58
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005868	0.000586523	-0.05%	0.000587	+0.03%	0.0003	✓	0.53
2026-05-19	oos	0.00059175	0.000591425	-0.05%	0.0005868	-0.84%	0.0127	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.0005995	0.000599231	-0.04%	0.00059175	-1.29%	0.0113	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.0005899	0.000590106	+0.03%	0.0005995	+1.63%	0.0190	✓	0.54
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005934	0.000594143	+0.13%	0.0005899	-0.59%	0.0023	✗	0.54
2026-05-15	oos	0.0006503	0.000650901	+0.09%	0.0005934	-8.75%	0.0866	✗	0.48
2026-05-14	oos	0.00060415	0.000605923	+0.29%	0.0006503	+7.64%	0.0845	✓	0.55
2026-05-13	oos	0.0006185	0.00062018	+0.27%	0.00060415	-2.32%	0.0377	✗	0.52
2026-05-12	oos	0.000628	0.000630204	+0.35%	0.0006185	-1.51%	0.0102	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.000715	0.000714554	-0.06%	0.000628	-12.17%	0.1208	✓	0.54
2026-05-10	oos	0.00061955	0.000621962	+0.39%	0.000715	+15.41%	0.1427	✓	0.58
2026-05-09	oos	0.0005873	0.000590412	+0.53%	0.00061955	+5.49%	0.0378	✓	0.55
2026-05-08	oos	0.0005998	0.00060253	+0.46%	0.0005873	-2.08%	0.0287	✗	0.53
2026-05-07	oos	0.0006156	0.000618192	+0.42%	0.0005998	-2.57%	0.0315	✗	0.55
2026-05-06	oos	0.000634	0.000636702	+0.43%	0.0006156	-2.90%	0.0274	✗	0.35
2026-05-05	oos	0.0006436	0.00064579	+0.34%	0.000634	-1.49%	0.0197	✗	0.19
2026-05-04	oos	0.0006481	0.000649244	+0.18%	0.0006436	-0.69%	0.0116	✗	0.22
2026-05-03	oos	0.0006428	0.000642976	+0.03%	0.0006481	+0.82%	0.0040	✓	0.24
2026-05-02	oos	0.0006444	0.000644705	+0.05%	0.0006428	-0.25%	0.0026	✗	0.24
2026-05-01	oos	0.0006384	0.000638554	+0.02%	0.0006444	+0.94%	0.0077	✓	0.25
2026-04-30	oos	0.0006505	0.000649987	-0.08%	0.0006384	-1.86%	0.0251	✓	0.29
2026-04-29	oos	0.0006306	0.000630474	-0.02%	0.0006505	+3.16%	0.0292	✗	0.28
2026-04-28	oos	0.000658	0.000657696	-0.05%	0.0006306	-4.16%	0.0399	✓	0.29
2026-04-27	oos	0.0007584	0.000756127	-0.30%	0.000658	-13.24%	0.1353	✓	0.27
2026-04-26	oos	0.0006143	0.000614294	-0.00%	0.0007584	+23.46%	0.2160	✗	0.31
2026-04-25	oos	0.0006453	0.0006442	-0.17%	0.0006143	-4.80%	0.0516	✓	0.31
2026-04-24	oos	0.00065425	0.00065311	-0.17%	0.0006453	-1.37%	0.0128	✓	0.31
2026-04-23	oos	0.0006497	0.000650198	+0.08%	0.00065425	+0.70%	0.0095	✓	0.31
2026-04-22	oos	0.00067115	0.000672106	+0.14%	0.0006497	-3.20%	0.0342	✗	0.31
2026-04-21	oos	0.0006797	0.000680038	+0.05%	0.00067115	-1.26%	0.0207	✗	0.31
2026-04-20	oos	0.00067895	0.000679426	+0.07%	0.0006797	+0.11%	0.0017	✗	0.33
2026-04-19	oos	0.0006767	0.000676739	+0.01%	0.00067895	+0.33%	0.0057	✗	0.33
2026-04-18	oos	0.0006167	0.000618177	+0.24%	0.0006767	+9.73%	0.0998	✓	0.36
2026-04-17	oos	0.0006849	0.000686063	+0.17%	0.0006167	-9.96%	0.1004	✗	0.35
2026-04-16	oos	0.0007269	0.000726506	-0.05%	0.0006849	-5.78%	0.0682	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.0006878	0.000687428	-0.05%	0.0007269	+5.68%	0.0543	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.0006938	0.0006928	-0.14%	0.0006878	-0.86%	0.0105	✓	0.37
2026-04-13	oos	0.0006568	0.000656097	-0.11%	0.0006938	+5.63%	0.0572	✗	0.38
2026-04-12	oos	0.000669	0.000668099	-0.13%	0.0006568	-1.82%	0.0369	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.000678	0.000676867	-0.17%	0.000669	-1.33%	0.0011	✓	0.40
2026-04-10	oos	0.0006807	0.000679453	-0.18%	0.000678	-0.40%	0.0026	✓	0.39
2026-04-09	oos	0.00064095	0.000640424	-0.08%	0.0006807	+6.20%	0.0547	✗	0.38
2026-04-08	oos	0.0006903	0.000688584	-0.25%	0.00064095	-7.15%	0.0755	✓	0.39
2026-04-07	oos	0.0006805	0.000678301	-0.32%	0.0006903	+1.44%	0.0220	✗	0.39
2026-04-06	oos	0.0006281	0.000627488	-0.10%	0.0006805	+8.34%	0.0661	✗	0.35
2026-04-05	oos	0.0006706	0.000668785	-0.27%	0.0006281	-6.34%	0.0620	✓	0.35
2026-04-04	oos	0.0006384	0.000637613	-0.12%	0.0006706	+5.04%	0.0423	✗	0.33
2026-04-03	oos	0.0005835	0.000584483	+0.17%	0.0006384	+9.41%	0.0867	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.00059785	0.000599165	+0.22%	0.0005835	-2.40%	0.0268	✗	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.0007258	0.000725142	-0.09%	0.00059785	-17.63%	0.1879	✓	0.29
2026-03-31	oos	0.0008132	0.000811031	-0.27%	0.0007258	-10.75%	0.1106	✓	0.29
2026-03-30	oos	0.0008181	0.00081536	-0.33%	0.0008132	-0.60%	0.0090	✓	0.29
2026-03-29	oos	0.0007707	0.000769348	-0.18%	0.0008181	+6.15%	0.0582	✗	0.27
2026-03-28	oos	0.0007611	0.00075962	-0.19%	0.0007707	+1.26%	0.0160	✗	0.27
2026-03-27	oos	0.0007675	0.000766166	-0.17%	0.0007611	-0.83%	0.0065	✓	0.27
2026-03-26	oos	0.0008237	0.000820506	-0.39%	0.0007675	-6.82%	0.0577	✓	0.25
2026-03-25	oos	0.000827	0.000823762	-0.39%	0.0008237	-0.40%	0.0095	✗	0.26
2026-03-24	oos	0.0009455	0.000938832	-0.71%	0.000827	-12.53%	0.1299	✓	0.29
2026-03-23	oos	0.001078	0.001059	-1.69%	0.0009455	-12.27%	0.1124	✓	0.29
2026-03-22	oos	0.0008176	0.000813701	-0.48%	0.001078	+31.81%	0.2762	✗	0.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.0008102	0.000806589	-0.45%	0.0008176	+0.91%	0.0153	✗	0.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.0007869	0.00078375	-0.40%	0.0008102	+2.96%	0.0360	✗	0.13
2026-03-19	oos	0.0008301	0.00082715	-0.36%	0.0007869	-5.20%	0.0510	✓	0.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.000844	0.00084051	-0.41%	0.0008301	-1.65%	0.0100	✓	0.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.0008544	0.000851435	-0.35%	0.000844	-1.22%	0.0036	✓	0.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.0008665	0.00086356	-0.34%	0.0008544	-1.40%	0.0089	✓	0.14
2026-03-15	oos	0.0008603	0.00085636	-0.46%	0.0008665	+0.72%	0.0082	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.000847	0.000842919	-0.48%	0.0008603	+1.57%	0.0178	✗	0.12
2026-03-13	oos	0.0008553	0.00085167	-0.42%	0.000847	-0.97%	0.0060	✓	0.11
2026-03-12	oos	0.0008518	0.000848147	-0.43%	0.0008553	+0.41%	0.0078	✗	0.11
2026-03-11	oos	0.0008565	0.000852972	-0.41%	0.0008518	-0.55%	0.0019	✓	0.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.0009532	0.000948722	-0.47%	0.0008565	-10.14%	0.1027	✓	0.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00092295	0.00091913	-0.41%	0.0009532	+3.28%	0.0342	✗	0.10
2026-03-08	oos	0.001003	0.000999374	-0.39%	0.00092295	-8.00%	0.0847	✓	0.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.0009919	0.000987986	-0.39%	0.001003	+1.14%	0.0182	✗	0.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.001065	0.001061	-0.43%	0.0009919	-6.90%	0.0654	✓	0.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.001085	0.001079	-0.54%	0.001065	-1.77%	0.0066	✓	0.15
2026-03-04	oos	0.001084	0.001077	-0.62%	0.001085	+0.06%	0.0106	✗	0.15
2026-03-03	oos	0.0009642	0.000959757	-0.46%	0.001084	+12.42%	0.1209	✗	0.01
2026-03-02	oos	0.0009868	0.000982245	-0.46%	0.0009642	-2.29%	0.0184	✓	0.01
2026-03-01	oos	0.001057	0.001053	-0.34%	0.0009868	-6.61%	0.0674	✓	0.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.001174	0.001168	-0.56%	0.001057	-10.02%	0.0993	✓	0.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.001293	0.00127	-1.73%	0.001174	-9.14%	0.0795	✓	0.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.00117	0.001149	-1.77%	0.001293	+10.46%	0.1199	✗	0.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.0007948	0.000793933	-0.11%	0.00117	+47.22%	0.3886	✗	0.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.000754	0.000758959	+0.66%	0.0007948	+5.41%	0.0460	✓	0.00
2026-02-23	oos	0.0008021	0.000806083	+0.50%	0.000754	-6.00%	0.0668	✗	0.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.0008279	0.000829895	+0.24%	0.0008021	-3.12%	0.0339	✗	0.00
2026-02-21	oos	0.0008661	0.000868185	+0.24%	0.0008279	-4.41%	0.0475	✗	0.00
2026-02-20	oos	0.000957	0.000958495	+0.16%	0.0008661	-9.50%	0.1014	✗	0.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001101	0.001102	+0.11%	0.000957	-13.08%	0.1423	✗	0.07
2026-02-18	oos	0.001148	0.00115	+0.19%	0.001101	-4.09%	0.0443	✗	0.07
2026-02-17	oos	0.001199	0.0012	+0.09%	0.001148	-4.25%	0.0433	✗	0.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.001202	0.001203	+0.04%	0.001199	-0.25%	0.0014	✗	0.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.001245	0.001245	+0.03%	0.001202	-3.45%	0.0355	✗	0.08
2026-02-14	oos	0.001165	0.001167	+0.18%	0.001245	+6.87%	0.0658	✓	0.08
2026-02-13	oos	0.001148	0.001152	+0.37%	0.001165	+1.48%	0.0101	✓	0.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.001191	0.001198	+0.63%	0.001148	-3.61%	0.0457	✗	0.07
2026-02-11	oos	0.001407	0.001413	+0.42%	0.001191	-15.35%	0.1585	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.001486	0.00149	+0.29%	0.001407	-5.32%	0.0313	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.001543	0.001545	+0.12%	0.001486	-3.69%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.001427	0.001433	+0.43%	0.001543	+8.13%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.001508	0.001515	+0.49%	0.001427	-5.37%	0.0749	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.001589	0.001595	+0.36%	0.001508	-5.10%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.001658	0.001675	+1.02%	0.001589	-4.16%	0.1689	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.001626	0.001631	+0.33%	0.001658	+1.97%	0.1668	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.001753	0.001753	+0.02%	0.001626	-7.24%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.001893	0.00189	-0.18%	0.001753	-7.40%	0.0361	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.001907	0.001907	-0.01%	0.001893	-0.73%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.002009	0.002006	-0.16%	0.001907	-5.08%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.002156	0.002147	-0.40%	0.002009	-6.82%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.002235	0.002226	-0.40%	0.002156	-3.53%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.002329	0.002315	-0.58%	0.002235	-4.04%	0.0182	✗	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.00229	0.002277	-0.58%	0.002329	+1.70%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.002304	0.002293	-0.47%	0.00229	-0.61%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.002421	0.00241	-0.44%	0.002304	-4.83%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.002488	0.002475	-0.53%	0.002421	-2.69%	0.0067	✗	1.00
2026-01-23	oos	0.002529	0.002514	-0.59%	0.002488	-1.62%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.002458	0.002444	-0.59%	0.002529	+2.89%	0.0342	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.