LAPTOP

Hunter Biden's Laptop · Base · gru_s4

token id: #776
symbol: LAPTOP
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xb095274743941e953c746f9c228da9c18bb6ec29
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-09
predictions: 102

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 34 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0476

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0002

actual -0.0122

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07135	0.07101	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.0722	0.071736	-0.64%	0.07135	-1.18%	0.0048	✓	0.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0753	0.074941	-0.48%	0.0722	-4.12%	0.0396	✓	0.18
2026-10-18	oos	0.0793	0.07882	-0.61%	0.0753	-5.04%	0.0453	✓	0.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.08085	0.080313	-0.66%	0.0793	-1.92%	0.0139	✓	0.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.07695	0.076645	-0.40%	0.08085	+5.07%	0.0537	✗	0.18
2026-10-15	oos	0.07705	0.07677	-0.36%	0.07695	-0.13%	0.0041	✗	0.24
2026-10-14	oos	0.0796	0.079189	-0.52%	0.07705	-3.20%	0.0288	✓	0.21
2026-10-13	oos	0.076	0.075651	-0.46%	0.0796	+4.74%	0.0589	✗	0.43
2026-10-12	oos	0.07515	0.075064	-0.11%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0072	✗	0.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.07515	0.074987	-0.22%	0.07515	+0.00%	0.0147	✗	0.53
2026-10-10	oos	0.07705	0.076912	-0.18%	0.07515	-2.47%	0.0277	✓	0.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.07725	0.076964	-0.37%	0.07705	-0.26%	0.0010	✓	0.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.07545	0.075478	+0.04%	0.07725	+2.39%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.0899	0.08896	-1.05%	0.07545	-16.07%	0.1455	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.0746	0.074645	+0.06%	0.0899	+20.51%	0.2128	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.07235	0.072444	+0.13%	0.0746	+3.11%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.0725	0.072568	+0.09%	0.07235	-0.21%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.07405	0.074207	+0.21%	0.0725	-2.09%	0.0439	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0731	0.073295	+0.27%	0.07405	+1.30%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.0818	0.081797	-0.00%	0.0731	-10.64%	0.1083	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0796	0.079811	+0.26%	0.0818	+2.76%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.0783	0.07855	+0.32%	0.0796	+1.66%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.07785	0.078117	+0.34%	0.0783	+0.58%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0813	0.081418	+0.15%	0.07785	-4.24%	0.0328	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.0819	0.081921	+0.03%	0.0813	-0.73%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.0736	0.073976	+0.51%	0.0819	+11.28%	0.0979	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.073	0.073392	+0.54%	0.0736	+0.82%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.0689	0.069378	+0.69%	0.073	+5.95%	0.0508	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.07575	0.076028	+0.37%	0.0689	-9.04%	0.0771	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.08595	0.086061	+0.13%	0.07575	-11.87%	0.1230	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.0879	0.088481	+0.66%	0.08595	-2.22%	0.0938	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.10495	0.105581	+0.60%	0.0879	-16.25%	0.1824	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.10535	0.105207	-0.14%	0.10495	-0.38%	0.0069	✓	1.00