SODA

SODAX · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #607
symbol: SODA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-14
predictions: 180

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 60 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0745

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0103

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00903	0.008987	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-20	oos	0.00922	0.009174	-0.49%	0.00903	-2.06%	0.0145	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.009435	0.009373	-0.65%	0.00922	-2.28%	0.0226	✓	0.46
2026-10-18	oos	0.00924	0.009194	-0.50%	0.009435	+2.11%	0.0269	✗	0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.009955	0.009879	-0.76%	0.00924	-7.18%	0.0705	✓	0.47
2026-10-16	oos	0.00921	0.009157	-0.58%	0.009955	+8.09%	0.0843	✗	0.49
2026-10-15	oos	0.00979	0.009721	-0.70%	0.00921	-5.92%	0.0505	✓	0.47
2026-10-14	oos	0.009835	0.009767	-0.69%	0.00979	-0.46%	0.0009	✓	0.47
2026-10-13	oos	0.009835	0.009765	-0.71%	0.009835	+0.00%	0.0162	✗	0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.01042	0.010324	-0.92%	0.009835	-5.61%	0.0569	✓	0.51
2026-10-11	oos	0.009465	0.009389	-0.80%	0.01042	+10.09%	0.1187	✗	0.62
2026-10-10	oos	0.009	0.008934	-0.73%	0.009465	+5.17%	0.0520	✗	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.009095	0.009029	-0.73%	0.009	-1.04%	0.0059	✓	0.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.009145	0.009073	-0.79%	0.009095	-0.55%	0.0039	✓	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.009585	0.009492	-0.97%	0.009145	-4.59%	0.0258	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.00934	0.009267	-0.78%	0.009585	+2.62%	0.0515	✗	0.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.00901	0.008937	-0.81%	0.00934	+3.66%	0.0457	✗	0.68
2026-10-04	oos	0.009785	0.009685	-1.03%	0.00901	-7.92%	0.0665	✓	0.65
2026-10-03	oos	0.00857	0.008506	-0.74%	0.009785	+14.18%	0.1282	✗	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.00839	0.008343	-0.56%	0.00857	+2.15%	0.0252	✗	0.58
2026-10-01	oos	0.0089	0.008854	-0.52%	0.00839	-5.73%	0.0515	✓	0.56
2026-09-30	oos	0.0103	0.010249	-0.50%	0.0089	-13.59%	0.1505	✓	0.61
2026-09-29	oos	0.01182	0.011764	-0.48%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.1323	✓	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.013025	0.012962	-0.48%	0.01182	-9.25%	0.0935	✓	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.01418	0.014093	-0.61%	0.013025	-8.15%	0.0726	✓	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.013	0.012933	-0.52%	0.01418	+9.08%	0.0918	✗	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.01406	0.01398	-0.57%	0.013	-7.54%	0.0748	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01284	0.012781	-0.46%	0.01406	+9.50%	0.0974	✗	0.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0138	0.013718	-0.60%	0.01284	-6.96%	0.0662	✓	0.56
2026-09-22	oos	0.014495	0.014294	-1.38%	0.0138	-4.79%	0.0239	✓	0.53
2026-09-21	oos	0.012945	0.012769	-1.36%	0.014495	+11.97%	0.1295	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.010485	0.01043	-0.52%	0.012945	+23.46%	0.2089	✗	0.11
2026-09-19	oos	0.010525	0.010464	-0.58%	0.010485	-0.38%	0.0021	✓	0.11
2026-09-18	oos	0.009745	0.009705	-0.41%	0.010525	+8.00%	0.0806	✗	0.12
2026-09-17	oos	0.009605	0.009572	-0.34%	0.009745	+1.46%	0.0147	✗	0.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.00964	0.009609	-0.32%	0.009605	-0.36%	0.0006	✓	0.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.011075	0.011027	-0.43%	0.00964	-12.96%	0.1349	✓	0.07
2026-09-14	oos	0.011995	0.011935	-0.50%	0.011075	-7.67%	0.0771	✓	-0.07
2026-09-13	oos	0.01129	0.011247	-0.38%	0.011995	+6.24%	0.0664	✗	-0.12
2026-09-12	oos	0.012015	0.011966	-0.41%	0.01129	-6.03%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.012345	0.012297	-0.39%	0.012015	-2.67%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.011905	0.011869	-0.30%	0.012345	+3.70%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.012875	0.012835	-0.31%	0.011905	-7.53%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.015315	0.015176	-0.91%	0.012875	-15.93%	0.1624	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012585	0.01254	-0.36%	0.015315	+21.69%	0.2081	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.012795	0.012727	-0.53%	0.012585	-1.64%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.01463	0.014328	-2.06%	0.012795	-12.54%	0.1195	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.01162	0.011595	-0.22%	0.01463	+25.90%	0.2306	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.00913	0.0092	+0.76%	0.01162	+27.27%	0.2533	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.00859	0.008686	+1.11%	0.00913	+6.29%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.01134	0.011373	+0.29%	0.00859	-24.25%	0.2794	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.01109	0.011133	+0.39%	0.01134	+2.25%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.01266	0.012667	+0.06%	0.01109	-12.40%	0.1445	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.01401	0.014007	-0.02%	0.01266	-9.64%	0.0938	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0142	0.014193	-0.05%	0.01401	-1.34%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.01418	0.014195	+0.11%	0.0142	+0.14%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.014915	0.01492	+0.04%	0.01418	-4.93%	0.0666	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.01639	0.016387	-0.02%	0.014915	-9.00%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.01672	0.01672	+0.00%	0.01639	-1.97%	0.0142	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.017095	0.017092	-0.02%	0.01672	-2.19%	0.0380	✓	1.00