NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

139

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

64.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1248

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0096

actual -0.0853

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.78e-7	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.78e-7	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.69e-7	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.06e-7	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.08e-7	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.27e-7	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.38e-7	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.66e-7	-1.13%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1194	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.68e-7	-0.94%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1129	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.96e-7	-1.16%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1651	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.09e-7	-0.68%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1127	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.09e-7	-0.79%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1123	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.89e-7	-0.76%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0633	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.89e-7	-0.79%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0601	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	8.02e-7	-0.40%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0222	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.16e-7	+0.13%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0357	✗	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.31e-7	+0.68%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0048	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.33e-7	+0.93%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0028	✓	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.41e-7	+0.67%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0186	✗	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.47e-7	+0.86%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0504	✗	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.23e-7	+0.94%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0122	✗	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.34e-7	+1.06%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0326	✗	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.45e-7	+1.14%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0522	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.34e-7	+1.11%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0311	✗	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.49e-7	+1.02%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0457	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.43e-7	+0.94%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0121	✗	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.44e-7	+1.06%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0081	✓	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.41e-7	+1.37%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0359	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.63e-7	+1.57%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0382	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001074	+0.84%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2324	✗	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001084	+0.84%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2476	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001063	+0.76%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2646	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001092	+0.63%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.2959	✗	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001074	+0.85%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2797	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001034	-0.53%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.2929	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001009	-0.63%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2436	✓	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	9.91e-7	-0.42%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0327	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001029	+0.36%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0315	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001003	-0.24%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0104	✗	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001012	-0.25%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0320	✗	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.00000102	-0.51%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0081	✗	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001036	-0.86%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0057	✓	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001069	-0.14%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0300	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001421	-0.29%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3287	✓	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001442	-0.23%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3328	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.00000146	+0.69%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3410	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001466	-0.27%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3439	✓	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001442	-0.56%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3189	✓	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001453	+0.24%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.2862	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001412	-1.29%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.2850	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001427	-0.92%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0099	✓	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.00000143	-0.37%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0058	✗	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001429	-0.44%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0078	✓	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001443	-0.13%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0053	✗	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001455	+0.01%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0187	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.00000149	+0.65%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0350	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001472	+0.50%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0148	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001481	+0.41%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0187	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001473	+0.57%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0231	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001494	+0.25%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0396	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001501	+0.07%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0478	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001541	+0.07%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0535	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001488	-1.13%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0697	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001463	-1.82%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1162	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001406	-1.99%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1325	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001482	-2.17%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.2016	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001453	-2.17%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1721	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001461	-2.29%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1601	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001507	-2.45%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1815	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001507	-2.45%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1329	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001516	-2.53%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.1000	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001586	-3.00%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1167	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001584	-3.68%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0530	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001408	-1.90%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0852	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001417	-1.97%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0837	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001446	-1.99%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0967	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001447	-1.92%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0790	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001428	-1.84%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1038	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001419	-1.78%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1497	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001439	-1.80%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1270	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001463	-1.81%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0406	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001426	-1.65%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0201	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001432	-1.61%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0021	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.00000147	-1.66%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0103	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001481	-1.62%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0286	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001482	-1.54%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0283	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001483	-1.48%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0085	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.00000155	-1.58%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001542	-1.48%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001553	-1.39%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001574	-1.29%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0467	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001613	-1.33%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0354	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001614	-1.26%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0287	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001671	-1.39%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0801	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.00000169	-1.47%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0810	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.00000168	-1.48%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0626	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.00000168	-1.49%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0674	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001746	-1.66%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.1112	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001744	-1.73%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0872	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001754	-1.75%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.0951	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001728	-1.51%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0704	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001796	-1.60%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0622	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002172	-2.40%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2598	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.00000215	-2.27%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2278	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002286	-2.92%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2644	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002538	-2.96%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.4084	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002587	-3.83%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.4050	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002634	-4.57%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3701	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002708	-4.98%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3979	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002782	-6.50%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2379	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002623	-7.33%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.2092	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001844	-0.34%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2219	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.00000185	+0.00%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3145	✓	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001848	+0.45%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3094	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001889	+0.22%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3259	✓	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001895	+0.54%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3514	✓	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001916	+0.58%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.3965	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000002015	+0.27%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.3041	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000002004	+0.68%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.1044	✗	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002144	-0.04%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1339	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002327	-0.78%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1839	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002428	-1.12%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.2079	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002507	-1.12%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2383	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002544	-1.22%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2359	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002554	-0.99%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.1969	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002798	-1.31%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2889	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003232	-2.07%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3546	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002965	-1.82%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1883	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003078	-1.98%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1904	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000003025	-1.79%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1383	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002933	-1.40%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1271	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002949	-1.20%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1327	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003134	-1.46%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0893	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003083	-1.02%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002816	-0.13%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002854	-0.19%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0456	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002953	-0.25%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0050	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002967	+0.59%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0546	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003067	+0.57%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0674	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002959	+0.66%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.0757	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003073	+0.41%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003335	-1.04%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0902	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003377	-2.40%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003383	-2.92%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003303	-2.72%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003405	-2.72%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0741	✗	1.00