RE

RE · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #279
symbol: RE
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-18
predictions: 351

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

116

of 117 predictions shown

direction hit

56.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0459

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0094

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.39085	0.389867	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.3878	0.386922	-0.23%	0.39085	+0.79%	0.0128	✗	0.93
2026-10-19	oos	0.38025	0.379467	-0.21%	0.3878	+1.99%	0.0099	✗	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.3807	0.37986	-0.22%	0.38025	-0.12%	0.0029	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.3939	0.392888	-0.26%	0.3807	-3.35%	0.0384	✓	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.4072	0.406194	-0.25%	0.3939	-3.27%	0.0294	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.41905	0.417887	-0.28%	0.4072	-2.83%	0.0194	✓	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.42225	0.421093	-0.27%	0.41905	-0.76%	0.0107	✓	0.85
2026-10-13	oos	0.43205	0.430827	-0.28%	0.42225	-2.27%	0.0045	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.42635	0.425162	-0.28%	0.43205	+1.34%	0.0021	✓	0.85
2026-10-11	oos	0.44755	0.446082	-0.33%	0.42635	-4.74%	0.0266	✓	0.80
2026-10-10	oos	0.4449	0.443476	-0.32%	0.44755	+0.60%	0.0016	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.4408	0.439497	-0.30%	0.4449	+0.93%	0.0086	✗	0.82
2026-10-08	oos	0.4381	0.436867	-0.28%	0.4408	+0.62%	0.0005	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.4626	0.460966	-0.35%	0.4381	-5.30%	0.0357	✓	0.79
2026-10-06	oos	0.4822	0.480092	-0.44%	0.4626	-4.06%	0.0166	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.5048	0.502452	-0.47%	0.4822	-4.48%	0.0393	✓	0.77
2026-10-04	oos	0.5176	0.514891	-0.52%	0.5048	-2.47%	0.0129	✓	0.78
2026-10-03	oos	0.50915	0.506691	-0.48%	0.5176	+1.66%	0.0052	✗	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	0.5062	0.503812	-0.47%	0.50915	+0.58%	0.0083	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.5149	0.512042	-0.56%	0.5062	-1.69%	0.0083	✓	0.78
2026-09-30	oos	0.4815	0.479519	-0.41%	0.5149	+6.94%	0.0601	✗	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.47595	0.473825	-0.45%	0.4815	+1.17%	0.0169	✗	0.81
2026-09-28	oos	0.46175	0.460117	-0.35%	0.47595	+3.08%	0.0322	✗	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.4892	0.487014	-0.45%	0.46175	-5.61%	0.0429	✓	0.87
2026-09-26	oos	0.49105	0.488865	-0.45%	0.4892	-0.38%	0.0002	✓	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.47765	0.475765	-0.39%	0.49105	+2.81%	0.0279	✗	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.4691	0.467445	-0.35%	0.47765	+1.82%	0.0248	✗	0.93
2026-09-23	oos	0.4464	0.445044	-0.30%	0.4691	+5.09%	0.0526	✗	0.94
2026-09-22	oos	0.4724	0.47069	-0.36%	0.4464	-5.50%	0.0321	✓	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.46815	0.466547	-0.34%	0.4724	+0.91%	0.0176	✗	1.12
2026-09-20	oos	0.45915	0.457892	-0.27%	0.46815	+1.96%	0.0572	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.46645	0.465063	-0.30%	0.45915	-1.57%	0.0117	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.459	0.457882	-0.24%	0.46645	+1.62%	0.0130	✗	1.25
2026-09-17	oos	0.444	0.443652	-0.08%	0.459	+3.38%	0.0425	✓	1.33
2026-09-16	oos	0.44075	0.44044	-0.07%	0.444	+0.74%	0.0041	✗	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.41745	0.417815	+0.09%	0.44075	+5.58%	0.0425	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.4368	0.437138	+0.08%	0.41745	-4.43%	0.0041	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.4253	0.4262	+0.21%	0.4368	+2.70%	0.0018	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.4416	0.442343	+0.17%	0.4253	-3.69%	0.0304	✗	1.48
2026-09-11	oos	0.4528	0.453293	+0.11%	0.4416	-2.47%	0.0272	✗	1.48
2026-09-10	oos	0.4323	0.433134	+0.19%	0.4528	+4.74%	0.0315	✓	1.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.4244	0.426033	+0.38%	0.4323	+1.86%	0.0489	✓	1.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.45435	0.455359	+0.22%	0.4244	-6.59%	0.0672	✗	1.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.462	0.463032	+0.22%	0.45435	-1.66%	0.0066	✗	1.51
2026-09-06	oos	0.4594	0.460772	+0.30%	0.462	+0.57%	0.0266	✓	1.53
2026-09-05	oos	0.4504	0.452014	+0.36%	0.4594	+2.00%	0.0065	✓	1.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.4372	0.439064	+0.43%	0.4504	+3.02%	0.0225	✓	1.53
2026-09-03	oos	0.4678	0.469258	+0.31%	0.4372	-6.54%	0.0411	✗	1.50
2026-09-02	oos	0.4633	0.463345	+0.01%	0.4678	+0.97%	0.0708	✗	1.61
2026-09-01	oos	0.4791	0.478645	-0.09%	0.4633	-3.30%	0.0307	✓	1.61
2026-08-31	oos	0.489	0.488614	-0.08%	0.4791	-2.02%	0.0044	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.4687	0.468128	-0.12%	0.489	+4.33%	0.0252	✗	1.60
2026-08-29	oos	0.4914	0.490801	-0.12%	0.4687	-4.62%	0.0345	✓	1.59
2026-08-28	oos	0.51565	0.514869	-0.15%	0.4914	-4.70%	0.0547	✓	1.59
2026-08-27	oos	0.5365	0.535989	-0.10%	0.51565	-3.89%	0.0109	✗	1.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.5266	0.526009	-0.11%	0.5365	+1.88%	0.0055	✓	1.61
2026-08-25	oos	0.5521	0.55129	-0.15%	0.5266	-4.62%	0.0561	✓	1.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.53905	0.538669	-0.07%	0.5521	+2.42%	0.0340	✗	1.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.5417	0.541215	-0.09%	0.53905	-0.49%	0.0303	✓	1.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.5018	0.501809	+0.00%	0.5417	+7.95%	0.0623	✓	1.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.5242	0.52401	-0.04%	0.5018	-4.27%	0.0168	✓	1.62
2026-08-20	oos	0.51015	0.508582	-0.31%	0.5242	+2.75%	0.1035	✓	1.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.5374	0.532858	-0.85%	0.51015	-5.07%	0.1654	✓	2.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.3976	0.396604	-0.25%	0.5374	+35.16%	0.1943	✗	1.59
2026-08-17	oos	0.4054	0.404413	-0.24%	0.3976	-1.92%	0.0220	✓	1.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.4192	0.418286	-0.22%	0.4054	-3.29%	0.0763	✓	1.75
2026-08-15	oos	0.4616	0.460016	-0.34%	0.4192	-9.19%	0.0879	✓	1.72
2026-08-14	oos	0.4469	0.445423	-0.33%	0.4616	+3.29%	0.0345	✗	1.72
2026-08-13	oos	0.44	0.438426	-0.36%	0.4469	+1.57%	0.0315	✗	1.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.4319	0.430359	-0.36%	0.44	+1.88%	0.0218	✗	1.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.41915	0.417669	-0.35%	0.4319	+3.04%	0.0368	✗	1.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.4086	0.407079	-0.37%	0.41915	+2.58%	0.0397	✗	1.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.40445	0.402708	-0.43%	0.4086	+1.03%	0.0409	✗	1.81
2026-08-08	oos	0.4089	0.406915	-0.49%	0.40445	-1.09%	0.0044	✓	1.81
2026-08-07	oos	0.38965	0.387903	-0.45%	0.4089	+4.94%	0.0522	✗	1.81
2026-08-06	oos	0.39565	0.393899	-0.44%	0.38965	-1.52%	0.0286	✓	1.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.38465	0.382848	-0.47%	0.39565	+2.86%	0.0426	✗	1.86
2026-08-04	oos	0.385	0.383264	-0.45%	0.38465	-0.09%	0.0124	✓	1.86
2026-08-03	oos	0.40515	0.40324	-0.47%	0.385	-4.97%	0.0638	✓	1.91
2026-08-02	oos	0.4209	0.418649	-0.53%	0.40515	-3.74%	0.0318	✓	1.91
2026-08-01	oos	0.4414	0.439028	-0.54%	0.4209	-4.64%	0.0652	✓	1.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.4421	0.439698	-0.54%	0.4414	-0.16%	0.0058	✗	1.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.44585	0.44259	-0.73%	0.4421	-0.84%	0.0621	✗	2.12
2026-07-29	oos	0.496	0.491368	-0.93%	0.44585	-10.11%	0.1265	✓	2.28
2026-07-28	oos	0.4515	0.448503	-0.66%	0.496	+9.86%	0.0989	✗	2.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.44995	0.44718	-0.62%	0.4515	+0.34%	0.0042	✓	2.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.4815	0.477134	-0.91%	0.44995	-6.55%	0.0011	✓	2.25
2026-07-25	oos	0.5458	0.539308	-1.19%	0.4815	-11.78%	0.1540	✓	2.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.5818	0.570809	-1.89%	0.5458	-6.19%	0.0532	✓	2.54
2026-07-23	oos	0.5535	0.541681	-2.14%	0.5818	+5.11%	0.1116	✗	2.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.4747	0.46416	-2.22%	0.5535	+16.60%	0.2242	✗	3.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.3954	0.393981	-0.36%	0.4747	+20.06%	0.2073	✗	3.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.375	0.375435	+0.12%	0.3954	+5.44%	0.0123	✗	3.24
2026-07-19	oos	0.3923	0.392402	+0.03%	0.375	-4.41%	0.0723	✗	3.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.3954	0.39586	+0.12%	0.3923	-0.78%	0.0032	✗	3.30
2026-07-17	oos	0.4476	0.446747	-0.19%	0.3954	-11.66%	0.1361	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.4905	0.488456	-0.42%	0.4476	-8.75%	0.0893	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.4868	0.484663	-0.44%	0.4905	+0.76%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.5268	0.523566	-0.61%	0.4868	-7.59%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.5264	0.524456	-0.37%	0.5268	+0.08%	0.0384	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.55705	0.553963	-0.55%	0.5264	-5.50%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.5811	0.57754	-0.61%	0.55705	-4.14%	0.0356	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.57485	0.571545	-0.57%	0.5811	+1.09%	0.0221	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.5845	0.58169	-0.48%	0.57485	-1.65%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.603	0.600453	-0.42%	0.5845	-3.07%	0.0419	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.6298	0.626481	-0.53%	0.603	-4.26%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.6573	0.653362	-0.60%	0.6298	-4.18%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.6457	0.641996	-0.57%	0.6573	+1.80%	0.0170	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.6332	0.62987	-0.53%	0.6457	+1.97%	0.0170	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.6217	0.618747	-0.48%	0.6332	+1.85%	0.0141	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.6877	0.684021	-0.53%	0.6217	-9.60%	0.1122	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.5835	0.582277	-0.21%	0.6877	+17.86%	0.1413	✗	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.6483	0.646694	-0.25%	0.5835	-10.00%	0.1271	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.7829	0.777066	-0.75%	0.6483	-17.19%	0.1536	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6058	0.604187	-0.27%	0.7829	+29.23%	0.2476	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.6924	0.689358	-0.44%	0.6058	-12.51%	0.1215	✓	1.00