MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s4

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

Track record at +1d

assessed

38

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

42.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1151

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0056

actual -0.0488

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.009105	+0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.00927	+0.64%	0.009054	-1.72%	0.0234	✗	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.011572	+0.14%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2314	✗	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010949	+0.44%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0545	✓	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.011026	+0.61%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0132	✗	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.012249	+0.35%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.1110	✗	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.014156	-0.69%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1468	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010764	+1.16%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2807	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011811	+0.95%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.1054	✗	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012216	+1.04%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0421	✗	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.012554	+1.04%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0385	✗	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012354	+1.30%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0065	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.013063	+1.30%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0684	✗	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012231	+1.63%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0545	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.01376	+1.40%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1395	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.016896	+0.69%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2391	✗	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.018055	+0.50%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0751	✗	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.017403	+0.68%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0258	✓	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015777	+1.33%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0707	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016616	+1.32%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0678	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017316	+1.29%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0503	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.021647	+0.80%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2514	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.025031	+0.32%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1522	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.029004	-0.40%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1527	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026936	+0.02%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.0899	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.028493	-0.13%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0570	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.030057	-0.31%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0560	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.027786	+0.20%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.033989	-1.28%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.2036	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.031219	-0.96%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1192	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.026839	+0.26%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1654	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.027539	+1.01%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0931	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.030844	+0.73%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1224	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.031018	+0.87%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.037235	+0.58%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2490	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.030178	+1.37%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2017	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032755	+1.27%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.1029	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.044165	+0.16%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2778	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.049407	-0.23%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1315	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.