PIEVERSE

Pieverse · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #94
symbol: PIEVERSE
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x0e63b9c287e32a05e6b9ab8ee8df88a2760225a9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

145

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

57.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0410

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual +0.0025

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0698	1.0668	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-20	oos	1.0503	1.0478	-0.24%	1.0698	+1.86%	0.0255	✗	1.59
2026-10-19	oos	1.0689	1.0653	-0.34%	1.0503	-1.74%	0.0355	✓	1.60
2026-10-18	oos	1.065	1.062	-0.27%	1.0689	+0.37%	0.0097	✗	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	1.0896	1.0861	-0.32%	1.065	-2.26%	0.0318	✓	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	1.1203	1.1154	-0.44%	1.0896	-2.74%	0.0211	✓	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	1.1691	1.1635	-0.48%	1.1203	-4.17%	0.0258	✓	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	1.1785	1.171	-0.63%	1.1691	-0.80%	0.0124	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	1.2219	1.2169	-0.41%	1.1785	-3.55%	0.0021	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	1.2253	1.2204	-0.40%	1.2219	-0.28%	0.0253	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	1.2993	1.2938	-0.42%	1.2253	-5.70%	0.0189	✓	1.52
2026-10-10	oos	1.3116	1.3056	-0.46%	1.2993	-0.94%	0.0187	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	1.2952	1.2896	-0.43%	1.3116	+1.27%	0.0103	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	1.3136	1.3073	-0.48%	1.2952	-1.40%	0.0249	✓	1.51
2026-10-07	oos	1.2817	1.276	-0.45%	1.3136	+2.48%	0.0584	✗	1.53
2026-10-06	oos	1.3155	1.3088	-0.50%	1.2817	-2.56%	0.0201	✗	1.53
2026-10-05	oos	1.3214	1.3145	-0.52%	1.3155	-0.45%	0.0044	✓	1.50
2026-10-04	oos	1.3482	1.3414	-0.50%	1.3214	-1.99%	0.0019	✓	1.50
2026-10-03	oos	1.3474	1.3404	-0.52%	1.3482	+0.06%	0.0254	✓	1.51
2026-10-02	oos	1.3634	1.3566	-0.50%	1.3474	-1.17%	0.0111	✓	1.51
2026-10-01	oos	1.3934	1.3869	-0.47%	1.3634	-2.15%	0.0110	✓	1.50
2026-09-30	oos	1.4282	1.4219	-0.44%	1.3934	-2.44%	0.0437	✓	1.53
2026-09-29	oos	1.4268	1.4216	-0.37%	1.4282	+0.10%	0.0061	✗	1.52
2026-09-28	oos	1.4668	1.4618	-0.35%	1.4268	-2.73%	0.0274	✓	1.45
2026-09-27	oos	1.531	1.524	-0.45%	1.4668	-4.19%	0.0210	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	1.5292	1.5221	-0.47%	1.531	+0.11%	0.0050	✗	1.44
2026-09-25	oos	1.5956	1.5869	-0.54%	1.5292	-4.16%	0.0426	✓	1.46
2026-09-24	oos	1.6111	1.6035	-0.47%	1.5956	-0.97%	0.0000	✓	1.43
2026-09-23	oos	1.6954	1.6865	-0.52%	1.6111	-4.97%	0.0459	✓	1.43
2026-09-22	oos	1.7881	1.7754	-0.72%	1.6954	-5.19%	0.0161	✓	1.40
2026-09-21	oos	1.8465	1.8289	-0.95%	1.7881	-3.16%	0.0161	✓	1.40
2026-09-20	oos	1.6427	1.6269	-0.96%	1.8465	+12.41%	0.0393	✗	1.35
2026-09-19	oos	1.7149	1.696	-1.11%	1.6427	-4.21%	0.0307	✓	1.33
2026-09-18	oos	1.6065	1.5793	-1.69%	1.7149	+6.75%	0.0764	✗	1.35
2026-09-17	oos	1.2458	1.2429	-0.23%	1.6065	+28.95%	0.1947	✗	1.07
2026-09-16	oos	1.1754	1.1743	-0.09%	1.2458	+5.99%	0.0563	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	1.1132	1.1139	+0.06%	1.1754	+5.59%	0.0457	✓	1.09
2026-09-14	oos	1.1401	1.1416	+0.14%	1.1132	-2.36%	0.0106	✓	1.06
2026-09-13	oos	1.1665	1.1675	+0.08%	1.1401	-2.27%	0.0431	✗	1.09
2026-09-12	oos	1.2028	1.2031	+0.02%	1.1665	-3.02%	0.0243	✗	1.09
2026-09-11	oos	1.235	1.2344	-0.05%	1.2028	-2.60%	0.0266	✓	1.08
2026-09-10	oos	1.1954	1.1949	-0.04%	1.235	+3.31%	0.0238	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	1.2809	1.2781	-0.22%	1.1954	-6.67%	0.0442	✓	1.01
2026-09-08	oos	1.2974	1.2922	-0.40%	1.2809	-1.28%	0.0066	✓	1.03
2026-09-07	oos	1.2706	1.2579	-1.00%	1.2974	+2.12%	0.0395	✗	1.05
2026-09-06	oos	1.0432	1.0445	+0.13%	1.2706	+21.80%	0.2140	✓	1.16
2026-09-05	oos	1.0338	1.0342	+0.04%	1.0432	+0.90%	0.0013	✓	1.16
2026-09-04	oos	1.0187	1.0183	-0.04%	1.0338	+1.49%	0.0130	✗	1.12
2026-09-03	oos	1.1409	1.1374	-0.31%	1.0187	-10.72%	0.0894	✓	1.06
2026-09-02	oos	1.1155	1.1098	-0.51%	1.1409	+2.29%	0.0408	✓	1.37
2026-09-01	oos	1.0476	1.0428	-0.46%	1.1155	+6.48%	0.0690	✗	1.41
2026-08-31	oos	1.023	1.0185	-0.44%	1.0476	+2.40%	0.0502	✗	1.47
2026-08-30	oos	1.009	1.0044	-0.45%	1.023	+1.39%	0.0064	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	1.0976	1.0908	-0.61%	1.009	-8.07%	0.0723	✓	0.78
2026-08-28	oos	1.0203	1.0154	-0.48%	1.0976	+7.57%	0.0739	✗	0.78
2026-08-27	oos	1.0153	1.0116	-0.37%	1.0203	+0.49%	0.0331	✗	0.79
2026-08-26	oos	1.0408	1.0373	-0.33%	1.0153	-2.45%	0.0341	✓	0.81
2026-08-25	oos	1.0393	1.0357	-0.35%	1.0408	+0.13%	0.0003	✓	0.81
2026-08-24	oos	1.0249	1.0204	-0.44%	1.0393	+1.41%	0.0231	✗	0.82
2026-08-23	oos	0.95485	0.949889	-0.52%	1.0249	+7.34%	0.0629	✗	0.82
2026-08-22	oos	0.94905	0.944701	-0.46%	0.95485	+0.61%	0.0035	✓	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	1.1038	1.0906	-1.19%	0.94905	-14.02%	0.1266	✓	0.76
2026-08-20	oos	0.96065	0.956067	-0.48%	1.1038	+14.90%	0.1011	✗	0.61
2026-08-19	oos	0.9178	0.913953	-0.42%	0.96065	+4.67%	0.0181	✗	0.61
2026-08-18	oos	0.8685	0.86457	-0.45%	0.9178	+5.68%	0.0196	✗	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.93715	0.930642	-0.69%	0.8685	-7.33%	0.0710	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.85005	0.845556	-0.53%	0.93715	+10.25%	0.0895	✗	0.52
2026-08-15	oos	0.81305	0.808638	-0.54%	0.85005	+4.55%	0.0514	✗	0.52
2026-08-14	oos	0.7992	0.792981	-0.78%	0.81305	+1.73%	0.0246	✗	0.52
2026-08-13	oos	0.7705	0.766268	-0.55%	0.7992	+3.72%	0.0458	✗	0.52
2026-08-12	oos	0.7565	0.751707	-0.63%	0.7705	+1.85%	0.0246	✗	0.52
2026-08-11	oos	0.7477	0.743502	-0.56%	0.7565	+1.18%	0.0183	✗	0.52
2026-08-10	oos	0.7775	0.770695	-0.88%	0.7477	-3.83%	0.0272	✓	0.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.7928	0.78737	-0.68%	0.7775	-1.93%	0.0052	✓	0.51
2026-08-08	oos	0.80105	0.791961	-1.13%	0.7928	-1.03%	0.0015	✓	0.51
2026-08-07	oos	0.7502	0.743585	-0.88%	0.80105	+6.78%	0.0743	✗	0.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.77485	0.766054	-1.14%	0.7502	-3.18%	0.0260	✓	0.52
2026-08-05	oos	0.7833	0.775457	-1.00%	0.77485	-1.08%	0.0019	✓	0.52
2026-08-04	oos	0.79545	0.785379	-1.27%	0.7833	-1.53%	0.0072	✓	0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.7504	0.742984	-0.99%	0.79545	+6.00%	0.0636	✗	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.7715	0.76195	-1.24%	0.7504	-2.73%	0.0150	✓	0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.70515	0.698965	-0.88%	0.7715	+9.41%	0.0933	✗	0.47
2026-07-31	oos	0.66365	0.660932	-0.41%	0.70515	+6.25%	0.0652	✗	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.6628	0.660258	-0.38%	0.66365	+0.13%	0.0193	✗	0.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.6607	0.657875	-0.43%	0.6628	+0.32%	0.0013	✓	0.48
2026-07-28	oos	0.66075	0.657838	-0.44%	0.6607	-0.01%	0.0040	✓	0.48
2026-07-27	oos	0.66105	0.657175	-0.59%	0.66075	-0.05%	0.0043	✓	0.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.7234	0.715639	-1.07%	0.66105	-8.62%	0.0689	✓	0.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.6385	0.636431	-0.32%	0.7234	+13.30%	0.1229	✗	0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.6574	0.655124	-0.35%	0.6385	-2.87%	0.0268	✓	0.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.6666	0.66409	-0.38%	0.6574	-1.38%	0.0053	✓	0.32
2026-07-22	oos	0.66665	0.664088	-0.38%	0.6666	-0.01%	0.0089	✗	0.33
2026-07-21	oos	0.67145	0.668641	-0.42%	0.66665	-0.71%	0.0009	✓	0.33
2026-07-20	oos	0.6746	0.671686	-0.43%	0.67145	-0.47%	0.0070	✓	0.34
2026-07-19	oos	0.6311	0.628896	-0.35%	0.6746	+6.89%	0.0677	✗	0.31
2026-07-18	oos	0.6509	0.648387	-0.39%	0.6311	-3.04%	0.0265	✓	0.31
2026-07-17	oos	0.6494	0.645892	-0.54%	0.6509	+0.23%	0.0034	✓	0.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.62405	0.621539	-0.40%	0.6494	+4.06%	0.0433	✗	0.30
2026-07-15	oos	0.67825	0.674314	-0.58%	0.62405	-7.99%	0.0736	✓	0.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.65945	0.655535	-0.59%	0.67825	+2.85%	0.0352	✗	0.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.65755	0.653988	-0.54%	0.65945	+0.29%	0.0036	✓	0.28
2026-07-12	oos	0.65795	0.654002	-0.60%	0.65755	-0.06%	0.0121	✗	0.28
2026-07-11	oos	0.69025	0.68558	-0.68%	0.65795	-4.68%	0.0410	✓	0.29
2026-07-10	oos	0.6805	0.675878	-0.68%	0.69025	+1.43%	0.0227	✗	0.29
2026-07-09	oos	0.67715	0.672929	-0.62%	0.6805	+0.49%	0.0068	✗	0.29
2026-07-08	oos	0.68655	0.682584	-0.58%	0.67715	-1.37%	0.0126	✓	0.31
2026-07-07	oos	0.6718	0.667639	-0.62%	0.68655	+2.20%	0.0336	✗	0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.6856	0.680735	-0.71%	0.6718	-2.01%	0.0098	✓	0.32
2026-07-05	oos	0.693	0.688066	-0.71%	0.6856	-1.07%	0.0057	✓	0.33
2026-07-04	oos	0.6929	0.688279	-0.67%	0.693	+0.01%	0.0042	✓	0.33
2026-07-03	oos	0.71365	0.709059	-0.64%	0.6929	-2.91%	0.0262	✓	0.35
2026-07-02	oos	0.6795	0.675866	-0.53%	0.71365	+5.03%	0.0493	✗	0.30
2026-07-01	oos	0.66225	0.659554	-0.41%	0.6795	+2.60%	0.0230	✗	0.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.7194	0.716658	-0.38%	0.66225	-7.94%	0.0894	✓	0.43
2026-06-29	oos	0.7552	0.751661	-0.47%	0.7194	-4.74%	0.0333	✓	0.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.7494	0.745818	-0.48%	0.7552	+0.77%	0.0081	✗	0.38
2026-06-27	oos	0.8062	0.799399	-0.84%	0.7494	-7.05%	0.0617	✓	0.38
2026-06-26	oos	0.65815	0.655419	-0.41%	0.8062	+22.49%	0.2074	✗	0.31
2026-06-25	oos	0.6425	0.640122	-0.37%	0.65815	+2.44%	0.0263	✗	0.29
2026-06-24	oos	0.6528	0.650065	-0.42%	0.6425	-1.58%	0.0057	✓	0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.67275	0.669205	-0.53%	0.6528	-2.97%	0.0179	✓	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.6762	0.672298	-0.58%	0.67275	-0.51%	0.0060	✗	0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.68655	0.682657	-0.57%	0.6762	-1.51%	0.0126	✓	0.28
2026-06-20	oos	0.71845	0.713559	-0.68%	0.68655	-4.44%	0.0347	✓	0.25
2026-06-19	oos	0.65665	0.653405	-0.49%	0.71845	+9.41%	0.0932	✗	0.14
2026-06-18	oos	0.6819	0.678176	-0.55%	0.65665	-3.70%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.7316	0.725547	-0.83%	0.6819	-6.79%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.69465	0.689771	-0.70%	0.7316	+5.32%	0.0769	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.70615	0.701077	-0.72%	0.69465	-1.63%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.6639	0.659524	-0.66%	0.70615	+6.36%	0.0597	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.66115	0.656215	-0.75%	0.6639	+0.42%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.6881	0.682186	-0.86%	0.66115	-3.92%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.61245	0.60994	-0.41%	0.6881	+12.35%	0.1210	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.57255	0.572554	+0.00%	0.61245	+6.97%	0.0335	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.60725	0.606914	-0.06%	0.57255	-5.71%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.6118	0.611194	-0.10%	0.60725	-0.74%	0.0156	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.6157	0.615329	-0.06%	0.6118	-0.63%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.6101	0.611114	+0.17%	0.6157	+0.92%	0.0320	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.6345	0.635152	+0.10%	0.6101	-3.85%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.8052	0.803618	-0.20%	0.6345	-21.20%	0.1918	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.977	0.971877	-0.52%	0.8052	-17.58%	0.1845	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	1.0717	1.0522	-1.82%	0.977	-8.84%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.9183	0.907048	-1.23%	1.0717	+16.70%	0.2343	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.6962	0.69198	-0.61%	0.9183	+31.90%	0.3142	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.7068	0.702542	-0.60%	0.6962	-1.50%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.70265	0.698594	-0.58%	0.7068	+0.59%	0.0062	✗	1.00