TROLLSOL

? · · gru_s4

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,587

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3804

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0502

actual -0.0114

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.036778	0.034269	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.03529	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.031766	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.031756	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.033052	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.033382	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.033494	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.034768	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.034986	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.033576	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.036493	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.034916	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.035242	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.03455	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.036691	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.039058	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.039175	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.042083	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.040924	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.040922	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.042965	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.042668	-8.40%	–	pending	–	–	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.041884	-8.40%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.041117	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.042954	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.044613	-9.67%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.046833	-9.65%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.045847	-9.32%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.045395	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.055362	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.052883	-6.25%	0.036778	-34.80%	0.2600	✓	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.046775	-7.16%	0.037984	-24.61%	0.2579	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.044599	-6.49%	0.033794	-29.15%	0.2943	✓	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.04627	-6.46%	0.033843	-31.58%	0.3445	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.041272	-5.28%	0.035389	-18.78%	0.2994	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.040571	-4.82%	0.035893	-15.79%	0.2775	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.040919	-4.52%	0.036152	-15.64%	0.3109	✓	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.044973	-4.54%	0.037653	-20.08%	0.2735	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.044564	-4.37%	0.037875	-18.72%	0.3419	✓	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.046181	-4.32%	0.036243	-24.91%	0.3695	✓	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.046734	-4.09%	0.03961	-18.71%	0.3478	✓	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.045507	-3.68%	0.037829	-19.94%	0.3677	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.048153	-3.30%	0.038198	-23.29%	0.3528	✓	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.050369	-3.23%	0.037308	-28.33%	0.3911	✓	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.047555	-1.94%	0.039808	-17.92%	0.2958	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.051551	-1.02%	0.042549	-18.31%	0.3353	✓	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.060116	-2.49%	0.042647	-30.83%	0.5072	✓	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.072123	-5.92%	0.045871	-40.17%	0.6348	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.054482	-1.10%	0.044561	-19.11%	0.3040	✓	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.040566	-2.81%	0.044541	+6.72%	0.0910	✓	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.042053	-2.66%	0.046943	+8.66%	0.0816	✓	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.043573	-2.09%	0.04658	+4.66%	0.0483	✓	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.045736	-2.89%	0.045724	-2.91%	0.1326	✓	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.048902	-2.41%	0.044871	-10.45%	0.1990	✓	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.048622	-2.09%	0.047287	-4.78%	0.1713	✓	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.053449	-0.01%	0.049391	-7.60%	0.1667	✓	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.051722	-0.24%	0.051838	-0.02%	0.1053	✓	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.049603	+0.48%	0.05056	+2.41%	0.1009	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.051871	+1.32%	0.04971	-2.90%	0.1606	✗	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.052669	+1.23%	0.05964	+14.62%	0.0700	✗	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.055163	+0.86%	0.05641	+3.14%	0.1979	✗	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.059996	+1.59%	0.050383	-14.69%	0.2410	✗	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.047443	-1.38%	0.047696	-0.86%	0.1810	✓	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.045216	-5.58%	0.049463	+3.29%	0.2085	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.039196	-6.05%	0.043573	+4.44%	0.2096	✓	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.036917	-5.66%	0.042624	+8.92%	0.1740	✓	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.039425	-5.78%	0.042855	+2.41%	0.2897	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.036926	-5.48%	0.047112	+20.60%	0.1908	✓	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.035183	-5.12%	0.046599	+25.66%	0.1185	✓	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.03565	-5.22%	0.048266	+28.32%	0.0938	✓	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.036115	-5.33%	0.048729	+27.73%	0.1040	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.035348	-5.22%	0.047248	+26.68%	0.0851	✓	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.036634	-5.50%	0.049799	+28.46%	0.0781	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.037775	-5.64%	0.052052	+30.03%	0.0486	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.040783	-5.86%	0.048497	+11.94%	0.2106	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.036768	-5.13%	0.052082	+34.39%	0.1774	✓	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.035617	-4.60%	0.061653	+65.14%	0.0104	✓	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.037137	-4.47%	0.076665	+97.21%	0.2028	✗	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.036832	-4.21%	0.055088	+43.28%	0.2002	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.03645	-3.98%	0.041738	+9.95%	0.3752	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.036951	-3.83%	0.043203	+12.44%	0.3488	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.037369	-3.84%	0.044504	+14.52%	0.3770	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.037838	-3.84%	0.047096	+19.69%	0.3063	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.041228	-4.26%	0.050108	+16.37%	0.2824	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.042094	-4.03%	0.04966	+13.22%	0.3623	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.046138	-4.32%	0.053453	+10.85%	0.4642	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.041306	-3.39%	0.051848	+21.27%	0.3499	✓	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.04871	-4.15%	0.049368	-2.86%	0.4532	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.037489	-2.92%	0.051194	+32.58%	0.1952	✓	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.037038	-2.60%	0.052031	+36.83%	0.1277	✓	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.037642	-2.23%	0.054691	+42.05%	0.0359	✓	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.039414	-2.24%	0.059058	+46.48%	0.0031	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.043196	-2.64%	0.048109	+8.44%	0.1149	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.042204	-2.58%	0.047886	+10.54%	0.0177	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.042517	-2.47%	0.041719	-4.30%	0.0189	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.045107	-2.65%	0.039132	-15.55%	0.1309	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.040551	-2.02%	0.041845	+1.11%	0.0645	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.042758	-1.97%	0.039066	-10.44%	0.0674	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.046653	-2.09%	0.037082	-22.18%	0.1823	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.049599	-2.21%	0.037614	-25.84%	0.2344	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.04913	-2.15%	0.038149	-24.02%	0.2867	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.053475	-2.60%	0.037296	-32.07%	0.3544	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.052971	-2.63%	0.038765	-28.74%	0.3161	✓	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.050607	-2.36%	0.040031	-22.77%	0.2549	✓	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.05316	-2.65%	0.043324	-20.66%	0.2553	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.051411	-2.38%	0.038756	-26.41%	0.3681	✓	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.053813	-2.82%	0.037333	-32.58%	0.3954	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.057715	-3.23%	0.038876	-34.81%	0.4138	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.057651	-3.05%	0.038449	-35.34%	0.4197	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.062005	-3.53%	0.037962	-40.94%	0.5028	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.064337	-4.07%	0.038423	-42.71%	0.5463	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.062175	-4.06%	0.038862	-40.03%	0.5110	✓	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.059032	-4.00%	0.039347	-36.01%	0.4992	✓	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.05077	-3.06%	0.043061	-17.78%	0.3612	✓	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.05227	-3.98%	0.043863	-19.43%	0.2927	✓	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.048466	-4.29%	0.04822	-4.78%	0.1409	✓	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.051518	-5.47%	0.042755	-21.55%	0.3013	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.052423	-5.98%	0.05082	-8.85%	0.1924	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.049917	-5.82%	0.038615	-27.15%	0.3968	✓	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.051307	-6.07%	0.038026	-30.38%	0.3903	✓	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.057018	-6.79%	0.0385	-37.06%	0.4609	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.060944	-7.43%	0.040317	-38.76%	0.4710	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.063196	-7.64%	0.044366	-35.16%	0.4444	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.064851	-8.05%	0.043322	-38.58%	0.4297	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.061917	-7.89%	0.043592	-35.15%	0.3838	✓	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.061511	-7.94%	0.046336	-30.65%	0.3364	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.062999	-8.61%	0.041387	-39.96%	0.4051	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.067156	-9.34%	0.043618	-41.12%	0.3822	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.070016	-9.88%	0.047648	-38.67%	0.3431	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.073861	-10.27%	0.050717	-38.38%	0.3565	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.070678	-9.35%	0.050208	-35.61%	0.2832	✓	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.065235	-8.62%	0.054903	-23.09%	0.1778	✓	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.062067	-8.50%	0.054401	-19.80%	0.1374	✓	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.06061	-8.20%	0.051832	-21.49%	0.2306	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.065295	-8.86%	0.054605	-23.78%	0.2200	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.069709	-9.62%	0.052663	-31.72%	0.2582	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.066813	-9.32%	0.055374	-24.84%	0.1883	✓	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.065791	-9.21%	0.059639	-17.70%	0.1836	✓	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.061786	-9.02%	0.059466	-12.44%	0.1084	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.061896	-9.43%	0.064273	-5.95%	0.0579	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.068078	-10.44%	0.06707	-11.77%	0.0279	✓	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.062057	-10.11%	0.064804	-6.13%	0.1989	✗	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.066156	-11.24%	0.061492	-17.50%	0.2335	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.067641	-11.43%	0.052371	-31.42%	0.1513	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.075014	-12.10%	0.054438	-36.21%	0.0227	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.076009	-12.30%	0.050641	-41.57%	0.0488	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.067283	-11.45%	0.054499	-28.27%	0.1350	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.057117	-10.63%	0.055757	-12.76%	0.3509	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.073969	-12.17%	0.053004	-37.07%	0.0539	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.088748	-14.52%	0.05462	-47.39%	0.1449	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.092257	-15.45%	0.061169	-43.94%	0.1140	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.096265	-16.08%	0.065839	-42.61%	0.1202	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.085925	-16.03%	0.068421	-33.13%	0.0226	✓	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.096804	-17.07%	0.070529	-39.58%	0.0628	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.09546	-17.14%	0.067218	-41.66%	0.0777	✓	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.089909	-17.09%	0.066817	-38.38%	0.0236	✓	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.093656	-17.53%	0.068936	-39.29%	0.0687	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.091132	-17.54%	0.074075	-32.98%	0.0154	✓	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.094776	-17.79%	0.07769	-32.61%	0.0204	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.096677	-17.82%	0.082312	-30.03%	0.0937	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.106738	-18.51%	0.07797	-40.47%	0.0066	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.104264	-20.59%	0.071386	-45.63%	0.0839	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.084743	-18.80%	0.067829	-35.00%	0.1166	✓	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.094997	-19.84%	0.066021	-44.29%	0.0348	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.088866	-25.59%	0.071643	-40.01%	0.1904	✓	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.045162	-18.56%	0.077125	+39.08%	0.8119	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.041165	-17.29%	0.073677	+48.04%	0.8424	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.038408	-16.74%	0.072464	+57.09%	0.9410	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.043213	-16.36%	0.067914	+31.46%	0.7797	✗	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.036255	-15.61%	0.06834	+59.07%	0.8915	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.037625	-15.23%	0.076015	+71.27%	0.9438	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.040792	-20.05%	0.069034	+35.30%	0.7184	✗	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.02514	-9.47%	0.074536	+168.40%	1.2059	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.019542	-7.55%	0.07637	+261.29%	1.4362	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.015905	-6.88%	0.08534	+399.68%	1.7181	✗	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.016001	-7.04%	0.086672	+403.50%	1.7257	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.017888	-7.55%	0.075982	+292.71%	1.4891	✗	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.01652	-6.93%	0.063912	+260.05%	1.3993	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.019019	-7.58%	0.084221	+309.26%	1.5301	✗	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.019563	-8.41%	0.103826	+386.10%	1.6751	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.020461	-8.71%	0.10912	+386.86%	1.6813	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.020142	-8.22%	0.114713	+422.73%	1.7645	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.018824	-7.90%	0.102325	+400.64%	1.7352	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.018408	-8.41%	0.116733	+480.79%	1.8286	✗	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.019294	-8.30%	0.115211	+447.55%	1.7612	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.019609	-8.94%	0.108436	+403.56%	1.6577	✗	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.015333	-6.22%	0.113559	+594.51%	1.9797	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.014133	-4.59%	0.11052	+646.10%	2.0509	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.015733	-6.53%	0.115287	+584.89%	1.9340	✗	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.01498	-6.21%	0.117633	+636.54%	1.9787	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.014713	-6.17%	0.13098	+735.33%	2.0530	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.015269	-5.75%	0.1313	+710.49%	2.0580	✗	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.01387	-6.29%	0.10436	+605.09%	1.8246	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.015321	-5.57%	0.118506	+630.39%	1.8797	✗	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.015844	-5.74%	0.119429	+610.51%	1.8433	✗	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011351	-3.78%	0.055455	+370.12%	1.4216	✗	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.011477	-3.74%	0.049767	+317.40%	1.2959	✗	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.011802	-3.70%	0.04613	+276.39%	1.2118	✗	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.010711	-3.54%	0.051663	+365.26%	1.3360	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.010975	-3.88%	0.042961	+276.26%	1.1396	✗	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.011144	-3.87%	0.044384	+282.85%	1.1420	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.010983	-3.82%	0.051022	+346.78%	1.3081	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.011013	-3.85%	0.027771	+142.46%	0.6930	✗	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.011534	-4.28%	0.021138	+75.43%	0.4060	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.01181	-4.25%	0.017079	+38.46%	0.2042	✗	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.011545	-3.71%	0.017214	+43.57%	0.2124	✗	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.01144	-3.46%	0.019348	+63.27%	0.3101	✗	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.011853	-3.61%	0.017751	+44.35%	0.1760	✗	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.010923	-3.01%	0.020579	+82.73%	0.3819	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.010888	-2.75%	0.021359	+90.77%	0.4914	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.01191	-2.50%	0.022413	+83.47%	0.5087	✗	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.01204	-2.59%	0.021945	+77.55%	0.4445	✗	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012135	-2.45%	0.020439	+64.30%	0.3742	✗	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.011537	-2.59%	0.020099	+69.70%	0.3772	✗	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.012427	-2.68%	0.021041	+64.78%	0.3824	✗	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.013002	-2.45%	0.021534	+61.57%	0.4354	✗	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013285	-2.24%	0.016351	+20.32%	0.0878	✗	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.013809	-1.61%	0.014813	+5.54%	0.0458	✓	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.015116	-0.84%	0.016833	+10.42%	0.0835	✗	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.014643	-0.02%	0.015971	+9.05%	0.0878	✗	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.014516	-0.11%	0.01568	+7.90%	0.0494	✗	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.013725	-0.09%	0.0162	+17.93%	0.0992	✗	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013629	+0.19%	0.014801	+8.81%	0.0866	✓	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.013939	+0.21%	0.016225	+16.65%	0.0976	✓	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.013931	+0.32%	0.016809	+21.04%	0.1298	✓	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.01415	+0.35%	0.011796	-16.35%	0.2208	✗	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.013961	+0.18%	0.011923	-14.44%	0.2152	✗	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.013426	-0.02%	0.012256	-8.73%	0.2223	✓	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.014146	+0.33%	0.011104	-21.25%	0.2780	✗	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.014593	+0.72%	0.011418	-21.20%	0.2655	✗	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015587	+1.36%	0.011593	-24.61%	0.2158	✗	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.01565	+1.86%	0.01142	-25.67%	0.1893	✗	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.015393	+0.97%	0.011454	-24.87%	0.2608	✗	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.015205	+1.18%	0.012049	-19.82%	0.2156	✗	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.014702	+0.80%	0.012335	-15.43%	0.2365	✗	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.015311	+1.02%	0.01199	-20.89%	0.2386	✗	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.015292	+0.92%	0.01185	-21.79%	0.2575	✗	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.015825	+1.20%	0.012297	-21.36%	0.2222	✗	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.016681	+1.11%	0.011262	-31.73%	0.3510	✗	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015727	+0.96%	0.011196	-28.12%	0.4628	✗	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.01562	+1.42%	0.012216	-20.69%	0.4129	✗	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.016257	+1.95%	0.01236	-22.49%	0.3469	✗	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.017099	+1.85%	0.01244	-25.90%	0.3913	✗	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.019055	+0.94%	0.011844	-37.26%	0.4719	✗	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.017149	+1.58%	0.012769	-24.37%	0.3439	✗	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.016246	+1.90%	0.013328	-16.41%	0.3001	✗	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.015489	+2.41%	0.01359	-10.15%	0.1897	✗	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.015732	+2.54%	0.014035	-8.53%	0.1706	✗	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.015178	+2.86%	0.015245	+3.31%	0.1171	✗	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.017133	+1.89%	0.014646	-12.90%	0.2758	✗	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.015425	+2.53%	0.014532	-3.40%	0.1542	✗	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.014896	+2.72%	0.013737	-5.27%	0.2040	✗	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.015425	+2.55%	0.013603	-9.56%	0.2258	✗	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.015921	+2.25%	0.013909	-10.67%	0.1789	✗	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.016595	+1.69%	0.013887	-14.91%	0.1808	✗	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.01673	+1.37%	0.014101	-14.56%	0.1628	✗	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.01704	+1.00%	0.013936	-17.40%	0.1796	✗	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.017832	+0.29%	0.013428	-24.48%	0.1592	✗	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.01529	+1.54%	0.0141	-6.37%	0.2157	✗	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.017289	-0.17%	0.014489	-16.34%	0.0028	✗	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.017615	-0.58%	0.015377	-13.21%	0.0398	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.019837	-1.97%	0.015364	-24.07%	0.0476	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.017484	-0.89%	0.015245	-13.58%	0.1697	✗	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.017777	-0.88%	0.015028	-16.21%	0.1981	✗	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.018789	-1.88%	0.014585	-23.84%	0.4711	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.020142	-2.74%	0.015156	-26.82%	0.3985	✗	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.021648	-4.55%	0.015152	-33.19%	0.5591	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.023164	-5.37%	0.015637	-36.12%	0.4535	✗	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.021504	-4.87%	0.016497	-27.02%	0.5169	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.021082	-4.45%	0.015577	-29.40%	0.6053	✗	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.023055	-5.79%	0.015402	-37.07%	0.5626	✗	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.024736	-6.50%	0.015946	-39.73%	0.4253	✗	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.029355	-8.81%	0.016789	-47.85%	0.2915	✗	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.021609	-6.74%	0.018878	-18.53%	0.7019	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.017542	-4.21%	0.016883	-7.81%	0.7825	✗	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.021879	-6.92%	0.015944	-32.17%	0.6289	✗	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.023925	-7.23%	0.015125	-41.35%	0.4756	✗	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.024858	-7.00%	0.015343	-42.60%	0.4368	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.025301	-6.96%	0.014757	-45.73%	0.3855	✗	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.027279	-6.70%	0.016816	-42.48%	0.4134	✗	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.028927	-5.92%	0.015044	-51.07%	0.3263	✗	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.029946	-6.22%	0.014501	-54.59%	0.3303	✗	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.026783	-6.13%	0.015041	-47.29%	0.3281	✗	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.027884	-5.86%	0.015571	-47.43%	0.2452	✗	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.027417	-5.68%	0.01632	-43.85%	0.2403	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.028639	-5.93%	0.016504	-45.79%	0.2458	✗	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.030247	-6.39%	0.016871	-47.79%	0.2848	✗	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.029946	-6.67%	0.01778	-44.59%	0.3012	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.033612	-6.97%	0.015059	-58.32%	0.4677	✗	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.034902	-6.60%	0.017318	-53.66%	0.0995	✗	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.036853	-6.23%	0.017718	-54.92%	0.1080	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.031421	-5.14%	0.020235	-38.91%	0.0164	✓	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.030676	-4.73%	0.017641	-45.21%	0.0487	✓	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.02799	-4.17%	0.017935	-38.59%	0.0612	✓	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.024107	-3.30%	0.01915	-23.18%	0.1077	✓	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.02627	-3.62%	0.02071	-24.02%	0.0980	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.025908	-3.28%	0.022679	-15.34%	0.2045	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.02791	-3.59%	0.024479	-15.44%	0.1740	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.028097	-3.57%	0.022605	-22.42%	0.2327	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.028021	-3.49%	0.022063	-24.01%	0.2130	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.028094	-3.24%	0.024473	-15.71%	0.2047	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.028782	-3.09%	0.026456	-10.92%	0.1495	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.02965	-2.94%	0.032191	+5.38%	0.0154	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.032194	-3.12%	0.023171	-30.27%	0.3549	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.031627	-2.78%	0.018313	-43.70%	0.5357	✓	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.031637	-2.38%	0.023505	-27.47%	0.4251	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.033803	-2.19%	0.02579	-25.38%	0.4377	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.035165	-2.10%	0.02673	-25.58%	0.5759	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.036805	-1.98%	0.027192	-27.58%	0.5907	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.037507	-1.61%	0.029237	-23.30%	0.4853	✓	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.032252	-0.63%	0.030749	-5.26%	0.3637	✓	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.034979	-0.56%	0.031931	-9.23%	0.3068	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.038423	-0.57%	0.028533	-26.16%	0.3256	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.038702	-0.23%	0.029619	-23.64%	0.2854	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.035585	+1.01%	0.029067	-17.49%	0.1354	✗	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.032419	+1.54%	0.030445	-4.64%	0.0161	✗	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.035384	+1.51%	0.032313	-7.30%	0.0399	✗	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.033532	+1.35%	0.032088	-3.01%	0.0630	✗	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.027925	+1.20%	0.036131	+30.94%	0.1588	✓	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.026248	+1.20%	0.03737	+44.07%	0.2153	✓	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.029289	+1.41%	0.039302	+36.07%	0.2287	✓	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.029442	+2.04%	0.033125	+14.80%	0.1640	✓	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.034529	+2.09%	0.032199	-4.80%	0.0362	✓	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.033646	+2.03%	0.029207	-11.43%	0.0622	✗	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.030282	+2.13%	0.024929	-15.93%	0.2345	✗	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.035421	+2.36%	0.027256	-21.23%	0.1965	✗	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.036695	+2.60%	0.026787	-25.10%	0.1920	✗	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.039238	+2.63%	0.028949	-24.28%	0.2047	✗	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.040456	+2.90%	0.029139	-25.88%	0.2139	✗	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.042601	+2.76%	0.029035	-29.97%	0.2774	✗	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.043238	+2.40%	0.029036	-31.24%	0.3927	✗	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.043349	+2.46%	0.029699	-29.80%	0.3549	✗	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.039861	+2.63%	0.030548	-21.35%	0.2881	✗	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.038923	+2.39%	0.033229	-12.59%	0.3000	✗	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.036923	+2.57%	0.03253	-9.63%	0.2564	✗	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.039476	+2.15%	0.032407	-16.14%	0.2621	✗	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.038946	+2.22%	0.034559	-9.30%	0.0139	✓	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.040318	+1.80%	0.035919	-9.31%	0.1808	✓	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.033012	+2.16%	0.037548	+16.20%	0.3657	✓	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.036527	+1.99%	0.038119	+6.43%	0.2825	✓	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.037697	+1.95%	0.032456	-12.22%	0.1991	✓	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.036945	+2.60%	0.035177	-2.31%	0.1919	✓	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.045629	+1.40%	0.038643	-14.12%	0.1722	✓	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.047786	+1.09%	0.03879	-17.94%	0.1999	✓	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.048365	+1.07%	0.035229	-26.38%	0.0540	✓	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.057517	-0.83%	0.031928	-44.95%	0.1101	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.056514	-0.84%	0.034859	-38.84%	0.0693	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.048118	+0.34%	0.033084	-31.01%	0.0259	✓	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.051724	-0.54%	0.027594	-46.94%	0.1876	✓	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.043514	+0.74%	0.025938	-39.95%	0.1107	✗	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.050791	-0.29%	0.028883	-43.30%	0.0879	✓	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.051506	+0.17%	0.028854	-43.88%	0.2825	✗	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.05896	-1.46%	0.033821	-43.47%	0.1407	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.074501	-4.69%	0.032976	-57.81%	0.2680	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.075996	-4.77%	0.029651	-62.84%	0.2316	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.078485	-4.81%	0.034603	-58.03%	0.2498	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.079401	-4.53%	0.035765	-57.00%	0.2800	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.086875	-5.59%	0.038231	-58.45%	0.3016	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.089871	-6.30%	0.039315	-59.01%	0.2625	✓	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.094647	-6.53%	0.041459	-59.05%	0.2119	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.094778	-6.17%	0.042225	-58.20%	0.0939	✓	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.080923	-4.53%	0.042309	-50.09%	0.0339	✓	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.082792	-4.38%	0.03884	-55.14%	0.0519	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.081422	-4.05%	0.038014	-55.20%	0.0001	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.079082	-3.18%	0.035996	-55.93%	0.0978	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.085086	-3.78%	0.038646	-56.30%	0.1325	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.092708	-4.83%	0.038101	-60.89%	0.3346	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.091202	-4.65%	0.039606	-58.59%	0.3929	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.094631	-5.03%	0.032313	-67.57%	0.6370	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.082087	-3.58%	0.035815	-57.93%	0.4832	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.087592	-4.25%	0.036976	-59.58%	0.5146	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.093044	-5.06%	0.03601	-63.26%	0.5016	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.104826	-6.65%	0.044999	-59.93%	0.4989	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.116613	-8.47%	0.04727	-62.90%	0.5678	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.104744	-7.88%	0.047855	-57.91%	0.4845	✓	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.083862	-4.99%	0.057997	-34.29%	0.2600	✓	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.094228	-6.27%	0.056993	-43.31%	0.3286	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.115035	-10.82%	0.047953	-62.83%	0.5496	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.119586	-11.47%	0.052006	-61.50%	0.5246	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.110848	-12.35%	0.043195	-65.85%	0.6139	✓	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.124196	-12.64%	0.050941	-64.17%	0.5796	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.12296	-13.32%	0.051417	-63.75%	0.5311	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.125214	-13.98%	0.059831	-58.90%	0.4895	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.13967	-12.92%	0.078164	-51.26%	0.3980	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.143359	-13.06%	0.079799	-51.61%	0.4163	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.130333	-14.39%	0.082447	-45.84%	0.3028	✓	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.124492	-13.20%	0.083171	-42.01%	0.3021	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.137905	-13.86%	0.092022	-42.52%	0.3092	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.141909	-12.96%	0.095911	-41.17%	0.4082	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.123611	-10.47%	0.101254	-26.66%	0.2915	✓	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.14906	-12.30%	0.101013	-40.57%	0.4888	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.136043	-11.17%	0.084765	-44.65%	0.5276	✓	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.120382	-11.59%	0.086585	-36.41%	0.2736	✓	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.125596	-12.09%	0.084859	-40.60%	0.3436	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.121541	-11.74%	0.081677	-40.69%	0.2625	✓	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.09768	-8.90%	0.08843	-17.52%	0.1069	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.099688	-9.17%	0.097409	-11.25%	0.1336	✗	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.109076	-10.32%	0.095651	-21.36%	0.0901	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.110153	-10.89%	0.099645	-19.39%	0.2067	✗	3.47
2025-09-17	oos	0.141042	0.124077	-12.03%	0.085138	-39.64%	0.0586	✓	3.54

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.