ONE
ONEchain · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #286
- symbol
- ONE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x6bf62ca91e397b5a7d1d6bce97d9092065d7a510
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-09
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
63.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0372
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0058
actual -0.0106
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.10343 | 0.103255 | -0.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.103945 | 0.10378 | -0.16% | 0.10343 | -0.50% | 0.0044 | ✓ | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.10201 | 0.10193 | -0.08% | 0.103945 | +1.90% | 0.0247 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1011 | 0.101037 | -0.06% | 0.10201 | +0.90% | 0.0088 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.102135 | 0.102079 | -0.05% | 0.1011 | -1.01% | 0.0067 | ✓ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.10497 | 0.104872 | -0.09% | 0.102135 | -2.70% | 0.0270 | ✓ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.10694 | 0.106806 | -0.12% | 0.10497 | -1.84% | 0.0204 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.10938 | 0.109242 | -0.13% | 0.10694 | -2.23% | 0.0187 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.118885 | 0.118576 | -0.26% | 0.10938 | -8.00% | 0.0906 | ✓ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.122635 | 0.122288 | -0.28% | 0.118885 | -3.06% | 0.0200 | ✓ | -0.50 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.1296 | 0.129066 | -0.41% | 0.122635 | -5.37% | 0.0661 | ✓ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.13565 | 0.134963 | -0.51% | 0.1296 | -4.46% | 0.0349 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.129045 | 0.128475 | -0.44% | 0.13565 | +5.12% | 0.0571 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13182 | 0.131233 | -0.45% | 0.129045 | -2.11% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.13752 | 0.136778 | -0.54% | 0.13182 | -4.14% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.147335 | 0.146343 | -0.67% | 0.13752 | -6.66% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.148475 | 0.147478 | -0.67% | 0.147335 | -0.77% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.145265 | 0.14435 | -0.63% | 0.148475 | +2.21% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.147165 | 0.146059 | -0.75% | 0.145265 | -1.29% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1419 | 0.14093 | -0.68% | 0.147165 | +3.71% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.13909 | 0.138117 | -0.70% | 0.1419 | +2.02% | 0.0311 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.13935 | 0.138302 | -0.75% | 0.13909 | -0.19% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.13304 | 0.131991 | -0.79% | 0.13935 | +4.74% | 0.0552 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15352 | 0.152019 | -0.98% | 0.13304 | -13.34% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15001 | 0.14851 | -1.00% | 0.15352 | +2.34% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.15468 | 0.153098 | -1.02% | 0.15001 | -3.02% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.146485 | 0.14505 | -0.98% | 0.15468 | +5.59% | 0.0604 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.15333 | 0.151769 | -1.02% | 0.146485 | -4.46% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.144105 | 0.142795 | -0.91% | 0.15333 | +6.40% | 0.0711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.15384 | 0.152391 | -0.94% | 0.144105 | -6.33% | 0.0346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.151575 | 0.150279 | -0.85% | 0.15384 | +1.49% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.144335 | 0.143256 | -0.75% | 0.151575 | +5.02% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.154195 | 0.152933 | -0.82% | 0.144335 | -6.39% | 0.0570 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.14332 | 0.142437 | -0.62% | 0.154195 | +7.59% | 0.0749 | ✗ | 1.00 |