POD
Dolphin · Base · gru_s4
- token id
- #186
- symbol
- POD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xed664536023d8e4b1640c394777d34abaff1df8f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-11
- predictions
- 252
Track record at +1d
assessed
81
of 84 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0986
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0059
actual +0.0082
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.5976 | 0.594171 | -0.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.5995 | 0.596609 | -0.48% | 0.5976 | -0.32% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.6579 | 0.653198 | -0.71% | 0.5995 | -8.88% | 0.1048 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.5335 | 0.532966 | -0.10% | 0.6579 | +23.32% | 0.1928 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.5441 | 0.543383 | -0.13% | 0.5335 | -1.95% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.608915 | -0.32% | 0.5441 | -10.93% | 0.1231 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.6536 | 0.650748 | -0.44% | 0.61085 | -6.54% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.7113 | 0.706824 | -0.63% | 0.6536 | -8.11% | 0.0681 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.7195 | 0.714395 | -0.71% | 0.7113 | -1.14% | 0.0134 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.66875 | 0.664726 | -0.60% | 0.7195 | +7.59% | 0.1061 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.68615 | 0.681381 | -0.69% | 0.66875 | -2.54% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.607213 | -0.60% | 0.68615 | +12.33% | 0.1622 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.59675 | 0.593032 | -0.62% | 0.61085 | +2.36% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.6003 | 0.596263 | -0.67% | 0.59675 | -0.59% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.5809 | 0.576952 | -0.68% | 0.6003 | +3.34% | 0.0221 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.66895 | 0.66429 | -0.70% | 0.5809 | -13.16% | 0.1042 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.73025 | 0.724719 | -0.76% | 0.66895 | -8.39% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.7983 | 0.791169 | -0.89% | 0.73025 | -8.52% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.87205 | 0.85981 | -1.40% | 0.7983 | -8.46% | 0.0621 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.78375 | 0.770082 | -1.74% | 0.87205 | +11.27% | 0.0976 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.56005 | 0.555533 | -0.81% | 0.78375 | +39.94% | 0.3405 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.42495 | 0.418437 | -1.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3388 | 0.334327 | -1.32% | 0.42495 | +25.43% | 0.2397 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.3664 | 0.360834 | -1.52% | 0.3388 | -7.53% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.3979 | 0.390725 | -1.80% | 0.3664 | -7.92% | 0.0590 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.352707 | -1.56% | 0.3979 | +11.05% | 0.0516 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.3161 | 0.312818 | -1.04% | 0.3583 | +13.35% | 0.1367 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.31685 | 0.313674 | -1.00% | 0.3161 | -0.24% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2885 | 0.286952 | -0.54% | 0.31685 | +9.83% | 0.0760 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.2564 | 0.256353 | -0.02% | 0.2885 | +12.52% | 0.1168 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2937 | 0.292586 | -0.38% | 0.2564 | -12.70% | 0.1369 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.3089 | 0.307378 | -0.49% | 0.2937 | -4.92% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.30325 | 0.30213 | -0.37% | 0.3089 | +1.86% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2928 | 0.292391 | -0.14% | 0.30325 | +3.57% | 0.0393 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.303058 | -0.18% | 0.2928 | -3.56% | 0.0347 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.3418 | 0.339614 | -0.64% | 0.3036 | -11.18% | 0.1215 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.3149 | 0.314051 | -0.27% | 0.3418 | +8.54% | 0.1140 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.302698 | -0.20% | 0.3149 | +3.82% | 0.0434 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2584 | 0.258337 | -0.02% | 0.3033 | +17.38% | 0.1765 | ✗ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2653 | 0.264672 | -0.24% | 0.2584 | -2.60% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.281237 | -0.18% | 0.2653 | -5.84% | 0.0707 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.3224 | 0.322172 | -0.07% | 0.28175 | -12.61% | 0.1392 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.3468 | 0.346642 | -0.05% | 0.3224 | -7.04% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.3219 | 0.321391 | -0.16% | 0.3468 | +7.74% | 0.0758 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.3456 | 0.344661 | -0.27% | 0.3219 | -6.86% | 0.0647 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.3517 | 0.349896 | -0.51% | 0.3456 | -1.73% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 2.15 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.34005 | 0.337795 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | 2.52 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.2972 | 0.295705 | -0.50% | 0.34005 | +14.42% | 0.1275 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3087 | 0.306947 | -0.57% | 0.2972 | -3.73% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.30163 | -0.55% | 0.3087 | +1.78% | 0.0912 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.3263 | 0.324102 | -0.67% | 0.3033 | -7.05% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 2.50 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.331735 | -0.80% | 0.3263 | -2.42% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 2.57 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2912 | 0.289604 | -0.55% | 0.3344 | +14.84% | 0.1851 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.3186 | 0.316209 | -0.75% | 0.2912 | -8.60% | 0.1153 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.2782 | 0.276769 | -0.51% | 0.3186 | +14.52% | 0.1151 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.2869 | 0.285306 | -0.56% | 0.2782 | -3.03% | 0.0423 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.3279 | 0.324925 | -0.91% | 0.2869 | -12.50% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 2.67 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2881 | 0.286345 | -0.61% | 0.3279 | +13.81% | 0.1626 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.3328 | 0.329451 | -1.01% | 0.2881 | -13.43% | 0.1590 | ✓ | 2.88 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.335376 | -1.42% | 0.3328 | -2.18% | 0.0677 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.2506 | 0.249273 | -0.53% | 0.3402 | +35.75% | 0.2735 | ✗ | 2.69 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.2836 | 0.280845 | -0.97% | 0.2506 | -11.64% | 0.1129 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.2301 | 0.229065 | -0.45% | 0.2836 | +23.25% | 0.1317 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.2123 | 0.211694 | -0.29% | 0.2301 | +8.38% | 0.0873 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213211 | -0.32% | 0.2123 | -0.75% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.2183 | 0.217432 | -0.40% | 0.2139 | -2.02% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.1647 | 0.165207 | +0.31% | 0.2183 | +32.54% | 0.2392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.1805 | 0.180862 | +0.20% | 0.1647 | -8.75% | 0.0906 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.20818 | -0.06% | 0.1805 | -13.35% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.263 | 0.261544 | -0.55% | 0.2083 | -20.80% | 0.2240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.2161 | 0.215832 | -0.12% | 0.263 | +21.70% | 0.2377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.2555 | 0.254137 | -0.53% | 0.2161 | -15.42% | 0.0946 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.2595 | 0.257885 | -0.62% | 0.2555 | -1.54% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.267978 | -0.79% | 0.2595 | -3.92% | 0.0295 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.2474 | 0.245694 | -0.69% | 0.2701 | +9.18% | 0.0892 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.2056 | 0.2049 | -0.34% | 0.2474 | +20.33% | 0.1905 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.1846 | 0.183942 | -0.36% | 0.2056 | +11.38% | 0.1222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.2346 | 0.233129 | -0.63% | 0.1846 | -21.31% | 0.2133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.2073 | 0.205542 | -0.85% | 0.2346 | +13.17% | 0.1508 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.2618 | 0.25999 | -0.69% | 0.2073 | -20.82% | 0.2300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-23 | oos | 0.2748 | 0.27259 | -0.80% | 0.2618 | -4.73% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-22 | oos | 0.205 | 0.202876 | -1.04% | 0.2748 | +34.05% | 0.2876 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | oos | 0.2729 | 0.271263 | -0.60% | 0.205 | -24.88% | 0.2526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | oos | 0.2854 | 0.283814 | -0.56% | 0.2729 | -4.38% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 1.00 |