NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

84.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2570

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0298

actual -0.2719

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.117313	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.119236	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.111873	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.115654	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.1173	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.120076	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.135724	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.14301	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.135114	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.131757	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.139901	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.139069	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.136495	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.13253	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.138556	+0.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.141455	+2.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.147875	+2.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.152934	+2.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.148504	+1.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.14998	+0.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.151881	+0.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.151783	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.159462	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.161482	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.166493	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.163361	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.160557	+0.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.166153	+0.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.165118	+0.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.170444	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.172811	+2.00%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3724	✗	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.163145	+0.38%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.3021	✗	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.163196	+0.63%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3584	✗	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.158816	+0.98%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2976	✗	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.151576	-1.46%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2379	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.159325	-1.96%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2675	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.161927	-2.34%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.1571	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.1515	+0.18%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0407	✗	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.14908	-0.55%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0998	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.158581	-0.83%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1762	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.1505	+0.36%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0762	✗	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.145754	+0.74%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0479	✗	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.119928	+3.80%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1177	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.126879	+3.57%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0354	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.135982	+3.69%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0051	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.135361	+5.09%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0043	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.133905	+3.44%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0510	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.141635	+2.78%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0287	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.145615	+4.43%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0110	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.137161	-0.14%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0517	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.139819	-0.53%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0508	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.144687	+0.18%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0257	✓	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.15588	-0.08%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0069	✗	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.155593	+1.30%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0147	✓	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.145266	+1.34%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.1038	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.153965	+7.25%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.0442	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.159546	+6.86%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0231	✓	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.170974	+6.53%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0632	✓	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.150953	+10.18%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.0563	✓	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.201286	+3.14%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.2436	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.208392	+1.48%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2832	✗	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.226207	+2.40%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.3521	✗	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.212267	-1.71%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.3387	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.205864	-3.55%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3778	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.197865	-3.85%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3741	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.20407	-3.89%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.3513	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.20584	-4.06%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.3641	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.199898	-4.07%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.4541	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.200955	-4.11%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.4543	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.197981	-4.10%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.3779	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.192309	-4.15%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.4131	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.194553	-4.23%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4514	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.19508	-4.44%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.6939	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.195043	-4.63%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6301	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.198968	-4.79%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5875	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.193486	-4.86%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.5922	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.193962	-4.76%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.5928	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.187471	-4.62%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.4966	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.194471	-4.81%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5535	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.196251	-4.98%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5416	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.194282	-5.04%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.5097	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.200306	-5.19%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5468	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.196206	-5.23%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4379	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.203033	-5.41%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4667	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.207328	-5.53%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.5712	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.205271	-5.57%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.5924	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.211632	-5.84%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.5708	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.225167	-6.93%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.5021	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.225628	-6.96%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.6860	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.234588	-7.58%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.3614	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.247284	-8.45%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.3552	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.247477	-8.58%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.2834	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.21406	-7.42%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.0844	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.21263	-7.14%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.0569	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.20806	-6.80%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.209471	-7.15%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0185	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.220021	-7.55%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.230176	-7.90%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.220104	-8.12%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.222444	-8.20%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0503	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.227641	-7.52%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1445	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.215647	-8.59%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.0564	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.241835	-9.34%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.1716	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.249729	-9.65%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.2109	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.248465	-9.17%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.2001	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.271326	-8.82%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.3301	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.257638	-7.86%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.2499	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.236031	-6.40%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.1923	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.255407	-6.11%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.2306	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.225606	-4.70%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0943	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.21395	-4.02%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0603	✓	1.00