OTC

OTC · Solana · gru_s4

token id: #810
symbol: OTC
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: MukLDtJ8Cx9DxLbeyLRSWPSposTMWuwHANbuaudpump
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-01
predictions: 126

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 42 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2434

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0377

actual -0.0095

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00802	0.007875	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	3.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.00718	0.007045	-1.87%	0.00802	+11.70%	0.1390	✗	3.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.00615	0.006063	-1.42%	0.00718	+16.75%	0.1272	✗	3.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00623	0.006135	-1.53%	0.00615	-1.28%	0.0090	✓	3.14
2026-10-17	oos	0.006705	0.006591	-1.70%	0.00623	-7.08%	0.0807	✓	3.18
2026-10-16	oos	0.007635	0.007479	-2.04%	0.006705	-12.18%	0.1046	✓	3.16
2026-10-15	oos	0.008356	0.008121	-2.81%	0.007635	-8.63%	0.0380	✓	3.12
2026-10-14	oos	0.006277	0.006155	-1.94%	0.008356	+33.12%	0.2850	✗	3.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.006016	0.005897	-1.99%	0.006277	+4.34%	0.1212	✗	3.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.006045	0.005929	-1.91%	0.006016	-0.48%	0.0384	✓	3.20
2026-10-11	oos	0.00643	0.006276	-2.40%	0.006045	-5.99%	0.0378	✗	3.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.005902	0.005732	-2.88%	0.00643	+8.95%	0.0854	✗	3.19
2026-10-09	oos	0.006872	0.006652	-3.21%	0.005902	-14.12%	0.1338	✓	3.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.009193	0.008946	-2.68%	0.006872	-25.25%	0.2992	✓	3.42
2026-10-07	oos	0.008138	0.007883	-3.14%	0.009193	+12.96%	0.2239	✗	3.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.00976	0.009474	-2.93%	0.008138	-16.62%	0.0592	✓	3.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.009547	0.009246	-3.15%	0.00976	+2.23%	0.0625	✗	3.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.007319	0.007069	-3.42%	0.009547	+30.44%	0.3332	✗	3.71
2026-10-03	oos	0.006463	0.006211	-3.89%	0.007319	+13.24%	0.0888	✗	3.65
2026-10-02	oos	0.006731	0.006449	-4.19%	0.006463	-3.98%	0.0081	✓	3.65
2026-10-01	oos	0.010041	0.009616	-4.23%	0.006731	-32.96%	0.3428	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.008327	0.007841	-5.84%	0.010041	+20.58%	0.2320	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.004592	0.0045	-2.00%	0.008327	+81.34%	0.6163	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.004503	0.004413	-2.00%	0.004592	+1.98%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.005458	0.005256	-3.70%	0.004503	-17.50%	0.1426	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.005492	0.005232	-4.74%	0.005458	-0.62%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004899	0.004576	-6.60%	0.005492	+12.10%	0.1787	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.008762	0.00832	-5.05%	0.004899	-44.09%	0.5261	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.009116	0.008647	-5.15%	0.008762	-3.88%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.013579	0.012439	-8.40%	0.009116	-32.87%	0.2895	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.004341	0.004249	-2.11%	0.013579	+212.81%	1.1664	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.006353	0.00611	-3.83%	0.004341	-31.67%	0.4066	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.007269	0.006901	-5.07%	0.006353	-12.60%	0.0818	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.006606	0.006285	-4.86%	0.007269	+10.04%	0.1411	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005193	0.005094	-1.91%	0.006606	+27.21%	0.2024	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.002827	0.002613	-7.57%	0.005193	+83.69%	0.6842	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.004285	0.004153	-3.08%	0.002827	-34.03%	0.3920	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008484	0.008091	-4.64%	0.004285	-49.49%	0.6019	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.004687	0.004227	-9.82%	0.008484	+80.99%	0.6789	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.009999	0.009648	-3.51%	0.004687	-53.12%	0.7159	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.012071	0.011605	-3.86%	0.009999	-17.16%	0.1496	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.01169	0.011233	-3.92%	0.012071	+3.25%	0.0632	✗	1.00