UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

39.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0582

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0026

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.036034	+0.23%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040217	+0.17%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1157	✗	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.044016	+0.15%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0764	✗	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.048112	+0.13%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0930	✗	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055952	+0.00%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1421	✗	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064996	-0.16%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1518	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064776	-0.04%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0050	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.228896	-8.75%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2541	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.058087	-0.02%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4581	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058765	-0.06%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0067	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.059045	-0.01%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0093	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059186	-0.02%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0000	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.05905	-0.08%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0037	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061486	-0.18%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0368	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.06169	-0.18%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0059	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063249	-0.24%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0289	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.061725	-0.28%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0262	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060739	-0.35%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0170	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065625	-0.57%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0697	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064522	-0.28%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0232	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066504	-0.07%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0283	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062955	+0.01%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0586	✓	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063212	+0.02%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0043	✗	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066946	-0.01%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0573	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077479	-0.16%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1486	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075799	-0.13%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0236	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077896	-0.07%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0251	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083526	-0.09%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0699	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088913	-0.10%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0616	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.093232	-0.13%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0521	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096543	-0.11%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0350	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097764	-0.29%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0141	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.098586	-0.32%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0058	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.098596	-0.71%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0048	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098886	-0.37%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0313	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.099509	-0.39%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0014	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098903	-0.45%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0136	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098886	-0.57%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0116	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099564	-0.34%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0079	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.099484	-0.32%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0012	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.099179	-0.32%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0066	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.099274	-0.43%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0063	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.099611	-0.24%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0092	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.10017	-0.18%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0040	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.100005	-0.19%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0002	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099808	-0.14%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0022	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.100222	-0.18%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0001	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.099587	-0.16%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0088	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.100347	-0.10%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0129	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.121758	-0.48%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1843	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.100098	-0.15%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2006	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.09939	-0.26%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0055	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.100883	-0.21%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0109	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.100522	-0.23%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0046	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.100427	-0.27%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0040	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.10059	-0.26%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0029	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.100168	-0.33%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0090	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100501	-0.40%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0010	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.10032	-0.48%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0048	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.100131	-0.61%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0097	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.099109	-0.74%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0181	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.098832	-0.67%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0073	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.099809	-0.49%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0131	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.100149	-0.10%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0183	✗	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.105552	+0.77%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0276	✗	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.105238	+0.90%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0036	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.131964	+0.47%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2317	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.139336	+0.21%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0595	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.139722	+0.16%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0047	✗	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.155304	+0.07%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1087	✗	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.1616	+0.15%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0404	✗	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.180761	+0.14%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1140	✗	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.205743	+0.05%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1322	✗	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.21283	+0.01%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0377	✗	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.236275	-0.14%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.1049	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.235056	-0.15%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0066	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.243626	-0.15%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0321	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.247383	-0.21%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0149	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.24461	-0.10%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0152	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.251806	-0.16%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0261	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.266368	-0.12%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0548	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.272937	-0.13%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0206	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.277796	-0.29%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0165	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.253544	+0.23%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.0911	✓	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.253673	+0.33%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0008	✓	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.2606	+0.21%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0301	✗	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.203893	-6.86%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.2435	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.285832	-0.75%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.2737	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.434833	+0.99%	0.288	-33.11%	0.4102	✗	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.551578	+1.06%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2477	✗	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.680057	+0.89%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2209	✗	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.902641	+0.60%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2956	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0123	+0.50%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1222	✗	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2448	+0.31%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2099	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.3035	-0.18%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6197	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3763	-0.20%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0291	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3559	-0.23%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0088	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2362	-0.18%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0542	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2763	-0.19%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0143	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.216	-0.22%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0293	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2398	-0.27%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0152	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2329	-0.25%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0094	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2237	-0.21%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0067	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2257	-0.17%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0021	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.214	-0.19%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0046	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.2102	-0.18%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0011	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.2103	-0.17%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0046	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1872	-0.13%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0139	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1786	-0.24%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0042	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1405	-0.18%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0187	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1327	-0.18%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0040	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1174	-0.23%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0062	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0885	-0.35%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0117	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0776	-0.30%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0044	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0752	-0.33%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0090	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0515	-0.43%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0128	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0191	-0.35%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0216	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	2.0056	-0.33%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0104	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9773	-0.44%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0167	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9578	-0.31%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0182	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9478	-0.25%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0133	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8925	-0.28%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0356	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.817	-0.11%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0414	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.8023	-0.10%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0121	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7918	-0.12%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0047	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7724	-0.15%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0103	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7847	-0.11%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0011	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7707	-0.08%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0121	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7677	-0.05%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0043	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7625	-0.06%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0019	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7499	-0.11%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0041	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7306	-0.08%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0096	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7164	-0.08%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0091	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7205	-0.10%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0093	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7096	-0.11%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0083	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7252	-0.13%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0032	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6803	-0.14%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0284	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6825	-0.17%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0106	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6839	-0.23%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0017	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6857	-0.21%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0136	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6719	-0.21%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0113	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6075	-0.20%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0577	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.723	-0.24%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0708	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6925	-0.26%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0196	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.694	-0.31%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0016	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6434	-0.30%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0337	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6337	-0.30%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0088	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6358	-0.32%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0010	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.617	-0.32%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0135	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.644	-0.35%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0161	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6112	-0.32%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0242	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.6073	-0.33%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0063	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.6024	-0.32%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5963	-0.34%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0346	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6558	-0.40%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6108	-0.38%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0224	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6679	-0.43%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5692	-0.52%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0713	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5316	-0.39%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0385	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5266	-0.36%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0192	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5133	-0.34%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5284	-0.40%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5168	-0.39%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5066	-0.33%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0259	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5097	-0.34%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5721	-0.35%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5459	-0.34%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5212	-0.36%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0172	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.617	-0.37%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6648	-0.39%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0319	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.635	-0.42%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0088	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7546	-0.43%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7477	-0.36%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0099	✗	1.00