STONKEX
The Stonks Exchange · Base · gru_s4
- token id
- #762
- symbol
- STONKEX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x5ab000ff9b9ffe0349ce5ffa5fd86f217c3680f5
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-06
- predictions
- 111
Track record at +1d
assessed
36
of 37 predictions shown
direction hit
58.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1235
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0045
actual -0.0156
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004745 | 0.004736 | -0.20% | – | pending | – | – | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004764 | -0.24% | 0.004745 | -0.63% | 0.0033 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00498 | 0.004963 | -0.33% | 0.004775 | -4.12% | 0.0719 | ✓ | 2.48 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0042 | 0.004204 | +0.08% | 0.00498 | +18.57% | 0.1747 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00435 | 0.004354 | +0.09% | 0.0042 | -3.45% | 0.0553 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004542 | 0.004544 | +0.04% | 0.00435 | -4.24% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005359 | 0.005339 | -0.37% | 0.004542 | -15.24% | 0.1428 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004943 | 0.00494 | -0.06% | 0.005359 | +8.42% | 0.0650 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.005723 | 0.005684 | -0.68% | 0.004943 | -13.62% | 0.0961 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004818 | 0.004826 | +0.15% | 0.005723 | +18.76% | 0.1354 | ✓ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005999 | 0.00594 | -0.98% | 0.004818 | -19.67% | 0.1651 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004738 | 0.004754 | +0.32% | 0.005999 | +26.59% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004928 | 0.004944 | +0.31% | 0.004738 | -3.86% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004987 | 0.005008 | +0.43% | 0.004928 | -1.17% | 0.0336 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005561 | 0.005562 | +0.02% | 0.004987 | -10.31% | 0.0774 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005852 | 0.005833 | -0.32% | 0.005561 | -4.98% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.76 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006299 | 0.006262 | -0.58% | 0.005852 | -7.10% | 0.0653 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007033 | 0.006961 | -1.03% | 0.006299 | -10.44% | 0.0911 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006914 | 0.00686 | -0.78% | 0.007033 | +1.71% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007618 | 0.007526 | -1.21% | 0.006914 | -9.23% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00807 | 0.007921 | -1.85% | 0.007618 | -5.60% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.005442 | 0.005468 | +0.49% | 0.00807 | +48.30% | 0.3738 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.005653 | 0.005676 | +0.40% | 0.005442 | -3.74% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.007443 | 0.007399 | -0.60% | 0.005653 | -24.05% | 0.2713 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.008706 | 0.008613 | -1.07% | 0.007443 | -14.50% | 0.1339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.007628 | 0.007573 | -0.73% | 0.008706 | +14.12% | 0.1389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.009231 | 0.009141 | -0.97% | 0.007628 | -17.36% | 0.1848 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.008653 | 0.008572 | -0.94% | 0.009231 | +6.68% | 0.0776 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.008165 | 0.008089 | -0.93% | 0.008653 | +5.98% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.011108 | 0.01098 | -1.15% | 0.008165 | -26.49% | 0.2749 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.009522 | 0.009417 | -1.10% | 0.011108 | +16.66% | 0.1698 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011372 | 0.011231 | -1.24% | 0.009522 | -16.27% | 0.2300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.010559 | 0.010388 | -1.62% | 0.011372 | +7.70% | 0.0914 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.007548 | 0.007542 | -0.08% | 0.010559 | +39.89% | 0.3320 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.009253 | 0.009225 | -0.30% | 0.007548 | -18.43% | 0.2582 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007736 | 0.007761 | +0.32% | 0.009253 | +19.61% | 0.1732 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007789 | 0.007817 | +0.36% | 0.007736 | -0.68% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.00 |