S

Sonic · native · gru_s4

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,431

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0846

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0119

actual -0.0146

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05664	0.053868	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-21	oos	0.055915	0.053338	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.054867	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.055867	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.049356	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.050222	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.052217	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.052952	-5.32%	0.05664	+1.28%	0.0324	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.051203	-5.45%	0.055915	+3.25%	0.0469	✓	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.053964	-5.52%	0.05751	+0.69%	0.0663	✗	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.053232	-5.73%	0.05861	+3.79%	0.0947	✗	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.056788	-6.69%	0.051685	-15.08%	0.0684	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.044706	-5.44%	0.052695	+11.45%	0.1872	✗	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.041526	-5.46%	0.054935	+25.07%	0.2954	✗	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.03653	-5.11%	0.055925	+45.28%	0.4196	✗	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.038664	-5.36%	0.054155	+32.55%	0.3614	✗	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.041312	-5.11%	0.057115	+31.19%	0.3571	✗	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.041432	-5.05%	0.05647	+29.41%	0.3647	✗	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.038697	-5.12%	0.06086	+49.22%	0.4923	✗	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.041064	-5.37%	0.04728	+8.95%	0.1678	✗	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.035953	-5.31%	0.043925	+15.68%	0.2291	✗	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.036616	-5.26%	0.038495	-0.40%	0.0964	✗	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.038592	-5.29%	0.040855	+0.27%	0.0613	✗	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.035645	-5.24%	0.043535	+15.74%	0.1706	✗	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.036812	-5.18%	0.043635	+12.39%	0.1349	✗	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.038322	-5.21%	0.040785	+0.88%	0.0307	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.037894	-5.14%	0.043395	+8.64%	0.1305	✗	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.039267	-5.20%	0.03797	-8.33%	0.0399	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.038932	-4.86%	0.03865	-5.55%	0.0143	✓	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.038348	-4.46%	0.040745	+1.51%	0.0732	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.041216	-4.94%	0.037615	-13.25%	0.0535	✓	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.037954	-3.90%	0.038825	-1.70%	0.0728	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.037955	-5.10%	0.04043	+1.09%	0.0012	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.032395	-3.34%	0.039945	+19.19%	0.1499	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.031255	-3.58%	0.04142	+27.78%	0.2209	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.026809	-0.71%	0.04092	+51.56%	0.2870	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.025913	+0.22%	0.04014	+55.25%	0.2999	✓	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.02557	+0.43%	0.04336	+70.31%	0.3586	✓	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.026845	+0.35%	0.039495	+47.64%	0.2558	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.026478	+0.50%	0.039995	+51.81%	0.3420	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.027479	-0.02%	0.033515	+21.94%	0.1349	✗	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.027099	+0.29%	0.032415	+19.97%	0.1195	✓	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.026566	+0.29%	0.027	+1.93%	0.0194	✓	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.028272	+0.11%	0.025855	-8.45%	0.0546	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.02957	-0.51%	0.02546	-14.33%	0.1031	✓	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.029884	-0.34%	0.02675	-10.79%	0.0960	✓	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030894	-0.28%	0.026345	-14.96%	0.1055	✓	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029799	-0.10%	0.027485	-7.86%	0.0420	✓	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029453	-0.26%	0.02702	-8.50%	0.0500	✓	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.028454	+0.69%	0.02649	-6.26%	0.0004	✓	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026365	-0.81%	0.02824	+6.25%	0.0527	✗	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027325	-1.14%	0.02972	+7.53%	0.0667	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.02763	-0.51%	0.029985	+7.98%	0.0735	✗	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.027406	-0.67%	0.03098	+12.29%	0.0811	✗	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.029995	-1.23%	0.02983	-1.78%	0.0291	✓	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.029489	-1.18%	0.02953	-1.04%	0.0258	✓	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.030312	-0.52%	0.02826	-7.25%	0.0845	✓	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.0315	-1.59%	0.02658	-16.96%	0.1434	✓	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.027358	-0.12%	0.02764	+0.91%	0.0275	✗	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.028513	-0.43%	0.02777	-3.02%	0.0200	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.027987	-0.61%	0.02759	-2.02%	0.0133	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.026959	-0.45%	0.03037	+12.15%	0.1011	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.028365	-0.68%	0.02984	+4.48%	0.0580	✗	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.0249	-0.64%	0.03047	+21.59%	0.1001	✗	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.022907	-1.43%	0.03201	+37.74%	0.1968	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.020854	-2.44%	0.02739	+28.14%	0.0761	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.021297	-2.49%	0.028635	+31.11%	0.0884	✗	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.021452	-2.31%	0.02816	+28.23%	0.0488	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.021769	-2.43%	0.02708	+21.38%	0.0079	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.02154	-2.36%	0.02856	+29.47%	0.0532	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.022087	-2.36%	0.02506	+10.79%	0.0216	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.021872	-2.27%	0.02324	+3.84%	0.0340	✓	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.022501	-2.17%	0.021375	-7.07%	0.0705	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.023037	-2.09%	0.02184	-7.18%	0.0628	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.023049	-1.96%	0.02196	-6.59%	0.0138	✓	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.02311	-1.99%	0.02231	-5.39%	0.0028	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.021316	-1.72%	0.02206	+1.71%	0.0677	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.021531	-1.69%	0.02262	+3.29%	0.0640	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021571	-1.64%	0.02238	+2.05%	0.0579	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.021964	-1.73%	0.023	+2.91%	0.0552	✗	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.022115	-1.84%	0.02353	+4.44%	0.0540	✗	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.021402	-1.69%	0.02351	+7.99%	0.0697	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.021065	-1.57%	0.02358	+10.19%	0.0741	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.020974	-1.58%	0.02169	+1.78%	0.0037	✓	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.021128	-1.69%	0.0219	+1.91%	0.0442	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.020816	-1.53%	0.02193	+3.74%	0.0392	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.021323	-1.56%	0.02235	+3.19%	0.0434	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.021342	-1.42%	0.02253	+4.06%	0.0583	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.023031	-1.62%	0.02177	-7.01%	0.0245	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.02311	-1.45%	0.0214	-8.74%	0.0498	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.023095	-1.30%	0.02131	-8.93%	0.0582	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.02372	-1.33%	0.02149	-10.61%	0.0931	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.024287	-1.33%	0.02114	-14.12%	0.1017	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.024209	-1.23%	0.02166	-11.63%	0.0661	✓	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.02482	-1.31%	0.02165	-13.92%	0.1102	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.023693	-1.12%	0.02341	-2.30%	0.0232	✓	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.024048	-0.88%	0.02345	-3.34%	0.0165	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.024578	-0.82%	0.0234	-5.57%	0.0525	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024714	-0.79%	0.02404	-3.49%	0.0509	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.025317	-0.60%	0.024615	-3.36%	0.0525	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025374	-0.45%	0.02451	-3.84%	0.0621	✓	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.02518	-0.32%	0.02515	-0.44%	0.0590	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.02525	-0.24%	0.02396	-5.33%	0.0711	✓	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025836	-0.19%	0.02426	-6.28%	0.0831	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025983	-0.18%	0.02478	-4.80%	0.0428	✓	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.025255	-0.08%	0.02491	-1.44%	0.0255	✓	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.025036	+0.06%	0.02547	+1.80%	0.0320	✗	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.02561	-0.04%	0.02549	-0.51%	0.0374	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.026604	-0.17%	0.02526	-5.22%	0.0170	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.027118	-0.23%	0.02531	-6.88%	0.0722	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.026654	-0.13%	0.025885	-3.02%	0.0435	✓	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.027048	-0.23%	0.02603	-3.98%	0.0710	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024933	+0.17%	0.025275	+1.55%	0.0203	✗	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.02312	+0.65%	0.02502	+8.92%	0.0339	✓	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022904	+0.94%	0.02562	+12.91%	0.0137	✓	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024541	+0.25%	0.02665	+8.86%	0.0071	✓	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.024225	+0.39%	0.02718	+12.64%	0.0339	✓	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.022426	+1.29%	0.02669	+20.55%	0.1109	✓	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.020659	+2.37%	0.02711	+34.34%	0.2210	✓	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.020569	+2.74%	0.02489	+24.33%	0.1544	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.021337	+2.14%	0.02297	+9.96%	0.0944	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.024	+1.01%	0.02269	-4.50%	0.0214	✓	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.025221	+0.66%	0.02448	-2.29%	0.0387	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.027103	+0.49%	0.02413	-10.53%	0.0456	✗	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.02806	+0.43%	0.02214	-20.76%	0.1583	✗	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.0308	+0.16%	0.02018	-34.37%	0.3566	✗	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.032783	-0.02%	0.02002	-38.94%	0.4310	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.032074	+0.07%	0.02089	-34.82%	0.3607	✗	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.032174	+0.04%	0.02376	-26.12%	0.2459	✗	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.032737	-0.01%	0.025055	-23.47%	0.2219	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.032275	+0.08%	0.02697	-16.37%	0.1309	✗	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.030884	+0.40%	0.02794	-9.17%	0.0960	✗	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.030709	+0.59%	0.03075	+0.72%	0.0026	✓	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.030762	+0.66%	0.03279	+7.30%	0.0780	✓	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.029812	+1.44%	0.03205	+9.05%	0.0099	✓	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.03193	+1.01%	0.03216	+1.74%	0.0738	✗	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.030307	+1.43%	0.03274	+9.57%	0.0096	✓	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.030258	+1.60%	0.03225	+8.29%	0.0130	✓	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.030228	+2.50%	0.03076	+4.31%	0.0625	✗	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.030417	+2.62%	0.03053	+3.00%	0.0521	✗	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.033652	+0.88%	0.03056	-8.39%	0.0914	✗	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.036997	+0.10%	0.02939	-20.48%	0.1763	✗	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.036976	-0.25%	0.03161	-14.73%	0.0521	✓	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.039718	-1.54%	0.02988	-25.93%	0.1277	✓	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.039081	-1.85%	0.02978	-25.21%	0.0734	✓	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.039668	-1.98%	0.02949	-27.13%	0.0498	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.039585	-1.82%	0.02964	-26.49%	0.0539	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.039645	-1.75%	0.03336	-17.32%	0.0075	✓	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.041979	-2.12%	0.03696	-13.83%	0.0581	✗	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.043555	-2.47%	0.03707	-17.00%	0.0006	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.044807	-2.72%	0.04034	-12.42%	0.0040	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.044198	-2.67%	0.03982	-12.31%	0.0472	✓	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.045513	-2.77%	0.04047	-13.54%	0.0698	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.044457	-2.61%	0.04032	-11.68%	0.0628	✓	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.046865	-3.05%	0.04035	-16.53%	0.0838	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.043366	-2.68%	0.04289	-3.75%	0.0403	✗	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.042513	-2.56%	0.04466	+2.36%	0.0644	✗	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.043365	-2.68%	0.04606	+3.37%	0.0553	✗	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.042799	-2.66%	0.04541	+3.27%	0.0662	✗	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.04427	-2.71%	0.04681	+2.87%	0.0792	✗	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.045557	-2.68%	0.04565	-2.48%	0.0606	✗	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.048215	-2.44%	0.04834	-2.19%	0.0587	✗	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.047209	-2.52%	0.04456	-7.99%	0.0290	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.04919	-2.20%	0.04363	-13.25%	0.0615	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.051933	-2.05%	0.04456	-15.96%	0.0853	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.053872	-2.05%	0.04397	-20.05%	0.1359	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.051465	-2.03%	0.045505	-13.37%	0.0874	✓	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.052839	-2.19%	0.04681	-13.35%	0.1057	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.048094	-1.56%	0.04942	+1.16%	0.0126	✓	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.048267	-1.15%	0.04843	-0.82%	0.0325	✗	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.044892	-0.86%	0.050295	+11.08%	0.1189	✗	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.043898	-1.00%	0.05302	+19.58%	0.1653	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.043087	-1.40%	0.055	+25.86%	0.1983	✗	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.043218	-1.28%	0.05253	+19.99%	0.1699	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.043499	-1.32%	0.05402	+22.55%	0.1913	✗	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.042286	-2.09%	0.048855	+13.12%	0.0924	✗	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.044098	-2.40%	0.04883	+8.07%	0.0222	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.04501	-2.19%	0.04528	-1.61%	0.0600	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.044801	-1.69%	0.04434	-2.70%	0.0462	✓	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.046134	-1.30%	0.0437	-6.50%	0.0526	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.045457	-1.59%	0.04378	-5.22%	0.0526	✓	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.045527	-1.75%	0.04408	-4.88%	0.0436	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.043449	-1.19%	0.04319	-1.77%	0.0234	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.042905	-1.23%	0.045185	+4.02%	0.0884	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.042254	-1.87%	0.04602	+6.87%	0.0858	✗	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.042312	-2.03%	0.04557	+5.51%	0.0516	✗	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.040521	-2.37%	0.04674	+12.61%	0.0688	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.04204	-1.77%	0.04619	+7.92%	0.0651	✗	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.046169	-1.83%	0.04634	-1.47%	0.0017	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.045185	-2.29%	0.04397	-4.92%	0.0743	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.041691	-2.25%	0.04344	+1.85%	0.0096	✓	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.03999	-2.32%	0.04306	+5.18%	0.0408	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.041876	-2.35%	0.04319	+0.71%	0.0094	✓	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.039324	-2.77%	0.041505	+2.62%	0.0047	✓	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.040945	-2.65%	0.0428	+1.76%	0.0030	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.041247	-2.41%	0.04703	+11.27%	0.0679	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.040549	-2.34%	0.046245	+11.38%	0.0784	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.040444	-2.24%	0.04265	+3.09%	0.0065	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.043048	-2.25%	0.04094	-7.04%	0.0861	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.039461	-2.13%	0.042885	+6.36%	0.0056	✓	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.039908	-2.21%	0.040445	-0.89%	0.0151	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.040795	-2.15%	0.04206	+0.89%	0.0656	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.04114	-2.07%	0.042265	+0.61%	0.0749	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.040971	-2.01%	0.04152	-0.69%	0.0701	✓	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.044555	-2.31%	0.04137	-9.30%	0.1242	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.040097	-1.99%	0.04404	+7.65%	0.0315	✗	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.039413	-1.76%	0.04032	+0.50%	0.0143	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.039202	-1.60%	0.04081	+2.43%	0.0136	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.040419	-1.68%	0.04169	+1.41%	0.0137	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.039628	-1.53%	0.04201	+4.39%	0.0475	✗	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.041447	-1.67%	0.04181	-0.81%	0.0418	✗	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.042718	-1.69%	0.04561	+4.97%	0.1206	✗	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.042901	-1.56%	0.04091	-6.13%	0.0073	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.04315	-1.53%	0.04012	-8.44%	0.0000	✓	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.041502	-1.33%	0.03984	-5.28%	0.0065	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.042506	-1.36%	0.04111	-4.60%	0.0133	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.043927	-1.33%	0.040245	-9.60%	0.0141	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.04401	-1.21%	0.04215	-5.39%	0.0231	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.044586	-1.02%	0.04345	-3.54%	0.0268	✓	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.048649	-1.12%	0.04358	-11.42%	0.0529	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.049242	-1.00%	0.04382	-11.90%	0.0494	✓	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.046166	-0.63%	0.04206	-9.47%	0.0078	✓	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.043517	-0.33%	0.04309	-1.31%	0.0298	✗	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.042462	-0.14%	0.04452	+4.70%	0.0549	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.042706	-0.16%	0.04455	+4.15%	0.0527	✗	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.041801	-0.07%	0.045045	+7.69%	0.0572	✗	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.04133	+0.05%	0.0492	+19.10%	0.1082	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.040145	+0.19%	0.04974	+24.13%	0.1066	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038715	+0.36%	0.04646	+20.44%	0.0640	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.038804	+0.45%	0.04366	+13.02%	0.0487	✓	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039849	+0.50%	0.04252	+7.24%	0.0161	✓	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.041684	+0.54%	0.042775	+3.17%	0.0319	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.042633	+0.57%	0.04183	-1.32%	0.0229	✓	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.041279	+0.58%	0.04131	+0.66%	0.0285	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.040673	+0.68%	0.04007	-0.82%	0.0077	✗	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.039594	+0.81%	0.038575	-1.78%	0.0300	✗	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.04039	+0.82%	0.03863	-3.57%	0.0501	✗	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.040294	+0.89%	0.03965	-0.73%	0.0594	✗	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.040919	+0.88%	0.04146	+2.22%	0.0505	✗	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.042957	+0.76%	0.04239	-0.57%	0.0996	✗	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.039548	+1.20%	0.04104	+5.02%	0.0454	✗	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.040187	+1.20%	0.0404	+1.74%	0.0738	✗	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.041674	+1.03%	0.039275	-4.79%	0.0242	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.043459	+0.93%	0.04006	-6.97%	0.0627	✗	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.043928	+0.96%	0.03994	-8.21%	0.0549	✗	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.043284	+1.15%	0.04056	-5.21%	0.0748	✗	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.044541	+1.16%	0.042635	-3.17%	0.0738	✗	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.049027	+0.79%	0.03908	-19.66%	0.1618	✗	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.049434	+0.74%	0.03971	-19.07%	0.1390	✗	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.048467	+0.93%	0.04125	-14.10%	0.1395	✗	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.050693	+0.64%	0.04306	-14.51%	0.1296	✗	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.046555	+1.23%	0.04351	-5.39%	0.0525	✗	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.045647	+1.75%	0.04279	-4.61%	0.0791	✗	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.04624	+1.78%	0.04403	-3.08%	0.0377	✗	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.041546	+2.70%	0.048645	+20.24%	0.1830	✓	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.042259	+2.75%	0.04907	+19.30%	0.1724	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.043347	+2.96%	0.04802	+14.06%	0.1301	✓	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.046801	+2.80%	0.05037	+10.64%	0.0633	✓	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.048728	+2.53%	0.04599	-3.23%	0.0264	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.044924	+6.51%	0.04486	+6.35%	0.0709	✗	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.049058	+2.70%	0.04543	-4.90%	0.0719	✓	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.05146	+1.86%	0.040455	-19.92%	0.0761	✗	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.05317	+1.25%	0.04113	-21.68%	0.0565	✗	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.051073	+2.47%	0.0421	-15.53%	0.0489	✗	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.053346	+2.04%	0.045525	-12.92%	0.0528	✓	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.061436	-0.17%	0.047525	-22.77%	0.0214	✗	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.061316	-0.13%	0.04218	-31.30%	0.0972	✗	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.067668	-1.27%	0.04777	-30.30%	0.0409	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.066598	-1.29%	0.05052	-25.12%	0.0208	✓	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.066649	-1.22%	0.052515	-22.17%	0.0608	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.065412	-0.76%	0.04984	-24.38%	0.0887	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.069283	-1.34%	0.05228	-25.55%	0.0899	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.069888	-1.36%	0.06154	-13.14%	0.0314	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.071073	-1.46%	0.061395	-14.88%	0.0581	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.071805	-1.46%	0.06854	-5.94%	0.0430	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.069974	-1.28%	0.06747	-4.81%	0.0504	✓	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.075329	-1.76%	0.06747	-12.01%	0.0367	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.075765	-1.86%	0.06591	-14.62%	0.0175	✓	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.079302	-2.15%	0.070225	-13.35%	0.0215	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.080339	-2.30%	0.07085	-13.84%	0.0259	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.080235	-2.41%	0.07213	-12.27%	0.0052	✓	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.084746	-2.46%	0.07287	-16.13%	0.0262	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.087226	-2.55%	0.07088	-20.81%	0.0879	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.079706	-2.47%	0.07668	-6.17%	0.0615	✓	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.082421	-2.39%	0.0772	-8.57%	0.1117	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.082986	-2.30%	0.08104	-4.59%	0.1032	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.085993	-2.21%	0.08223	-6.49%	0.1307	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.087469	-2.23%	0.08222	-8.10%	0.1392	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.089766	-2.27%	0.086885	-5.41%	0.1599	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.09519	-2.48%	0.08951	-8.30%	0.0987	✓	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.094614	-2.46%	0.08172	-15.75%	0.0862	✓	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.089602	-2.15%	0.08444	-7.79%	0.0456	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.081211	-1.72%	0.08494	+2.80%	0.0498	✗	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.081173	-1.63%	0.08794	+6.57%	0.0679	✗	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.079414	-1.45%	0.089465	+11.03%	0.0689	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.073102	-0.93%	0.09185	+24.47%	0.1461	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.076019	-1.11%	0.09761	+26.97%	0.1375	✗	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.074048	-0.87%	0.097	+29.85%	0.1236	✗	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.076819	-1.05%	0.09157	+17.96%	0.0967	✗	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.07644	-0.98%	0.08263	+7.03%	0.0171	✗	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.072198	-0.66%	0.08252	+13.54%	0.0755	✗	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.070967	-0.47%	0.08058	+13.02%	0.0926	✗	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.075263	-0.70%	0.07379	-2.64%	0.0173	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.071073	-0.29%	0.076875	+7.85%	0.0572	✗	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.073322	-0.50%	0.0747	+1.37%	0.0502	✗	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.075109	-0.54%	0.07763	+2.80%	0.0496	✗	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.077948	-0.63%	0.0772	-1.58%	0.0018	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.078942	-0.59%	0.07268	-8.48%	0.0649	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.07481	+0.16%	0.0713	-4.54%	0.0867	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.078688	-0.13%	0.07579	-3.81%	0.0689	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.08285	-0.53%	0.07128	-14.42%	0.1410	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.082804	-0.28%	0.07369	-11.26%	0.1644	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.086706	-0.69%	0.075515	-13.51%	0.1485	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.090712	-1.08%	0.07844	-14.46%	0.1031	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.089844	-0.94%	0.07941	-12.45%	0.0756	✓	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.093286	-1.20%	0.07469	-20.90%	0.0660	✓	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.094217	-1.14%	0.07879	-17.32%	0.0500	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.097435	-1.27%	0.08329	-15.60%	0.0514	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.095107	-1.02%	0.08304	-13.58%	0.0428	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.091331	-0.76%	0.08731	-5.13%	0.0033	✓	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.094974	-0.71%	0.0917	-4.13%	0.0566	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.095193	-0.57%	0.0907	-5.26%	0.0687	✓	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.100224	-1.00%	0.09442	-6.74%	0.0692	✓	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.10398	-1.13%	0.0953	-9.38%	0.0571	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.102328	-0.88%	0.09869	-4.41%	0.0659	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.095463	+0.16%	0.09609	+0.82%	0.0931	✗	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.103917	-0.70%	0.09203	-12.06%	0.1222	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.106938	-0.65%	0.09565	-11.14%	0.0767	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.110019	-0.73%	0.09574	-13.62%	0.1043	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.110728	-0.83%	0.10124	-9.32%	0.1066	✓	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.111291	-0.67%	0.10517	-6.13%	0.1209	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.112308	-0.36%	0.10324	-8.40%	0.1763	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.110936	-0.41%	0.09531	-14.44%	0.1047	✓	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.10448	+0.39%	0.10465	+0.56%	0.0813	✗	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.105362	+1.00%	0.10764	+3.18%	0.1273	✗	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.106631	+1.03%	0.11083	+5.01%	0.1015	✗	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.114493	+0.21%	0.11165	-2.28%	0.1378	✗	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.119896	-0.75%	0.11204	-7.25%	0.0438	✓	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.122605	-0.98%	0.11271	-8.97%	0.0521	✗	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.119133	-0.67%	0.11139	-7.13%	0.0271	✗	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.12444	-1.10%	0.10407	-17.29%	0.0025	✓	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.130402	-1.37%	0.10432	-21.10%	0.0442	✗	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.129762	-1.10%	0.10554	-19.56%	0.0274	✗	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.134504	-1.77%	0.11425	-16.56%	0.1668	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.138914	-1.98%	0.1208	-14.76%	0.1085	✗	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.137444	-1.96%	0.123815	-11.68%	0.1375	✗	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.148064	-2.35%	0.11994	-20.90%	0.1160	✗	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.150842	-2.11%	0.12583	-18.34%	0.0676	✗	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.162343	-2.70%	0.13222	-20.75%	0.0383	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.161728	-2.74%	0.1312	-21.10%	0.0042	✓	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.123831	-0.21%	0.13693	+10.35%	0.1381	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.124811	-0.48%	0.14172	+13.01%	0.1766	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.125603	+0.25%	0.14019	+11.89%	0.0745	✓	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.121904	-0.16%	0.15163	+24.19%	0.2322	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.138434	-1.48%	0.15409	+9.66%	0.2445	✗	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.141052	-1.24%	0.16684	+16.81%	0.3534	✗	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.136548	-0.77%	0.16628	+20.84%	0.3463	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.14311	-0.57%	0.12409	-13.78%	0.0291	✗	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.158203	-0.78%	0.12541	-21.34%	0.0879	✓	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.160523	-0.70%	0.12529	-22.50%	0.0236	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.166137	-0.69%	0.1221	-27.01%	0.1346	✓	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.173323	-0.88%	0.14051	-19.65%	0.1194	✓	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.165605	-0.79%	0.142825	-14.44%	0.1107	✓	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.164697	-0.73%	0.137605	-17.06%	0.1453	✓	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.162606	-0.69%	0.143925	-12.10%	0.0798	✓	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.160095	-0.38%	0.15944	-0.79%	0.0619	✓	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.164063	-0.72%	0.16166	-2.18%	0.1205	✓	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.171667	-1.34%	0.16729	-3.86%	0.1073	✓	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.174197	-1.25%	0.174865	-0.87%	0.1313	✓	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.171338	-0.88%	0.16693	-3.43%	0.1309	✓	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.170507	-0.59%	0.165915	-3.27%	0.1354	✓	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.178838	-1.19%	0.16373	-9.54%	0.1333	✓	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.185159	-1.78%	0.16071	-14.75%	0.0657	✓	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.196272	-2.23%	0.165255	-17.68%	0.0628	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.206601	-2.69%	0.174005	-18.05%	0.0641	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.192184	-2.28%	0.1764	-10.31%	0.0588	✗	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.177019	-0.92%	0.172865	-3.24%	0.0582	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.174689	-1.19%	0.171525	-2.98%	0.1340	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.266624	-2.44%	0.181	-33.77%	0.1857	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.278673	-2.16%	0.18851	-33.81%	0.2071	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.290284	-2.36%	0.20075	-32.48%	0.2435	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.276106	-1.88%	0.21232	-24.55%	0.1115	✓	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.269995	-1.88%	0.19667	-28.53%	0.1813	✓	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.272657	-1.97%	0.17866	-35.77%	0.2302	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.275626	-2.03%	0.1768	-37.16%	0.2918	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.272707	-2.05%	0.27329	-1.84%	0.0152	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.274764	-2.30%	0.28482	+1.28%	0.0405	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.247826	-1.83%	0.297305	+17.77%	0.0628	✗	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.24254	-1.77%	0.2814	+13.97%	0.0209	✓	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.241465	-1.88%	0.27518	+11.82%	0.0611	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.233048	-1.57%	0.27814	+17.48%	0.0441	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.235268	-1.60%	0.28135	+17.67%	0.0412	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.226697	-1.35%	0.27842	+21.16%	0.0022	✓	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.245636	-1.89%	0.28123	+12.33%	0.0435	✗	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.25085	-1.78%	0.25245	-1.16%	0.0305	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.245571	-1.67%	0.24691	-1.14%	0.0228	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.279435	-2.28%	0.246095	-13.94%	0.0766	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.282571	-2.29%	0.236765	-18.13%	0.0767	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.2898	-2.41%	0.2391	-19.48%	0.0934	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.302034	-2.65%	0.2298	-25.93%	0.1413	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.