SOMI

Somnia · native · gru_s4

token id: #386
symbol: SOMI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-10-14
predictions: 1,071

Track record at +30d

assessed

320

of 357 predictions shown

direction hit

51.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1956

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0253

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.19005	0.182405	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-20	oos	0.1914	0.183706	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-19	oos	0.1878	0.179856	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-18	oos	0.1873	0.17905	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-17	oos	0.1926	0.18313	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-16	oos	0.20055	0.189863	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-15	oos	0.1998	0.188859	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-14	oos	0.20545	0.193079	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-13	oos	0.20605	0.194195	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-12	oos	0.2042	0.191448	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-11	oos	0.2049	0.192641	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-10	oos	0.20585	0.193069	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-09	oos	0.20265	0.189809	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-08	oos	0.2028	0.18915	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-07	oos	0.19975	0.186674	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-06	oos	0.2105	0.196032	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-05	oos	0.21625	0.200165	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-10-04	oos	0.21515	0.199248	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.21535	0.198684	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-02	oos	0.20175	0.186003	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-01	oos	0.2105	0.191123	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.22455	0.201381	-10.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.19985	0.178919	-10.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	0.202	0.179486	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-27	oos	0.21745	0.19122	-12.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-26	oos	0.2202	0.194673	-11.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.208	0.184919	-11.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.19865	0.176987	-10.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.1849	0.166531	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.1932	0.174395	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.1903	0.172833	-9.18%	0.19005	-0.13%	0.1318	✗	0.80
2026-09-20	oos	0.2023	0.179204	-11.42%	0.1914	-5.39%	0.0436	✓	1.02
2026-09-19	oos	0.20375	0.182163	-10.59%	0.1878	-7.83%	0.0230	✓	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.19565	0.176952	-9.56%	0.1873	-4.27%	0.0425	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.1741	0.159795	-8.22%	0.1926	+10.63%	0.1269	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.1611	0.150251	-6.73%	0.20055	+24.49%	0.2250	✗	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.1499	0.141299	-5.74%	0.1998	+33.29%	0.2682	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.14685	0.139129	-5.26%	0.20545	+39.90%	0.3486	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.1445	0.137101	-5.12%	0.20605	+42.60%	0.3309	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.1484	0.14054	-5.30%	0.2042	+37.60%	0.3196	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.1401	0.133934	-4.40%	0.2049	+46.25%	0.3486	✗	0.95
2026-09-10	oos	0.13355	0.128421	-3.84%	0.20585	+54.14%	0.3959	✗	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.13245	0.128997	-2.61%	0.20265	+53.00%	0.4003	✗	0.97
2026-09-08	oos	0.13245	0.129408	-2.30%	0.2028	+53.11%	0.4087	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.1326	0.130228	-1.79%	0.19975	+50.64%	0.3756	✗	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.1335	0.131833	-1.25%	0.2105	+57.68%	0.4030	✗	1.04
2026-09-05	oos	0.1245	0.123917	-0.47%	0.21625	+73.69%	0.4833	✗	1.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.1169	0.117434	+0.46%	0.21515	+84.05%	0.5235	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.1155	0.11802	+2.18%	0.21535	+86.45%	0.5587	✓	1.02
2026-09-02	oos	0.1098	0.110331	+0.48%	0.20175	+83.74%	0.5052	✓	1.11
2026-09-01	oos	0.1096	0.110668	+0.97%	0.2105	+92.06%	0.5392	✓	1.13
2026-08-31	oos	0.1207	0.121713	+0.84%	0.22455	+86.04%	0.5516	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.1094	0.111027	+1.49%	0.19985	+82.68%	0.5119	✓	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.1147	0.116797	+1.83%	0.202	+76.11%	0.4839	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.11645	0.118568	+1.82%	0.21745	+86.73%	0.5257	✓	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.1117	0.116826	+4.59%	0.2202	+97.14%	0.5810	✓	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.11225	0.11692	+4.16%	0.208	+85.30%	0.5104	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.1098	0.114683	+4.45%	0.19865	+80.92%	0.4731	✓	1.06
2026-08-24	oos	0.10745	0.113724	+5.84%	0.1849	+72.08%	0.4158	✓	1.06
2026-08-23	oos	0.11115	0.115936	+4.31%	0.1932	+73.82%	0.3981	✓	1.09
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.112805	+3.97%	0.1903	+75.39%	0.3961	✓	1.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.10995	0.115856	+5.37%	0.2023	+83.99%	0.5188	✓	1.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.10065	0.102635	+1.97%	0.20375	+102.43%	0.5709	✓	1.08
2026-08-19	oos	0.0948	0.092925	-1.98%	0.19565	+106.38%	0.5772	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.09025	0.085678	-5.07%	0.1741	+92.91%	0.5197	✗	1.14
2026-08-17	oos	0.09045	0.085619	-5.34%	0.1611	+78.11%	0.4416	✗	1.15
2026-08-16	oos	0.0912	0.086039	-5.66%	0.1499	+64.36%	0.3373	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.09485	0.088909	-6.26%	0.14685	+54.82%	0.2484	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.08945	0.084522	-5.51%	0.1445	+61.54%	0.3026	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.08925	0.084399	-5.43%	0.1484	+66.27%	0.3317	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.0868	0.082271	-5.22%	0.1401	+61.41%	0.2990	✗	1.19
2026-08-11	oos	0.0872	0.082611	-5.26%	0.13355	+53.15%	0.2615	✗	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.0894	0.084457	-5.53%	0.13245	+48.15%	0.2073	✗	1.20
2026-08-09	oos	0.091	0.085784	-5.73%	0.13245	+45.55%	0.2043	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0899	0.084808	-5.66%	0.1326	+47.50%	0.2084	✗	1.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.0887	0.083743	-5.59%	0.1335	+50.51%	0.2105	✗	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.08855	0.083504	-5.70%	0.1245	+40.60%	0.1398	✗	1.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0905	0.085333	-5.71%	0.1169	+29.17%	0.0624	✗	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.08355	0.078933	-5.53%	0.1155	+38.24%	0.1043	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.08455	0.079563	-5.90%	0.1098	+29.86%	0.0900	✗	1.18
2026-08-02	oos	0.0837	0.078753	-5.91%	0.1096	+30.94%	0.0978	✗	1.18
2026-08-01	oos	0.08345	0.078504	-5.93%	0.1207	+44.64%	0.1648	✗	1.18
2026-07-31	oos	0.08495	0.079822	-6.04%	0.1094	+28.78%	0.0646	✗	1.18
2026-07-30	oos	0.0843	0.079727	-5.42%	0.1147	+36.06%	0.1307	✗	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.08345	0.078962	-5.38%	0.11645	+39.54%	0.1546	✗	1.19
2026-07-28	oos	0.0882	0.083445	-5.39%	0.1117	+26.64%	0.0156	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.0901	0.085411	-5.20%	0.11225	+24.58%	0.0128	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.0977	0.093604	-4.19%	0.1098	+12.38%	0.0510	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.09785	0.0954	-2.50%	0.10745	+9.81%	0.1223	✓	1.17
2026-07-24	oos	0.096	0.094389	-1.68%	0.11115	+15.78%	0.0622	✓	1.17
2026-07-23	oos	0.09935	0.098823	-0.53%	0.1085	+9.21%	0.1050	✓	1.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.1004	0.101739	+1.33%	0.10995	+9.51%	0.1210	✗	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.10005	0.10226	+2.21%	0.10065	+0.60%	0.1251	✗	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.0976	0.098702	+1.13%	0.0948	-2.87%	0.1097	✗	1.14
2026-07-19	oos	0.0973	0.097372	+0.07%	0.09025	-7.25%	0.0759	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.09935	0.099291	-0.06%	0.09045	-8.96%	0.0877	✓	1.13
2026-07-17	oos	0.0993	0.099306	+0.01%	0.0912	-8.16%	0.0656	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.10055	0.101006	+0.45%	0.09485	-5.67%	0.0488	✗	1.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.1027	0.103953	+1.22%	0.08945	-12.90%	0.1175	✗	1.20
2026-07-14	oos	0.1023	0.104211	+1.87%	0.08925	-12.76%	0.1255	✗	1.21
2026-07-13	oos	0.1019	0.103123	+1.20%	0.0868	-14.82%	0.1957	✗	1.28
2026-07-12	oos	0.1017	0.103692	+1.96%	0.0872	-14.26%	0.1689	✗	1.31
2026-07-11	oos	0.1028	0.104658	+1.81%	0.0894	-13.04%	0.1604	✗	1.31
2026-07-10	oos	0.10435	0.106162	+1.74%	0.091	-12.79%	0.1686	✗	1.30
2026-07-09	oos	0.10405	0.10576	+1.64%	0.0899	-13.60%	0.1979	✗	1.31
2026-07-08	oos	0.1037	0.105745	+1.97%	0.0887	-14.46%	0.2311	✗	1.32
2026-07-07	oos	0.11365	0.115761	+1.86%	0.08855	-22.09%	0.2871	✗	1.29
2026-07-06	oos	0.118	0.120465	+2.09%	0.0905	-23.31%	0.2981	✗	1.29
2026-07-05	oos	0.10575	0.108987	+3.06%	0.08355	-20.99%	0.2745	✗	1.19
2026-07-04	oos	0.1049	0.107999	+2.95%	0.08455	-19.40%	0.2519	✗	1.19
2026-07-03	oos	0.10595	0.109107	+2.98%	0.0837	-21.00%	0.2839	✗	1.21
2026-07-02	oos	0.1016	0.104919	+3.27%	0.08345	-17.86%	0.2537	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.0994	0.102139	+2.76%	0.08495	-14.54%	0.2405	✗	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.09435	0.096501	+2.28%	0.0843	-10.65%	0.2533	✗	1.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.1003	0.102743	+2.44%	0.08345	-16.80%	0.2774	✗	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.09985	0.102205	+2.36%	0.0882	-11.67%	0.2290	✗	1.15
2026-06-27	oos	0.0995	0.101868	+2.38%	0.0901	-9.45%	0.1934	✗	1.16
2026-06-26	oos	0.0997	0.101887	+2.19%	0.0977	-2.01%	0.1411	✗	1.16
2026-06-25	oos	0.09915	0.101061	+1.93%	0.09785	-1.31%	0.1184	✗	1.16
2026-06-24	oos	0.0992	0.101249	+2.07%	0.096	-3.23%	0.1102	✗	1.15
2026-06-23	oos	0.1008	0.103107	+2.29%	0.09935	-1.44%	0.0813	✗	1.17
2026-06-22	oos	0.1048	0.107081	+2.18%	0.1004	-4.20%	0.1029	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.10665	0.108646	+1.87%	0.10005	-6.19%	0.1423	✗	1.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.11235	0.113989	+1.46%	0.0976	-13.13%	0.1723	✗	1.12
2026-06-19	oos	0.1128	0.114302	+1.33%	0.0973	-13.74%	0.1823	✗	1.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.11	0.111752	+1.59%	0.09935	-9.68%	0.1510	✗	1.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.1145	0.115818	+1.15%	0.0993	-13.28%	0.1444	✗	1.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.11085	0.112073	+1.10%	0.10055	-9.29%	0.0762	✗	1.13
2026-06-15	oos	0.1116	0.112528	+0.83%	0.1027	-7.97%	0.0644	✗	1.13
2026-06-14	oos	0.1138	0.114389	+0.52%	0.1023	-10.11%	0.0992	✗	1.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.11345	0.113884	+0.38%	0.1019	-10.18%	0.0719	✗	1.15
2026-06-12	oos	0.11005	0.110842	+0.72%	0.1017	-7.59%	0.0897	✗	1.14
2026-06-11	oos	0.1074	0.108067	+0.62%	0.1028	-4.28%	0.0537	✗	1.14
2026-06-10	oos	0.1007	0.102382	+1.67%	0.10435	+3.62%	0.0282	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.1061	0.107352	+1.18%	0.10405	-1.93%	0.0576	✗	1.10
2026-06-08	oos	0.1112	0.111691	+0.44%	0.1037	-6.74%	0.0598	✗	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.1111	0.11129	+0.17%	0.11365	+2.30%	0.0206	✓	1.07
2026-06-06	oos	0.1102	0.110693	+0.45%	0.118	+7.08%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1102	0.110689	+0.44%	0.10575	-4.04%	0.0848	✗	0.95
2026-06-04	oos	0.1235	0.122641	-0.70%	0.1049	-15.06%	0.1464	✓	0.87
2026-06-03	oos	0.1429	0.139393	-2.45%	0.10595	-25.86%	0.2537	✓	0.86
2026-06-02	oos	0.1373	0.134273	-2.20%	0.1016	-26.00%	0.2050	✓	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.1525	0.147324	-3.39%	0.0994	-34.82%	0.2581	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.15255	0.148138	-2.89%	0.09435	-38.15%	0.2670	✓	0.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.15195	0.147881	-2.68%	0.1003	-33.99%	0.2355	✓	0.75
2026-05-29	oos	0.15105	0.146869	-2.77%	0.09985	-33.90%	0.2160	✓	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.15165	0.147222	-2.92%	0.0995	-34.39%	0.2255	✓	0.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.15785	0.152483	-3.40%	0.0997	-36.84%	0.2483	✓	0.83
2026-05-26	oos	0.16095	0.157597	-2.08%	0.09915	-38.40%	0.2677	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.1683	0.167094	-0.72%	0.0992	-41.06%	0.3509	✓	0.72
2026-05-24	oos	0.1647	0.163282	-0.86%	0.1008	-38.80%	0.3420	✓	0.68
2026-05-23	oos	0.1718	0.169505	-1.34%	0.1048	-39.00%	0.3434	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.161	0.157425	-2.22%	0.10665	-33.76%	0.2604	✓	0.73
2026-05-21	oos	0.1711	0.168752	-1.37%	0.11235	-34.34%	0.2741	✓	0.70
2026-05-20	oos	0.1596	0.157745	-1.16%	0.1128	-29.32%	0.1931	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1572	0.154632	-1.63%	0.11	-30.03%	0.1965	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1602	0.157394	-1.75%	0.1145	-28.53%	0.1928	✓	0.71
2026-05-17	oos	0.1584	0.156765	-1.03%	0.11085	-30.02%	0.2288	✓	0.71
2026-05-16	oos	0.16635	0.164187	-1.30%	0.1116	-32.91%	0.2708	✓	0.70
2026-05-15	oos	0.1691	0.167318	-1.05%	0.1138	-32.70%	0.2572	✓	0.69
2026-05-14	oos	0.1771	0.176522	-0.33%	0.11345	-35.94%	0.2876	✓	0.67
2026-05-13	oos	0.1754	0.172252	-1.79%	0.11005	-37.26%	0.2951	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.18935	0.187407	-1.03%	0.1074	-43.28%	0.4033	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.19845	0.197862	-0.30%	0.1007	-49.26%	0.5175	✓	0.55
2026-05-10	oos	0.2003	0.200249	-0.03%	0.1061	-47.03%	0.4748	✓	0.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.1989	0.197561	-0.67%	0.1112	-44.09%	0.4361	✓	0.56
2026-05-08	oos	0.2008	0.198909	-0.94%	0.1111	-44.67%	0.4502	✓	0.56
2026-05-07	oos	0.19215	0.190571	-0.82%	0.1102	-42.65%	0.3943	✓	0.56
2026-05-06	oos	0.19205	0.193531	+0.77%	0.1102	-42.62%	0.3947	✗	0.58
2026-05-05	oos	0.18645	0.187547	+0.59%	0.1235	-33.76%	0.2459	✗	0.72
2026-05-04	oos	0.1846	0.184604	+0.00%	0.1429	-22.59%	0.0985	✗	0.71
2026-05-03	oos	0.1809	0.178309	-1.43%	0.1373	-24.10%	0.1408	✓	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.1849	0.181756	-1.70%	0.1525	-17.52%	0.1022	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	0.1838	0.180234	-1.94%	0.15255	-17.00%	0.1177	✓	0.80
2026-04-30	oos	0.18825	0.180811	-3.95%	0.15195	-19.28%	0.1449	✓	0.86
2026-04-29	oos	0.1783	0.172235	-3.40%	0.15105	-15.28%	0.1041	✓	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.18035	0.174642	-3.16%	0.15165	-15.91%	0.1065	✓	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.1724	0.169426	-1.73%	0.15785	-8.44%	0.0330	✓	0.94
2026-04-26	oos	0.1829	0.179295	-1.97%	0.16095	-12.00%	0.0737	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.1811	0.175688	-2.99%	0.1683	-7.07%	0.0382	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.17125	0.167188	-2.37%	0.1647	-3.82%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.16895	0.166195	-1.63%	0.1718	+1.69%	0.0540	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.1679	0.164905	-1.78%	0.161	-4.11%	0.0117	✓	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.16895	0.164325	-2.74%	0.1711	+1.27%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.16645	0.161804	-2.79%	0.1596	-4.12%	0.0346	✓	0.99
2026-04-19	oos	0.16375	0.158356	-3.29%	0.1572	-4.00%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.17675	0.172684	-2.30%	0.1602	-9.36%	0.0906	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.18695	0.184413	-1.36%	0.1584	-15.27%	0.1560	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.1802	0.177735	-1.37%	0.16635	-7.69%	0.1036	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.1738	0.172446	-0.78%	0.1691	-2.70%	0.0729	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.1693	0.167819	-0.87%	0.1771	+4.61%	0.0329	✓	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.1695	0.168535	-0.57%	0.1754	+3.48%	0.0209	✓	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.1585	0.15578	-1.72%	0.18935	+19.46%	0.0737	✗	0.94
2026-04-11	oos	0.16385	0.163048	-0.49%	0.19845	+21.12%	0.0917	✗	0.94
2026-04-10	oos	0.16715	0.167165	+0.01%	0.2003	+19.83%	0.0689	✓	0.94
2026-04-09	oos	0.1607	0.160496	-0.13%	0.1989	+23.77%	0.1056	✗	0.94
2026-04-08	oos	0.15895	0.159177	+0.14%	0.2008	+26.33%	0.1194	✓	0.94
2026-04-07	oos	0.16325	0.162001	-0.77%	0.19215	+17.70%	0.0709	✗	0.93
2026-04-06	oos	0.16465	0.162712	-1.18%	0.19205	+16.64%	0.0025	✓	0.97
2026-04-05	oos	0.1669	0.164472	-1.45%	0.18645	+11.71%	0.0296	✓	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.1581	0.155026	-1.94%	0.1846	+16.76%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.1554	0.151826	-2.30%	0.1809	+16.41%	0.0219	✓	0.96
2026-04-02	oos	0.1546	0.151012	-2.32%	0.1849	+19.60%	0.0468	✗	0.96
2026-04-01	oos	0.1545	0.151298	-2.07%	0.1838	+18.96%	0.0600	✗	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.1563	0.152894	-2.18%	0.18825	+20.44%	0.0994	✗	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.1541	0.149704	-2.85%	0.1783	+15.70%	0.0516	✗	0.97
2026-03-29	oos	0.1495	0.145269	-2.83%	0.18035	+20.64%	0.0753	✗	0.97
2026-03-28	oos	0.1532	0.148704	-2.93%	0.1724	+12.53%	0.0010	✓	0.97
2026-03-27	oos	0.1561	0.151686	-2.83%	0.1829	+17.17%	0.0224	✓	0.97
2026-03-26	oos	0.1586	0.154766	-2.42%	0.1811	+14.19%	0.0381	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1676	0.163682	-2.34%	0.17125	+2.18%	0.0352	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1633	0.15896	-2.66%	0.16895	+3.46%	0.0396	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.1675	0.163	-2.69%	0.1679	+0.24%	0.0651	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1667	0.161481	-3.13%	0.16895	+1.35%	0.0697	✓	0.97
2026-03-21	oos	0.1737	0.169319	-2.52%	0.16645	-4.17%	0.1100	✓	0.97
2026-03-20	oos	0.1747	0.169921	-2.74%	0.16375	-6.27%	0.0818	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.1893	0.186767	-1.34%	0.1738	-8.19%	0.0713	✓	1.02
2026-03-14	oos	0.1838	0.179889	-2.13%	0.1695	-7.78%	0.1044	✓	1.02
2026-03-13	oos	0.1882	0.183267	-2.62%	0.1585	-15.78%	0.1425	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.1884	0.183341	-2.69%	0.16385	-13.03%	0.1478	✓	1.00
2026-03-11	oos	0.1875	0.183487	-2.14%	0.16715	-10.85%	0.1323	✓	1.00
2026-03-10	oos	0.182	0.178308	-2.03%	0.1607	-11.70%	0.1303	✓	1.02
2026-03-09	oos	0.1863	0.182215	-2.19%	0.15895	-14.68%	0.1758	✓	1.03
2026-03-08	oos	0.1983	0.193017	-2.66%	0.16325	-17.68%	0.2624	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.1883	0.184666	-1.93%	0.16465	-12.56%	0.1409	✓	1.12
2026-03-06	oos	0.1924	0.188248	-2.16%	0.1669	-13.25%	0.1348	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2008	0.197006	-1.89%	0.1581	-21.26%	0.1627	✓	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.1953	0.192707	-1.33%	0.1554	-20.43%	0.1228	✓	1.13
2026-03-03	oos	0.1898	0.18704	-1.45%	0.1546	-18.55%	0.1656	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.189	0.18709	-1.01%	0.1545	-18.25%	0.1790	✓	1.18
2026-03-01	oos	0.1907	0.187171	-1.85%	0.1563	-18.04%	0.2240	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.21555	0.210323	-2.42%	0.1541	-28.51%	0.3069	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.21115	0.206049	-2.42%	0.1495	-29.20%	0.3226	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.22225	0.216706	-2.49%	0.1532	-31.07%	0.3259	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.21835	0.213783	-2.09%	0.1561	-28.51%	0.2852	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.22035	0.214294	-2.75%	0.1586	-28.02%	0.3909	✓	1.27
2026-02-23	oos	0.1948	0.190803	-2.05%	0.1676	-13.96%	0.2526	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.2145	0.20943	-2.36%	0.1633	-23.87%	0.3003	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.20635	0.201812	-2.20%	0.1675	-18.83%	0.2380	✓	1.23
2026-02-20	oos	0.21495	0.210388	-2.12%	0.1667	-22.45%	0.2303	✓	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.20865	0.204824	-1.83%	0.1737	-16.75%	0.1991	✓	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.19505	0.192446	-1.33%	0.1747	-10.43%	0.1673	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.19215	0.189873	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-02-16	oos	0.196	0.193292	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-02-15	oos	0.20125	0.197404	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.2004	0.196945	-1.72%	0.1893	-5.54%	0.1237	✓	1.19
2026-02-13	oos	0.2005	0.196978	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.19225	0.188331	-2.04%	0.1838	-4.40%	0.1123	✓	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.18795	0.18414	-2.03%	0.1882	+0.13%	0.0475	✓	1.22
2026-02-10	oos	0.1709	0.167831	-1.80%	0.1884	+10.24%	0.0841	✗	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.17465	0.171275	-1.93%	0.1875	+7.36%	0.0886	✗	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.1788	0.173308	-3.07%	0.182	+1.79%	0.0548	✗	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.1801	0.173635	-3.59%	0.1863	+3.44%	0.0858	✗	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.1826	0.174814	-4.26%	0.1983	+8.60%	0.2130	✗	1.30
2026-02-05	oos	0.1695	0.164913	-2.71%	0.1883	+11.09%	0.0331	✗	1.45
2026-02-04	oos	0.1987	0.187583	-5.59%	0.1924	-3.17%	0.1462	✗	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.19995	0.188244	-5.85%	0.2008	+0.43%	0.1828	✗	1.81
2026-02-02	oos	0.21505	0.200421	-6.80%	0.1953	-9.18%	0.1223	✗	1.87
2026-02-01	oos	0.2026	0.190411	-6.02%	0.1898	-6.32%	0.2106	✗	1.81
2026-01-31	oos	0.2487	0.226255	-9.03%	0.189	-24.00%	0.0578	✓	1.78
2026-01-30	oos	0.2788	0.25168	-9.73%	0.1907	-31.60%	0.1611	✗	1.78
2026-01-29	oos	0.2493	0.230449	-7.56%	0.21555	-13.54%	0.3492	✗	1.79
2026-01-28	oos	0.2986	0.270041	-9.56%	0.21115	-29.29%	0.2606	✗	1.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.2379	0.225016	-5.42%	0.22225	-6.58%	0.4587	✗	1.69
2026-01-26	oos	0.2425	0.229094	-5.53%	0.21835	-9.96%	0.3980	✗	1.71
2026-01-25	oos	0.2492	0.23673	-5.00%	0.22035	-11.58%	0.4550	✗	1.75
2026-01-24	oos	0.3389	0.299823	-11.53%	0.1948	-42.52%	0.0685	✓	1.56
2026-01-23	oos	0.2033	0.199186	-2.02%	0.2145	+5.51%	0.5149	✗	1.57
2026-01-22	oos	0.1866	0.183703	-1.55%	0.20635	+10.58%	0.5483	✗	1.57
2026-01-21	oos	0.212	0.205174	-3.22%	0.21495	+1.39%	0.4782	✗	1.58
2026-01-19	oos	0.1996	0.193874	-2.87%	0.19505	-2.28%	0.5426	✗	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.2266	0.220643	-2.63%	0.20125	-11.19%	0.4304	✗	1.59
2026-01-15	oos	0.2304	0.22553	-2.11%	0.2004	-13.02%	0.3810	✗	1.59
2026-01-14	oos	0.2457	0.241333	-1.78%	0.2005	-18.40%	0.3470	✗	1.55
2026-01-13	oos	0.253	0.246775	-2.46%	0.19225	-24.01%	0.3357	✗	1.60
2026-01-12	oos	0.2473	0.238818	-3.43%	0.18795	-24.00%	0.2724	✗	1.66
2026-01-11	oos	0.2667	0.253948	-4.78%	0.1709	-35.92%	0.0701	✗	1.68
2026-01-10	oos	0.2529	0.242124	-4.26%	0.17465	-30.94%	0.0961	✗	1.66
2026-01-09	oos	0.2592	0.247093	-4.67%	0.1788	-31.02%	0.0978	✗	1.66
2026-01-08	oos	0.2654	0.25184	-5.11%	0.1801	-32.14%	0.1198	✗	1.66
2026-01-07	oos	0.2617	0.249761	-4.56%	0.1826	-30.23%	0.1160	✗	1.66
2026-01-06	oos	0.2794	0.265469	-4.99%	0.1695	-39.33%	0.2133	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	0.2635	0.249104	-5.46%	0.1987	-24.59%	0.1892	✗	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	0.258	0.243549	-5.60%	0.19995	-22.50%	0.1190	✗	1.66
2026-01-03	oos	0.258	0.243716	-5.54%	0.21505	-16.65%	0.1105	✗	1.67
2026-01-02	oos	0.2578	0.244622	-5.11%	0.2026	-21.41%	0.0736	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.2441	0.234948	-3.75%	0.2487	+1.88%	0.2562	✗	1.65
2025-12-31	oos	0.2436	0.236596	-2.88%	0.2788	+14.45%	0.2297	✗	1.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.2502	0.243581	-2.65%	0.2493	-0.36%	0.0977	✗	1.66
2025-12-29	oos	0.2501	0.243425	-2.67%	0.2986	+19.39%	0.1654	✗	1.67
2025-12-28	oos	0.2557	0.248787	-2.70%	0.2379	-6.96%	0.0681	✓	1.67
2025-12-27	oos	0.2561	0.249698	-2.50%	0.2425	-5.31%	0.0376	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.2454	0.240668	-1.93%	0.2492	+1.55%	0.0488	✗	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.2566	0.250847	-2.24%	0.3389	+32.07%	0.2648	✗	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.23927	-1.66%	0.2033	-16.44%	0.1980	✓	1.67
2025-12-23	oos	0.2566	0.250732	-2.29%	0.1866	-27.28%	0.3340	✓	1.68
2025-12-22	oos	0.2422	0.23684	-2.21%	0.212	-12.47%	0.1262	✓	1.70
2025-12-21	oos	0.2723	0.262333	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2025-12-20	oos	0.2728	0.26297	-3.60%	0.1996	-26.83%	0.3558	✓	1.71
2025-12-19	oos	0.2656	0.256357	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.70
2025-12-18	oos	0.2517	0.244658	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.70
2025-12-17	oos	0.2856	0.273735	-4.15%	0.2266	-20.66%	0.3611	✓	1.68
2025-12-16	oos	0.3231	0.302853	-6.27%	0.2304	-28.69%	0.4116	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	0.2964	0.281178	-5.14%	0.2457	-17.11%	0.3184	✓	1.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.2834	0.269317	-4.97%	0.253	-10.73%	0.1913	✓	1.64
2025-12-13	oos	0.2653	0.254372	-4.12%	0.2473	-6.78%	0.0458	✓	1.71
2025-12-12	oos	0.2628	0.252713	-3.84%	0.2667	+1.48%	0.0427	✗	1.71
2025-12-11	oos	0.2766	0.264323	-4.44%	0.2529	-8.57%	0.0037	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.2375	0.233045	-1.88%	0.2592	+9.14%	0.1340	✗	1.66
2025-12-09	oos	0.2415	0.235828	-2.35%	0.2654	+9.90%	0.1482	✗	1.66
2025-12-08	oos	0.223	0.218672	-1.94%	0.2617	+17.35%	0.1685	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	0.2124	0.209806	-1.22%	0.2794	+31.54%	0.2288	✗	1.60
2025-12-06	oos	0.2278	0.223476	-1.90%	0.2635	+15.67%	0.0820	✗	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.2304	0.227069	-1.45%	0.258	+11.98%	0.0886	✗	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.2435	0.239047	-1.83%	0.258	+5.95%	0.1033	✗	1.65
2025-12-03	oos	0.2543	0.24887	-2.14%	0.2578	+1.38%	0.0981	✗	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.239	0.234653	-1.82%	0.2441	+2.13%	0.0855	✗	1.61
2025-12-01	oos	0.2309	0.228601	-1.00%	0.2436	+5.50%	0.0392	✗	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.25605	0.252393	-1.43%	0.2502	-2.28%	0.0290	✗	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.2621	0.257911	-1.60%	0.2501	-4.58%	0.0408	✗	1.71
2025-11-28	oos	0.27995	0.273905	-2.16%	0.2557	-8.66%	0.0105	✓	1.72
2025-11-27	oos	0.2882	0.279238	-3.11%	0.2561	-11.14%	0.0190	✓	1.72
2025-11-26	oos	0.2832	0.275076	-2.87%	0.2454	-13.35%	0.0529	✓	1.72
2025-11-25	oos	0.2866	0.278562	-2.80%	0.2566	-10.47%	0.0789	✓	1.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.2745	0.267016	-2.73%	0.2433	-11.37%	0.0790	✓	1.88
2025-11-23	oos	0.26155	0.255386	-2.36%	0.2566	-1.89%	0.0084	✓	1.85
2025-11-22	oos	0.2711	0.264175	-2.55%	0.2422	-10.66%	0.1756	✓	1.98
2025-11-21	oos	0.2775	0.269612	-2.84%	0.2723	-1.87%	0.0717	✓	1.99
2025-11-20	oos	0.27065	0.262987	-2.83%	0.2728	+0.79%	0.0047	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.2846	0.273992	-3.73%	0.2656	-6.68%	0.0532	✗	2.25
2025-11-18	oos	0.29755	0.285963	-3.89%	0.2517	-15.41%	0.0600	✗	2.24
2025-11-17	oos	0.2904	0.279819	-3.64%	0.2856	-1.65%	0.1680	✗	2.23
2025-11-16	oos	0.29935	0.28648	-4.30%	0.3231	+7.93%	0.2778	✗	2.26
2025-11-15	oos	0.31415	0.298298	-5.05%	0.2964	-5.65%	0.2204	✗	2.26
2025-11-14	oos	0.31055	0.296744	-4.45%	0.2834	-8.74%	0.1111	✗	2.27
2025-11-13	oos	0.33765	0.316947	-6.13%	0.2653	-21.43%	0.0630	✓	2.44
2025-11-12	oos	0.3667	0.341453	-6.88%	0.2628	-28.33%	0.1433	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.35675	0.331604	-7.05%	0.2766	-22.47%	0.0742	✓	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.4079	0.377728	-7.40%	0.2375	-41.77%	0.3229	✓	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3969	0.36626	-7.72%	0.2415	-39.15%	0.2947	✓	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.39335	0.363368	-7.62%	0.223	-43.31%	0.3675	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.39905	0.365874	-8.31%	0.2124	-46.77%	0.4106	✓	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.34355	0.316027	-8.01%	0.2278	-33.69%	0.2010	✓	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3754	0.341852	-8.94%	0.2304	-38.63%	0.2439	✓	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.32925	0.302616	-8.09%	0.2435	-26.04%	0.1204	✓	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3453	0.315672	-8.58%	0.2543	-26.35%	0.0850	✓	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.3916	0.359898	-8.10%	0.239	-38.97%	0.2183	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4051	0.372991	-7.93%	0.2309	-43.00%	0.2362	✓	1.00
2025-10-31	oos	0.40815	0.376008	-7.88%	0.25605	-37.27%	0.1917	✓	1.00
2025-10-30	oos	0.3888	0.358528	-7.79%	0.2621	-32.59%	0.1373	✓	1.00
2025-10-29	oos	0.437	0.406215	-7.04%	0.27995	-35.94%	0.1813	✓	1.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.46135	0.428678	-7.08%	0.2882	-37.53%	0.1848	✓	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.47955	0.444479	-7.31%	0.2832	-40.94%	0.2188	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.5294	0.494459	-6.60%	0.2866	-45.86%	0.2740	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.52345	0.490148	-6.36%	0.2745	-47.56%	0.3446	✓	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.51695	0.483358	-6.50%	0.26155	-49.41%	0.3679	✓	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.5185	0.484837	-6.49%	0.2711	-47.71%	0.3187	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.